BEAM Indicator From ScratchHi, traders!
BTC today makes many people nervous, especially freshmen. That's why we decided to tell you about one of the easiest to use indicators - BEAM.
BEAM helps identifying times when buying and selling Bitcoin are the most probable to be profitable. It’s extremely easy to interpret and understand its signals. In general, BEAM divides the price of Bitcoin at any given moment to a moving average of past prices. This makes price trends more clearly visible.
The BEAM parameters are easy to tune. You can adjust the cycle length, the asset divisor as well as buy and sell thresholds.
There are three types of zones. A green buy zone indicates that it would be wise to buy. A red sell zone makes clear that selling might be a good idea. A gray hold zone signals that it is advisable to keep on holding even if the price already seems rather high.
BEAM works with other crypto currencies that are at least 3-4 years old, because they are highly correlated with Bitcoin itself and follow Bitcoin’s cycle.
The BEAM indicator is not meant to be used to make buy or sell decisions on its own. It should be used as one tool among many in a big arsenal of indicators and other types of signals. BEAM has no absolute predicting power. There is no 100% guarantee that it will still work in future. Indicators and models can only be constructed retroactive. As the future is not fixed, they always fail to work after some time.
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
Howtotrade
BTCUSDT Analysis UpdateHi, traders!
Today we will tell you about the Bitcoin and give you our point of view with regards of this token. Well, we still bullish. We still believe that BTC is able to push the limits more and more and show the world the power of crypto. So, let’s go beyond words.
Not so long ago Tesla sold 10% of the company’s BNC deposit. Some people found as an act of fear of Musk. However, let’s dig deeper. 10% is considered to be very small part of their BTC deposit. Moreover, we find it a way to gain money fast, because they need them to report to investors. As you see market has showed no reaction on it.
Let’s have a look on the chart. At the first sight it seems to be choppy. However, we see a great support levels of previous price action demonstrated by Fiba Retracement levels and EMA. Thus, we are sure that probability of further growth is extremely high. Here are some scenarios of probable price action.
Scenario A
Short-term consolidation between 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels and further growth with mid-term consolidation in “golden pocket” (between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels) with break out over the 0.618 and even higher.
Scenario B
Bears will have a small win and the price will go down to 0.382 and lower. On these levels lots of alerts are pointed, that’s why the price will anyway reject from these levels and pump.
DISCLAMER : Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
Pancake Swap Is ready To BuyHi, traders!
While BTC is moving up and recovering after a small fell, we gonna tell you about some interesting and perspective projects, which can probably help you to make x2,x5 or even more. One of them is PancakeSwap.
What is PancakeSwap?
PancakeSwap is a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange for swapping BEP-20 tokens. If you’re familiar with Uniswap or SushiSwap, then you’ll know how PancakeSwap works. Each works in almost exactly the same manner.
The PancakeSwap exchange doesn’t use order books like traditional exchanges. Instead, it uses an automated market maker (AMM) model which matches buy and sell orders directly with others in a liquidity pool. User deposits maintain liquidity pools. By providing liquidity to such a pool, users can earn trading fees and liquidity provider (LP) tokens. LP tokes are redeemable for the initial capital deposited, plus any fees earned, minus any impermanent loss. Furthermore, LP tokens can then be staked, farmed, and traded!
Cloning or copying open source code from a popular decentralized application (dApp) is not uncommon. Particularly in DeFi, many new projects are based on existing protocols, with tweaks made to the original code. Simply make a few adjustments to a popular open-source code, create a new token, name it after your favorite snack, and presto - you’ve got yourself a freshly baked DeFi clone!
Regardless of whether you think cloning is a good thing or a bad thing, it happens a lot in crypto. For example, SushiSwap is a clone of Uniswap. Therefore, it should come as no surprise that PancakeSwap appears to work in a very similar way to SushiSwap, with a familiar layout and user interface.
However, PancakeSwap is flipping the yield farming model on its head, introducing a range of new features that provide an all-in-one yield optimization platform built around the Pancake token (CAKE). Furthermore, PancakeSwap benefits from the security of Binance Smart Chain (BSC), which could help convert some DeFi skeptics.
In September 2020, the Pancake token (CAKE) was launched on Binance Smart Chain (BSC). CAKE is a BSC-native BEP-20 token. The CAKE token has performed extremely well in 2021, showing an incredible price rally throughout February. The primary function of CAKE is to incentivize liquidity provision to the PancakeSwap platform.
PancakeSwap vs. Uniswap vs. SushiSwap
In today's cryptocurrency landscape, there are three major decentralized exchanges ruling the roost.
• Uniswap — The original DeFi liquidity protocol built on Ethereum. Today's standard for easy cryptocurrency trading using ERC-20 tokens and mostly ETH pairs.
• SushiSwap — A community-governed Uniswap fork that has evolved into a DeFi hub offering token swaps, farming, and crypto lending/borrowing.
• PancakeSwap — Uniswap clone built on BSC to deliver fast and inexpensive trades using BEP-20 tokens and the BSC←→ETH bridge.
