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4 Harmonic Patterns Every Trader Should Know 📚 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 4 phenomenally accurate harmonic patterns that you must know. 1️⃣The first and the simplest harmonic pattern is called ABCD pattern. This pattern is based on 3 legs of a move: ✔️Initial impulse (bullish or bearish). AB leg ✔️Retracement leg with a completion point lying within the range of the initial impulse. BC leg. ✔️Second impulse with a completion point lying beyond the range of the initial impulse (it must have the same direction as the initial impulse). BD leg Equal AB and CD legs indicate a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern. ❗️Please, note that the time horizon and the length of the impulses must be equal. 2️⃣The second harmonic pattern is called Gartley Pattern. This pattern is based on 4 legs of a move and has a "W/M" shape form. To identify a Harmonic Gartley Pattern we measure the retracement of B/C points with Fib. Retracement tool and extension of D point of a harmonic pattern with Fib. Extension tool: ✔️ - The retracement of B point should lie between 0.618 level and 0.786 level of XA leg (Fib. Retracement of XA) *it can touch both 0.618 and 0.786 ✔️ - The retracement of C point should lie between 0.618 level and 1.0 level of AB leg(Fib. Retracement of AB) *it can touch both 0.618 and 1.0 ✔️ - D point should lie strictly on 1.272 extension of AB leg (Fib. Extension of AB) *it should strictly touch 1.272 Such a formation indicates a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern. 3️⃣The third harmonic pattern is called Bat Pattern. This pattern is based on 4 legs of a move and has a "W/M" shape form. To identify a Harmonic Bat Pattern we measure the retracement of B/C/D points of a harmonic pattern with Fib. Retracement tool: ✔️ - The retracement of B point should lie between 0.5 level and 0.618 level of XA leg (Fib. Retracement of XA) *it can touch 0.5 but it can’t touch 0.618 ✔️ - The retracement of C point should lie between 0.618 level and 1.0 level of AB leg(Fib. Retracement of AB) *it can touch both 0.618 and 1.0 ✔️ - The retracement of D point should lie strictly on 0.886 level of XA leg (Fib.Retracement of XA) *it should strictly touch 0.886 Such a formation indicates a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern. 4️⃣The fourth harmonic pattern is called Cypher Pattern. This pattern is based on 4 legs of a move and has a "W/M" shape form with C point lying beyond the range of XA leg. To identify a Harmonic Cypher Pattern we measure the retracement of B point with Fib. Retracement tool and extension of C point with Fib. Extension tool: ✔️ - The retracement of B point should lie between 0.382 level and 0.618 level of XA leg (Fib. Retracement of XA) *it can touch both 0.382 and 0.618 ✔️ - The extension of C point should lie between 1.272 level and 1.414 level of XA leg(Fib. Extension of XA) *it can touch both 1.272 and 1.414 ✔️ - D point should lie strictly on 0.786 retracement of XC leg (Fib. Retracement of XC) *it should strictly touch 0.786 Such a formation indicates a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern. 🦉What is good about these patterns is the fact that they are objective. Since each point of the pattern is measured with Fibonacci levels, one can avoid subjectivity. Try harmonic pattern trading and you will see how efficient this strategy is. Do you trade harmonic patterns? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
33
How to FIND the BEST PAIRS to trade! Examples and explanations.Here the first part of the lesson: How do interest-rates effect the market and how do I find good pairs to trade? The market offers you 5 main asset-classes: 1️⃣ Bonds 2️⃣ Stocks 3️⃣ Commodities 4️⃣ Metalls 5️⃣ Financials What we want to indeifity as a trader is the cashflow, means where big players are buying or selling. They don`t buy breakouts or an obvious momentum that already happened, instead they accumulate or distribute for days / weeks as they have a lot of capital to invest and cause support / resistance aswell as bottoms / tops. Important for them are always the fundamentals such as Economic data, Inflation and so expectations for the monetary policy of central banks they price in. Before we start the journey we need to understand the effect of Interest-Rates I explain that simplyfied and in short as I its a complex topic: The Interest-rate is the rate a central-bank lends money to privat credit institutions for. So your bank aswell as mine has a bank-account at the central bank of your country. They give them money in order to have enough capital to hand out credits to privat customers aswell as companies. The lower the interst-rate is the more demand is in the market. I mean, if you want to buy a car would you rather finance it with 5% or 2% interest-rates? You have the opportunity to buy a car with less debts at the bank. Same for companies, if you need a second office, goods, more capital for production etc. you rather take that opportunity when rates are low. Credit-business