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The Gold Method Ichimoku Program updateHello Traders; I just wanted to thank everybody who expressed interest, and those who are participating, in The Gold Method Ichimoku experience. i.e. The Gold Diggers. The program is now closed. Understand my goal was/is to take a group of motivated traders who are willing to work and help them become Professional Traders. Based on the feedback and results the Gold Diggers have been achieving, that goal will be obtained!!! An integral part of the process is the training room and since I will not be conducting new trader training, beyond the sessions scheduled for the week of December 2, my book is also no longer available. Thank you again, Allen aka FXGold
Education
by AGold54
19
The Gold Method Ichimoku Weekly ReviewThis week was our Sixth in the Training room for The Gold Method Ichimoku. And our best one!!! First, I want to thank those who participated and for all their hard work and effort this week. Working with you guys was an absolute pleasure and I look forward to continuing our relationship, so you achieve your goal of becoming Professional traders. Here are the quick Stats for our 5 days together: 3 winning trades 1 unsuccessful trade Pips won: 206.6 Pips Lost: 19.4 Here is a day by day breakdown: Monday, we took a GBPCAD breakout trade. It was a good Type 1 Breakout set-up with a correlated up move allowing us to hold the whole position to the profit target. +75 Pips and a 6.12% gain Tuesday, the best trade set-up we had was a pullback trade on GBPAUD, however, it triggered 12 minutes before the UK employment numbers came out. So we did not take the trade but it would have produced a good result. Something to know for the future. Wednesday, we took a GBPNZD news trade that never saw red, closed for +80.2 pips and a 8.02% gain Thursday, we got a News trade in GBPAUD after the AUD employment news release. This trade was closed for nifty 51.4 pips and a 5.43% gain. Friday, we took a Type 1 PB trade on GBPNZD, while most of us, including myself, got clipped out, several traders did not and made money on the trade. However, being the lead dog, I will take it as a loss -19.4 Pips for -1.97% loss For the week, since I risk 2% per trade, I ended the week with a 17.6% gain and the majority of the room achieved similar results. Sincerely, Allen Gold Please be aware that today is the last day to obtain the book, participate in the training and all the other bonus that I have been giving out. If you are interested in The Gold Method Ichimoku, please act quickly to avoid disappointment, as at this time, I do not plan on taking on new traders in 2020. If you are interested or have any questions, please send me an email or message me.
Education
by AGold54
7
The Gold Method - Ichimoku The Gold Method – Ichimoku has been generating consistent profits as verified by the traders in my training, who have become known as the “The Gold Diggers”. The Methodology is contained in my E-book, The Gold Method – Ichimoku. This is the most complete publication that I have done. The first several chapters, explain in great detail, my methodology. The next 20 Chapters is a step by step, day by day application of the methodology for varying real-life market conditions. I will explain and you will see, as there are tons of screenshots, how each step of the methodology is progressed through. The end result will be knowing the best pair to trade, direction and specific entry and exits. You will be presented with high probability set-ups with good to great RRR and equally important when there are no high probability trade set-ups. Included with the purchase of the E-book is the following: 1) The Book itself…duh 2) Unlimited email support.* 3) The excel spreadsheets, for all pairs, that I use to help document my trades. 4) And most important, 4 Sessions in my training room, where we will work in live market conditions from 1:45 am est., to 4am est., on Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.** The Purchase price is $54.95, which unfortunately is non-refundable as the material and training are proprietary. As I am sure you can understand, once you have it, there is no way to get the genie back in the bottle. Because of that, I would urge you, before, you purchase my Ebook, to look at my trading posts and make sure for yourself that this is for you. As most of you know, I combine Strength and Weakness, Correlation and Multiple time frame analysis with Ichimoku concepts. The result of which are High probability (85% or better) set-ups with good to great risk reward ratio (3-1 or better). I am not interested in the amount of trades, just the quality. If you want to just hit buttons and place trades, this is not for you. If you want to generate consistent income read on… To purchase the book please remit $54.95, via Paypal, to FXGold54@gmail.com Please note that the last new trader training will be the week of December 2. Since I think it is extremely beneficial to have the book at least 2 weeks prior to the training, the last day to obtain the book will be November 15. Sincerely, Allen S. Gold Lead Trader for FXGold, L.L.C.
