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ETHUSDT Short range Analysis | Both Long and Short PossibilitiesHello, traders! Today we gonna speak about Ethereum and possible trade opportunities on it. As you know, it's the most powerful Altcoin with great capitalization and powerful fundamentals. Moreover, some analysts call it the alternative of Bitcoin. We've already told, but you should remember that the great update will be on 21-th of July. Read about it in our related idea. Now, let's speak about technicals. Today we'll kill two birds with one stone. I'll show you the application of Gann Square and give some possible trades on ETHUSDT. Here we go! Let's have a look at the chart. As you can see, we have double top that tells us about the trend reverse. As you know, the range of the price goes down is the height of double top. As you can see, the price doesn't reach maximum level, thus the continuation of falling down is possible. Then, we have strong confirmed bearish divergence completed with crossover. This tells us about the highly probable price. Let's have a look at Gann Square. Here we can see that the price is in local triangle that can be break either up, or down. Moreover, we can see more global triangle that's broken broken below. Based on these knowledge, I see two possible outcomes. Scenario 1) Price returns to the blue triangle and after three bars closed inside it, we can enter the long positions. Take profit is on the top side of triangle, stop loss a bot lower than the current support-resistance line, entrance after 3 closed inside bars. Scenario 2) One-two bars closes under the triangle. Thus, we have consolidation under it and we can open short position. Take profit is put on weekly pivot and stop loss on possible level after the probable breaking down the resistance. Here you are my vision of future ETHUSDT. Please, don't enter position without your own analysis. It would boost your trading skills much better than just following over ideas. As you know guys, we work hard for you every day to make interesting and useful content. However, your opinion is extremely important for us. Thus, please, write down to comments what would you like to read about, what would you like to study and so forth. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
by Skyrexio
2
Introduction To Gann Theory | Gann Square From ScratchHello, traders! Today we gonna start one of the most complicated topics. Please pay as much attention as it possible and ask any questions you like. Gann technical analysis methods are a bit complicated because they are based on geometry, ancient mathematics, astrology, and astronomy. Popular technical methods like Gann Angles and the Master Charts are at Gann’s disposal. The Gann Square is also among the several powerful tools that Gann developed. How to use? It can be used in a variety of ways. One way is to start at the previous major pivot point (normally the end of the last 5 wave sequence) and draw it so that the 1 X 1 line follows the current market support areas to a good degree. Simply put, if you want to draw it from the higher high, the end should be at the previous lower low to follow the price cycles. And if you are drawing it from lower low, finish it at previous higher high. Another way is to highlight geometric formations that can forecast key support and resistance levels by counting forward from the all-time low or all-time high. Well, I understand the difficulty of the instrument. It's kinda difficult to use it from scratch. However, tomorrow I will elaborate this article with short analysis using this powerful tool. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
BEducation
by Skyrexio
4
Balance Of Power From ScratchHello, traders! As you know it's very important to identify the balance of bulls and bears. Today, we introduce you one of the most pretty and easy-to-interpret tools - Balance Of Power Oscillator. Balance of Power (BOP) is an oscillator that measures the strength of buying and selling pressure. Introduced by Igor Levshin in the August 2001 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine, this indicator compares the power of buyers to push prices to higher extremes with the power of sellers to move prices to lower extremes. When the indicator is in positive territory, the bulls are in charge; and sellers dominate when the indicator is negative. A reading near the zero line indicates a balance between the two and can mean a trend reversal. The Balance of Power indicator shows the direction and extent of price change during the trading period. Like most oscillators, the Balance of Power indicator can be used to identify trends, divergences from price, and overbought/oversold conditions. Zero-line crossovers provide buying and selling signals. Possible Signals Zero-Line Crossovers The scale of this oscillator ranges from -1 to +1, with 0 as the centerline. Zero-line crossovers indicate a move into positive or negative territory, and are often used as buy or sell signals. A cross above the center line generates a buy signal, and a cross below generates a sell signal. The data is smoothed with a moving average in order to reduce the number of whipsaws. An SMA with more periods reduces the number of false crossover signals, but also reduces the responsiveness of the indicator. While the main signal provided by the Balance of Power indicator comes from zero-line crossovers, it can also be used to determine the trend, look for divergences in price, and identify overbought/oversold securities. Trend identification A rising BOP line indicates an upward trend and a falling BOP line indicates a downward trend. The zero-line crossover confirms the trend change. Divergences with Price When price makes new highs but BOP doesn't, that is a negative divergence; when price makes new lows but BOP doesn't, that is a positive divergence. These divergences can foreshadow a change in trend. Conclusion The Balance of Power (BOP) indicator uses price to measure buying and selling pressure. It determines the strength of the buyers and sellers by looking at how strongly the price has changed, rather than using volume. As with all indicators, traders should use the Balance of Power indicator in conjunction with other indicators and analysis techniques.