has a huge competition and banks will offer lower and lower interst-rates to attract more customers. The longer lent term the more risk is involved as you could for example lose your job and won`t be able to pay back the credit anymore, means interest-rates are usually higher due to the risk than short-term-lendings. The yields are shown in the bondmarket👉 This is why everyone talks about a "reversed rate-curve" as a sign for a recession. Because your bank gets money in the short-term from the Centra Bank on order to hand them out in the long-term to make money. If the risk of an upcoming recession is present the short-term involves more risk, thus short-term yields are higher than long-term-yields and banks can`t give out any credits anymore as they pay more to the central bank than they make. Here a quick overview of interest-rate-effects: Higher interest-rates 1️⃣ Increased cost of borrowing 👉 Reduced investment 👉 Lower economic growth and bad for stocks 2️⃣ Higher mortage interest 👉 Reduced consumption 👉 Lower economic growth and bad for stocks / house prices 3️⃣ Increased return for savings 👉 Less spending 👉 Lower economic growth 4️⃣ More demand in the currency due to higher interests / returns 👉 Lower inflation Vice versa with lower interest-rates. The lower the interest-rate, the more consume and investment is in the market. You see there is a lot to learn and to understand and to give you all information I`d have to finish a course.😆 Let`s start with the corona-crises: The FED has just started to raise interest-rates after the financial crisis in 2008. And as you probably understand now, they lowered them back in the days to provide more money to the market and to boost consume / investment to rescue companies. After the raise corona came and shocked the market. The first reaction of the FED was to lower interest-rates. They do this because they want you not to keep your money on your bank-accound and instead spend it to boost the economy and of course to use the chance to get a credit for better conditions. Additionally they have raised their total balance-sheet, continued with quantative easing (printing money to buy bonds) and we`ve got the stimulus-package. Demand and Supply regulates a price ... now we have tons of supply and fear of inflation. Now ask yourself: What is the best trade here? Probably to short the US-Dollar and to BUY stocks! What currency has the strongest weight in the US-DOLLAR-BASKET? 👉 Euro with ca. 57%. Euro will have the strongest rally due to the weak US-Dollar. What is asked when the stockmarket pumps? Australian Dollar aswell as New Zealand Dollar 👉 Both will fly, but even more than EURO because of the USD weakness. Most attractive pairs: 1️⃣ AUD/USD long 2️⃣ NZD/USD long Also good pairs: 1️⃣ EUR/USD long 2️⃣ GBP/USD long We know AUD and NZD are both stronger than EURO due to the risk-on in the stockmarket means: 1️⃣ EUR/AUD long 2️⃣ EUR/NZD long Whatlese do we know? We know Crude OIL pumping due to risk-on in the market. It goes up as a pre-indication for inflation and a healthy economy. Who exports OIL? Ah yeah... CANADA. So if there is more demand in OIL and the market buys in CANADA investors have to exchange their currency into the Canadian Dollar. USD falls due to low interest-rates 👉 Canadian dollar moves up due to pumping OIL 👉 USD/CAD SHORT Just a few examples here how to think. Central-Banks are independed institutions and have the following task: 1️⃣ Provide economic growth 2️⃣ Price-Stabillity Central Banks aim for an Inflation of 2% a year (compared the year before) because they consider this as a healthy level. They basically define this as a fine line of "prices are not going crazy" and "companies make more money." A little bit of inflation, or higher prices increase earnings of companies that can as a result expand, offer more jobs etc. 👉 Which defines the first task economic growth. The problem is.. they can provide money to the market in case of fiscal support is needed, but they can`t take it back and SAY GUYS WE NEED OUR MONEY, its too much floating and inflation is too high. 1️⃣Healthy economy: Rising inflation and a growing economy "Rate hikes getting likely as economy doesn`t need fiscal support" 2️⃣Unhealthy economy: Stable inflation but a stagnation of the economy "Rate hikes getting less likely as economy needs fiscal support." Now we have a dilemma here..... 3️⃣ Disaster and current situation High inflation but a stagnation or even a slowdown in economy "Rate hikes are tricky as the economy needs fiscal support while inflation is already HIGH." Either price-stabillity or the economy suffers❗️ Now keep this in mind: Jerome Powell promised Biden to fight the inflation at all costs in order to get his second term in office. It is tricky to know what he is gonna say, but we know he promised it to the President. This is why the market is so shaky. The market hopes to see a dovish Jerome after the Sell-Off in stocks. At the same time the market knows we will see a year with rate-hikes. What do you think will be the best pair to trade after the FOMC?!