Education
by AGold54
8
The Gold Method Ichimoku Weekly ReviewThis week was our fifth in the Training room for The Gold Method Ichimoku. First, I want to thank those who participated and for all their hard work and effort this week. Working with you guys was an absolute pleasure and I look forward to continuing our relationship, so you achieve your goal of becoming Professional traders. Here are the quick Stats for our 5 days together: 3 winning trades 2 unsuccessful trades Pips won: 83.3 Pips Lost: 50.9 Here is a day by day breakdown: Monday, we took a loss on GBPAUD breakout trade. It was a good Type 1 Breakout set-up that just did not work out. – 26.2 pips and a -2.12% loss Tuesday, we hit on 2 trades, both on GBPCAD, first we got a Breakout trade which was good for +25.4 pips and then we got the pullback trade good for 31.7 pips netting 5.23% gain Wednesday, we took a GBPNZD Breakout trader that failed for -24.7 and a – 1.96% loss Thursday, we got a News trade after the UK interest rate decision, which while it did not run as far as would have liked (they never do) we banked 26.2 pips for a 2.57% gain. Friday, no high probability trades presented so no trades were taken. For the week, since I risk 2% per trade, I ended the week with a 3.72% gain and the majority of the room achieved similar results. Sincerely, Allen Gold Additionally, I want to give everybody a heads-up that the last new trader training session for 2019 is going to be the week of December 2. Since I think it is extremely beneficial to have the book at least 2 weeks prior to the training, the last day to obtain the book will be November 15. If you are interested in The Gold Method Ichimoku, please act before then, as at this time, I do not plan on taking on new traders in 2020. If you are interested or have any questions, please send me an email or message me.
Education
by AGold54
7
The Gold Method Ichimoku Weekly/Monthly reviewThis was our fourth week, and the last of the month, in the Training room for The Gold Method Ichimoku. I need to thank everybody who participated all month long, especially those this week who stayed late, logged in during the various news events and put in the extra work. You all were awesome, and I look forward to continuing our relationship, so you achieve your goal of becoming Professional traders. Here are the quick Stats for our 4 days together: 3 winning trades Pips won: 72.5 Pips Lost: Zero Here is a day by day breakdown: Monday: We had a Type 1 trade set-up in GBPNZD which triggered, rocked up and ee were able to close for 33.7 Pip profit in 18 minutes. The trade never saw red Tuesday: We did not have a high probability trade set-up and therefore no trade. Wednesday: We took a GBPCAD Breakout trade that jumped up +26 pips even faster than Monday’s and we closed for a nice +25.2 pip gain. Thursday: We took a GBPCAD Type 1 breakout which perhaps we closed a little pre-maturely netting 12.6 pips and .74% gain. Friday: Is Non-Farm Friday payroll, so will take the day off and enjoy a 3 day weekend For the week, since I risk 2% per trade, I ended the week with a 5.13% gain. A good solid week. More importantly, I think everybody in the room learned a tremendous amount that will yield benefits in the future. For the Month, ended with a 15.13% gain Sincerely, Allen Gold ** As some of you know, I combine Strength and weakness, correlation and multiple tine frame analysis with Ichimoku concepts. Applying my methodology, you will know the best pair to trade, direction as well as specific entries and exits. I am holding an introductory webinar on Tuesday November 5 at 5:30 am GMT (30 minutes before the European open) I will explain the components of my methodology and the logic behind it Refreshments will be served....Lol If you are interested, shoot me a message with your email or respond below and I will send you an invite.
