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Top 4 Price Action Signals For Beginners. Best Trading Entries I will reveal 4 accurate price action signals that even a newbie trader will manage to easily recognize. Watch carefully because these signals alone will help you to make a lot of money trading Forex, Gold or any other financial market. Change of Character Change of character is a strong signal that indicates a trend violation and a highly probable market reversal. In a bearish trend, the change of character will be a bullish violation of the level of the last lower high. Check how the change of character accurately indicated a bullish reversal on EURJPY pair. In a bullish trend, a bearish violation of the level of the last higher low will signify a change of character and a highly probable bearish reversal. Bearish violation of the last higher low level and a change of character on USDJPY gave a perfect bearish signal. Breakout of Consolidation No matter what time frame you trader, you probably noticed that quite often the markets become weak and start consolidating . Most of the time, the prices tend to consolidate within horizontal ranges. Breakout of one of the boundaries of the range can give you a strong trading signal. Check how the price acted on GBPCHF. The breakout of the support/resistance of the range always gave an accurate signal, no matter what was the preceding direction of the market. Trend Line Breakout of a Pattern There are a lot of trend line based bullish and bearish price action patterns: the ranges, the wedges, the triangles, the channels. What unites these patterns is that the violation of the trend line of the pattern gives a strong trading signal. A bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge, a bullish flag and a symmetrical triangle will give us a strong bullish signal. Just look how EURUSD bounced after a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern. While a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising wedge, a bearish flag or a symmetrical triangle will indicate a highly probable bearish continuation Here is how a bearish breakout of the support of a symmetrical triangle formation helped me to predict a bearish movement on Gold. Neckline breakout of a horizontal pattern There are a lot of different price action patterns. One element that unites many of them is the so-called horizontal neckline. In bearish price action patterns like double top, head and shoulders, descending triangle, triple top, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a support from where buyers are placing their orders. Bearish violation of such a neckline will be considered to be an important sign of strength of the sellers and a strong bearish signal. In bullish price action patterns like double bottom, inverted head and shoulders pattern, ascending triangle, cup & handle, etc. a horizontal neckline represents a resistance where sellers a placing their orders. Its bullish violation will a strong bullish signal. Below is a perfect example how a bullish breakout of a neckline of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on Bitcoin triggered a strong bullish rally. Here is how a breakout of a neckline of a double top on USDCAD confirmed an initiation of a bearish correctional movement. The most important thing about these price action signals is that it is very simple to recognize them. You should learn the basic price action rules and a couple of classic price action patterns, it will be more than enough for you to identify confirmed bullish and bearish reversals on any time frame and any trading instrument. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
7
Trading Psychology and Your Losses Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss a common fallacy among struggling traders: overestimation of a one single trade . 💡The fact is that quite often, watching the performance of an active trading position, traders quite painfully react to the price being closer and closer to a stop loss or, alternatively, coiling close to a take profit but not being managed to reach that. Fear of loss make traders make emotional decisions : extending stop loss or preliminary position closing. The situation becomes even worse, when after the set of the above-mentioned manipulation, the price nevertheless reaches the stop loss . Just one single losing trade is usually perceived too personally and make the traders even doubt the efficiency of their trading system. They start changing rules in their strategy, then stop following the trading plan, leading to even more losses. ❗️However, what matters in trading is your long-term composite performance . A single position is just one brick in a wall. As Peter Lynch nicely mentioned: “In this business, if you’re good, you’re right six times out of ten. You’re never going to be right nine times out of ten.” There are so many factors that are driving the markets that it is impossible to take into consideration them all. And because of that fact, we lose. The attached chart perfectly illustrates the insignificance of a one trading in a long-term composite performance. Please, realize that losing trades are inevitable, and overestimation of their impact on your trading performance is detrimental. Instead, calibrate your strategy so that it would produce long-term, consistent positive results. That is your goal as a trader.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