FX:SPX500Education
by Trading2ez
3
RISK : REWARD. Visualized breakdown ⚠️Regardless of whether you prefer day trading or swing trading, you need to understand the fundamental concepts regarding risk. They form the basis of understanding the market, managing trading activities, and investment decisions. Otherwise, you will not be able to protect and increase your balance. We have already discussed risk management, position size, and stop-loss setting. But if you are actively trading, answer two important questions. How does the growth potential relate to potential losses? In other words, what is your risk-reward ratio? In this article, we will discuss how to calculate the risk-to-profit ratio for any transaction. ✅What is the ratio of risk and profit? 🟢The risk-reward ratio (risk/reward or R/R ratio) allows you to understand what risk a trader is taking for the sake of a potential reward. In other words, it shows what the potential profit is for every dollar you risk when investing. 🟢The calculation itself is very simple. The maximum risk is divided by the net target profit. How exactly? First, think about where you want to enter into the transaction. Decide where you will take profit (if the trade is successful) and where to place a stop loss (if it is a losing trade). This is extremely important for effective risk management. Good traders set profit targets and stop-loss before entering a trade. Now you have entry and exit points, that is, you can calculate the ratio of risk and profit. To do this, you need to divide the potential risk by the potential profit. The lower this coefficient is, the more potential profit you will receive per "unit" of risk. Let's figure out how it works. ✅How to calculate the ratio of risk and profit 🟢Let's say you want to open a long position on bitcoin. You perform an analysis and determine that your take profit order will be 15% of the entry price. Next, you have to answer the following question: where your position will be closed in case of a market reversal. This is where you will have to set a stop loss. In this case, you decide that your cancellation point will be 5% of the entry point. It is worth noting that it, as a rule, should not be based on arbitrary percentage numbers. The profit target and stop loss should be determined based on market analysis. Technical analysis indicators are very useful for solving this problem. 🟢So, our profit target is 15%, and the potential loss is 5%. What is the ratio of risk and profit? 5/15 = 1:3 = 0,33. Everything is simple. This means that for each unit of risk we potentially win three times more. In other words, for every dollar we risk, we can get three dollars. Thus, if we have a position worth $100, then we risk losing $5 with a potential profit of 15. 🟢You can also move the stop loss closer to our entry to reduce this ratio. However, the entry and exit points should not be calculated arbitrarily, but solely based on analysis. If a trading position has a high risk-to-profit ratio, it is probably not worth "arguing" with the numbers and hoping for success. In this case, we recommend choosing another position with a good risk-reward ratio. ‼️Please note: positions with different sizes may have the same risk-to-profit ratio. For example, if we have a position worth $10,000, we risk losing $500 for a potential profit of $1,500 (the ratio is still 1:3). The ratio changes only if we change the relative position of our target and stop loss. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
7
CANDLESTICK PATTERN TRADING | Engulfing Candle 📚 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss a classic candlestick pattern formation each trader must know - the engulfing candle. Key properties of this pattern: 🔑 Engulfing candle is a reversal pattern. 🔑 Engulfing candle can be bullish or bearish. ❗️Also, remember that this candle demonstrates the highest accuracy when it is formed on a key level (support or resistance). ⬆️Bullish Engulfing Candle usually forms after a strong bearish impulse. Weakening, the market keeps going lower forming bearish candles. However, at some moment, instead of forming a new bearish candle the market reverses. The price forms a bullish candle that engulfs the range of the previous bearish candle and closes above its opening price. Such a candle we call a bullish engulfing candle. The main feature of this pattern is the fact that its total range (distance from the wick high to wick low) & body range (distance from body open to body close) exceed the ranges of a previous bearish candle. Being formed on a key support level or within a demand zone it signifies a highly probable pullback or even a trend reversal. ⬇️Bearish Engulfing Candle usually forms after a strong bullish move. Reaching an overbought condition, the market keeps going higher forming bullish candles. However, at some moment, instead of forming a new bullish candle the market goes in the opposite direction. The price forms a bearish candle that engulfs the range of the previous bullish candle and closes below its opening price. Such a candle we call a bearish engulfing candle. The main feature of this pattern is the fact that its total range (distance from the wick high to wick low) & body range (distance from body open to body close) exceed the ranges of a previous bullish candle. Being formed on a key resistance level or within a supply zone it signifies a highly probable pullback or even a trend reversal. 📝Engulfing candle can be applied for scalping lower time frames, for intraday trading, or even for swing trading. Personally, I apply this candle on daily/4h time frames as one of the confirmations of the strength of the structure level that I spotted. Do you trade engulfing candle? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
11
WHAT IS MARGIN? Traders must know this📚 ✅Significant investments are required to gain access to foreign exchange markets. Not everyone who wants to try their luck in the world of trading has such funds. However, thanks to brokers that act as intermediaries and provide loans to traders, trading has become available to everyone. Thus, the essence of margin trading is to conclude transactions in financial markets with the use of borrowed funds provided by a broker. 🟢The second name of margin trading is trading with leverage. Leverage is the ratio of your deposit to the amount of the working lot. To obtain this kind of credit, the trader's account must also have his funds. The minimum of the initial deposit is different and depends on the requirements of a particular broker. 