Education
by Skyrexio
1
Short-term ETHUSDT AnalysisHi, traders! Today we continue to talk about Ethereum. It's considered to be one of the most powerful altcoins that could be an alternative of BTC. Well, let's have a look at the chart. On daily chart we can see descending channel. However, 0.236 Fib level is respected and tested actively by the price action. In out opinion, breakout and trend reverse is rather possible. However, common market conditions are bearish. That's why probability of breakout is kinda low. Thus, acting in this Chanel till September looks most likely. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
by Skyrexio
1
Chaikin Oscillator From ScratchHi, traders! Today we'll speak about one of the most pretty instrument of divergence detection. The Chaikin oscillator is named for its creator Marc Chaikin.1 The oscillator measures the accumulation-distribution line of moving average convergence-divergence (MACD). To calculate the Chaikin oscillator, subtract a 10-day exponential moving average (EMA) of the accumulation-distribution line from a 3-day EMA of the accumulation-distribution line. This measures momentum predicted by oscillations around the accumulation-distribution line. The purpose of the Chaikin oscillator is to identify underlying momentum during fluctuations in accumulation-distribution. Specifically, it applies the MACD indicator to accumulation-distribution rather than closing prices. For example, a trader wants to determine whether a coin price is more likely to go up or to fall and MACD is trending higher. The Chaikin oscillator generates a bullish divergence when it crosses above a baseline. The baseline is called the accumulation-distribution line. A cross above that line indicates that traders are accumulating, which is typically bullish. The Chaikin oscillator utilizes two primary buy and sell signals. First, a positive divergence is confirmed with a center-line crossover above the accumulation-distribution line, signaling a potential buying opportunity. Second, a negative divergence is confirmed with a center-line crossover below the accumulation-distribution line, signaling a potential selling opportunity. A positive divergence signals a coin price is likely to rise, given the increase in accumulation. A negative divergence signals a coin price is likely to fall, given the increase in distribution. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
Education
by Skyrexio
3
ETHUSDT Short OpportunityHi, traders! As you have already guess we've found a possible opportunity of short of ETHUSDT. Have a look at the plot. Initially, have a look at a great support zone that the previous price actions has built. In out opinion bears are too weak to break it now. Moreover, we've found the great Elliott Corrective pattern. As You can see on the plot, the probability of corrective wave B to go up is pretty high. However, considering the market geometry and mechanics C will be the motive descending line. Moreover, Schiff Pitchfork, pretty nice instrument that out friends Trading View give us, is respected by the price action. It helped us to put stop-loss level and confirm our assumptions of price action. We put stop loss a bit higher than the top border cause of the possible market manipulations. We would advise you not to follow us blindly, but also make your own conclusions based on our analysis. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
by Skyrexio
1inch Foundation Upgrades Governance FrameworkThe 1inch Network’s governance framework will have many of the hallmarks of Ethereum-based projects in a move that prioritizes user experience and broader network participation. 1inch Foundation, the non-profit arm of the 1inch decentralized exchange aggregator, has introduced important changes to its governance framework intended to streamline the proposal process. On Wednesday, the Foundation announced the creation of the 1inch Network Governance, which complements the “instant governance” framework the protocol launched back in December 2020. Instant governance gave 1inch token stakers the ability to vote on changes to protocol parameters. 1inch Network Governance is described as “a system similar to that of many other leading Ethereum-based projects,” including a user-friendly process for proposing protocol improvements. “Unlike instant governance, which is focused on protocol parameters, the 1inch Network Governance will be focused on major improvements that would make a difference for the entire 1inch ecosystem and, possibly, for the DeFi space at large,” the Foundation said. Users can participate in the governance process by visiting the 1inch public forum and selecting a subcategory for their proposal. The proposal process consists of three stages: Discussion, formalization and snapshot. It’s during the snapshot stage that off-chain voting for the proposal will be completed. All 1INCH token holders, and not just stakers, will be able to participate.