Education
by AGold54
10
The Gold Method Ichimoku Weekly reviewThis was our third week in the Training room for The Gold Method Ichimoku. I need to thank everybody who participated, stayed late and put in the extra work. You guys/girls were awesome, and I look forward to continuing our relationship, so you achieve your goal of becoming Professional traders. Here are the quick Stats for our 4 days together: 2 winning trades 2 losing trades 1 flat trade Pips won: 66.6 Pips Lost: -52.3 Here is a day by day breakdown: Monday: We had a Type 1 trade set-up in GBPAUD which unfortunately did not work out. We then got a SMA trade, which did work in our favor and ended the day with a +.40% gain Tuesday: We did not meet. Wednesday: We took a GBPCAD Breakout trade that failed for -25.3. pips. Thursday: We took a GBPAUD Type 1 breakout which all of traders in the room, myself included, netted between 28 and 33 Pips. Friday: We took a Type 1 Bo trade on GBPCAD which challenged, but did not hit, our stoploss twice. The trade was closed in the room for a small gain but had decent pip potential if we stayed in. For the week, since I risk 2% per trade, I ended the week with a 1.3% gain. Certainly not the most productive weeks in percentage gain but I think everybody in the room learned a tremendous amount that will yield benefits in the future. Sincerely, Allen Gold If you are interested in a complimentary 2 days in my training room, please message me and provide your e-mail
Education
by AGold54
8
The Gold Method Ichimoku Weekly reviewThis was our second week in the Training room for The Gold Method Ichimoku. I need to thank those who took part and for all their hard work and effort this week. With the various news events we were meeting at different times and looking at different market conditions Working with you guys was an absolute pleasure and I look forward to continuing our relationship, so you achieve your goal of becoming Professional traders. Here are the quick Stats for our 4 days together: 1 winning trade 1 losing trade Pips won: 30.9 Pips Lost: -26 Here is a day by day breakdown: Monday: We had a very Nice Type 1 trade set-up which unfortunately did not trigger till 1:11 pm GMT (9:11 am edt) which is outside our trading hours. The trade had a drawdown of only 8 pips with a pip potential of 126. Tuesday: We did not meet. However, the traders provided their set-ups with the consensus being that GBPNZD was the best Type 1 trade. That trade generated 93 pips with a drawdown of a mere 3 pips. Wednesday: We took a GBPCAD Breakout trade that failed for -26. pips. Thursday: We took a MA trade which most traders, myself included, netted between 30 and 37 Pips. Friday: No trade. For the week, since I risk 2% per trade, I ended the week with a 1% gain. As discussed before the training room ended, trading during the U.S. Session would have generated a significantly greater %gain. Specifically, the GBPMZD trade on Monday would have closed for a 6% gain and there were 2 MA trades (1 winner and 1 loser) that would have netted 4%. So, the opportunity for a 11% week was there. Sincerely, Allen Gold
Education
by AGold54
7
The Gold Method IchimokuThe Gold Method – Ichimoku My New E-book, The Gold method – Ichimoku, is now available!!! This is the most complete publication that I have done. The first several chapters, explain in great detail, my methodology. The next 20 Chapters is a step by step, day by day application of the methodology for varying real-life market conditions. I will explain and you will see, as there are tons of screenshots, how each step of the methodology is progressed through. The end result will be knowing the best pair to trade, direction and specific entry and exits. You will be presented with high probability set-ups with good to great risk reward ratio and equally important when there are no high probability trade set-ups. Included with the purchase of the E-book is the following: 1) The Book itself…duh 2) Unlimited email support.* 3) The excel spreadsheets, for all pairs, that I use to help document my trades. 4) And most important, 4 Sessions in my training room, where we will work in live market conditions from 1:45 am est., to 4am est., on Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.** The Purchase price is $54.95, which unfortunately is non-refundable as the material and training are proprietary. As I am sure you can understand, once you have it, there is no way to get the genie back in the bottle. Because of that, I would urge you, before, you purchase my Ebook, to look at my trading posts and make sure for yourself that this is for you. Moreover, this is not a novice book, it does require basic trading knowledge. As most of you know, I combine Strength and Weakness, Correlation and Multiple time frame analysis with Ichimoku concepts. The result of which are High probability (85% or better) set-ups with good to great risk reward ratio (3-1 or better). I am not interested in the amount of trades, just the quality. If you want to just hit buttons and place trades, this is not for you. If you want to generate consistent income read on… To purchase the book please remit $54.95, via Paypal, to FXGold54@gmail.com Please use the same email you want the Ebook and Bonus material sent to. Please note that the material and training room invitation will only be sent to that e-mail address (unless you advise otherwise in advance). Sincerely, Allen S. Gold Lead Trader for FXGold, L.L.C.