HOW TO SET STOP LOSS | 3 SIMPLE STRATEGIES 📚 Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 3 classic trading strategies and stop placement rules . I will teach you how to set a safe stop loss, relying on price action. 1️⃣The first trading strategy is a trend line strategy . The technique implies buying/selling the touch of strong trend lines, expecting a strong bullish/bearish reaction from that. If you are buying a trend line , you should identify the previous low. Your stop loss should lie strictly below that. Buying a test of arising trend line on GBPCHF, stop loss is lying strictly below the previous low. If you are selling a trend line , you should identify the previous high . Your stop loss should lie strictly above that. 2️⃣The second trading strategy is a breakout trading strategy . The technique implies buying/selling the breakout of a structure, expecting a further bullish/bearish continuation. If you are buying a breakout of a resistance , you should identify the previous low . Your stop loss should lie strictly below that. If you are selling a breakout of a support , you should identify the previous high. Your stop loss should lie strictly above that. Selling a retest of a broken structure on AUDJPY, Stop Loss is strictly set above the previous high. 3️⃣The third trading strategy is a range trading strategy . The technique implies buying/selling the boundaries of horizontal ranges , expecting bullish/bearish reaction from them. If you are buying the support of the range , your stop loss should strictly lie below the lowest point of support. Opening a long position from the support of the range on Dollar Index, stop loss is placed below its support. If you are selling the resistance of the range , your stop loss should strictly lie above the highest point of resistance. As you can see, these stop placement techniques are very simple. Following them, you will avoid a lot of stop hunts and manipulations. How do you set stop loss?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
Smart Money Concepts Detailed Learning Plan. 5 Essential Topics If you want to learn Smart Money concepts, but you don't know what to start with, this article with help. I will share with you 5-steps Smart Money Concepts learning plan . 5 important topics to study in SMC. Topic 1: Market Structure - the analysis of a behavior of a price on a chart. In the contest of Smart Money Concepts you should learn: -SMC structure mapping -Market trend identification -Trend change -Trend reversal -SMC important events: BoS, CHoCH Learn Trend Analysis Leach ChoCH Topic 2: Liquidity Zones - learn to identify the areas on a price chart where liquidity concentrates. Learn How to Identify Liquidity Zones Topic 3: Imbalance - one of the most accurate signals of the presence of big players / smart money on the market. Learn How to Identify Imbalance with Candlestick Topic 4: Order Block - the specific areas on a price chart where institutional traders / smart money are placing significant number of trading orders. Top 5: Top-Down Analysis - structured and consistent analysis of multiple time frames. After you study Topic 1, 2, 3, 4, you should learn to apply these knowledge and techniques on multiple time frames, to make informed decisions, following long-term, mid-term, short-term analysis. Learn Top - Down Analysis The 5 topics that we discussed are essential for your success as a smart money trader. Study these topics with care, and I guarantee you that you will achieve exceptional results. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Powerful Fibonacci Trading Strategy For Beginners I am going to reveal a powerful fibonacci trading strategy that I learned many years ago. It combines structure analysis, fibonacci retracement and extension levels and candlestick analysis. Step 1 Find a trending market - the market that is trading in a bullish or in a bearish trend on a daily time frame. AUDUSD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily. Step 2 Execute structure analysis - identify key horizontal and vertical structures on a daily time frame. Take a look at key structures that I spotted on AUDUSD. Step 3 Draw fibonacci retracement levels. Here are the important ratios you should look for: 382, 50, 618, 786. In a bearish trend, draw fibonacci retracement levels from the high of the trend to current low based on wicks. In a bullish trend, You should apply fibonacci retracement from the low of the trend to a current high based on wicks. Take a look how I draw the retracement levels, I took the low of the trend and the high of the trend. Step 4 Find confluence. Look for fibonacci numbers that match - lie within key structures that you identified. Support 1 matches with 382 retracement. Support 2 matches with 786 retracement. Remove other ratios from the chart. Step 5 Wait for a test of one of the fibonacci levels that match with key structure The price perfectly tested 382 retracement level. Step 6 Wait for a confirmation on a 4h time frame. Our confirmation will be a formation of an engulfing candle - a strong candle that completely engulfs the entire range of a previous candle with its body. In a bearish trend, we will look for a formation of a bearish engulfing candle. Bearish engulfing candle indicates a strong selling pressure and the strength of the sellers. In a bullish trend, we will look for a bullish engulfing candle. It indicates a strong buying reaction and imbalance. Have a look at a bullish engulfing candle that was formed on AUDUSD on a 4H time frame after a test of 382 retracement. Step 7 Open a trading position, set stop loss and choose the target. After you spotted an engulfing candle, open a trading position. Open short after a formation of a bearish engulfing candle and open long after a formation of a bullish engulfing candle. If you sell, your safest stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bullish impulse on a 4H. If you buy, your stop loss will be 1.272 extension of the last bearish impulse on a 4H. In our example, our stop loss will be 1.272 extension of a bearish impulse leg on a 4H time frame. The extension is based on high and low of the impulse. If you short, your take profit will be the closest key structure support on a daily. If you buy, your take profit will be the closes key structure resistance on a daily. Here is our take profit level. Being applied properly, the strategy should generate 60%+ winning rate. Always remember to check your reward to risk ratio before you open the trade. It should be at least 1.1/1. Also, before you place a trade, always make sure that you trade WITH the trend and take only trend-following trades. The strategy works perfectly on Forex, Gold, Silver, Oil, Indexes. Good luck in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