by Skyrexio
1
Awesome Oscillator From ScratchHi, traders! Today we’ll speak about one of the most pretty and easy-to-interpret oscillator - Awesome oscillator.The Awesome Oscillator Indicator (AO) is a technical analysis indicator created by Bill Williams as a tool to determine whether bullish or bearish forces dominate the market. It measures the market momentum with the aim to detect potential trend direction or trend reversals. The market momentum is evaluated using a combination of a shorter time frame and longer time frame simple moving averages or stated differently, it considers the recent momentum in comparison with a higher frame momentum. The Awesome Oscillator is calculated as the difference between the newest 5 periods (bars) simple moving average (SMA) and the 34 bars simple moving average. But instead of the closing price, the indicator uses the bar midpoint value. The indicator is plotted as a histogram in a box at the bottom of the chart and the histogram bars are found in either of the two colors red or green (with some trading platforms the lines can be red or blue). When the midpoint value of the last price is higher than the previous bar midpoint, the histogram will be green (blue) and if the midpoint of the last bar is lower compared to the previous bar, it will be red. How to use Awesome Oscillator? There are a variety of strategies which could be used by traders to identify potential trading opportunities. Some of the well-known and basic trading setups are the zero-line and divergence. Awesome Oscillator and zero-line crossovers The basic alerts which are generated by the Awesome Oscillator are identified on the basis of the zero-line cross overs. * A bullish buying opportunity alerts occur when the AO indicator crosses above the zero-line, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing faster compared to the long term. * A sell opportunity is detected when the indicator crosses below the zero-line mark displaying that the short-term momentum decreases more rapidly than the long-term. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
BEducation
by Skyrexio
Ulcer Index From ScratchHi, traders! Volatility is one of the most important parameters of the market. The measurement of it play a great role in technical analysis. Thus, it's kinda important to use tools that can tell you a lot about it. The Ulcer Index (UI) is a technical indicator that measures downside risk in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines. The index increases in value as the price moves farther away from a recent high and falls as the price rises to new highs. The indicator is usually calculated over a 14-day period, with the Ulcer Index showing the percentage drawdown a trader can expect from the high over that period. The indicator looks only at downside risk, not overall volatility. Other volatility measures, like standard deviation, treat up and down movement equally, but a trader typically does not mind upward movement; it is the downside that causes stress and stomach ulcers, as the index's name suggests. The Ulcer Index is recommended as a measure of risk in various contexts where the standard deviation is usually used. The Ulcer Index can also be charted over time and used as a kind of technical analysis indicator, to show coins going into ulcer-forming territory, or to compare volatility in different coins. Watching for spikes in the Ulcer Index that are beyond "normal" can also be used to indicate times of excessive downside risk, which investors may wish to avoid by exiting long positions. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
Education
by Skyrexio
1
How Cheese, Knives and Chocolate Will Make Solana to The MoonHi, traders! Let’s discuss some crypto news. As you know the fundamentals are essentially important in trading. Thus, we’ll try to speak about them more in future. From the latest news, Switzerland-based token issuer Digital Assets AG, or DAAG, has officially launched its stock-tokenization infrastructure on the Solana blockchain, offering users of the FTX trading platform a novel way for accessing traditional equity markets. During the initial rollout, FTX users who have completed Know Your Customer documentation will have access to 55 free-floating stocks, available 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, Digital Assets AG announced Thursday. That means users in permitted jurisdictions will be able to buy, sell and withdraw the assets at any time. Free-floating stocks are assets that have received regulatory approval to trade on tokenized platforms. As DAAG explained, they represent the number of shares of a given asset excluding locked-in shares, such as those held by company executives. Solana has received tremendous support from investors, venture capitalists and other market participants. The crypto startup recently raised $314 million from several high-profile investors to expedite the development of its high-performance blockchain. Andreessen Horowitz and Polychain Capital led the raise, with additional contributions from the likes of Alameda Research, Blockchange Ventures, CMS Holdings and CoinShares, among others. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
by Skyrexio
2
