BTCUSD vision, advicdes, strategies.Hello:)
First i`ll say few words about situation right now. We are in the previous resistance, we didnt brake it, we made some divergence on indicators, but watch out: same situation was on the last week (circled and pointed on macd). So, if they are similar, so black arrow shows the possible movement. Nobody can say how it will behave itself, but i believe resistance will not be broken. How to trade now? i`ll say it further id the educational part that i promised!:)
Today i want to give you some useful info about how we can trade in such situation.
First, i want to say about one thing, that should be never been forgotten: support and resistance. Yes, simple. Very simple. But most of traders belive that their succes depends on confusingly difficult instruments. And that is not true.(same with triangles, but tsss :D, P.s explain later)
Look on the grafic, and for example at the zones that i marked yellow. They shows really good how it works. It doesnt matter what kind of movement do we have, up or down: previous levels, where the prices stoped will surely affect following picture: prices will bounce around them.
This was said to realize one thing: indicators dont work on their own, they just help us to make a decision and sometimes they can tell us about impulse, that rises an opportunity to break present levels.
So, what is important about trading whith indicators? I noticed some really strong signs, that tells about turn of price: 1. Divergence should be formed in with free indexes: AO columns, MACD columns and MACD grafical constituent. This is the stongest sign of the turn. Example
2. Volume decreasing, that means that bulls/bears are not interested in buy/sell and they are losing their strength. But dont use small timeframes when you want to measure volume. My experience says that for the intraday 1-4 hours (in comparrison) are the best.
3. Usually it takes 2-4 waves to form strong enough divergence to make a turn.
Also, there are some thin moment in indicators analasing. Sometimes it can be useful to analyse the single columns in macd and ao. Take some last min/max on graphic and watch the indexes on macd/ao. It can help to track some minor movements like this, but this sign is not strong enough to trust it much, but you can use it placing stoploss very near to your order.
And the final part for today is the thing, that i realised about 20 hours ago:) Did you see on youtube that succesful traders usualy have 2-4 monitors? Turned out that it`s not just farce:))) I have not very good tradition: i usually miss some good movements:) And i realized the stupid reason of it: it`s very difficult to observe chart from the one window, where you always switch timeframes. This way you cant summarise compare indexes well or summarazi them, because of using different graphic scale and because indicators show the situation in different ways. I prefer 15 min timeframe for the intraday, but the general situation on the market is the most important thing, and when i cocentrate on 15 mins i cant objectively evaluate the situation. And the exit is simple too: create more windows for every timeframe:) For one monitor the most comfortable variation is the next: two vertical windows, one for the 30 mins till 2 h timeframes to switch, and second for the 3min-15min timeframes to switch. First one helps us see the general conjuncture, second one helps us to make an accurate order. That is because, as i said above, different timeframes shows different indexes for the indicators. Big timeframes helps to find the movement with good amplitude, small timeframes helps to take an accurate swim in this flow.
Howtotrade
How To Read Structure (Charts) Tutorial. Charts 1-5By the time you are done with this tutorial, You will understand Structure, Trends, Reversals & much more! This tutorial will teach you how to dig deep into the charts & analyze where price is likely to go next!
Reading Structure can be difficult when you first start trading, however most professional traders (if not all) understand structure very well and it is definitely a skill that will dramatically help you on your journey to becoming a professional trader. I tried to make this as clear & simple as possible for anyone to understand but do not worry if this is complicated or a little confusing at first. If you are new to trading, you will benefit by studying and looking over these charts multiple times. I have found that it is also helpful if you grab a piece of paper and a pencil so you can draw the chart that you are looking at. Draw a very simple line chart and mark the highs & lows as shown in the tutorial with support & resistance lines.. You will learn much faster by doing this while training your eyes to identify trends & reversals. After you do this enough, it will start to become 2nd nature & you will spot these crucial moments in structure with a quick glance at the charts.
This is the first section of the Reading Structure Tutorial. This section will consist of 6 Charts total:
Chart 1- An Easy and effective way to determine trend.
Chart 2- Following The Trend with Support & Resistance (Highs & Lows)
Chart 3- Continuation of Chart 2
Chart 4- Identifying Possible Trend Reversals
Chart 5 - When Structure Doesn't Make Sense, Do Not Trade!
Chart 6- Another Reversal
I have put a lot of time & effort into this tutorial so feel free to ask any questions you may have.. I will be publishing section 2 of the "How To Read Structure" tutorial next week. Please leave a comment below or message me with your thoughts regarding this lesson. I am happy to continue publishing them if they are helpful to you.