30
HARMONIC PATTERNS TRADING | ABCD PATTERN & HOW TO TRADE IT Harmonic ABCD pattern is a classic reversal pattern. In this article, I will teach you how to recognize that pattern and trade it properly. This pattern is composed of 3 main elements (based on wicks of the candles): 1️⃣ AB leg 2️⃣ BC leg 3️⃣ CD leg The pattern is considered to be bullish if AB leg is bearish. The pattern is considered to be bearish if AB leg is bullish. AB leg must be a strong movement without corrections within. A is its initial point and B is its completion point. BC leg is a correctional movement from B point after a completion of AB leg. The price may fluctuate within that. B is its initial point and C is its completion point. CD leg must be a strong movement without corrections within. C is its initial point and D is its completion point. ❗️ABCD movement is harmonic if the length and the time horizon of AB and CD legs are equal. By the length, I mean a price change from A to B point and from C to D point. By the time, I mean a time ranges of AB leg and CD leg. If the time and length of AB and CD legs are equal, the pattern is considered to be harmonic, and a reversal will be expected from D point at least to B point. 🛑If the pattern is bullish, stop loss must be placed below D point. 🛑If the pattern is bearish, stop loss is placed above D point. Initial target level is B point. Usually, after reaching a B point the market returns to a global trend. What pattern do you want to learn in the next post?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
DON'T TRADE THESE SUPPORTS AND RESISTANCES When it comes to technical analysis, the understanding of which support and resistance levels to not trade can be as important as knowing which ones to trade. In this article, I will show you the structure levels that professional traders avoid to maximize their profits and minimize losses. Invalidated support and resistance Invalidated support/resistance is the structure that has a clear historical significance, but that lost its strength and was neglected by the market during the last 2 tests. Have a look at that key horizontal support. We can see that in the recent past, the price bounced from that multiple times, confirming its significance. Then, the price suddenly broke and closed below that support. According to the rules, that structure should turn into a resistance after a violation. However, after its test, the price bounced and violated that to the upside. The structure became invalid, and you should not trade that in future. Resistance in a Bullish Trend If the market is trading in a bullish trend, according to the rules its last higher high composes a key horizontal resistance. USDJPY is trading in a strong bullish trend. The price dropped once it set a new higher high higher close. It composes a key horizontal resistance. Always remember, that in a bullish trend, the price tends to set new higher highs and higher lows over time. Quite often, the test of the level of the last high leads to a further bullish continuation and a formation of a new higher high. For that reason, it is better not to trade such resistances. Support in a Bearish Trend In a bearish trend, the last lower low is always considered to be a key horizontal support. Above is a price action on USDCHF. The pair is bearish and recently set a new lower low. It is a key horizontal support now. However, in a bearish trend, the price tends to set a new low after a retracement. Most of the time, it does not respect the support based on the last lower low. I recommend you not to trade such supports. I always repeat to my students that key levels work, but they are not equal in their significance. While some of them are very strong, some are better to be avoided. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
What to Do If You Are Losing in Trading? Have you ever been in the following situation? You pick a trading strategy, you make nice profits and then, for some unknown reasons, you start losing. You take one trade after another and the strategy stops working. That is a very common thing that happens will every trader. I am trading for more than 9 years, and you know what, this year I got a trading week when I got 4 losing trades in a row. In this article, I will explain to you what to do in such a situation and how to deal with losses. So here are the trades that I took. I shorted EURJPY, EURNZD, GBPJPY and USDCAD. I bought AUDJPY. All the trades a rule based, they were strictly taken in accordance with my trading strategy. AUDJPY, EURJPY, EURNZD, GBPJPY trades closed in a loss and USDCAD closed on breakeven. It is a l osing streak of 4 trades. Does it mean that a trading strategy doesn't work anymore? What 90% of traders do when they face the situations like that, they start trading with a new strategy. They win, they face a losing streak and the cycle repeats. The truth is that there is no trading strategy that does not lose occasionally. Losing streaks are the part of the game. For the last 5 years, my strategy shows 64% average win rate. It means that among 10 trades, the first 4 can be the losing ones and the 6 remaining can be the winners. It is the game of statistics. Now, imagine the potential distribution of winners and losers in 100 trades. If you know that your strategy is historically profitable , if you back tested that, and it proved its efficiency what you should do, you should keep trading that. The more losses you face, the higher is the probability that the winning streak is coming. Each losing trade will increase the chance that the next one will be finally profitable. With so many years of trading and faced various drawdowns and losing streaks, what I learned is that if you keep trading your strategy, if you keep trusting that, the market will always give you a chance to recover. But if you stop, if you drop the strategy once you face a losing streak and pick a new one, you will simply miss the winning streak. Repeating that cycle at the end of the day you will lose everything. That is the hard truth about rule-based trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