🎓 EDU 6 of 20: What Market Indicators do I Need to Follow?Hi traders, it's time for a new part of our educational series. This series aims to equip new traders with all the necessary tools to trade the forex market. Most of these tools are also used by large market participants in their daily analysis, and for making trading decisions. Getting started with trading isn't easy, mostly because the internet lacks quality when it comes to trading education. Yes, there are some great posts out there, but how are you supposed to know where to find them, and how to distinguish bad trading practices from good ones? This is why I created this educational series, to equip you with the main tools used by institutional investors and banks in trading. Alright, let's move on with the sixth part: What Market Indicators do I Need to Follow? Capital chases yield. Investors will move their capital to markets that offer better yields, be it in the USA, Europe, or Asia. Central banks play a huge role in determining yields when they hike domestic interest rates to fight inflationary pressures (making the domestic currency relatively more attractive), lower yields to support economic activity (making the domestic currency relatively less attractive), or keeping rates unchanged. To recap how this works, visit my previous post (EDU 5 of 20). Central banks follow market indicators to determine what is the correct monetary policy for current economic conditions. Just like traders, central banks follow CPIs, PPIs, industrial output, PMIs, and labor market numbers, to name a few. And if central banks follow them, you should too. 1. CPIs - Since most central banks have a specific inflation target they want to reach, Consumer Price Indices (CPIs) are one of the most followed market indicators. CPIs measure the change in the prices of goods and services at the retail level over a specific period of time (usually one year), and compares that change to a base period (in the US, the base period is 1982-1984, where the value of the CPI is set to 100.) However, markets are mostly focused on the annual rate of change in the CPI. 2. PPIs - While the CPI measures the change in prices at the retail level, PPIs do the same at the manufacturing level. For example, the PPI would catch changes in the prices of manufacturing input, such as raw materials or labor. Since most of the price changes are spilled over to the retail level, traders often follow PPIs to get early clues on where the CPI could be heading. 3. PMIs - The Purchasing Managers Index is a major leading indicator that catches trends in the overall economic activity. It's based on a survey of purchasing managers in 19 industries, who are asked to assess the current conditions on five major survey areas: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries, and employment. Currencies often react with great volatility to PMI releases, making it an important market report to follow. 4. Labor Market Conditions - When talking about labor market conditions, we are actually referring to all the indicators which cover the labor market, including unemployment rates, unemployment claims, non-farm payrolls, average hourly wages, employment change, etc. Many central banks closely follow labor market numbers, as their mandate can also be to target full employment (in addition to an inflation target.) Labor market numbers can also provide some leading insights into the future economy, as the creation of many new jobs usually leads to higher economic output and GDP growth. Besides the mentioned reports, there are many more reports that can have a significant impact on the forex market. Some of them include retail sales and core retail sales, consumer confidence indices, GDP growth rates, etc. Check them out if you want to get a deeper understanding of the major market reports. What's important to mention is that markets are focused on the actual number vs the forecasted number. For example, if non-farm payrolls come in at 500k but expectations were set at 350k, this will usually lead to a strong positive reaction in the US dollar. Also, the reaction is stronger is the surprise comes in the direction of the central bank policy (for the example above, if the Fed is hawkish and the NFP comes in stronger, the reaction in the US dollar will be stronger than in the case of a dovish Fed and strong NFP.) If you find my educational series useful, please consider hitting the "LIKE" button to share the word. Thanks!
Education
by MujkanovicFX
Pitchfork and Its Modifications From ScratchHi, traders! Trading View gives us great opportunities to gain as much profit from analysis as it’s possible. Many tools indicators, including custom indicators let traders to extract all insights from the price action plot. However, many of us don’t know about very useful tools that TW gives us “from the box”. Well, today we’ll speak about pitchfork and its modifications. Pitchfork The technical indicator known as Andrews Pitchfork is not that well known and is rarely used by novice traders. However, it is a quick and easy way for traders to identify possible levels of support and resistance for price. It is created by placing three points at the end of previous trends and then drawing a line from the first point that runs through the midpoint of the other two points. The reason this indicator is called a "pitchfork" becomes apparent from the shape that is created in the chart. How to draw? Put the first point to the start of a new trend, second point on the next higher high, and the third to the lower low. Shiff Pitchfork But it’s good when we have no corrections. Try to draw pitchfork after it and you’ll fail. Fortunately, this problem has been solved with Shiff Pitchfork. It has the same properties like the Original one, but the “corrections bug” is fixed. How to draw? Put the first point to the start of correction (pump), second point on the next higher high/lower low, and the third to the lower low/higher high. Well, frankly speaking, the Original Pitchfork works well only on trend markets. For the corrections Shiff Pitchfork was invented. But what should we do with other cases? choppy market< for instance? Don’t worry, everything has been already invented. The Modified Shiff Pitchfork The Modified Shiff Pitchfork is heuristic above the Shiff pitchfork that specializes on sideways market movements. How to draw? Put the first point to the start of sideways movement, second point on the next higher high/lower low, and the third to the lower low/higher high. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
BEducation
by Skyrexio
2