🟢The margin on the stock and foreign exchange market is a pledge that is blocked by the broker on the trader's trading account during the opening of the transaction. In margin trading, the broker can issue a loan both in cash and in the form of securities. Margin is usually expressed as a percentage, showing what proportion of own funds must be deposited to open a position on a particular instrument. For example, a margin requirement of 20% means the possibility of opening a transaction with financial instruments if there is a fifth of their total value on the account. And the margin requirement of 50% allows you to open positions for a certain amount, having 50% of it on deposit. ❗️Margin trading allows a trader to sell the market, entering short positions in case of forecasting a decline in the price of a particular instrument. Let's consider the principle of opening a short position on the example of stocks. ❗️Expecting a decrease in the price of Vesta shares, a trader takes ten shares from a broker on credit and sells them on the stock exchange at the current price. After the predicted price drop, he buys ten shares at a lower cost. By returning them to the broker, the trader remains in profit. The lower the stock price falls, the more profit the trader will get. ⚠️The above transactions are actually carried out much easier. Technically, a trader does not need to sell securities and subsequently buy them again. To do this, you only need to instruct the broker to open a short position. If the trader's forecast turns out to be correct and the forecast price decreases, the trader will close the deal, fixing the profit. Otherwise, if the price increases, the trader will receive a loss. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
16
Trading on Financial Markets | Your Guide to Trade Planning 📝 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 6 crucial things in your trade planning and the main elements of trade results assessment. 1 - Before you open a trading position, make sure that you analyzed the chart. You should identify a market trend and spot major key levels. 2 - Once the chart is analyzed, you should identify the safest trading areas for your strategy (preferably the zones of supply and demand). You should patiently wait until one of these zones is tested. 3 - Once the zone is reached, you should look for a confirmation. You can either look for a reversal candlestick/price action pattern, some fundamental trigger, or some indicator. The point is that you should rely on a trigger that is backtested and that proved its accuracy. 4 - Getting your confirmation, you should have a precise entry strategy. Some traders prefer aggressive entries on spot while others are waiting for a retest of some major/minor level. 5 - You must set a stop loss. Remember that your stop-loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Be extremely careful on that step and give the market some space for fluctuations. 6- Know your exact target level(s). Know the point where you start protection of your position, where you start profit-taking. Be very strict and don't let your greed and fear intervene. Only then a trading position is opened. No matter what will be the end result of your trade, you should assess it: 1 - You should journal the trade outlining its end result, trading instrument, and your entry reason. 2 - Note any peculiar thing about this trade that you noticed. 3 - Record your gain/loss percentage. 4 - Identify whether any mistake was made and if so, learn from that. Here is your minimum plan to follow. Of course, as you mature in trading your trade assessment plan will be more sophisticated. Do not underestimate its importance and treat it as the main element of your trading routine. Do you plan your trades like that? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
27
TRADING PSYCHOLOGY | Common Traps You Must Know 🧠💭💫 Hey traders, Trading psychology plays a very important role in a learning curve of a trader. In this post, we will discuss common biases and traps that every struggling trader is occasionally facing. ⚓️Anchoring Bias People rely too much on a reference point from the past when making a decision for the future - they are "anchored" to the past. Imagine you spotted a great trading opportunity & made a nice profit. Encountering a similar setup in the future you trade it again. It turns out that you lose. Next time - same thing. The setup that initially brought you nice cash refuses to work. Even though the probabilities indicate that the identified pattern produces negative long-term returns, you keep taking that because you are "anchored" to the initial winner. 🙅‍♂️Loss Aversion This is when people go to great lengths to avoid losses because the pain of loss is twice as the pleasure received from a win. You see a great trading setup. You are 100% sure that it will play out. You open a trade and guess what? The market goes in the opposite direction. You can't believe that you are wrong. Instead, you decide to hold your position just a bit more adjusting your stop loss. And again, the market refuses to go in the direction that you projected. It is a vicious cycle that most of the time leads to substantial losses. ✅Confirmation Bias The confirmation trap is when traders seek out the information that validates their opinions and ignores any theory that invalidates them. You spotted a great long opportunity on GBPUSD. Checking the ideas of other traders on TradingView you consider only the ones that confirm your predictions completely ignoring the opposite ones. 👑Superiority Trap Many traders have lost large sums of money in the past simply because they have fallen prey to the mentality of overconfidence. Imagine that you caught a winning streak. You feel like the king of the world. You spend less and less time and reflection on each consequent trading decision that you make, you lose your focus. At some moment the reality kicks in and your gains evaporate. 🐮Herding As a trader, you should execute your own analysis & avoid the temptation to blindly follow the majority. Analyzing a EURUSD chart you make a conclusion that the market is bearish. However, then you see that 90% of the traders are very bullish on TradingView. Instead of following your own analysis, you decide to join the herd. These biases are common and most of the time we fall prey to them unconsciously. The more you self-reflect, the more you analyze your thoughts and actions, it would be easier for you to avoid them. Have your ever fallen prey to these traps? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
25
Your Success Formula | What Drives a Big Change 🏔️ Hey traders, There’s a well-known Chinese proverb that says, “A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step.” The one thing that prevents you from attaining your goal is hidden in your psyche, deep inside your soul. People usually look for shortcuts and want to accomplish their goals in one night. But the thing about long-term goals is that they can not be accomplished in a single day! It’s not like they require one huge, monumental effort to be achieved. The only way you’re going to accomplish something really big and ambitious – the kind of goal that will transform your life forever – is by consistently taking one small step at a time in the direction of your dreams. The importance of small incremental steps should be recognized by everyone, life is full of challenges, ups, and downs, but one should not lose hope or give up during the process. Failure should be considered as a learning point, an opportunity for growth. Be ready for a journey of thousand miles this year. Be ready to meet the chaos and unknown. That is the only way to evolve and be better. Remember that nothing is impossible to achieve unless you decide to do it at all costs. Do you agree with this quote? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