We are going to scroll through this chart & follow structure. This is a 60 Minute Chart of GBP-USD.
Chart 1
Chart 2, In this Chart we are going to look at the highs & lows shown on Chart 1.
Chart 2 Continued, (Continuation of Chart 2.)
Chart 3, Identifying Possible Trend Reversals.
Chart 4, In depth Analysis of Chart 3.
Chart 5, Another Example of a trend reversal
Section 2 of "How To Read Structure" will be published next week & I will be sure to update this tutorial with the new charts as well as publish a separate idea. Take your time & really study these charts. There is a ton of valuable information in this tutorial & by the time you get through all the sections, you will have a much easier time reading structure. Please be sure to give this tutorial a thumbs up if it was helpful & you would like me to continue posting them. Thanks Traders & I hope you enjoyed the 1st section of this tutorial!
[Tips] High-Probability Trade with Fibonacci Retracement
How To Use Fibonacci Retracement to find High-Probability Trade Setup
Brief Definition:
Fibonacci retracement is a very popular tool among technical traders and is based on the key numbers identified by mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci in the thirteenth century.
In technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement is created by taking two extreme points (usually a major High and Low) on a chart and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, and 100%.
Once these levels are identified, horizontal lines are drawn and used to identify possible support and resistance levels.
These ratios seem to play an important role in the financial market and can be used to determine critical points that cause price to reverse. The direction of the prior trend is likely to continue once the price has retraced to one of the ratios listed above.
Tips for Effective Setup:
1. Analyze the general overview (big picture) of price movement to the current trend.
In the above example, blue vertical line divides chart into 2 section, Downtrend on the left and Uptrend on the right.
We can use MA200 to identify the overall trend.
2. Look at the price movement carefully and then draw Fibo Ret from the extreme pivot points.
For Downtrend, drag 100% level from previous High to 0% level at the newly formed Low.
For Uptrend, drag 100% level from previous Low to 0% level at the newly formed High.
3. Pay attention to the price movement to the opposite direction of the general trend.
Wait for any price rejection to the same direction with the general trend at one of the Fibo Ret level.
Entry zone which quite popular are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% level.
4. Probability of success will increased if price rejection occurs at the confluence of Support and Resistance levels.
ie. confluence of one Fibo Ret level with Support / Resistance area, Trendline, or Chart Pattern.
The point is, more confluences are taking places, probability of success for price rejection at Fibo Ret level is higher.
Few Examples:
Example 1 - 3 for Downtrend case (MA200 sloping down)
Example 4 - 5 for Uptrend case (MA200 sloping up)
1. (Normal Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected down from around Fibo Ret 50%.
The downtrend continuation after price rejection tend to be normal and not too deep.
2. (Higher Probability Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected down from the confluence of 2 resistance:
Fibo Ret 23.6% and Resistance Area 110.648-110.771.
The downtrend continuation after price rejection tend to be quite deep.
3. (Highest Probability Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected down from the confluence of 3 resistance:
Fibo Ret 61.8%, Major Down Trendline (diagonal red line), and Resistance Area 110.275-110.346.
The downtrend continuation after price rejection tend to be very deep.
4. (Higher Probability Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected up from the confluence of 2 support:
Fibo Ret 38.2% and Support Area 110.648-110.771.
The uptrend continuation after price rejection tend to be quite high.
5. (Normal Retracement) Price reversed to the opposite direction of the trend and rejected up from around Fibo Ret 61.8%.
The uptrend continuation after price rejection tend to be normal and not too high.
Happy Trading...
The best way to trade the most trade Cryptocurrency pair ETHBTCETHBTC is like the most traded currency pair, comparable with EURUSD.
Currently the trend is strongly in favor of Ethereum it moved from as little as 0.01 ETHBTC to now 0.1 ETHBTC, which is an increase of price of more then 10 times or 1000%
Best way to trade ETHBTC is holding all your money in Ethereum and whenever you see price drop to a retracement then you buy it, and when price breaks two resistance you sell it.
Example
When you start at 0.1 ETHBTC
Buy at 0.095 ETHBTC and sell at 0.105 ETHBTC
When you start at 0.11 ETHBTC
Buy at 0.105 ETHBTC and sell at 0.115 ETHBTC
Like this you are able to profit from both:
1. LONGTERM TREND of Ethereum
2. Dips from price drops and correction
Result:
You get a result that outperforms both underlying markets.