How To Tame A Reptile or Williams Alligator From ScratchHi, traders! Have you ever heard about Alligator? Not from Australia or America but Williams Alligator. Both Australian reptile and Williams ‘pet’ have some common – they all have Jaw, Teeth, and Lips. So what is Williams Alligator? As you know, you can get maximum profit during trend markets. You gonna enter to longs or shorts, to take some profit. It’s obvious that trading on choppy (sideways) market can be very dangerous for your funds. Thus, there’s the reasonable question, are you sure that the market has trend. Genius trader Bill Williams was concerned about the problem. That’s why he invented such pretty tool to define if market is trendy or choppy. It’s the first Alligator that’ll help you to earn money, but not spend them in boutiques. So, let’s speak about technical part. The Alligator indicator uses three smoothed moving averages(calculated with a simple moving average), set at 5, 8, and 13 periods, which are all Fibonacci numbers. The initial smoothed average is calculated with a simple moving average (SMA), adding additional smoothed averages that slow down indicator turns. The three moving averages comprise the Jaw, Teeth, and Lips of the Alligator, opening, and closing in reaction to evolving trends and trading ranges: 1. Jaw (blue line): Starts with the 13-bar SMMA and is smoothed by eight bars on subsequent values. 2. Teeth (red line): Starts with the eight-bar SMMA and is smoothed by five bars on subsequent values. 3. Lips (green line): Starts with the five-bar SMMA and smoothed by three bars on subsequent values. The indicator applies convergence-divergence relationships to build trading signals, with the Jaw making the slowest turns and the Lips making the fastest turns. The Lips crossing down through the other lines signals a short sale opportunity while crossing upward signals a buying opportunity. Williams refers to the downward cross as the alligator "sleeping" and the upward cross as the alligator "awakening." The three lines stretched apart and moving higher or lower denote trending periods in which long or short positions should be maintained and managed. This is referred to as the alligator "eating with mouth wide open." Indicator lines converging into narrow bands and shifting toward a horizontal direction denote periods in which the trend may be coming to an end, signaling the need for profit-taking and position realignment. This indicates the alligator is "sated." The indicator will givefalse positives when the three lines are crisscrossing each other repeatedly, due to choppy market conditions. According to Williams, the alligator is "sleeping" at this time. Remain on the sidelines until it wakes up again. This exposes a significant drawback of the indicator because many awakening signals within large ranges will fail, triggering whipsaws.
Education
by Skyrexio
3
Ultimate Oscillator From ScratchHi, traders! Oscillators are very important part of any trading strategy. It helps to find the momentum and gives rather reliable signals in conjunction with other indicators. Today we’ll speak about one of the most powerful oscillators – Ultimate Oscillator. Ultimate Oscillator uses the weighted average of three different timeframes and has less volatility and fewer trade signals compared to other oscillators that rely on a single timeframe. Buy and sell signals are generated following divergences. The Ultimately Oscillator generates fewer divergence signals than other oscillators due to its multi-timeframe construction. By using the weighted average of three different timeframes the indicator has less volatility and fewer trade signals compared to other oscillators that rely on a single timeframe. Buy and sell signals are generated following divergences. The Ultimately Oscillator generates fewer divergence signals than other oscillators due to its multi-timeframe construction. How to Calculate the Ultimate Oscillator -Calculate the Buying Pressure (BP) which is the close price of the period less the low of that period or prior close, whichever is lower. Record these values for each period as they will be summed up over the last seven, 14, and 28 periods to create BP Sum. -Calculate the True Range (TR) which is the current period's high or the prior close, whichever is higher, minus the lowest value of the current period's low or the prior close. Record these values for each period as they will be summed up over the last seven, 14, and 28 periods to create TR Sum. -Calculate Average7, 14, and 28 using the BP and TR Sums calculations from steps one and two. For example, the Average7 BP Sum is the calculated BP values added together for the last seven periods. -Calculate the Ultimate Oscillator using the Average7, 14, and 28 values. Average7 has a weight of four, Average14 has a weight of two, and Average28 has a weight of one. Sum the weights in the denominator (in this case, the sum is seven, or 4+2+1). -Multiply by 100 when other calculations are complete. UO= ×100 UO=Ultimate Oscillator How to use it? In order for the indicator to generate a buy signal, it's recommended a three-step approach. -First, a bullish divergence must form. This is when the price makes a lower low but the indicator is at a higher low. -Second, the first low in the divergence (the lower one) must have been below 30. This means the divergence started from oversold territory and is more likely to result in an upside price reversal. -Third, the Ultimate oscillator must rise above the divergence high. The divergence high is the high point between the two lows of the divergence. Three-step method for sell signals. -First, a bearish divergence must form. This is when the price makes a higher high but the indicator is at a lower high. -Second, the first high in the divergence (the higher one) must be above 70. This means the divergence started from overbought territory and is more likely to result in a downside price reversal. -Third, the Ultimate oscillator must drop below the divergence low. The divergence low is the low point between the two highs of the divergence.