21
Jasmy Trading Plan and EducationHello Traders, Today I wanted to discuss being prepared prior to making a trade. It is quite often I see people asking what to buy but, rarer that people are interested in when to buy or what to do after. Finding a good asset is only half of the battle, knowing when to buy and where to take profits are just as important as what to buy. Here I have put together a trading plan for the asset Jasmy. What I first noticed about this asset was, the potential declining channel as labeled on the chart. A declining channel is generally a bullish indication that market participants have been selling and buying in a manor that presents this bullish consolidation. Once I have identified market structure on a higher timeframe as I have in this daily chart, I find it helpful to zoom in on smaller time frames and check my indicators for signs that prove my theory as well as signs that disprove my theory as to keep an unbiased opinion, making for a better decision with my potential investment. Step 1: Labeled in White Let the chart tell the story, not your emotions! One thing I will often look for is bullish divergence on both the MACD (which my favorite is finding it on the histogram as this seems to be the most accurate to read imo) and the RSI. Other things I will look for is a cross or impending cross of the MACD line over the signal line on the MACD indicator as well as a cross of the signal line over the zero line on the histogram. If you notice on the chart I have labeled both of these for you with arrows pointing to the histogram as well as the MACD line crossing up giving a bullish signal to buy. You can also see the blue line indicating the bullish divergence that I drew on the MACD Histogram which are the green and red vertical bars also labeled on the and pointed out on the MACD indicator. Lastly the oversold RSI bouncing off of the 20 line. These are a few indications that the downtrend may be completed and that the declining channel may be breaking upward. Here is a labeling of the MACD for further understanding of the indicator. Step 2: Labeled In Yellow Now lets get to the structure breakout. As you can see, I have clearly labeled the declining channel and placed an area of breakout shown with a green arrow pointing to it so you can easily identify the price action coming out of the channel. What you want to look for is exactly what is happening now with the current days price action popping out into the small channel that is labeled in green. This is a good buy area. Step 3: Labeled in Green Now you will need to set your target. First you will take your measuring tool out from the measurement tool section and measure the length of the top to the bottom of the channel. You can also just draw a line from the top to the bottom of the channel. After you do this, right click and make a clone of the measurement. Now, it is important to find the breakout of the channel and place the bottom of the clone where the price action breaks out. Since we already have price action in the breakout area you can place the measurement at that area. Step 4: Labeled in Teal Now it is time to find the best entry points for your trade. I generally enter with 50% of my allocated trade amount at first. My allocated amount is generally 3%-%5 of my overall holding amount in that account. I enter with half as sometimes you will see a false breakout that will come back in the channel and you are able to enter with a better position before the actual breakout. With this I like to add another buy box at the bottom of the channel just in case the price action gives me this opportunity. If a clear breakout and retest present itself I will enter the other 50% of my position. Step 5: Labeled in Pink Place your stop loss underneath the last swing low before the bullish breakout of the channel.
Long
by Savvythe1
3
Risk Management Basics | Retest Trading 💡 Hey traders, Being breakout traders we have two options for trade entries: when the breakout is confirmed we can either open a trading position aggressively once the candle closes above/below the structure or we can be conservative and wait for a retest of the broken structure first. What is peculiar about the second option is the fact that the majority of pro traders prefer the retest entries. In this article, we will discuss the pros and cons of retest trading. ✔️First, let's discuss whether the retest is guaranteed. NO. How often do we see that? Around 50-55% of the time. Does it mean that 45-50% of breakout trades will be missed? YES. The main disadvantage of retest trading is that a lot of trading opportunities will be missed. Occasionally the breakout triggers a strong market rally not letting the price return back to the broken structure. So what is the point to wait for a retest then? Why let the market go without us in case if there is no retest? ✔️Most of the time the breakout candle closes quite far from a broken level. Opening the trading position once the candle closes and setting a stop loss below/above the broken structure, one can get a very big stop loss. Such a big stop that its pip value exceeds or equals the potential return. 🖼️In the picture, I drew a classic channel breakout trade. The aggressive trader opened a long position as the candle closed above the channel's resistance. His stop loss is lying below the lower low of the channel. Analyzing his risk to reward ratio, we can see that his reward equals his risk. On the right side is the position of the conservative trader. His stop loss in lying on the same level. However, instead of opening a trading position on a breakout candle, he decided to wait for a retest of the broken resistance of the channel. Just a slight adjustment of his entry-level gives him a completely different risk to reward ratio. ❗️Patience pays in trading. Missing some trades a retest trader will outperform the aggressive trader in the long run. Trading is about weighting your potential gains & losses. Paying commissions and swaps for every trade, it is much better for us to trade less but pick the setups that give us a decent potential reward. What type of trading do you prefer? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
30
What you trade is just as important as how you trade!Hey Traders! WOW! What a Monday! Excellent moves in the markets today at the US open, I don't want to sound like I am bragging, but we kinda prepared ourselves very well for today by working our asses off on creating our watchlist, we knew what could be moving and we made sure that they focused on the best setups, setups that had the highest rewards and the lowest risks! Aside from a big miss on WTI, we aced EURUSD, NASDAQ, DAX and EURJPY. Preparation of a watchlist is vital for us day traders and we make sure to invest time into creating our day trading watchlists! This video explains a little better what we did to make today a BIG SUCCESS for ourselves and our members!