While all three enable decentralized exchange, community governance, yield farming, and LP (liquidity provider) opportunities, only Sushi and PancakeSwap pay rewards back to token holders who stake their tokens.
Technical
As you can see on the chart, we have a strong up-trend with a great support. The consolidates in the most probable area with a low probability of down swings.
Fiba extension levels and ALLIGATOR shows us a strong up-trend with reliable support
Thus, we see these scenarios of future price action
A – consolidation above median line and breaking out above
B – consolidation in the pitchfork with medium volatility and breaking out above, too
C – breaking out the fork below and choppy price action
DISCLAMER : Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
TOP 5 Tools To TradeHi traders!
Working process of any trader is usually related with usage of different tolls. These tools are invnted to make traders’ life easier. For instance, you shouldn’t just build lines of support and resistance by yourselves, just choose 3 main points and use Fib ExtensionMany of you asked us, what tools we usually use in our daily stuff. Well, we use many different indicators, oscillators and other tools like Fiba, Pivots and so one. Today, we’ll give TOP-5 tools, that’ll make your trading activity easier and more efficient.
Fibonacci retracement
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur. They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used.
The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points.
Suppose the price of a stock rises $10 and then drops $2.36. In that case, it has retraced 23.6%, which is a Fibonacci number. Fibonacci numbers are found throughout nature. Therefore, many traders believe that these numbers also have relevance in financial markets.
How to use?
Put the first point to lower low, the second to the higher high or vice versa.
Fibonacci extension
Fibonacci extensions are a tool that traders can use to establish profit targets or estimate how far a price may travel after a retracement/pullback is finished. Extension levels are also possible areas where the price may reverse. Fibonacci extensions are a way to establish price targets or find projected areas of support or resistance when the price is moving into an area where other methods of finding support or resistance are not applicable or evident.
To study it accurately, read our Fiba Extension From Scratch (link in the description).
Pivot Point
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. The pivot point itself is simply the average of the intraday high and low, and the closing price from the previous trading day. In fact, price above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish trend, while price below the pivot point indicates bearish one.
The pivot point is the basis for the indicator, but it also includes other support and resistance levels that are projected based on the pivot point calculation. All these levels help traders see where the price could experience support or resistance. Similarly, if the price moves through these levels it lets the trader know the price is trending in that direction.
Commonly, traders use Pivot Points as support and resistance levels as well as stop-loss levels. In the combine with oscillators (MFI, OBV, etc.) and Fiba levels we invent efficient strategies.
Ichimoku
One of the most informative indicator in world of trading. It can give you both support/resistance levels and sell buy signals. Out crew uses it every day. However, many traders consider it rather difficult to interpret. If you want to know more about it and use it as efficient as it’s possible, check out our articles (link in description)
Pitchfork
Andrews' Pitchfork can be used by traders to establish profitable opportunities and swing possibilities. On a long-term basis, Pitchfork can be used to identify and gauge overall cycles that impact underlying spot activity.
In general, traders will purchase the asset when the price falls near the support of either the center trendline or the lowest trendline. Conversely, they'll sell the asset when it approaches the resistance of either the center line or the highest trendline. Even though the center line can be used to identify areas where a security may find support or resistance, it is generally not as strong as the two outside lines. In practice, the levels identified by this indicator are very useful for identifying strategic positions for stop-loss orders.
To apply the pitchfork, you should choose the pivot of “trend start” (A on the chart). Than, chose the significant maximum(B on the chart) and significant minimum.
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
🎓 EDU 5 of 20: FUNDAMENTALS ARE THE HOLY GRAIL OF TRADINGHello traders! In the previous Educational Post (4 of 20) we learned what FIST (Fundamentals, Intermarket, Sentiment, Technicals) is about and why you need to use this trading framework in your trading. I strongly believe that incorporating a range of analytical disciplines returns better trading results than focusing only on one tool. This is how big players play the market, and this is how you should trade too - if you want to become a consistently profitable trader.
Most retail traders put too much emphasis on technical analysis. The majority of traders even trade solely with technical tools. In an earlier post, we have covered why you shouldn't trade only on technicals , so this might be a good time to revisit that lesson and read it if you haven't already.
Most retail traders will wait for a signal like a pullback, MA crossover, overbought/oversold RSI conditions, MACD, and follow candlestick patterns and chart patterns to enter into a trade. Guess what? That's an easy way to blow your trading account! If you look at your broker's homepage, you'll see a sentence stating how many retail traders lose money. I have yet to find a retail broker where less than 20-30% of traders are profitable. The rest, 70-80% of clients, lose money on a consistent basis. I bet that, of those who lose money, the majority use technical strategies and/or have poor risk management skills.
Institutional traders don't open a trade based on MA crossovers or extreme RSI levels. They follow a range of fundamental signals, analyze correlations between different asset classes, and follow the general market sentiment. Technical analysis accounts for 5% of their work. Technical levels are only used to determine entry and exit points - ONLY after they already know in which direction they want to trade.