Education
by AGold54
9
How to be a Successful Forex trader Segement 12Ichimoku Daily Levels: The ichimoku Daily levels are like stone walls. price hits them and stops. As you can see above price came down to the Daily Kejun Sen (black line) at 1.63258 and reversed. You could have placed a buy order at that level with the following parameters: Entry: 1.6325 Sop: 1.6295 Risk = -30 pips profit target = 1.6403 (the daily Senkou B) Reward = + 73 Pips RRR = 2.43 - 1 that trade would have hit the Profit target for + 73 pips with a draw down of 19 pips You could then take a stop and reverse trade at the Daily Senkou B which would have been good for + 42 pips with a drawdown of only 5 pips. Although the daily Ichimoku levels are very powerful, the only issue is the amount of trades. Moreover, I would point out that you only want to trade the level the first time and reaches it. hope you guys like the post. Also I would like to thank everybody who has pre-ordered my new book which will be published this Monday September 30th. Those who have pre-ordered, will be receiving their copy tomorrow afternoon ( Friday September 27). In fact, from all the support I have gotten while working on the book has made me even more precise and focused resulting in one of my best performance months ever. Accordingly, I felt compelled to give a little love in the book to everybody who has pre-ordered the book, because it has in fact raised my game. I can't wait to work with each and everyone of you and assist you in becoming professional traders. warm regards, Allen
Education
by AGold54
6
How to be a Successful Forex trader Segment 11Contingencies: Plan for the worst and have contingencies. As was I preparing for today’s trading session, I lost my internet. But I had a contingency in place. There are 3 main issues traders can face, in addition to the market. 1. You can lose Power, 2. You can lose internet, 3. Your computer crashes It is prudent to have contingency plans in place for all the above as they usually happen at the worst possible time. Power: A good quality back-up will solve this problem and although 99% of the time it does nothing, when you lose power you will be ecstatic you have it. Internet, Although Internet has become more reliable, it still goes out as mine did today. I have on more than a few occasions driven to the 24/7 McDonalds to use their wi-fi in the middle of the night. However, most newer phones will allow you to use the phone as a Wi-fi Hotspot or better yet, tether it directly to your computer. That is what I did today and was able to trade. Computer issues. A good reliable, well maintained , computer is a must for the professional trader, it is your life blood. Not only should you run diagnostic and cleaning programs on a regular basis, you should blow out your computer at least every 3 months. It is absolutely amazing how much dirt/dust accumulates inside. In addition to maintaining your trading computer, you need to have a back-up, it can be an older computer and it does not need to have all the “bells and whistles” as your main computer but enough to run your essential trading programs. I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me. Stay Green my Friends :) Allen I am now accepting pre-orders for my book. As one of the Bonuses, I am providing 4 days of live training (limited to 10 traders per session) and those who pre-order, will receive priority placement. The cost of the book is $54.95 and will be available September 30. If you interested please send me an email to FXGold54@gmail.com
Education
by AGold54
1
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 10Correlation: Correlation is a key concept and can make the difference between both winning trades and losing trades as well as good trades becoming great trades. As those who follow me know, I trade almost exclusively the GBP pairs. Ideally, we want to see all the pairs moving in the same direction. That is a great sign that not only will the trade be successful but that there will be a big move. If there is a correlated directional move, there is a high probability that it will be a big move day. When that happens, once the trade is 1xRisk, we can move the stop to flat and let it run to the profit target. When the pairs are mixed, we have to be more cautious. If they are evenly split, 3 bullish and 3 bearish, we can take the first breakout trade, but not pullback trades. Once that trade is + 1xRisk, we can close ½ our position and move the stop to flat. This is how we make money on not so good days. Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this past week were great examples of correlated directional moves. While Thursday, was a split day where at the European open 3 of the GBP pairs were bullish and 3 were bearish. The GBP pairs sold off first allowing for a decent gain in GBPCHF and then rallied. If you master Correlation, your trading will go to the next level. I hope you enjoy this post post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me. Stay Green my Friends :) Allen I am now accepting “pre-order” commitments for my book. I am not asking for any money now. But for those who pre-order, they will receive a priority for one of the bonuses that I am providing. The cost of the book is $54.95 and will be available September 30. If you interested please send me an email to FXGold54@gmail.com
Education
by AGold54
8