Education
by Skyrexio
Forex Weekly Forecast: Jun 14 - 18thWelcome to the latest Forex Weekly Forecast. I analyze 18 pairs, and put them on my Watchlist. Check the timestamps for the ones that aren't on the Watchlist. Remember, just because they aren't setting up today, doesn't meant they won't be near an entry during the week! So stayed tuned for updates! 00:00 Intro 00:09 DXY 02:37 USDCAD 04:05 USDCHF 05:07 GBPUSD 06:42 GBPCHF 07:44 GBPCAD 09:45 EURUSD 11:21 EURJPY 14:25 EURCHF 16:01 EURNZD 17:15 AUDCHF 19:11 AUDNZD 20:41 CADCHF 22:37 CHFJPY 23:56 NZDUSD 25:13 NZDJPY 26:28 NZDCHF 29:01 US30 We are going to look into depth on the above forex markets, using top down analysis. If you have a question on any of the content, please leave a message in the comments section. For beginners, this is how you analyze forex markets, identify supply and demand zones, key levels of support and resistance, and look for swing trade setups. Likes, comments and subs are always welcome! Thank you for your support!
by RT_Money
What will happen to bitcoin ,short termWell, I am not a great fan of BTC ,but if BTC crosses the 40,0000 mark or holds it for sometime we can see it going to 50,000 for a short period of time . I honestly believe CRYPTO will not be or future money as simple as that . People don't want there $1 value to change so quickly , when they are shopping ( i.e., $1 to to be either $20 or $0.01 {OH MAN! , I cant buy this bread now} ) . Decentralized stuff is difficult to deal with . The person or group behind BTC is just playing around.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Nitish_816
2
Aroon From ScratchHi traders! Today we gonna tell you about one of the most interesting indicators. As you know, trend is based on price action. Everything on the market based on price action, LMAO. Thus, it’s considerably important to define and extract some hidden states, that can play a huge role in trend predicting. Aroon is one of this hidden-state finders. The Aroon indicator is a technical indicator that is used to identify trend changes in the pric, as well as the strength of that trend. In essence, the indicator measures the time between highs and the time between lows over a time period. The idea is that strong uptrends will regularly see new highs, and strong downtrends will regularly see new lows. The indicator signals when this is happening, and when it isn't. The indicator consists of the "Aroon up" line, which measures the strength of the uptrend, and the "Aroon down" line, which measures the strength of the downtrend. Formulas for the Aroon Indicator Aroon Up(orange)= (x-periods since last high in x period) /x*100 where x – number of periods. Aroon Down(blue)= (x-periods since last low in x period)/x*100 where x – number of periods. How to use it? We use it in two ways: crossovers and parallel state. When Aroon Up and Aroon Down draw a parallel channel, we can make a conclusion that market is choppy and it would be better to avoid entering. Crossovers can signal entry or exit points. Up crossing above Down can be a signal to buy. Down crossing below Up may be a signal to sell. When both indicators are below 50 it can signal that the price is consolidating. New highs or lows are not being created. Traders can watch for breakouts as well as the next Aroon crossover to signal which direction price is going. As for the parameters, we use on 15M timeframe Aroon with the length 10 on 4H. It gives us less signals, but they are very strong. You can tune it in depending on your purposes and goals of strategy.