Fundamental Analysis
Unlike technical analysis which is based on the premise that history repeats itself, markets like to trend, and all available news is instantly discounted in the price, the fundamental analysis aims to explore the underlying factors of why a market is going up or down. Technical analysis is all about charts. Technicians are not interested in the reasons behind price movements, which often creates an environment where technicals alone produce fake signals. I bet many of you have seen that: a failed triangle breakout, a failed trendline breakout, or the RSI remaining in oversold conditions as the price continues to trade lower.
Fundamental analysis can be grouped into two groups: macro fundamentals, and micro fundamentals.
In trading, macro fundamentals refer to the bigger picture fundamentals: interest rates, economic growth, inflation rates, and labor market conditions.
Micro fundamentals are more subtle, but can also have a large influence on the price. Those are comments by central bankers, news, market indicators (PMIs, CPIs...), political developments in a country, etc.
Central Bank Meetings
My students often ask me whether they should follow central bank meetings and press conferences. My answer: If you want to make money trading, then yes! Nothing has such a large impact on prices as central bank meetings and interest rate decisions. And if you do your homework, you can profit from those meetings most of the time. Follow press conferences that are scheduled shortly after the meeting and listen to the Q&A session, and read the entire meeting report once it's out. You'll find it astonishing how much you can learn from those reports - and how easy it can be to make money in the markets.
There are eight major central banks in FX: US Federal Reserve (Fed), Bank of Canada (BoC), Bank of England (BoE), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Japan (BoJ), Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), and Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Create a bookmark for each of those central bank websites, and read their reports and articles at least once a week. I like to do it on weekends.
You can even have very profitable trades after the Central Bank meeting is over and the market has already reacted to the news. Commercial banks and other sell-side institutions will often drain liquidity in the markets to purchase a currency at discount after a major news report or interest rate decision. If you know how to identify this liquidity drain, you'll be able to catch amazing trades in the future.
Thanks for reading and stay tuned for Part 6: What Market Indicators do I Need to Follow?
Pi Cycle Indicator From ScratchHi traders!
As you know, BTC has made all time high not so far ago. That’s why we decided to tell you about one of the most powerful indicators that helps traders to recognize the market reverse after peaking. Well, today we’ll speak Pi Cycle Top Indicator .
The indicator consists of two Moving averages: 350DMA*2 and 111DMA. In fact, 350/111=3,153 which is really close to Pi=3,142. Probably, it demonstrates the cyclicality of Bitcoin. Moreover, it is confirmed by last 3 cycles of BTC market and all times the indicator gave a signal, trend reversed.
How to work with Pi Cycle indicator?
When the 111 moving average reaches the 350DMA*2 it means that BTC is on its peak and it’s time to quit the position.
However, we’d advice you to use it with other indicators and oscillators, to look for the trend reverse or continuation patterns and so on.
DISCLAMER : Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
Order box trading This is educational :)
You can see that the price is a bit "blurry" at the first order box. Why is this?
Financial institutes never invest their whole money at the same time to get "stopped out" or "margin called". They do this to check how the price is reacting to their orders. For example, if they want to invest 100 million euros in a long position; firstly 20m, then 30, and then 50.
This "blurr" will form what we call the order box.
Now, what happens?
All of the orders will not go to reality. maybe only 70% will. Then, when the price touches this order box area, the price will bump again as a consequence of all the underlying orders. This is what you see at the "support order box". Same thing at the top.
Steps to spot these:
1, find the "blurr"
2, watch for confirmation (aka = second time it touches)
3, trade the 3rd, or 2nd if u are brave, it touches this box.
4, place stop loss just above the box
But what for take profit?
Place it in either the other side of the box, or eventually, at 0,618 of Fibonacci. I use this to trade with the trend and not against it.
Questions? Ask them in the comment area :D
Fibonacci Extensions From ScratchHi traders!
Evidently, every trader understands the importance of defining the trend with its support and resistance levels. Unfortunately, sometimes it’s kinda difficult or even impossible to do with basic tools. Nevertheless, traders have fixed the problem and evented some indictors that are able to solve this problem. One of them is Fibonacci extensions .
Fibonacci extensions are a way to establish price targets or find projected areas of support or resistance when the price is moving into an area where other methods of finding support or resistance are not applicable or evident.
As you can see, Fib Extensions is some kind of ratios.The ratios themselves are based on something called the Golden Ratio.
How to build Fib Extension?
During the up trend you should initialize the point of previous lower lower. Next point is the higher high and lower low again. The points should be consistent.
"Trade what you see, not what you think!"... and try to find multiple-100s of pips, even in over-manipulated junk such as the USDCHF.
Let's see if it's possible...
The title chart is the USDCHF Monthly, as it stands at the end of this quarter - 03/2021. What is the story here?...
It appears that this pair is rather predictable and has been obeying all the major support/resistance levels (PRZs), going as far back as one cares to look;
It is also clear that this pair continues to do so despite the relentless manipulation (money printing) of the SNB;
That massive 42.5% jump of the CHF vs. the USD, between 2009-2012 (which has not been recovered since), ...