Short EURUSD (Bearish Bat)Just got short EURUSD on this bearish Bat pattern.
Minimum stops need to be above X at 1.0689 with target 1 at a 38.2 fibonacci retracement and target 2 at a 61.8 fibonacci retracement.
If you would like to follow all of my live trades, you can sign up for free on my website: www.bctradingsystems.com
Good luck and Good trading.
Potential Bearish Cypher on GBPUSDThere is a potential bearish cypher setting up on the GBPUSD. This pattern will potentially complete @ 1.25151. Minimum stops need to be above X at 1.25559 with target 1 at 1.24585 and target 2 at 1.24241.
As always, make sure to follow your plan. Good luck and good trading.
WHY TRADERS LOSE IN FINANCIAL MARKETSWhy Traders Lose In The Financial Market.
Three Important Things To Know Before Trading
You may be one of the traders out there, Who has lost plenty of dollars in the financial markets. So in today’s lesson we are going to check the most common trading mistakes a trader does when he starts trading.
Knowledge:
So the first important accept in losing in the financial markets is because of the lack of “knowledge”. What happens in the trading world is people start trading without even knowing what the market actually does. How does it move or where does it move. Most of them who lost in the financial markets are those have heard a friend or a colleague who would have said that making money is easy in the financial markets. That’s because they would have come across some kind of advertisements where it propagates that you can make hundreds and thousands of dollars in the financial markets just by clicking a simple button of Buy/Sell.
Risk Management:
Second important thing in losing the market is because of lack of Risk managements. Now most of the traders doesn’t follow a risk to reward ration while they are trading. I’ll tell you why people don’t keep stop loss. The important reason behind it is when they started trading the markets, they would have taken a trade and it would have hit a target, while they are very happy about the profits they made.
Now comes the dark side of the markets. Next time when they start to trade the trades goes against them and now they don’t know what to do because they never had an idea about it. So once they start losing they keep on holding it, At some point when the market pulls back and they have a break even trade and comes out. But this pressure they went through will be there deep down so now they think to themselves keeping a proper stop loss would help me reduce the risk of losing the whole account.
Next trade they use a stop loss. Now what happens is the market comes down and hits their stop loss and boom it pulls back to the target zone. Now they start to curse the market and would say i shouldn’t have kept the stop loss or else it would been in profits. Finally the next trade they take without a stop loss the market moves against them and finally waiting it will reverse at some point the market goes further negative and wipes their account.
This is what happens to most of the traders out there who doesn’t follow a proper stop loss. They start losing their whole investment in few days or weeks.
Lack of Strategy:
Now there is a very common phrase which I ask to all my students at the beginning of a class ” Have you even thought why did you take this trade”. The most common answer which I hear back is to make money. Just took a trade because the market was very high or very low.
So one of the misconception among the traders is when they see the market rally high in the charts, they start to get an idea that now it’s going to go for a sell. Alternate scenario when the market goes very low they start to think the market will now start to rally up. Even you who is reading this article can be one of them. I’l explain you why after you thought the market is very low still it’s going down, that’s because you never had a proper strategy or knowledge to know whether this price which you assume is high is even the highest point or not. So in order to know what first of all build up a strong strategy where you could be so sure that this is the markets highest point or the lowest points. Do some testing of the market and back test your strategy before you take a trade.
Conclusion:
Try checking out all this mistakes which you have done so far and try to change your mind set. Yes! mind set is one of the most important thing that you need while trading the financial markets. Without a proper discipline and mindset you can’t be consistent in your profits. To learn more about the trading psychology and other trading materials.
Bitcoin and crypto trading tips #1 - Trendlines and logarithmicHi
Below you can see the trendline in logarithmic view. Notice how the trend is now completely straight and lines up with the straight yellow trendline.
It's worth keeping in mind that not all trends will stick to the trendline in logarithmic view. You do still have trends that are moving so fast that they never return to a previous trendline until they begin a downtrend. However using the logarithmic for trendlines view can often give a better idea of where the price is likely to return to. The price will often never return to a trendline drawn using the non-logarithmic scale if the trend is a very healthy crypto trend.
If anyone has any further thoughts or disagreements about this I'd interested in hearing them.
Cheers,
Mark
USDJPY Pennant Pattern BreakoutSyndicate members there will be a video coming out on this shortly, but I wanted to share with you guys a potential breakout trade that I have on my radar this Tuesday Morning.