What is Spread in Trading | Everything You Need to Know Hey traders, It turned out that many newbie traders completely neglect spreads in their trading. In this post, we will discuss what is the market spread and how it can occasionally spoil a seemingly good trade. 💱No matter what financial instrument we trade, in order to buy the asset we need to have a counterpart that is willing to sell it to us and vice versa, if we want to sell the asset, we need to have someone to sell it to. The market provides a convenient exchange between buyers and sellers. The asset price is determined by a current supply and demand. However, even the most liquid markets have two prices: bid and ask. 🙋‍♂️ Ask price represents the lowest price the market participants are willing to sell the asset to you, while 🙇‍♂️ bid price shows the highest price the market participants are willing to buy the asset from you. Here is how bid and ask prices look like. Bid and ask price are almost never equal. The difference between them is called the spread . 📈The spread size depends on liquidity of the market. 📍Higher liquidity implies bigger trading volumes and greater number of market participants, making it easier for them to make an exchange. On such markets we see lower spreads. 📍From the other side, less liquid markets are categorized with low trading volumes, making it harder for the market participants to find a counterpart for the exchange. On such market, spreads are usually high. For example, current EURUSD price is 1.0249 / 1.0269. Bid price is 1.0249 - you open short position on that price. Ask price is 1.0269 - you open long position on that price. The spread is 2 pips. ❗️Spreads must always be considered in a calculation of a risk to reward ratio for the trade. For scalpers and day traders, higher than usual spread may spoil a seemingly good trade. Always check spreads before you open the trade. Check how the spread is displayed in the trading terminal. In 2020, for example, we saw unusually high spreads on Gold during UK/NY trading sessions. Spreads were so high that I did not manage to open a trade for a couple of days. Not considering spreads in such a situation would cost you a lot of money. Do you consider spread when you trade?🤓
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
7
100% TRADERS START WITH DREAM TO GET RICH QUICKHey guys! Do you agree with me?! It's easy to become charmed by the prospect of making rapid money in the financial markets, yet trading makes almost no one rich – in fact, many individuals lose money* If you like my graphics, please use Like button 💙💛 * 90% of traders losing money, only 10% get profits. Why? Here is 3 reasons: 1) Most traders Enter A Trade Too Early 2) Most traders Exit Too Late 3) Most traders Don’t Follow a Risk Management Here is list my tips to help you to get in profit:
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by ArShevelev
15
LEARN THE MOST IMPORTANT FOREX FUNDAMENTALS 📰 Even though I am a pure technician and I rely only on technical analysis when I trade, we can not deny the fact that fundamentals are the main driver of the financial markets. In this post, we will discuss the most important fundamentals that affect forex market. You can check coming fundamental news on TradingView in the economic calendar. The calendar button on the right side will display the coming news. Click "only high importance" button and the system will display only the most important news. Here are the most important fundamental releases that you should pay close attention to: 📍Unemployment rate. Unemployment rate reflects the percentage of people without a job in a selected country or region. Rising unemployment rate usually signifies an unhealthy state of the economy and negatively affects the currency strength. 📍Housing prices. Housing prices reflect people's demand for housing. Rising rate reflects a healthy state of the economy, strengthening purchasing power of the individuals and their confidence in the future. Growing demand for housing is considered to be one of the most important drivers in the economy. 📍Inflation. Inflation reflects the purchasing power of a currency. It is usually measured by evaluation of the price of the selected basket of goods or services over some period. High inflation is usually the primary indicator of the weakness of the currency and the unhealthy state of the economy. 📍Monetary policy. Monetary policy is the actions of central banks related to money supply in the economy. There are two main levers: interests rates and bank reserve requirements. Higher interest rates suppress the economy, making the currency stronger. Lower interests rates increase the money supply, making the economy grow but devaluing the national currency. 📍Political discourse. Political discourse is the social, economical and geopolitical policies of the national government. Political ideology determines the set of priorities for the ruling party that directly impacts the state of the economy. 📍Payrolls and earnings. Payroll reports reflect the dynamic of the creation of new jobs by the economy, while average earnings show the increase or decrease of the earnings of the individuals. Growing earnings and payrolls positively affect the value of a national currency and signify the expansion of the economy. Pay closes attention to these fundamentals and monitor how the market reacts to that data. What fundamentals do you consider to be the most important? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