... back when the whole world seemed to come apart ("The Great Financial Crisis" + European Sovereign Crisis), the Swiss Franc still remained one of only two, true Safe Haven currencies in the entire world! (beside the Japanese Yen and despite every imaginable liquidity constraint.)
Fast forward to the Covid Pandemic ...
... and the Franc did it's thing , once again, with an immediate +11.5% rise versus the USD, again, in what appeared to be the end of the (financial) world. However, several more things are noteworthy during this period;
- Had the SNB paid attention, they would have already known (or at least expect) that the support zone which formed back in 2014, at 0.8750, and which prompted a strait and virtually immediate -17.5% slump in the Franc vs. the Dollar, would stop and hold back the continued and "uncomfortable" advance of the Franc, this time around, as well; (The decision makers at the SNB are no different from the rest of clueless bureaucrats, typical for any other Central Bank lackey, anywhere else in the world. The only difference may be that they tend to have longer-term mandates and tenures.)
- Had they paid attention they also would have found it to be unnecessary to increase the printing of the Franc by a whopping +29% month-over-month (CHF60 Billion per), right into oblivion, or at least until they shot strait to the top of the pile and became one of the largest public investor in the Nasdaq100, scrapping 800+ years of Swiss tradition and thus tying Swiss fortunes to the likes of Apple and Netflix.
- Had they paid attention to their own history and tradition, they would have also realized a couple of fundamental truths;
1) No amount of printer ink will stop the worlds love affair - well in excess of Swiss GDP - with the Swiss Franc, any time when the the end of the world is nigh; (I.e. The reliance on Swiss resilience and frugal nature.)
2) With a Swiss ruling class (top 5%) having more wealth than any other nation on earth (in relative terms), reclusive, invisible and may be even boring as they may be, they will have their Central Bankers' heads on a pike (all the heads on one pike; The Swiss are frugal) way before any of them can do permanent or even lasting damage to the Swiss Franc and well before they can all shout "Mein Gott!" (or "Mon Dieu!", dependent on the particular central banker's regional origins).
Just in case should any of the above appear to be idle speculation, here is a gentle reminder; Does anyone recall Jan. 15, 2015? - When the SNB unceremoniously pulled the peg to the Euro, without any further (or previous) ado! Enough said.
The Franc has been in a heavy uptrend vs. the USD even before the Covid Pandemic;
Moving on...
As it currently stands (at the end of March, 2021) the top three FX Carry Trades are;
USDCHF
USDJPY
EURUSD
... in order of skew - lopsidedness. (check the C.O.T., FX positioning, etc.)
The Euro most likely being a transient phenomena , much like the ad-hoc, incompetent, protectionist, paradoxically conceived unionist nightmare of a Trans-national alliance which issues it... Not a factor. (The next, not-too-distant Euro-crisis will have to attest to that.) - And, as always, that leaves the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc, once again, as the only remaining Safe Haven currencies of any gravitas.
Clearly, liquidity is a determining factor here and that leaves the Yen as the only Safe Haven currency with any substantial (i.e. Global) shock absorption potential, as this chart should underline the notion;
- As for the Swiss Franc... For one, this Monthly Chart illustrates several of the above catalogued fundamental thesis. Simply put, the USD was an obvious and helluva buy vs. the CHF, ever since following the Euro Zone's Sovereign Crisis where, in crisi-upon-crisis, end-of-the-world situations (such as a Pandemic), the obvious maximum pain-threshold of the Swiss National Bank lies in the 0.8750-0.8800 area vs. the USD.
Clearly, that is the area where they are likely to go all-in, given any prolonged future appreciation of the Franc vs. the USD.
The rest of the fluctuations in this pair are simply the product of the musical chairs methodology applied as (or rather: instead of) the"economic stability" mandate of the 18 or so Central Banks around the world which may be soon to be the proud parent/owners of 60% of the world's newly socialized, Soviet-style economies. - And, as has been established above, this pair presently being one of the premier Carry Trades.
So, what is the play here, if any?...
Having established somewhat of a fundamental picture, what are the technicals here?
The Weekly Chart;
... clearly shows that the CHF tends to move (or rather: be moved by the SNB) in strait, predictable drives, respecting Quarter Point targets along the way. (OK, so the Swiss are anal. What a shock!)
This whole technical picture stands the reason since all movement here, in this no-man's-land, is due to the whole civilized world continuously and relentlessly purchasing the Franc, day in, day out, from sun up to sun down, until the SNB wakes up and decides to push back by running the money printing press to the tune of CHF60-80 Billion at a pop - per month. E.g. There was that textbook ABCD pattern (World buying, SNB printing/selling; Rinse and repeat.), including it's "mandatory" 61.8% retracement. However, after which all potential ensuing suspense was interrupted by the outbreak of the Covid Pandemic, sending the Franc on an immediate 900 pip, +9% initial tear and well before any of the SNB peons could ever make it back into the office.
Of course that support zone between 0.875-0.9000 having been in place for the better part of 7 years, no great surprise that it caught that strait, end-of-the-world tear the Franc was on by forcing the SNB to go all-in at that point. (At which point you have also naturally unloaded, with both hands and eyes closed, on the Swiss Franc while front-running the SNB, even if you had to mortgage your unborn children to a local loan shark just so you could short more of the Franc and to load up endlessly on the Dollar, right?! - Good job!)