Education
by Skyrexio
ATR From ScratchHi, traders! The volatility is one of the most important market indicator that could describe the instrument’s behavior. That’s why it’s deadly impossible to use it to predict the further price movements. But what is volatility? It’s the measure of price changing. The more volatility is, the more you can earn or lose, the price is prone to change. So, dear subscribers today we’ll speak about Average True Range (ATR), one of the most powerful indictors of volatility. Well, from the very beginning, let’s speak about True Range (TR) and understand how to calculate it. True range is maximum of pairwise absolute difference between high and low, open and close, maximum and minimum. TR=MAX(|high-low|,|high-close|,|low-close|) So, it shows us how much the instrument’s price has changed during the one bar. It’s Whereas the Average True Range is Average of TR during some period. ATR=sum(TRs of period)/length of period It’s considered to be rather informative, but it’s kinda difficult to make any decisions. For example, is you see on the chart above we have two coins: MAKER and Bitcoin. The definition of ATR of the first is bigger sometimes, but the real volatility (price change) of the second is much higher. Thus, we would advise you to use ATR Normalized, cause you can make it in percentage scale and considering any period you like to make it more representative and smart. The ATR may be used by market technicians to enter and exit trades, and is a useful tool to add to a trading system. It was created to allow traders to more accurately measure the daily volatility of an asset by using simple calculations. The indicator does not indicate the price direction; rather it is used primarily to measure volatility caused by limit up or down moves. The ATR is fairly simple to calculate and only needs historical price data. The ATR is commonly used as an exit method that can be applied no matter how the entry decision is made. One popular technique is known as the "chandelier exit". The chandelier exit places a trailing stop under the highest high the stock reached since you entered the trade. The distance between the highest high and the stop level is defined as some multiple times the ATR. 2 For example, we can subtract three times the value of the ATR from the highest high since we entered the trade. Also it can be used as the tool that can help you to choose tokens that suits your strategy. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
Education
by Skyrexio
1
how to risk smartly? position sizing, risk n reward, SL n TP 👌Risk refers to the probability of a negative event happening in your activities; an event that goes contrary to your intended outcome. Risk is part and parcel of the cryptocurrency trade. It is the chance of an undesired outcome on the trade, which translates to making losses. For instance, a 50% risk on a short position simply means that there is a 50% probability that the Bitcoin price will rise, resulting in a loss on your part. Today, we take you through the simple rules to follow when managing risk in crypto trading. Types Of Risk The crypto trading world is exposed to four main types of financial risks: Credit Risk This risk affects crypto projects. It is the probability of the parties behind the crypto project failing to fulfill their due obligations. Credit risk is mostly attributed to theft and fraud in the crypto market. A good example is the hacking of Binance in 2018, which led to over $40 million loss. Legal Risk Legal risk refers to the probability of a negative event occurring with respect to regulatory rules. For instance, a ban on cryptocurrency trading in a specific country. A practical example of legal risk is when the states of Texas and North Carolina issued a cease-and-desist order to Bitconnect cryptocurrency exchange due to suspicion of fraud. Liquidity Risk Liquidity risk in respect to crypto trading refers to the chance of a trader being unable or incapacitated to convert their entire position to fiat currencies (USD, YEN, GBP) that they can use in their every-day spending. Market Risk Market risk refers to the chance of coin prices moving up or down contrary to your desire in an open position. Operational Risk Operational risk is the chance that a trader is unable to trade, deposit, or even withdraw money in their crypto wallets. Main Risk Management Strategies The rule of thumb in crypto trading is: “Do not risk more than you can afford to lose.” Given the gravity of risk in crypto trading, we generally advise traders to use not more than 10% of their budget or monthly revenue. Also, trading with borrowed money is not advisable as it puts them in a credit risk position. Risk management strategies can be broadly categorized into three: risk/reward ratio, position-sizing, as well as stop loss & take profits. 