5 Elements of the Best Key Level in Trading What are the best key levels to trade? Last year I analysed more than 1500 key structures on Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes. In the today's article, I prepared for you a list of 5 elements of a perfect support and resistance for trading. As always, remember that the best key levels are always on a daily time frame. So all the structures that we will discuss will be strictly on a daily. Also, all the structures that I analyzed and traded are available on my TradingView page, so you can back test them by your own. 1. Clear historical significance The structure that you spotted should act as a significant historical support or resistance. Here are the important historical support and resistance that I spotted on USDCAD on a daily time frame. 2. Psychological significance The structure that you identified should match with round numbers. All the structures that we spotted on USDCAD match with psychological numbers. 3. Confluence with other technical tools The best structure should align with other trading tools such as trend lines of Fibonacci levels, strengthening its significance. After adding fibonacci levels and a significant falling trend line on the chart, the confluence was found in Resistance 6, Resistance 3, Resistance 2, Resistance 1, Support 2. Other structure does not match with technical tolls. 4. Volume The level experiences high trading volumes, indicating strong participation and interest from market participants, especially smart money. All the structures that we underlined show significant volume spikes. By volume spike, I mean a volume being higher than the average volume - a blue curve on volume. 5. Multiple touches The more, the better. There are numerous instances where price has respected and reacted to the structure, confirming its strength (at least 2). Only these 3 structures were confirmed by the multiple touches. These resistances will be considered the strongest ones. That checklist will help you to identify the most significant structures from where you will be able to catch impulsive movement and make nice profits. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
Trading Sessions in Forex | Free Market Sessions Indicator Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss trading sessions in Forex . Let's start with the definition: Trading session is daytime trading hours in a certain location. The opening and closing hours match with business hours. For that reason, trading hours are varying in different countries because of contrasting timezones. ❗️Please, note that different markets may have different trading hours. Also, some markets have pre-market and after-hours trading sessions. In this post, we are discussing only forex trading hours. The forex market opens on Sunday at 21:00 GMT and closes on Friday at 21:00 pm GMT. There are 4 main trading sessions in Forex: 🇦🇺 Australian (Sydney) Session Opens at 21:00 GMT and closes at 06:00 GMT 🇯🇵 Asian (Tokyo) Session Opens at 12:00 GMT and closes at 9:00 GMT. 🇬🇧 UK (London) Session Opens at 7:00 GMT and closes at 16:00 GMT. 🇺🇸 US (New York) Session Opens at 12:00 GMT and closes at 21:00 GMT. Asian trading session is usually categorized by low trading volumes while UK and US sessions are categorized by high trading volumes. Personally, I trade the entire UK session and US opening and usually skip Australian and Asian sessions. There is a free technical indicator on TradingView that allows to underline trading sessions on a price chart. It is called "Market Sessions". Being added, it displays the market trading sessions. What trading sessions do you trade?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
2
Types of Orders in Forex Trading. Everything You Need to Know Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss types of orders that we use in Forex trading. ➖ Market order. Trading position is opened at a current price level. Buying the asset, you will open a trading position at a current ask price. Selling the asset, you will open a trading position at a current bid price. Even though market order is the most preferable type of orders among newbie traders, I highly recommend not to use that, especially if you are a day trader. ❗️The main problem is that prices constantly fluctuate and there is a certain delay between order execution and position opening. For these reasons, the position will be opened from a random price level within the range where the market is currently staying, affecting a risk to reward ratio. ➖ Limit order. Trading position will be opened only from a desired price level. With buy limit , you will buy the asset from a certain level. (current price remains above the order) With buy stop order, you will buy the asset from a certain level. (current price remains below the order) With sell limit, you will sell the asset from a certain level. (current price remains below the order) With sell stop , you will sell the asset from a certain level. (current price remains above the order) I prefer to trade with limit orders. Limit order helps you to trade from a desirable level, automatically executing the order once it is reached, letting you preliminary set it. ❗️However, remember that there is one big disadvantage of that order type: there is no guarantee that the price will reach the desired price level to activate a trading position. For that reason, occasionally you will miss the trades. Setting a sell limit order on Gold on 2049 level, the trade would be missed because the price respected 2048 level and dropped immediately then. Try these order types on a demo account to learn how they work in practice. Which order type do you prefer?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
Harmonics don't work...Here's how I find my set ups I thought I'd share with you guys the process I use to find my shark setups, this is a strategy I've back-tested and tested several times. I must say textbook harmonic talk poop, the values I use work but the set-up I see written for the shark uses different values. I noted this and thought about it for a minute - then I said so can I break the rules or amend it, because what I see is making sense but following the book is frustrating me lol... I mean it got through to me through multiple accounts including personal and funded accounts - (side note I'm not rich) hopefully this helps to to understand how I spot moves. As long as you journal then you have a chapter to start from and that 1!!!!!