But what if, due to unforeseen circumstances, that initial 600+ pip free-ride was missed, all the way from 0.8750 to the present day 0.9400 level? Now what?
First of all, there is a perfectly formed Cypher working here - still on the weekly - with it's C-D leg consisting of an also a textbook 3-Drive, already having cleared the first two Fibonacci levels of it's three legs
... while heading strait for a major confluence(resistance) zone, naturally coinciding with the Cypher's PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
That confluence zone between 0.9500 -0.9650 consists, at a minimum, of;
2 year, descending Trend Line;
The (descending) Monthly 20 EMA;
The (descending) Weekly 50 EMA;
The 3rd (and final) Fibonacci extension of that weekly 3-Drive;
The (descending) Daily 200 EMA;
E.g. It is reasonable to assume that this pair will have difficulty to get above that 0.9600-0.9650 level, in no small part due to the already extended +8%, 34 (Daily) period strait rise which would take it up there.
Secondarily, it was established earlier that the USDCHF pair is currently in a Major Down Trend according to the Quarterly and Monthly charts, and in a strong Minor Up Trend due to the Weekly + Daily charts.
Put it all together and the first leg of this Counter-trend Trade points to a M.U.T. (maximum upside target) 0.9650 . That is the Exit for the First Leg .
As for the Entry for the First Leg ;
As it happens, this pair has just completed a Bearish Shark (harmonic) formation on the 4 hr. chart with the pair reacting to the PRZ, much as expected.
The expected retracement of this harmonic to it's First Price Target around 0.9340 , coinciding with the 4 hr. 20 EMA, is reasonably expected to provide a clean Entry for the first leg of this trade with a very favorable risk/reward ratio.
(There are reasonably reliable methods by which to enter trades, such as this up-leg, with constrained risk levels;
... but that's an entirely other conversation.)
Finally, put it all together;
... and this is what one is looking for here:
The up-leg of a counter-trend(!!) trade;
Entry: 0.9327-0.9317;
Target- Exit: 0.9560-0.9580;
Risk/Reward: 1:17.5;
Number of pips: 250;
Total expected trading period: 115 hours (4.8 days);
The End Game
Should chance favor the above plan/analysis/Trade Setup/outcome, that would bring a planned entry into the Primary (trend-wise; Down) Leg the forefront. (One has to cross bridges as they present themselves.)
In that case, one would expect a strong and immediate reaction in the PRZ of the (by then) valid Cypher on the weekly chart - which, if valid, is normally a very strong and reliable harmonic.
... and this is what one would be looking for, in that case:
The down-leg of a in-trend(!!) trade;
Entry: 0.9620-0.9640;
Target- Exit: 0.9200-0.9190;
Risk/Reward: 1:15;
Number of pips: 400-450;
Total expected trading period: 7 weeks (~70 days);
Note
The USDCHF currently being one of the primary carry trades , this pair's trajectory has far(ther) reaching implications for U.S. and Global equity index positioning - also referred to as: Risk On/Off.
Furthermore, due to the notable liquidity constrains of the CHF vs. it's peers, this pair is an instructive barometer on which to measure the ever-present state of the global game of musical chairs, staged by the various Central Banks of the world.
Ichimoku Showing a nice breakout HOPEFULLY on XLM - Stellar L!!!This is a financial data and news portal, discussion forum and content aggregator. Content creators, instructors, and any other material are not brokers/dealers, we are not an investment advisers, we have no access to non-public information about publicly traded companies, and this is not a place for the giving or receiving of financial advice, advice concerning investment decisions or tax or legal advice. We are not regulated by the Financial Services Authority.
How to set the RIGHT Stop loss!Hey hey traders!!
Setting the "right" stop loss is a vital skill, yet for many traders... its a random act. This video will help you find stcutrue in setting the right stop loss, a stop loss that has the best chance of not being hit and allowing your trade to workout!
For us that comes down to basics:
1. Use the ATR value
2. Enter only via the fibs (definite entry)
and by following this process we have achieved great things so far, even increased our win ration by a solid 12% in February (since we added it)
If you have questions, feel free to ask!
All the best and good luck trading!
Trading Stocks vs Options: Which Is Better? I’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years.
I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails.
They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way.
The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically.
Real money…real trades.
Stock Trading vs Options Trading
Stock trading vs options trading, what should you trade? What is better? Is it better to trade stocks or is it better to trade options?
That’s what we’re going to talk about today.
I will also show you practical examples from trades that occurred today, so let me jump onto the desktop.
Now, I want to use an account size of $20,000 as an example here where I’m comparing whether it is better to trade stocks versus options.
Depending on your account size, just multiply the numbers that I’m showing you by whatever your account size is and you’ll get the idea.
So the idea is, on a $20,000 account, we want to risk 2% of the account.
This would be $400, nothing more.
Comparing Stock Trading vs Option Trading
Now, as we are comparing stocks and options, here are the things that I want to compare.
