Heng Seng seeks rally from 61.8% fib level (7th time this year)This is purely observational, but today I noticed that Hang Seng futures have risen from a 61.8% Fibonacci level six times this year. And as the rallies have landed anywhere between 6.5% to nearly 50%, it is worth noting that it is trying to rally from it a seventh.
A 3-day bullish reversal pattern formed on Monday (morning star formation) and the daily RSI (2) was oversold on Friday. Bulls could seek dis back towards the 61.8% in anticipation of a leg higher to 20k or 20.5k over the near term.
MS
Hsiforecast
Hang Seng bulls eye retest of 18kWe'll admit that the Hang Seng does not have the most bullish of structures among APAC indices, but it continues to defy bears with a break of key support. And if sentiment for global indices picks up as we suspect, it could pave the way for another cheeky long for Hang Seng bulls.
The index has seen three failed attempts to break beneath 17500 since late June. Sure, we saw one daily close below it, but the move was mostly reversed on Monday. A bullish divergence is also forming on the daily RSI (2), hence the bias for another crack at 18k minimum - a break above which brings the June and July highs around 18,400 into focus.
Yet as the 4-hour chart shows prices paused at the weekly pivot point with RSI (2) overbought, we'd prefer to wait to see if prices retrace within Monday's range before seeking longs. This could help improve the reward to risk ratio for bulls whilst prices hold above last week's low, with 18,000 and 18,400 in focus for upside targets.
HSI1! 2021 June 21 Week (Intraday)
HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 June 21 Week (Intraday)
Market has made lower high and we can now visualize a down channel.
Intermittent support at 28441.
Scenario:
1) Short opportunity if price returns to test 28751 - 28655 region
2) Wait for price reaction at red/green zone before taking position.
Important TOP just ahead.
Didn't get the pullback before run for new highs as anticipated in the last analysis but on the flip side it means very little left to distribute. A pullback would have meant more to distribute above but now it looks like a quick up and back down.
We have 7 weeks of distribution mainly between 23750 - 24250(See previous posts)
Without volume, the last few days may seem like a start of a strong uptrend but zoom in and it appears very much like a SL hunt. Trends can't start without first accumulation/distribution and i see very little accumulation below for it to keep going for long.
Initial plan was to go short at 25300-500 but not sure if we will get there so i will look for reversal signs as soon as it gets above 24800. Target 20500 - 20000.
Some news will follow real soon as always but markets only move when those who control them are ready to move.
HANG SENG INDEX (HSI) MonthlyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
Wait for an accumulated 30% drop and BUY at 20286.9 for HSIThe recent drop for HSI started on 20 Jan 2020 at 29174.9.
It would be a good level and good narrative to buy after seeing it dropped for 30% or -8,888 from the last top.
Buy at 20286.9, accumulate below 23631.5.
We would expect the market to stabilize and have a rally before US Election 2020.
The HSI Inverted Weekly Chart - BearishWhile everyone is trying catch a bottom, the HSI Inverted Weekly Chart gives a bearish view on the Hang Seng Index.
The candles from the last three weeks are bearish:
1) A Reversal Red Candle
2) A Gap with Solid Long Red Candle
3) Green Candle with Long Wick
In the coming two weeks it may hit and test the weekly support line at around 25180.
Let's see how the market reacts to the support level.
If selling is strong, it may break below 24000.
HSI approaching support, potential for a bounce!
HSI is expected to drop to 1st support at 27771.5 where it could potentially react off and up to 1st resistance at 28777.6.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully
understand the risks.