Education
by LifeWithRyFX
Best Trading Confirmation. Learn 95% Accurate Entry Signal I have analyzed 1300 forecasts and signals that I shared on TradingView last year and found 95% accurate trading confirmation. In this article, we will discuss multiple types of confirmations and their winning rate on Forex, Gold, Indexes, Crypto & Commodities. First, let me introduce you to the types of analysis that I provided. 1 - Structure based forecast I have shared more than 55 trading setup with key levels analysis: Where the price is approaching a key daily horizontal support and resistance. Here is the example of such a post. Test of a key horizontal or vertical support/resistance turned out to be a poor trading signal. Total accuracy of structure based forecasts is 38% . Please, note that if we consider the market trend in our calculations, the trend-following structure based setup will be 42% accurate, while a performance of a counter trend setup drops to 35% 2 - Structure breakout based forecast I analyzed and posted 73 posts with a key structure breakout as a confirmation on a daily. Above is the example of a such a forecast. Key levels breakout turned out to be a strong bullish or bearish confirmation with 59% accuracy. Trend direction did not affect the efficiency of a key structure breakout that much, with a 60% accuracy of a trend following setup versus 57% of counter trend. 3 - Structure based forecast with a single intraday confirmation I shared more than 500 setups with a test of a key structure on a daily and a single price action based bullish or bearish confirmation on a 4h/1h time frame. My intraday confirmation is a formation of a price action pattern with a consequent breakout of its neckline/trend line in the projected direction. Please, check the example of such a signal. Just a single intraday confirmation dramatically increases the accuracy of a structure based setup. Average winning rate is 66%. 4 - Structure based forecast with multiple intraday confirmations I spotted and posted 200+ forecasts with a test of a key structure on a daily and multiple price action based bullish or bearish confirmations on a 4h/1h time frame. Multiple confirmations imply the formation of multiple price action patterns on 4/1h t.f. Here is the example of such a setup on EURGBP. Two or more confirmations on a key structure increase the average winning rate to 72%. Among multiple confirmations, I found a 95% accurate bearish signal: The market should be in a bearish trend. The price should test a key daily structure resistance. The market should form a rising wedge pattern on a 4h/1h time frames and the highs of the wedge should strictly test the key structure and should not violate them. After a test of structure, the price should form a bearish price action pattern on the highs of the wedge. Above is a setup with the best trading confirmation. A bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a support of the wedge was a 95% accurate trading signal this year. Of course, there are various confirmations, depending on a trading style. The ones that I shared with you are structure/price action based. And I am truly impressed by their accuracy. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Imbalance Expert : Guide for mastering imabalance'sCryptocurrency trading is an intricate dance, where understanding and interpreting market imbalances can provide traders with a competitive edge. This comprehensive guide aims to demystify the art of trading imbalances, catering to both beginners and seasoned traders. Through a detailed exploration of strategies and considerations, we'll delve into the world of market dynamics, emphasizing the importance of a holistic approach to trading. First example has cool reason to go higher ( EQUAL HIGHS ) and big liquidity pool below Section 1: Understanding Imbalances 1.1 Defining Market Imbalances: Explore the concept of imbalances in the cryptocurrency market. Differentiate between bullish and bearish imbalances. 1.2 Reading the Signs: Learn to identify imbalances on various timeframes. Utilize technical indicators and chart patterns to confirm imbalances. Section 2: The Anatomy of Imbalance Trading 2.1 Spotting Imbalances in Price Action: Analyze real-world examples of imbalances using provided screenshots. Understand how imbalances manifest in different market conditions. 2.2 Tools of the Trade: Explore popular tools like volume analysis, order flow, and market profile to complement imbalance trading. Highlight the role of moving averages and trendlines in confirming imbalances. Section 3: Strategies for Imbalance Trading 3.1 Swing Trading with Imbalances: Discover how to swing trade using imbalances as entry and exit signals. Explore risk management techniques tailored for swing trading. 3.2 Scalping Opportunities: Uncover strategies for intraday trading based on short-term imbalances. Discuss the importance of quick decision-making and tight risk control. Section 4: Advanced Considerations 4.1 Macro and Micro Analysis: Emphasize the need to consider both macroeconomic trends and micro-level price action. Discuss how macroeconomic events can create imbalances with lasting effects. 