First of all, I want to write down how much we are risking stock trading vs options trading.
I also want to write down the reward, how much are we planning to make on the stock or the option.
Based on this, I want to write down the risk/reward ratio, and also very, very important, the buying power.
What is the buying power? The buying power is the amount of your account that you need to reserve for this trade.
It is not the risk and you’ll see this in just a moment.
Let’s take a look at some very specific trades that happened this morning.
INSW Stock Trading vs Option Trading
The first trade that I want to discuss is INSW .
So this morning (at the time of this writing) on the PowerX Optimizer, INSW came up as a trade, as a buy to open.
And the idea here is that we are buying 239 shares based on a $20,000 account at $22.84.
Our stop loss was at $1.67 and I was trading 239 shares. I want to keep it a little bit easier for all of us with the math so let’s round up and call it 240 shares.
What is our risk? Per one share, we are risking $1.67 and we are trading 240 shares, meaning that our risk is exactly $400.80.
So here let’s just round it to $401.
Now, what is the potential reward that we are looking for?
Here we are looking for a reward of $8.62 per share. $8.62 times 240 shares, so we’re looking to make $2,069.
So we’re putting this into our table, $2,069. So the risk/reward ratio here, PowerX Optimizer is calculating it, it’s 1:5.16 so let’s just say 1:5.2.
Now for the buying power. Again, we are buying 240 shares, and the cost per one share is $22.84, so we need $5,482 in buying power.
So this is how much our buying power will be reduced when we enter the trade.
Now, let me ask you, is this making sense thus far?
Just so that you know what happens when you’re trading the stock?
And again, we are trying to risk around 2% of the account here, $401.
Now, let’s take a look at the option here.
So I prefer to trade the in the money, I’ll do another article on the difference between ITM and ATM.
But here we are talking about the $22.50 call, and the risk was $172 per one option. So if we want to risk $400 overall, we’re dividing this by 172 and we can trade 2 options risking $344.
We’re risking a little bit less and this is just based on the price of the option.
In terms of the reward, we’re looking to make $6.80, it’s $680 per one option and we are trading 2 options, meaning that if this trade works out, we would make at least $1,360.
Now, according to The PowerX Optimizer, we were making a little bit less.
So let’s take a look at the risk/reward, the PowerX Optimizer calculated for us.
So the risk/reward was slightly lower at 1:3.95. Now we’re rounding it up so it’s 1:4.0.
So as you can see, the risk/reward ratio when trading the option is slightly worse but here’s the deal.
What is the buying power that we need for this?
The buying power that the broker will deduct from the overall buying power in the account is our entry price.
So here we were trying to enter at $2.16, we can round it up to $2.20, and since we are trading 2 options this means that our buying power is $440.
Can you already see what the difference is between stock trading vs options trading here?
Your buying power is less than 10%.
Now, keep in mind, the buying power is not what you’re risking.
The buying power is just how much of your $20,000 is being held in reserve for this particular trade.
So you can’t use this money anymore.
If you trade the stock, you would still have around $14,500 left.
However, if you’re trading the option, you would still have $19,500 left. Is this making sense thus far?
TVTY Stock Trading vs Option Trading
The other trade that I want to show you is TVTY .
Here we wanted to trade 392 shares, so let’s just round it up to 400. Now let’s discuss the risk first.
So the risk is $1.02 per one share. We’re taking $1.02 times 400 shares, meaning that we would risk $408, which is still within our parameters.
We were planning to risk around $400 so here it would be a little bit more, it would be $408.
Now, if this trade works out, here is what the reward would be. So the reward is $5.61, that’s how much we are trying to make on this trade.
And if we take the $5.62 times 400 shares, we are trying to make $2,248.
So the risk/reward, if we look at this, is 1:5.5.
Now, here is the buying power that we would need. TVTY is trading at $11.30, so this is where again, $11.30 times 400 shares, we need $4,520 in buying power.
Again, not a big deal if you’re trading a $20,000 account, it will be reduced and you’ll have less money to trade right now, around $15,500.
Very, very, very important, this is not the risk.
This here is the buying power that is needed. Our risk is $408.
Our risk here per one option is $141. So if we want to risk $400 overall, we’re dividing it by $141, it’s 2.83.
Now, in order to make it all a bit easier to compare apples with apples here, I am actually saying that we would trade 3 options, and $141 is what we are risking per one option, so $141 times 3.
It’s a little bit more than our $400, but I think we are still OK here. So we would risk $423.
Now the potential reward per one option is $444.
So this is where we take $444 times 3, and again, this is where we are looking at $1,333.
As you can see, the risk/reward ratio here is worse than if we would trade the stock.
It is 1:3.15 so we are rounding it again to 1:3.2.
Again, it would be better to trade the stock, but you’re using quite a lot of your buying power.
For the option, all you need, all that is reduced, is your entry price, and the entry price it’s $2.47. So let’s say $2.50 times 3 is $750.
As you can see you need less buying power, but you also have a smaller reward. But this is why I say usually on a smaller account, it makes sense to trade options instead of stocks.
