Low Volume Consolidation and a break up.As updated on 16th, selloff last week from 25255 seemed uncharacteristic of a markdown. Gaps were quickly being filled and volume in the morning hour on 3 days following the top showed minimum enthusiasm from either side.
Too early to call but low volume consolidation may mean a developing triangle.
I am seeing something along the lines drawn at the chart. Keep an eye on S&P. It may coincide with S&P filling the gap from Feb or making new ATH.
If wrong, selloff should start in next couple of days. If so, refer to post "HSI Update" on Jun 13th for the anticipated path.
Regards
Hsi1
Important TOP just ahead.
Didn't get the pullback before run for new highs as anticipated in the last analysis but on the flip side it means very little left to distribute. A pullback would have meant more to distribute above but now it looks like a quick up and back down.
We have 7 weeks of distribution mainly between 23750 - 24250(See previous posts)
Without volume, the last few days may seem like a start of a strong uptrend but zoom in and it appears very much like a SL hunt. Trends can't start without first accumulation/distribution and i see very little accumulation below for it to keep going for long.
Initial plan was to go short at 25300-500 but not sure if we will get there so i will look for reversal signs as soon as it gets above 24800. Target 20500 - 20000.
Some news will follow real soon as always but markets only move when those who control them are ready to move.
HSI UpdateAs you can see, the Hanger hit my red arrow target last night, and I'm expecting a small bounce from this oversold condition. If it bounces then so will futures, which means a gap up tomorrow.
Not feeling terribly bearish right now, and this bounce isn't gonna be enough to make me bullish either.
HS1 WHipsawThe Chinese government kills a couple thousand people every year, but apparent a couple dozen deaths from a cold is a big deal over there.
The market needed a reason to sell off, so now we have news attached to a selloff from an overbought condition.
Expecting a whipsaw next week, but maybe it just goes straight down, who knows?
HSI approaching support, potential for a bounce!
HSI is expected to drop to 1st support at 27771.5 where it could potentially react off and up to 1st resistance at 28777.6.
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