WHO I AMHey Guys, you have seen my posts here for awhile. I just did an interview with Apiary Fund this past Wednesday, which was well received, so I figured I would post the link here: www.youtube.com Apiary fund is an Awesome opportunity for traders to learn and then trade the fund's money after you qualify, If you would like more information, either shoot me a message or just google Apiary fund. Also if you consider joining, I do get a rebate, which i am willing to split (you have to use my referral link) Additionally, my new publication on how I trade is in the works and should be released the first week in October. it will provide a detailed, step by step (with plenty of screenshots) explanation of how I work through my methodology on a day by day basis. it will show how my trade-sets up develop under different market conditions as well as, and just as importantly, when I stay out of the market (like today). I would appreciate feedback/questions and if you be kind enough to hit the "like" button Stay Green My friends and Have a Great weekend :) Allen
by AGold54
12
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 9 How many Trades do you need? I am often asked or advised that I should post more trades and/or have a signal service. This brings me to how many trades do you need. Understand, that enjoying the lifestyle that trading affords is always something you want to strive for. Do you want to be strapped to your computer for 8-12 hours a day? where is the fun in that? if you have read my trade set-ups they are all designed to be high probability set-ups with Good to great RRR. However, there are only so many of those per day and I prefer to take the very best set-up there are. I risk 2% of of my capital per trade, always looking for at least a 3-1 RRR (meaning I am risking $1 to make $3). Simple math, If i net 2 winning trades per week, that is a 12% gain !!! As I often ask traders, "if you could make 10-12% per week but could only take 2 trades would you do it?" the answers always surprise me, from outright no, to yes but I would hate myself, to sure but i would trade on the side (point of question goes over head...lol). As a professional trader, your purpose is make Money, PERIOD!!! it is not to hit buttons. when reviewing your trades, are there low probability set-ups that you could eliminate? Are there trades where the RRR is less then 3-1, eliminate those ad see where you would be? I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me :) Stay Green my Friends :) Allen
Education
by AGold54
8
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 8Trading before News News is a fact of Forex trading and while their are several ways to trade the Actual release and it's aftermath, today I want to focus on trading before the News. Understand that the decision to enter the market before News is a conscious one and you don't have to do it. Prime examples are days where interest rates, for a currency you contemplating trading, or Non-Farm payroll are being released. if you intend on trading before news, you must determine whether you are going to stay in the trade during the release or get out. Personally, I usually do not trade on UK interest rate days because the market, at some point, tends to go flat ahead of the release. I certainly do not want to be in the market at the time of the release. The reason is simple, I have no control!! My methodology is based upon high probability trades with tight stops (20-30 pips). Having a position on at the time of the release gives up both my probabilities and my stops. there are 3 possible outcomes: 1) if the release comes out against me, I'm toast, I will take a hit 3 to 5 times what I plan on (as most of you know slippage will cause the stop to be disregarded and or executed at the extreme of the move). 2) it comes out as expected, the trade may be okay but the market may whipsaw and with an expected widening spread, might get taken out anyway. 3) if the news comes out in my favor, I may still get taken out by either a quick whipsaw or widening spread or a combination thereof. How can we make an informed decision on whether to trade or not to trade. In the last segment I talked about documenting and reviewing your trades. I use my documented trades to make my decision. This week, the UK had News releases on Tuesday, Wednesday and Today. On prior occasions, my trades set-ups were not effected by UK employment and retail sales (Tuesday and today's releases) so I opted to trade on those 2 days. yesterday (Wednesday) UK CPI was being released and historically my trades set-ups did not work, so I did not trade yesterday. (which was a good decision). The last thing you want to do is be in a trade ahead of news and "Hope" that the news bails you out. Far too often I have been bit by that bug. Please don't find yourself in that position. Just wait their are plenty of opportunities. In the next segment I will discuss how many trades do you need. I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me :) Stay Green my Friends :) Allen
Education
by AGold54
2