OANDA:WTICOUSDEducation
by PrimedGroup
2
TRIPLE TOP PATTERN. Tips on how to trade it 📚 🟢The triple top is a very powerful reversal pattern. Visually, it represents three consecutive peaks approximately equal in height. Formally, it can be considered as a special case of the head and shoulders formation, whose head height is approximately equal to the shoulders. Moreover, the differences between them are purely academic, since, from a practical point of view, both of them indicate a change in the uptrend to a downtrend. ✅The pattern reflects three consecutive unsuccessful attempts to break through a certain resistance level. At the same time, each subsequent unsuccessful attempt indicates a weakening of the bulls and increases the likelihood of a future reversal. ❗️To correctly identify the pattern, the analyst should pay attention to the following conditions. 1️⃣The formation of a triple top should be preceded by a solid upward (bullish) trend, which should last at least a month, and preferably several months. 2️⃣Three consecutive tops must be clearly expressed and be approximately the same height. Through their maxima, the upper resistance level is built. The maxima should differ from each other by no more than 1-2%. 3️⃣ The lower support level is built through the minimum of the retracement after the first and second peaks depending on which of them will be lower. 4️⃣ As the triple top forms, there should be a gradual decline in trade volumes. At the same time, a local increase in trading volumes in the area of a top formation is considered acceptable. This is a confirmation of the gradual weakening of bull pressure on the market and a sign of an approaching trend reversal. 5️⃣ The triple top gives its final confirmation only after breaking through the lower support level after the formation of the third top. The breakout should be accompanied by a significant increase in trading volumes, and the appearance of price gaps on the chart is also desirable. After breaking through, the support level becomes the resistance level, in the area in which subsequent corrective price movements are possible. 6️⃣ To determine the goal of the price movement, it is necessary to measure the distance between the lower support level and the maximum point of the triple top. Then this distance should be projected from a broken support level to the downside. 7️⃣ The reliability of the patterns directly depends on the duration of the period during which it was formed. It should be at least several months. ⚠️In technical analysis, the triple top is one of the most difficult to recognize and "insidious" figures for an investor. Until the third top is formed, this figure looks like a classic double top. Also, three consecutive peaks of approximately equal height are characteristic of the ascending triangle and rectangle patterns, which are trend continuation formations. Thus, the final confirmation of the triple top is received only after a consequent breakout of the lower support level, which should be accompanied by a sharp increase in trading volumes. Do you trade triple top?🤔 ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Education
by SignalProvider
9
WHY 95% OF TRADERS FAIL | Top 6 Mistakes to Avoid 🙅‍♂️🙅‍♀️ Hey traders, That is the absolute fact: 95% of traders will fail. Working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the world, studying their trades & following their reasoning I found a lot of commonalities. In this post, we will discuss the top 6 mistakes to avoid to succeed in trading. 🤖 Rather than studying the market structure, rather than learning price action, many traders are looking for a "secret indicator". The one that will accurately indicate when to buy or sell the market. Failing to find the one, they start looking for a set of indicators giving them magic profit formula. At some stage, they stop analyzing the chart at all. They become obsessed with the indicators. Remember, naked chart analysis always goes first. The indicator is the tool in your toolbox that is applied as one of the confirmations. 💫 The expectations & mindset play a very important role here as well. Many people come in trading with a desire to become rich quick. To buy a subscription to some signal service promising them thousands of pips monthly and quite their 9:5 job. Or to watch a couple of educational videos about trading and after a couple of days of practicing become a whale of Wallstreet making thousands of dollars with a single trade. Such a mindset is completely wrong. Instead, you must realize that trading is extremely hard. It will take many years and a lot of blown trading accounts before you get how to trade properly. Moreover, even once you mature, you won't make millions of dollars. Professional trading is simply about winning slightly more than you lose and then living on a margin. 📉 Poor risk management is the primary reason for blown trading accounts. And here I am not talking about some "advanced" risk management techniques. Many traders simply trade with oversized lots. Having high leverage & 1000$ deposit at hand the one can simply open a trading position with 1 standard lot and be kicked in by a spread. Or they open a trading position without a stop loss. Being wrong in their predictions instead of closing a losing position they keep holding it. And while the market keeps going against them they pray the God for a market reversal. At some moment they get the margin call. You must learn to calculate a lot size for all your trades. Instead of risking a huge portion of your trading account, learn to set a stop loss and risk no more than 1% of your deposit. 📝 Lastly, discipline plays a crucial role in your success in trading. Once you developed a trading strategy & backtested that you must learn to follow its rules no matter what. Usually, once traders catch a losing streak they start changing their rules, they start adjusting their trading strategy. Remember that losses are inevitable. The only correct way to stay afloat is to be consistent and don't break the rules. Avoiding these common mistakes your chances to succeed in trading will increase dramatically. I wish you be among 5% of traders who made it. Did you make these mistakes? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