1. Position Sizing Position sizing dictates how many coins or tokens of cryptocurrency a trader is willing to buy. The probability of realizing great profits in crypto trading tempts traders to invest 30%, 50% or even 100% of their trading capital. However, this is a disruptive move that puts you at serious financial risks. The golden rule is: never put all your eggs in one basket. Here are three ways to achieve position sizing. Enter Amount vs Risk Amount This approach considers two different amounts. The first involves money you are willing to invest in every single deal. We advise traders to look at this amount as the size of each new order they take, regardless of its type. The second involves money at risk, i.e. the money that you stand to lose in case the trading fails. This is how you define your enter amount: A = ((Stack size * Risk per Trade) / (Entry Price – Stop Loss)) * Entry Price Let’s say we wish to purchase BTC with USDT with a target of $13,000. Our parameters would be: Stack Size: $5,000 Risk per Trade: 2% Entry Price: $11,500 Stop Loss: $10,500 Our enter amount would be: A= ((5,000 * 0.02) / (11,500 – 10,500)) * 11,500 = 1,150 The ideal amount to invest in this deal is $1,150 or 23%. However, due to our Stop Loss, we only risk 2% as it will stop the trade once it reaches the determined level. Risk trading in cryptocurrency Elder’s “Sharks” and “Piranhas” This concept of position sizing relates to diversifying your investments. Dr. Alexander Elder, who is credited with the concept, suggests two rules: Limiting every position to 2% risk. Elder compares risk to a shark bite. Sometimes you would wish to risk a huge amount, but the risk would be huge and catastrophic as a shark bite. Limiting trading sessions to 6% per session. In a losing streak, you may end up spending everything you own little by little. Elder compares this risk to a piranha attack, which takes small bites of its victim until it consumes it all. Following Elder’s sharks and piranhas approach results in no more than three open positions per 2% each or six ones per 1%. Limiting results in reverse compounding; losses get smaller and smaller with each subsequent loss you make. Kelly Criterion The Kelly criterion is a formula developed by John Larry Kelly in 1956. It is a position sizing approach that defines the percentage of capital to bet. It suits long-term trading. A = (Success % / Loss Ratio at Stop Loss) – ((1 – success %) / Profit Ratio at Take Profit) Using the previous example, the features would be: Stock size: $5,000 Invested Amount: $1,150 Success %: 60% Entry Price: $11,500 Stop Loss: $10,500 Loss Ratio: 1.10 Take Profits: $13,000 Our result would be: A = (0.6 / 1.10) – ((1 – 0.06) / 1.13) = 0.19 This means you should not risk more than 19% of the entire capital of $5,000 for you to arrive at the best possible outcome in a series of deals. 2. Risk/Reward Ratio The risk/reward ratio compares the actual level of risk with the potential returns. In trading, the riskier a position, the more profitable it can get. Understanding the risk /reward ratio enables you to know when to enter a trade and when it is unprofitable. The risk/reward ratio is calculated as follows: R = (Target Price – Entry Price) / (Entry Price – Stop Loss) From the previous illustration: Entry price: $11,500 Stop Loss: $10,500 Target price: $13,000 Our ratio would be: R = (13,000 – 11,500) / (11,500 – 10,500) = 1.5 or 1:1.5 A ratio of 1:1.5 is good. We advise traders not to trade with a ratio lower than 1:1. 3. Stop Loss + Take Profit Stop Loss refers to an executable order which closes an open position when a price decreases to a specific barrier. Take Profit, on the other hand, is an executable order that liquidates open orders when the prices rise to a certain level. Both are good approaches to managing risk. Stop Losses save you from trading in unprofitable deals while Take Profits let you get out of the trade before the market can turn against you. You can make use of Trailing Stop Losses and Take Profits which follow the rate’s changes automatically. Such a feature, however, isn’t available at the majority of crypto exchanges. Fortunately, with crypto terminals like Superorder, you can set your Trailing Stop Losses and Take Profits right from the terminal. Winning Strategies Accept Failures Risk is part and parcel of trading. Besides, we cannot eliminate it but only manage it. You should, therefore, accept your losses and rely on plan-based decision making to realize profits in future trades. Consider Fees New traders often do not know the fees that come along with trading. Such include withdrawal fees, leverage fees, etc. You should consider these in your risk management. Focus on the Win Rate Risks will always be there to discourage you from trading. However, focusing on the number of times you win helps to develop a positive attitude in trading. Measure Drawdown This refers to the total reduction of your initial funds after a series of losses. For instance, if you lost $1,000 from $5,000, your measure drawdown is 10%. The higher the amount, the more you would need to inject into a trade for it to recover. As Dr. Elder advised, stick to a 6% risk limit. Please click LIKE button and Appreciate my hard work. Must follow me for latest crypto real time updates. Thank you.
NYSE:TWTR
by BTC-fire
Mastering Elliott Wave AnalysisHi, traders! Today we gonna speak about Elliott wave principles. The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that finance traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective factors. Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves , or simply waves. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature's Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." The empirical validity of the Elliott wave principle remains the subject of debate.
BEducation
by Skyrexio
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