If you're unsure on the different ways to trade these types of simple consolidation pattern you can check out the video I posted 2 weeks ago titled "How To Trade Breakouts"
But there is a lot of potential upside on this trade especially when you consider the levels of structure that we have just broken & the next levels of potential resistance that lie on the daily around the 111 even handle.
USDJPY: Bearish Bat + ExplanationHi Traders,
Here is a bearish bat pattern setup on USDJPY with D pattern completion at 103.950.
Read below if you are unsure how to identify a bat pattern.
1) Look for an impulse leg, which will mark the beginning of the pattern. I like the analogy of seeing the impulse leg as a "Sore Thumb" high or low point, something that immediately sticks out on the chart. This is the X point.
2) Grab your fibonacci retracement tool and draw from the X (sore thumb high or low) to the lowest/highest point of the move. This is the A point.
3) Price must touch the 50% retracement of the XA leg, BUT NOT TOUCH the 61.8%. This is the B point.
4) Draw a fibonacci retracement from the A to B point, we are looking for AT LEAST a 61.8% retracement. If price exceeds the A point the pattern is invalid. This is the C point.
5) To find the completion at D, draw a fibonacci retracement from XA and if price reaches the 88.6% retracement the pattern has completed. This is the D point.
6) I place stops 10-15 pips above or below the X leg.
7) Targets go at the 38.2% and 61.8% retracement of the A to D leg.
Hope that helps! Remember to leave me a like or comment below if this helped you.
Good luck and good trading,
Luke
It's all part of the plan EURJPYAs with most things in life, letting a trade set up steep and mature prior to entry is basically how you make the most profit.
Come and be successful. Should the support bar break I am in, joining a clear strong signal = Short/Medium/Long term trends all down.
GL and may all your trades be monsters ;)
EURJPY extended Down - trending - Short target within sightA beautiful extended downtrend here with a large room too profit over the relatively short term 1-3 months.
Simply waiting for my target entry zone to become available. Should I stay positive about entering I will.
GL if you do the same or something else. Feedback always good, good banter even better ;)
SEX Set-up *Sorry I meant SPX500 ;)It is about time us Bears got together and smashed this cheeky bugger off the worlds top spot.
As you can see here we have combined waves of tightening wedge formation on the chart.
We also have some strong fundamental key events to help drive emotions and stretch budgets.
The cloud of short interest is growing and if we slam hard come NFP we will be able to see a phenomenal short-medium term drop off and correction in price.
Tell the FED to pack some Vaseline
Down under getting further down under AUDUSD THE analysisLong term outlook very bleak for the once relatively strong AUD.
It's been a tough two years on the Australian currency. With a very wobbly gold price dictating the nerves and a phenomenally crucial period of USD relative strength the AUD is suffering without a doubt.
Using a simple fib based regression trend analysis along with a modified pitchfork that ties into the fib I predict a lowering of price here over the course of the next few days and weeks.
Entry can be taken now but ideally I would suggest let it pop up just a bit further before taking it on for SHORT positions.
As for leverage, margin, size and duration I leave that all to you my trading buddy :)
Best of luck and stay safe. It's a dangerous place to be falling without a parachute ;)
#winningtrades #thatswhatwedo #changeyourlife
USDJPY Get down you dirty dog! #bitchbetterhavemymoneySo USDJPY has been grinding down the price levels for some time now, here is a simple profitable set up for a further short scenario.
Take a Short from here and hold. 101 is my personal target profit take and I suggest if you follow that you do the same. My stop is set at 106.600
Time duration of the trade I would expect to be no longer than two weeks at most. Good luck if you take it on. Let me know with some feedback and banter.
GBP/USD time to BUY!Every time we see a new Brexit poll or a EUR based calendar event GBP/USD is taking a bashing. HOWEVER, the overall trend for GBP is pointing skyward and we truly believe this asset is massively oversold.
Buy now, hold LONG and feel the profit! We are predicting over 250 pips of positive movement over the next week or so!
Come and check out our trading team on www.STBinary.com today.
GBPUSD: A Trend Continuation & Countertrend Idea (Video)Just a quick follow up from the trade I shared with you guys in last night's video looking at a trend continuation opportunity on GBPUSD. As the market established a double top overnight, counter trend traders will also have an opportunity to involve themselves in a 2618 trade as well.
Make sure you check out yesterday's video for an explanation of the TCT trade
"Statistics on Why Most Traders Fail" www.youtube.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com
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