30
COMPOUND INTEREST. Time is on your side📚 ❗️As it turned out, not all traders are familiar with such an important concept as compound interest. Meanwhile, the use of compound interest in trading can be a very effective tool for making a profit. In short, compound interest is the accrual of interest on interest, and if in detail, then read on. ✅The formula for calculating compound interest has the form: Compound percentage = (P (1 + g)^ n) – P, where P – the amount originally invested; r – interest rate; n is the investment period. Let's say you invested an amount of $ 10,000, every year the interest received is added to the principal amount, and new interest is accrued for a larger amount. If the investment period is 5 years, and the interest rate is 10% per annum, then after the specified period, taking into account the compound interest, you will receive a profit in the amount of: (10000(1+0.10)^5)-10000=6105.1$ And without taking into account the compound interest, the profit for the same period will be: 10000*5*0,10-10000=5000$ As you can see, using compound interest (or in other words reinvesting profits) brought additional income in the amount of: 6105.1-5000 = 1105.1 $. ✅It seems that the figures presented above are not impressive, but the use of compound interest in trading can truly work wonders. In what way? Let's take another look at the compound interest formula described above. It is obvious from the formula that you can increase profit by increasing any of its components. Let's not touch the amount originally invested, but play with the value of the investment period and the interest rate. To begin with, let's imagine that we will reinvest the profit not every year, but every month. Then the investment period will be 12 *5 = 60 months. The interest rate corresponding to this investment period will be equal to: 10%/12=0.833%. Let's substitute these values into the formula for calculating the compound percentage: (10000(1+0.00833)^60)-10000=6449,8$ As you can see, under the same conditions, but with monthly reinvestment of profits, the income will already be $ 6449.8- $6105.1 =$344.7 more. Well, if the trader's income is not 0.833% per month, but, for example, 5% monthly, then under the same conditions and for the same period, the profit will already be: (10000(1+0.05)^60)-10000=176791,86$ Felt the difference, impressive, isn't it? And what if you reinvest profits not monthly, but daily? Let's figure it out. With an average yield of 5% per month, the average daily yield will be 5%/21= 0.238% (here 21 is the number of working days in a month). The investment period will be 5*360=1800 days. Let's substitute the data into the compound interest formula: (10000(1+0.00238)^1800)-10000=711617,5$ This is already 711617.5-176791.86 = 534826 $ more than with monthly reinvestment of profits. More than half a million dollars (and this with an initial investment of only ten thousand)! That's impressive. That's what compound interest is in action. ⚠️This is about theory. In practice, it is impossible to achieve a constant percentage of profit every day. Some days a trader inevitably ends up with a loss, some with a profit, and the size of these losses and profits is always different. So it is unlikely to substitute the value of the percentage of profit per day in the above formula. However, the very essence of compound interest, clearly shown above in figures, gives the trader a fairly powerful tool for earning. A trader can and should use compound interest when creating his own money management system. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
6
Why Do You Need a Trading Journal? 📝 Hey traders, 📖 Trading Journal is a crucial element in your trading education. Even though the majority tends to neglect it, in fact, it is considered to be the essential part of a daily routine of a professional trader. In this post, we will discuss why you should keep a trading journal & how it enhances your trading performance. Let's start with the obvious: ✍️ Trading journal is applied for recording your trading positions: winning and losing ones. With that, you can monitor your current performance, identify the mistakes that were made and examine your decisions. ❌ Analyzing the errors you learn your weaknesses & the situations when it is preferable not to trade. You adjust your trading strategy accordingly in order to avoid similar mistakes in future. 💪 Examining the winning trades you learn about your strengths. You identify the trading instruments, the trading setups where your strategy reaches the highest accuracy. ⚖️ Working with the numbers you can measure your investing exposure and calculate your account drawdowns. You can analyze your losing streaks & your long-term/mid-term/short-term account statistics. 📈 Analyzing the figures you can measure your progress over time by comparing your current results with the old ones. 😡 Keeping the record of your emotions, you can measure & quantify the psychological element of your trading. You may calculate the percentage of emotional decisions being made and their effect. 🌟 Consistent journaling makes you disciplined. It teaches you to strictly follow the rules of your trading plan & constantly learn from your mistakes in order to hasten the path towards a more disciplined and profitable trading career. A trading journal should be simple and tailored to your specific trading style and the goals you would like to achieve. I hope that my words will inspire you to keep a trading journal! Do you have the one already? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
102
How to trade levels? How to play price? How I made 30x in 2 yrs!In this video: I draw out a hypothetical initial investment. I should how you can multiply your net profit by trading out and back in along the way to your final projected target. This video is all about trading levels, a strategy I have developed from years of experience that has helped my to multiply my crypto profits exponentially. I have 30x'ed my initial cash reserves over the period of 2 years. I think you can too. I am going to show you how I did this.