4.2 Market Sentiment and News Analysis: Incorporate sentiment analysis and news events into the overall imbalance trading strategy. Understand how sudden shifts in sentiment can create imbalances. Section 5: Risk Management and Psychology 5.1 Risk Management Strategies: Explore risk management techniques specific to trading imbalances. Discuss the importance of position sizing and setting stop-loss orders. 5.2 Mastering Emotional Discipline: Address the psychological aspects of trading and how emotions can impact decision-making. Provide practical tips for maintaining discipline during trading. Conclusion: The Art and Science of Imbalance Trading In conclusion, mastering the art of trading imbalances requires a combination of technical expertise, strategic thinking, and emotional resilience. Whether you are a beginner looking to enter the world of cryptocurrency trading or a seasoned trader seeking new insights, this guide aims to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate the dynamic landscape of imbalance trading. Remember, success in trading is an ongoing journey that requires continuous learning and adaptation to evolving market conditions. 💡 Imbalances Decoded | 📊 Tools of the Trade | 🚀 Strategies for Success | 🧠 Risk Management Mastery 💬 Share your insights: What are your experiences with trading imbalances, and what additional strategies have you found effective? 🌐✨
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Learn Ascending, Decending and Symmetrical Triangles | Powerful Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss 3 simple and profitable types of a triangle pattern. 1️⃣ The first type of triangle is called a descending triangle. It is a reversal price action pattern that quite accurately indicates the exhaustion of a bullish trend. Setting a new higher high the market retraces and sets a higher low, then bulls start pushing again but are not able to retest a current high and instead the price sets a lower high and drops to the level of the last higher low setting an equal low. Multiple lower highs compose a horizontal support that is called a neckline. The price keeps trading in such a manner, setting lower highs and equal lows till the price sets a new lower low. Most of the time, it gives a very accurate signal of a coming bearish move. Please, note that a triangle formation by itself does not give an accurate short signal. The trigger that you should wait for is a formation of a new lower low. Take a look at a descending triangle formation that I spotted on Crude Oil on a 4H time frame. Bearish movement was confirmed after a breakout of the neckline of the pattern. 2️⃣ The second type of triangle is called a symmetrical triangle. It is a classic indecision pattern. It can be formed in a bullish, bearish trend, or sideways market. The price action starts contracting within a narrowing range, setting lower highs and higher lows. Based on them, two trend lines can be drawn. Breakout of one of the trend lines with a quite high probability indicates a future direction of the market. Above is a great example of a symmetrical triangle. Bullish breakout of its upper boundary - a falling trend line was a strong bullish confirmation. 3️⃣ The third type of triangle is called an ascending triangle. It is a reversal price action pattern that quite accurately indicates the exhaustion of a bearish trend. Setting a new lower low, the market retraces and sets a lower high, then bears start pushing again but are not able to retest a current low and instead the price sets a higher low and bounces to the level of the last lower high setting an equal high. A sequence of equal highs compose a strong horizontal resistance that is called a neckline. The price keeps trading in such a manner, setting higher lows and equal highs till the price sets a new higher high. Most of the time, it gives a very accurate signal of a coming bullish move. 📍Please, note that an ascending triangle formation by itself does not give an accurate long signal. The trigger that you should wait for is a formation of a new higher high. Ascending triangle formation helped me to accurately predict a bullish reversal on USDJPY. Its neckline breakout was a strong bullish confirmation. Learn to recognize such triangles and you will see how accurate they are. Let me know what pattern do you want to learn in the next post?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
Learn Best Price Action Patterns by Accuracy Last year, I shared more than 1300 free signals and forecasts for Gold, Forex, Commodities and Indexes. In my predictions, quite often I relied on classic price action patterns. In this article, I will reveal the win rate of each pattern, the most accurate and the least accurate formations of the last year. Please, note that all the predictions and forecasts that I shared this year are available on TradingView and you can back test any of the setup that I identified this year by your own. Just choose a relevant tag on my TradingView page. Also, some forecasts & signals were based on a combination of multiple patterns. Here is the list of the patterns that I personally trade: 🔘 Double Top or Bottom with Equal Highs The pattern is considered to be valid when the highs or lows of the pattern are equal. The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken. 🔘 Double Top or Bottom with Lower High/Higher Low or Cup & Handle The pattern is considered to be valid when the second top/bottom of the patterns is lower/higher than the first one. The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken. 