Now the other important thing, especially when you trade a retirement account, is that you don’t get a margin account.
This means that you cannot leverage the money that you have in the account and you cannot short stocks.
So in the US, in a retirement account, you cannot short stocks.
However, what you can do in a retirement account is that you can trade put options, and with put options, you can bet on a falling market.
So this brings me back to the question…
What is better, stock trading vs options trading?
Well, this is why I wanted to show you a direct comparison using a real-life example.
This way you see exactly when it is more advantageous to trade stocks, and when it is more advantageous to trade options.
Long story short, often for smaller accounts, since you use less buying power, it makes more sense to trade options.
And now you have a direct comparison between stock trading vs options trading that will hopefully help you decide what is best for you.
SXP/USDT : bullish flag and a breakout from resistance zone BINANCE:SXPUSDT
Hello everyone 😃
SXP has been formed a bullish flag here, Also SXP had a breakout from resistance zone and bearish trendline.
Now we expect a bullish breakout from flag and upward movement to higher resistances.
By the way EMAs had a bullish crossover !
🔴 Below resistance zone will invalidate the movement.
Attention: this isn't financial advice we are just trying to help people on their own vision.
Have a good day!
@Helical_Trades
Bitcoin - intraday. The first Target - Taken. BTC/USDTDear friends, as I promised, after some result, regardless of good or bad, I publish my positions and analysis of intraday trading situations on Bitcoin.
Read my trading ideas, understand how I value trading, and save your money.
Have a nice day, Profits and have a good mood. Your Opptrade
5 minutes of reading can save you thousands of dollars
All description in every trading idea - look down in the comments
Pattern Day Trader RuleI’m Markus Heitkoetter and I’ve been an active trader for over 20 years.
I often see people who start trading and expect their accounts to explode, based on promises and hype they see in ads and e-mails.
They start trading and realize it doesn’t work this way.
The purpose of these articles is to show you the trading strategies and tools that I personally use to trade my own account so that you can grow your own account systematically.
Real money…real trades.
Now I want to talk to you about the pattern day trader rule because this rule requires that you have at least $25,000 in your trading account if you are day trading.
Here’s the tricky part.
The tricky part is that you could trigger this rule even if you’re only swing trading, and not day trading, which is why it’s important that you are aware of what the pattern day trader rule is.
I will give you examples of what can trigger it, even if it’s accidentally, and I’ll break down what then happens if you trigger it.
Most importantly, I want you to be aware of how you can avoid it.
What Is The Pattern Day Trader Rule?
So what is the pattern day trader rule? According to FINRA, who set the rule, a pattern day trader is a trader if you execute 4 or more day trades in 5 trading days.
So if you execute 4 or more day trades in 5 trading days, then you’re being flagged as a pattern day trader. This is not a good thing.
So what actually is a day trade? A day trade is a trade that you open and close, during a trading day.
So as an example, if you buy a stock at the open, at 9:30 Eastern Time, and then sell it before 4:00 pm Eastern Time, you are placing a day trade.
Now, very, very important: this whole rule only applies to stocks and options.
It does not apply to futures, forex, or binary options. It only applies to stocks and options.
How To Trigger The Pattern Day Trader Rule
How can you actually trigger this rule even if you’re swing trading?
Well, it actually happened to me very recently.
My head coach, Mark Hodge, and I, we were trading with our Mastermind members.
I asked Mark to place a trade in my account, but he accidentally placed it in the wrong account.
When something like this happens, I have a rule.
“When you make a mistake, liquidate.”
So I asked Mark to close the position, and when he did that counted as a day trade.
So we opened the trade, realized we made a mistake and closed it right away.
This lead to me having one strike in this account.
And again, if we would get 4 strikes within 5 business days, then we are flagged as pattern day traders.
Now, here’s another scenario. Let’s say that we enter a trade tomorrow and it hits the profit target or stop loss on the same day.
So this would be another strike because now we are also entering and exiting during a trading day.
So as you can see with this, even if you’re not day trading, it is possible that this could happen a few times.
If this happens 4 times within 5 trading days, then you’re flagged as a pattern day trader.
What Happens When You Trigger The PDT Rule?
What happens when you trigger this rule? Well, first of all, if you have more than $25,000 in your account, nothing happens.
This is because the pattern day trader rule says, if you are a pattern day trader, then you need to have $25,000 in your account.
Now if you don’t have $25,000 in your account, then you will be restricted to trade on a cash basis only for 90 days.
What does this mean? Well, see, as a day trader, you actually do need a margin account, and when you trigger the pattern day trader rule and cannot put $25,000 in there, this means that now you are restricted to trading with cash only.
So let me give you an example. Let’s say you are trading the Wheel trading strategy, and you put $20,000 in an account.
This means if you put it into a margin account, that you get $40,000 in buying power.
So when you trigger the day trading pattern rule, you no longer get this buying power here, the 2:1 leverage.
You are now basically going back to whatever cash you put in there when you trigger this rule.
How To Avoid Triggering The PDT Rule?
Now the question is, how can you avoid this? Well, and I want to give you three tips for how to avoid it.