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 7Trade Review and Documenting Most successful traders review and document their trades, unfortunately, alot of new traders do not. "what's done is done, can't change it...." while that is true, you can, and imho must , learn from them. Each afternoon, whether I take a trade or not, I review the market and my potential set-ups, executions, and trade completions. I firmly believe reviewing your trades can help determine what went right, what went wrong and how to improve. Moreover, I track 2 valuable pieces of information, for me at least, which is DD (drawdown) and PP (Pip potential). If you follow my trades, you will know that I trade the same set-ups, over and over again...almost boring. You will have also noticed that I use a set pip stop loss and profit target. I can do this because I have documented, literally, thousands of my trades and I have determined statistically, where a trade reaches the point of no return. Understand that I risk 2% of my account on each trade. which means that the tighter my stop loss, the bigger my return will be. And as weird as it may sound, the occasional loss, using a tighter stop, does not matter as it easily covered by the successful trades. The screenshot above is how I documented Monday's trade in GBPCHF. It was Type 1 trade that was triggered on the breakout. I used a 25 pip stoploss and risked 2% of my account. Once the trade was up +25, I closed 1/2 my position and moved my stop to flat (I actually got +27.4). By doing that, I banked a 1% gain for the day, with no further risk. The trade continued to go my way but found support, retraced slightly, and I closed the remaining 1/2 for +54.8 pips. Very conservative trade management for sure but I ended up banking 3% on this trade. I will take that any day of the week :) I print the screenshot as well as save it under both trade type and in an all screenshot folder. I review the past week on Saturdays and a full month upon the month's conclusion. I also periodically review them to look for any trends or things that I may have missed. Moreover I track trades in an excel spreedsheet, that I will attempt to attach a screenshot of. This allows me to compile and easily access my data. I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you"like" it and follow me :) Stay Green my Friends :) Allen
Education
by AGold54
16
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 6Measuring Success and Goals As a Professional trader, you have 1 goal...Make money!! That said, traders like to measure their success differently. Some use pips, some use wins v. losses, personally I use daily return. Understand my focus is on generating income and my mantra is "keep stacking positive days" Imho, using pips to measure success can be misleading, I know of traders that will brag about making 300 pips, when they traded 10 micro lots for a 30 pip move. Obviously, the same could have been accomplished by trading 1 mini lot for the same 30 pips. Don't get me wrong, breaking your position down has a strategic purpose, if you have multiple profit targets or another reason to do so just understand that it was a 30 pip move and not a 300 pip move. Win/Loss Ratio can also be deceiving. if you have an inverted (negative) Risk Reward Ratio (RRR) then win/loss ratio means nothing. You most often see this with advertisement's for EA's where the claim is 95% win rate, or something along those lines, and then you look at the trading history to find out the profit target are small 2-5 pips and the stops huge 75-100 pips. Again, don't get me wrong win/loss ratio is important as long as the RRR is not wildly inverted...(Scalpers for instance will often have a negative RRR but usually not more then 1-3). Which brings me to daily % return, which, imho, is the best way to measure success. it is the the great equalizer. For example, if I told you Trader A makes, on average $500 a day, while Trader B makes $200, you might say that Trader A is a better Trader. However, if I then told you that Trader A has a $100K account while Trader B only has a 10K, that clearly changes things because now you realize that Trader A although making more money is only generating .5% per day while Trader B is generating 2%. Big difference. Moving forward, Trader B's account will increase to the point where he will surpass Trader A's account. Hence why, imho, measuring success in daily, or weekly, % return is the best way. All this leads me to Goals. I am often asked "what should my goals be" and this is the most loaded trading question there is. I say that because it does not matter what I can do, or what any other trader can do, it only matter what YOU can do at Your Current Skill Level . Psychology in trading is so important and permeates all aspects of it. Knowing what other traders can generate can be disheartening, even if, you are a good trader! I feel the best goals a trader can have are 1) a daily/weekly % return that their current skill level permits and 2) constantly working to improve. It is number 2 that is most important. Their are so many ways to improve one's trading. More precise entries, better exits, smaller stops, larger profit targets, better trade selection, better money management, and the list goes on and on. Reviewing and documenting your trades is so important in this process (and will be the topic of my next educational post). Today, for instance, I did not have a valid set-up, so I did not trade! Understand I get up at 1;15 am est., everyday and start analyzing the market. I am up and I am ready to trade, however, their are times when it is better not to. As you know yesterday, we hit on 2 Solid trades, their is no reason to give any money back on a bad trade. I'm greedy that way...lol I hope this post is informative and helps. If it does, I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me :) Stay Green my Friends:) Allen
Education
by AGold54
23