🔘 Head & Shoulders and Inverted Head and Shoulders The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken. 🔘 Horizontal Range The pattern is the extension of a classic double top/bottom with at least 3 equal highs/lows. The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken. 🔘 Bullish/Bearish Flag The pattern represents a rising/falling parallel channel. It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken. 🔘 Rising/Falling Wedge Pattern The pattern represents a contracting rising/falling channel. It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken. 🔘 Rising/Falling Expanding Wedge The pattern represents an expanding rising/falling channel. It gives a bullish/bearish signal when its upper/lower boundary is broken. 🔘 Descending/Ascending Triangle The pattern is the extension of a cup & handle pattern with at least 2 lower highs/lows. The pattern gives a bearish/bullish signal when its neckline is broken. Please, also note that all the patterns that I identified and traded were formed on key horizontal or vertical structures. Remember that the accuracy of any pattern drops dramatically if it is formed beyond key levels. I consider the pattern to be a winning one if after a neckline breakout, it managed to reach the closest horizontal or vertical structure, not invalidating the pattern's highs/lows. For example, if the price violated the high of the cup and handle pattern after its neckline breakout, such a pattern is losing one. If it reached the closest structure without violation of the high, it is a winning pattern. 🔍 Double Top or Bottom with Equal Highs I spotted 85 setups featuring these patterns. Their accuracy is 62%. 🥉 Double Top or Bottom with Lower High/Higher Low or Cup & Handle 96 setups were spotted. The performance turned out to be a little bit higher than a classic double top/bottom with 65% of the setups hitting the target. 🔍 Head & Shoulders and Inverted Head and Shoulders 58 formations spotted this year. Average win rate is 64% 🏆 Horizontal Range The most accurate pattern of this year. More than 148 patterns were spotted and 74% among them gave accurate signal. 🔍 Bullish/Bearish Flag 38 setups identified this year. The accuracy of the pattern is 57% Rising/Falling Wedge The pattern turned out to be a little bit more accurate. Among 62 formations, 59% end up being profitable. 👎 Rising/Falling Expanding Wedge The worst pattern of this year. I recognized 24 patterns and their accuracy was just 51%. 🥈 Descending/Ascending Triangle 64 patterns were identified. The win rate of the pattern is 66%. The most important conclusion that we can make analyzing the performance of these patterns is that they all have an accuracy above 50%. If you properly combine these patterns with some other technical or fundamental tools, the accuracy of the setup will increase dramatically. Good luck in your trading! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
27
Full Time Trading. Everything You Need to Know Once you mature in trading and become a consistently profitable trader, the question arises: are you ready to trade full time? Becoming a full time trade is a very significant step and my things must be taken into consideration before you make it. ✨ Becoming a full time trader implies that you quit your current job, that you give up a stable income - your salary. In contrast to classic job, trading does not give guarantees . Please, realize that such a thing as stable income does not exist in trading. Trading is a series of winning and losing trades, positive and negative periods. For that reasons, remember that in order to become a full time trader, your average monthly trading income must be at least twice as your monthly expenses. ✨ Moreover, even if your trading income is sufficient to cover two months of your life, that is still not enough. You must have savings. Trading for more than 9 years, I faced with quite prolonged negative periods. One time I was below zero for the entire quarter. For that reason, supporting a family and living a decent life will require savings that will help you not to sink during the losing periods. ✨ Another very important sign is your correct and objective view on your trading. Please, realize that if you bought Bitcoin one time and made a couple of thousands of dollars, it does not make you a consistently profitable trader. Please, do not confuse luck with the skill. Your trading must be proven by many years of trading. ✨ You must be emotionally prepared for the living conditions that full time trading will bring you. Being a full time trader implies that you are constantly at home, you work from home from Monday to Friday. You do not see your colleagues, your social life will change dramatically. I know a lot of people who started to trade full time and then realized that they can not work from home for different reasons. ⭐️ So what are the necessary conditions for becoming a full time traders: you should have savings that will cover the negative trading periods, your average monthly trading income should be at least twice as your monthly expenses, your trading efficiency must be proven by objective, consistent results, and you must be psychologically prepared for working from home. When these conditions are met, you can make a significant step and become a full-time trader. Are you ready? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
22