COINBASE:UMAUSDEducation
by stewdamus
4
FIBONACCI TOOL common reversal levels📊 ❗️Fibonacci levels are one of the most popular tools for analysis. These are price levels that are located in certain parts of the movement corresponding to the mathematical Fibonacci numbers. 🟢What are Fibonacci numbers? In the XIII century, the famous scientist Leonardo of Pisa lived in the Republic of Pisa – the first major medieval mathematician in Europe. On the cover of one of his most famous works was attributed filius Bonacci (son of Bonacci). Hence the nickname Fibonacci. The Fibonacci numbers are a sequence of numbers derived from Leonardo's experiment on rabbits. The Pisan mathematician decided to find out how many pairs of rabbits will be in a fenced pen a year after the start of breeding (provided that there will be only one pair in the pen in the first month). In the third month, the cuts began to multiply recurrently – each subsequent number was equal to the sum of the previous two (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.). If any number from the sequence is divided by the previous one, you get a number tending to 1.61803398875… This number is the "golden ratio". In algebra, such a number is called the Greek letter phi. When dividing any number from the sequence by the following, the inverse of phi 0.618 is obtained. When dividing any number from the sequence by the number following one, 0.382 is obtained. In this form, Fibonacci numbers are much more familiar to traders. 🔴Correction levels Correction (retracement) - movement against an existing trend. The correction "absorbs" part of the trend movement. Of the Fibonacci numbers, 38.2 are mainly used for correction levels (from the previous trend movement), 50%, 61,8%, 78,6%. Correction levels are based on candle wicks, in other words, on their maximum or minimum points. To build a correction level, you need to find a trend. Fibo levels can be asymmetrical, so it is especially important to pay attention to where the beginning and end of the wave on which the level is being built are located. On a downtrend, 0% at the bottom, 100% at the top. When ascending, the opposite is true. The most significant correction level is 61.8. When a breakdown of this level occurs, a new trend in the opposite direction usually begins. After that, it is necessary to build a new corrective level. Correction pattern – movement between minor correction levels. After such a move, the price usually moves to the key level of 61.8. 4 patterns are depending on which levels of correction the price concerns. ⚠️Even if the skills of analyzing the state of the market by Fibonacci levels will not be a big advantage in trading, then in any case it is a great (and to some extent integral) experience of technical analysis. Fibo levels can be combined with a footprint, deltas, and other tools. The trader will understand only in practice if it is possible to benefit from this or not. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
23
CUP & HANDLE. How the pattern works☕️ ✅This pattern is not as popular among traders as "Head and Shoulders", "Double Top" and other classic patterns of technical analysis. However, this does not mean that it is not so effective. In fact, the "Cup & Handle" pattern is in no way inferior to the above patterns in its reliability and, if used correctly, can bring considerable benefits to the trader. ✅Below we will look at how the "Cup & handle" is formed, what are the signs of authenticity of the formed pattern, and the trading strategy for it. ⚠️How the "Cup & Handle" formation is formed The formation of this pattern occurs on an uptrend and is a sure sign of its continuation (subject to the conditions of authenticity of the pattern). In essence, it is a cup - an uptrend correction. The price reaches a strong resistance level, cannot overcome it, and smoothly rolls back, forming the left wall of the cup. Then it smoothly unfolds along the bottom and rises to test the level again. Having reached the level, it rolls back down again. This rollback should be much smaller than the previous one, and it forms a handle. The handle of the cup is very often formed in the form of a "Flag" pattern. The "Cup & handle" pattern is considered fully formed when the price, having formed a "handle", returns up and breaks through the resistance level from which the pattern formation began ⚠️Confirmation of the truth of the "Cup & handle" pattern There are several conditions, without which the formed pattern cannot be considered true. These are the conditions: 1️⃣To begin with, as mentioned above, for the formation of this pattern, it is necessary to have an uptrend. Without a trend, there is no point in looking for this formation on the price chart, because even if you find a drawing of an ideal cup with a handle, it will be just a drawing that has no meaning. 2️⃣The depth of the forming cup should not exceed 2/3 of the height of the previous uptrend. The optimal depth of the cup is within 1/3 - 2/3 of this value. The depth of the forming handle should not exceed a value equal to ½ of the depth of the cup. 3️⃣The most reliable is the "Cup & Handle" pattern formed on daily or weekly timeframes. Of course, it can also be formed on hourly charts, but where the probability of its triggering is somewhat lower. 4️⃣The "Cup & handle" pattern should be confirmed by the indicators of the volume indicator. Volumes should grow at a time when the price is moving in the direction of an uptrend and fall when it decreases. Also, a sharp surge in volume should accompany the moment of breaking through the price level at the end of the formation of the figure. 🟢Trading strategy based on the "Cup & handle" The entry into the position is carried out after the completion of the formation of the figure. It is recommended to wait for the price to close above the resistance line. To do this, you must constantly monitor the schedule in anticipation of the right moment. There is also a strategy for opening a position on a pending order, in which case there is no need to sit and wait for the completion of the figure. A pending order is placed at a level slightly above the resistance level (approximately 10 points) and is triggered if the figure is completed. The target level for this pattern is the height of the cup, laid up from the resistance level. Therefore, we set the profit-taking level of TAKE PROFIT either at the target level or 10-15 points below it. As for the STOP LOSS limit order, it should be placed at the level of the bottom of the handle (or slightly lower). ❗️In conclusion, I will say once again how important it is to correctly identify the "Cup and Handle" formation before you start trading on it. Carefully re-read the rules confirming this pattern. Try not to mess with the patterns formed on small timeframes. Take your time, be patient, and remember that the absence of open positions can also be considered an excellent position. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by UnitedSignals
11