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BTC 4 Seasons CycleWhat I came up with is that in the bullphase Bitcoin tops out in Winter/Spring 🟦/🟩 Last cycle we had a double top but you would only miss out on 4-8% while saving yourself the headache of a 50% drop in summer 🟥 In the bearphase we bottom usually in Fall/Winter 🟧/🟦 I dont know how people can call for 48-55k or something else it would take us another year then until Winter to get back up and top out and to drop in 4-6 Months in Summer to the bottom its not usual for Bitcoin to do that. It takes Bitcoin around 350 to 400 Days to hit the bottom you can see it in the picture below
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by Tyrocrypto
PANI - POWER PLAYPosition Update: October 16, 2024 Key factors: 1. Low-risk entry point. 2. The stock offers two entry points with a very tight risk. 3. A power play on top of another power play, this is a strong sign of continuation of upward momentum. 4. Corrects 18% during this pause, indicating big institutions' reluctance to sell their positions. 5. High relative strength, outperforming the general market. 5. The stock is moving on its own universe and marching to its own drummer. 6. Volume diminishes during pauses, indicating less supply coming to the market. 7. The general market is in the early stages of a bull campaign. Consideration: Breakouts are not accompanied by substantial volume. This is a classic Power Play setup, featuring two viable entry points: a low cheat and the handle. My initial position was taken on October 11 from the low cheat. I’m looking forward to seeing further constructive price action moving forward.
PLong
by rifqonr
PTRO - POWER PLAYPosition Update: October 22, 2024 Key factors: 1. Low-risk entry point. 2. The pause formed a small cup and handle. 3. It surged over 100% within eight weeks. 4. Corrects only 15% during on the pause, indicating big institutions' reluctance to sell their positions. 5. High relative strength, outperforming the general market. 5. The stock is moving on its own universe and marching to its own drummer. 6. Volume diminishes during pauses, indicating less supply coming to the market. 7. The general market is in the early stages of a bull campaign. 8. Huge volume on the breakout. Consideration: Despite a favorable technical setup, risk should be managed diligently given the stock's sharp ascent and potential for profit-taking. Establishing stop-loss levels and monitoring market conditions is essential. This is a textbook Power Play setup. I’m looking forward to seeing further constructive price action moving forward.
PLong
by rifqonr
SMDM - POWER PLAYI have my position today September 9, 2024 The reasons: 1. Low-risk pivot point 2. The stock offers a very tight entry in a power play setup 3. It surged over 250% in less than eight weeks 4. Corrects only 8% during this pause, indicating big institutions unwilling to sell their positions 4. High relative strength, outperforming the general market 5. The stock is moving on its own universe and marching to its own drummer 6. Volume dries up during the pause 7. The general market is in its bull campaign Flaw: 1. Squats below breakout level on the closing 2. No real volume on breakout It is a textbook Power Play setup, outstanding prior moves with very little sell-off on its correction. I like to see if it can hold up and reset its pivot area for another proper entry.
IDX:SMDMLong
by rifqonr
3
FET/USDT 15mNYSE:FET is one of the leading AI projects in the crypto space, earlier this year it saw a meteoric rise in price up to $3.5. Since then price has dropped around 80% to a local low of $0.70, now recently price has grown and broken the daily downtrend rising to a local high of $1.44 +105% from the lows creating a dilemma for traders... From previous price action we know that NYSE:FET is capable of huge moves, it's a fundamentally sound project with a strong narrative behind it. Finding a good entry to buy FET if sidelined or add to a position if already positioned can be tricky so these are my thoughts: - HTF FET has broken the daily downtrend is is looking to reverse. Altcoins have been at the mercy of Bitcoin so it requires BTC to behave too. After an -80% correction a lot of the downside risk has already played out. - LTF we have seen a strong recovery, if you has bought local lows at $0.70 you would have outperformed the entire drawdown of the last 6 months (assuming equal position size). So the feeling of FOMO can start to creep in at these levels. - The chart shows potential points of entry on the LTF, obviously we may continue to drawdown, it's always a possibility but we have seen signs of strength and therefore opportunities to go LONG. - Local range low @ $1.273 is the option with the best return out of the 3. Clearly strong support that was the base for the last local rally. - Current level is an interesting one because it incorporates a LTF diagonal resistance trendline that would be bullish if broken. This combined with a range support line (0.25) could be a good option for a LTF entry. - The final option is the 0.5/ Midpoint entry. This would mean flipping the 15m 200EMA bullish and reclaiming the midpoint making it the safest of the 3 entries but least rewarding, offering +6% return instead of 9% & 13% respectively. With all this in consideration, NYSE:FET is one of the better altcoin options in the markets current state. IMO we still don't have a clear market direction just yet and so being nimble with positions is a must, but it does feel like the worst is over and if that is the case then a position in FET could be positive for a portfolio.