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 5Methodology v Strategy Some traders use the words interchangeably, I do not. A strategy is a set of conditions that signal you to enter the market, for example, A moving average crossover, RSI going into oversold/overbought and then reversing, Divergence, etc. and combinations thereof. A Methodology, on the other hand, is a systematic approach to the market that a trader does on a daily basis. It is this process that leads to trade set-ups. The following is how I approach the market each day: First, I do a top down analysis starting with the monthly moving to the daily and then the 60 min Timeframe. Second, I do a strength and weakness analysis of each of the following currencies AUD, CAD,CHF, EUR,GBP,JPY,NZD and USD. From this I derive their relative strength from the previous day. This gives me a) A directional bias and b) the best pair to trade (Strongest v weakest) Third, in the hour before the European open, I analyze the 60 min chart, primarily focusing on how they correlate with Ichimoku theory. Fourth, I drop down to the 15 min chart, which what I trade off of. I look for top down alignment on each pair. The pair with the best alignment is the one I will trade. Fifth, using Ichimoku and alignment, I either confirm, or change the directional bias from strength/weakness analysis. Sixth, I mark the most recent Support/resistance, which I call the Asian box. Seventh, From all of the above, I now have the best pair, direction and usually both a breakout entry or pullback entry. Eighth, correlation, I look for all of the same currency to move together, For instance this morning, as shown in the chart above, only GBPAUD was a Buy breakout, while all the other GBP pairs were sells. Hence the reason I did not post or take the GBPAUD trade. (which would have gotten about 10 pips before crashing). Ninth: Execute, collect your money, go to the Beach. If you like this idea, please push like and follow me, it motivates me to post ideas more often. Stay green my Friends Allen
Education
by AGold54
15
100 PUBLISHED TRADES - StatisticsToday I published my 100th trade idea. (this excludes educational idea’s) Here are the quick Stats: WINS : 49 Losses: 14 Flat trades: 8 Cancelled Trades: 29 PIPS Won: 2,560 Pips lost: 515 A 3.5 to 1 win to loss ratio A 4.97 to 1 win to loss Pip ratio *Cancelled Trades: these are trades that were cancelled prior to entry. It is important to understand that I only want High probability trades with good to Great RRR. If market conditions change after the idea has been posted but prior to being triggered, and it no longer meets that criteria, then I cancel the trade. I believe sitting on the sideline IS a position. Some of these trades would have lost, some would have won but I rather just not be in the market. I would appreciate if you let me know what you think and a like. Thanks Allen
Education
by AGold54
28
How to Be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 4Trade Identification How many times have you "Missed" a trade. Once traders have a trading plan, they spend their time looking for set-ups. I would urge to take the next step which is Trade identification. I am not talking about clicking on a chart and seeing if your set-up is there. You want to be able to look and a chart and project what it can do and determine if market action will create a tradable set-up. This morning, as you can see on the chart above and my posted trade idea, when I was analyzing GBPNZD, I did not have a valid trade set-up. Specifically, although Price was below the Daily and 15 minute Kijun-Sen, as well as the cloud, it was above the 60 minute Kijun-Sen...which makes it a no-trade for me. However, I understand and recognized that if price closed below the 60 Kijun-Sen, I would have a valid Type 2 Set-up. I was able to post as such and better yet able to Bank some profit :) Most traders study price action but they do not forward think what the market can do. Thinking about what the market can do (up, down, sideways), and then applying that to your trading methodology to determine trading opportunities will, imho, greatly enhance your trading skills and you will enjoy watching the market play out the way you predicted (and so will your Bank account) I Hope this helps, stay Green my Friends Allen PS If you like this education material, please push like and follow me, so i will post more :)
by AGold54
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 3DCCS Disease: CCS Disease is a disease many new traders are afflicted with and it can be fatal!! CCS disease is short for "constantly changing strategies". Certainly, I firmly believe that a trader must find a trading strategy that fits both their personality and the time they have to trade. However, once you find a strategy that you like, imho, you must back test the heck out of it!!. Figure out how it responds to different market conditions, is it a strategy that can only used when the market is in a range or trending, can be used before news, after news. How big of a stop is needed, How far will it run... trade parameters are essential but more importantly, Build confidence in your strategy. without the confidence that your strategy will work, you leave yourself susceptible to the psychological terror the market can cause. I have tried alot, probably well over a 100 strategies in my trading career. the truth is that if I would have properly back tested then and stuck with them I would have been successful sooner. if you test a strategy and it has an 75% win rate (which is pretty damn good), that still means you will lose 25% of the time. Unfortunately, it does not mean that out of 100 trades your first 10 won't be losses and which point you give up and move on. Been there, done that. So I would urge you to back test your strategy so you have at least 100 trades and then forward test the strategy for at least 100 trades before you change. I hope this Helps, stay green my Friends Allen ** The Above chart is an example of how I document my trades-- every trade. I also use a spreadsheet to keep track of the data.