Number one, have $25,000 in your account because if you have $25,000 in the account, then triggering the rule won’t matter.
What about if you don’t.
Number two, you want to make sure that you count the number of day trades.
Leave the date you placed a day trade on a sticky note, and count the number of day trades that you do even if it is accidental, so you can keep track of how many strikes you have.
Number three, you can avoid it here by trading a cash account.
So if you’re not trading a margin account, you don’t have to worry about it.
Then, of course, if you are trading futures, forex, bitcoins, so cryptocurrencies, or if you are trading binary options, this is also when the day trading pattern rule does not really matter.
Summary
Now you know what the pattern day trader rule is, how you can trigger it, even if it is accidentally, what happens when you trigger it, and how you can avoid this.
So let me ask you this, at this point, was this helpful at all? If so, feel free to share this video on Facebook, on Twitter, and I’ll see you for the next article.
UNI 🚀 [RECAP + TRADE SETUP GUIDE] 160% !! Here is the complete breakdown of the UNISWAP trade.
On January 4th UNI made its last critical trend support retest at around 4$.
🔷After a few it was confirmed to continue an upwards channel. That was until we reached the critical $7 resistance cluster.
Looking back in September UNI had exploded and saw a massive sell off, (most likely from the free air drop). We had scene small accumulation in this area which marked critical resistance / support ($6.80 - $7.50).
🔷On JAN 16th we closed above this resistance level saw buying activity after confirmation. Usually retail traders will FOMO sell after thinking they have reached the peak. This then caused the price to move back towards critical support levels. Paying attention to the wicks, we can see price had moved down to $6.80 and quickly climbed back up. This indicated heavy demand getting filled (people buying the dips).
🟢 After confirmation of the critical support cluster holding. We can make the predication of making a higher high.
👉It is always BEST to enter your trades after confirmation. In this case we had waited about 6 days to enter the trade.
👉If we had entered at the first break out, most of us would have fallen to FOMO selling.
⭐️ Entry : $8.00
✅ 160% + Spot gain!
✏️ Current View
Looking at the current price, we can see UNI had exploded again closing above its trend resistance. We are currently retesting this level and can see long wicks at the support cluster (high lighted area). The long wicks are indicating demand is getting filled. Remember to make your entries after confirmation of 4H candle holding above
$8.20
Hopefully this can help you enter trades strategically with less risk level!
Thank you for your time ❤️ Please give this a 👍 if learned something new :)
Feel free to view previous analysis and results below !
This is not financial advice. The guide above should only be used for educational purposes.
XRP/USDT : Bullish flag and a breakout on current candle BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Hello everyone 😃
XRP has been formed a bullish flag on current level and now it's breaking flag's resistance.
Also XRP had a bullish crossover on EMAs, Everything is being green for this coin after a while.
As current candle is growing, breakout is being more possible.
Bullish flag :
🔴 It can be a fake breakout, So set tight SL. There is a high possibility for XRP to retest supports.
Attention: this isn't financial advice we are just trying to help people on their own vision.
Have a good day!
@Helical_Trades
Bitcoin - 10900 pips/$ Again - How Do My Trading Ideas Work ?!For today - all growth from 32000 (almost) achieved. The last mark is to close the position at 38150. And stop loss at breakeven. (already closed position) Profit - 6150pips / $
The second position was opened at 36850 - and the first target position was also closed at 38150 - 1300 pips / $ in our wallet.
The third position is the short position from 37000.
Now 3 profit targets reached 3400pips / $
Total for the day - Profit - 10900pips / $ - loss 0
If the level 33800-34400 is held, you can look for an entry point into the bosom, since we have formed 2 top ones, and the calculation of the take profit can be determined by the internal percentage - to the tops.
Watch this level carefully, it will show you the further direction of the price.
Bitcoin - How to trade profitably? Free positions (Open Trade)Btc/usdt
Hello dear friends.
I will choose for you, recommendations and reviews that at that time no one could have imagined that it would be so!
Do not think that I am such a tough trader - no, I was also mistaken and will be mistaken, but everything that I write happens, sometimes I do not observe this and bear a loss, but it will be all the same!
Green rectangles - achieved profit - red - loss. - total for 3 months -
Profit: 123850 pips / $ ✅
Busted 13950pips / $ ⛔️
I can’t help but praise myself, I can’t help but share this with you, but every trade I made, we went through together.
And since we have the end of the month, I summarize.
I can't help but show you how many trades we made - how much profit and loss we have in our wallet, but it was insanely cool.
I am happy that I trade with you, and happy that you have earned with me.
On the chart, I have selected only a part of the position ...
But we started trading with you when bitcoin was at 16,000.
And everything, almost everything that can be achieved - we took it.
I am very glad that each of you was able to earn with me.
Please, observe risk management, money management, do not overstate the lot in a position, trade by take profit, take profit at strong levels, and be flexible in trading.
This is what we have been all this time. Thank you for being there, thanks for 300 subscribers. I hope you continue to benefit from my trading reviews.
Have a nice day everyone, profit and good luck.