Education
by AGold54
5
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 3CBACK TESTING CONT.: High probability set-ups To be a consistently good trader, you must trade in a consistent manner. As those of you who follow me and review my trade idea’s know, they are the same, almost boring. You see Type 1 (Shown above) or Type 2 trades all the time and they look all the same. EXACTLY!!! That is what you need. If you have taken (either live or back tested), and documented, the same set-up numerous times, you can develop a statistical basis for the probability of that trade type’s success. IMHO, this is a critical element to achieving long term Success. I believe, if you know statistically, the probability of a trades success then you will be more confident in it and allow it to play out. Moreover, if you have a method that is not quite up to snuff, then get rid of it. I would urge you to be more selective in your trade process and only look for trades that you know, through your back-testing, have a high probability of success. This is Quality over quantity. Stay green my Friends Allen ** The Above chart is an example of how I document my trades-- every trade. I also use a spreadsheet to keep track of the data.
Education
by AGold54
32
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 3BBACK TESTING CONT.: Picking up from my last Educational post, Segment A... Pip Potential (PP) is a key component for me as it allows me to statistically determine how far a trade will run. In all my trades, I want, at the very least, a 3-1 risk to reward ratio (RRR). Basically I want to make $3 for every $1 I risk. Please understand and, this is very important to long term success, if you use a 3-1 RRR, or better, you can have a win rate of approximately 35% and still be profitable. YES, only 35% and still be Profitable!!! That is how you stack the odds in your favor :) Determining how far a trade is likely to run can be done a number of ways, you can use the daily ATR, pivot points, support/resistance or, as I do statistically. Any way you do it, you NEED to do it. Unfortunately, I know several traders who get into trades without thinking about where they are going to get out and that is problematic in the long term. (I always reference the long term because that is where you need to focus on, not 1 trade but rather 100 or 1000 or 10K trades...that is how your trading success will be determined). All off the above can be revealed through back testing :) If you think about your maximum draw down you can determine your stoploss, similarly, if you determine how far a trade will, probably, run you can determine your profit target. Combine the 2 and you have your Risk to reward ratio (RRR) and from that you can determine, if you should even take the trade. Personally, I never, ever, buy into resistance or sell into support. it may turn out to be a great trade but for me the Risk outweighs the reward. I hope this helps and please comment and ask questions or even make suggestions as to a topic you would like me to address. In my next post, I will cover how to determine High probability set-ups. Allen
by AGold54
8
How to be a Succesful Forex Trader Segemnt 3ABACK TESTING: Some traders find it helpful other do not. Back-testing is, imho, the most critical part of trading Back-testing the proper way, although arduous, provides incredibly valuable data. It is the Ditch digging of trading but well worth it. I have come to embrace back testing and reviewing my trades religiously and in this day and age of automation, I have found it best, for me at least, to go back to 2am est (when I start trading and scroll forward bar by bar looking for my set-ups, my entries and my exits. In fact, I spend more time reviewing and planing my trades than I actually spend trading. While this method is not for everybody and it is time consuming, I firmly believe it is well worth it for the following reasons: First and foremost, it builds confidence in your trading methodology. Seeing how your trades set-up, execute and finish while observing what the market does will allow you to stay in a trade when it is either taking heat or going your way because you will have "seen" it before. Second, it will allow you to build a statistical base for your trades. For me the 2 most important pieces of data that I look for are 1) DD (drawdown) and 2) PP (Pip Potential). This has allowed me to determine how much of a stop I usually need (point of no return for a trade) and how far the trade will run. DD, the Draw down, I find this information most useful as my position size is based on my stoploss. For example, I risk 2% of my capital per trade, so if my stoploss is 10 pips I can use a position size 10 times larger than if my stop was 100 pips. Obviously, the bigger position size the more bang for my Pips I am getting. I hope this helps and please feel free to comment and ask questions, I will continue this topic in my next post. Allen
by AGold54
2