by ProR35
1
Fetch.AI HTF Fetch.ai soon to be ASI (Artificial super intelligence) after the merger with Singularity (AGIX) and Ocean protocol (OCEAN) has been a victim of the recent altcoin market drawdown. As on of the leading projects in the AI space, FET surged to a high of $3.47, since then price has been retracing back down the range created by the rally previously. BEARISH: Now back at range low FET finds itself in a key area where the bearish trend can continue, break below range and continue to fall. This would be mostly influenced by a further sell off in BTC as alts are still at the mercy of Bitcoin. Should BTC continue to reject the '21 ATH and 4H 200EMA levels then price will naturally search for buyers with conviction. This chop has already been devastating to the altcoin market without a big flush. So this outcome is not improbable. BULLISH: On the bullish side we have a very good R;R HTF entry level at range lows, in addition to a fully reset RSI in the oversold area compounded with a very bullish divergence being shown on the High timeframes. All three of these conditions add up to a high probability entry IF BTC behaves. Naturally if BTC decides to sell off then so will altcoins and FET is no exception. However, in this probability game this setup is one of the better LONG setups you could ask for. Couple that with the AI narrative and good fundamentals this looks bullish.
by ProR35
2
EURUSD 13-17 May 2024 W20 - Weekly Analysis - EU & US CPI Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13-17 May 2024 W20 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment The narrative surrounding the monetary policy divergence between the Fed and the rest of its G10 peers continues to dominate the macro scenario in the market. On this, the FedWatch Tool tracked by CME Group sees the probability of a Fed’s rate reduction in September nearly 70%. With the inflation reports expected this week (CPI), If inflation stays high but doesn't speed up much more, the Federal Reserve might keep interest rates higher for a longer time. This is because the market is worried about inflation staying high, and if there's a surprise where inflation doesn't increase as much as feared, the reaction will likely be smaller. Powell, said they would only raise rates if they had convincing proof that their current policies are too tight. Right now, the market expects interest rates to be cut twice by the end of the year. However, if we see another report showing high inflation, those expectations might change. A weaker report might lead to just one rate cut being expected instead of two, but not much more than that. The Federal Reserve might wait until their meeting in September at the earliest to make any major decisions, unless there's a sudden worsening in the job market. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. 4. Price tapped into a Weekly demand zone that is currently providing Pullback for the continuation down to the Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Price in a clear corrective move to the upside after tapping the Weekly Demand Zone which initiated the Bearish iBOS Pullback Phase. As expected last week with the probability of a deep pullback, price reached the Daily Supply. With that deep Pullback, there is a HP that we can continue the Bearish INT Structure with expectation to target the Weak INT Low and possibly the Weak Swing Low. More development required on LTF to show signs of Bearish Structure to validate the expectations. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Reached Swing EQ INT Structure Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. With the 4H INT is Bullish, it's for me not much aligning with the Daily TF which makes the view unclear from a trend prospective. Are we going to hold Bullish Internal to maybe have a more deeper PB on Daily, or we are going to turn bearish on the 4H Internal to continue the Daily Swing/INT Structure trend. With the current week inflationary reports coming out from EU and US, most probably we will have more price development that can facilitate a HP setups. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
3
EURUSD 6-10 May 2024 W19 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 6-10 May 2024 W19 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment On Friday, the EUR/USD surged to reach a new high for the week, surpassing recent congestion levels. This uptick followed a significant shortfall in the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data regarding labor and wages. The disappointing figures revived expectations across the market for a quicker pace of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate reductions. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. 4. Price tapped into a Weekly demand zone that is currently providing Pullback for the continuation down to the Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Price in a clear corrective move to the upside after tapping the Weekly Demand Zone which initiated the Bearish iBOS Pullback Phase. As expected last week with the probability of a deep pullback, price reached the Daily Supply. With that deep Pullback, there is a HP that we can continue the Bearish INT Structure with expectation to target the Weak INT Low and possibly the Weak Swing Low. More development required on LTF to show signs of Bearish Structure to validate the expectations. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish Reached Swing EQ INT Structure Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. INT Structure turned Bullish signaling a complex pullback phase with deep pullback that reached the Swing EQ and tapped into the Daily Supply. Currently with INT Structure is Bullish we don't have a solid confirmation that the Swing PB is over and we will continue Bearish. Instead, INT structure could continue Bullish. More Price development required from LTF in order to play the INT Structure PB or the INT structure Bullish continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
long idea on $HFTHaving followed this coin for more than 120 days, the dynamics are weak, but the minimum we set for my birthday will not be updated (in my opinion, with a higher probability), the local picture is weak and the global one is similar to the accumulation of the asset. Since they have already given a correction from $0.44 (more than 30%), I think this is a good opportunity to take a closer look at new positions. This coin has quite high risks, but the ratio of 1 to 10 is generally not bad
Long
by MyTechNAz
EURUSD 29-3 May 2024 W18 Weekly Analysis - FOMC / NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 29-3 May 2024 W18 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Potential EUR Upside: Weaker Dollar: The recent US economic data, particularly the lower than expected GDP growth, has weakened the US dollar. This trend could continue if upcoming data disappoints. Eurozone Data: Key Eurozone data releases (flash GDP and CPI) could show signs of improving economic health, boosting the Euro. Potential EUR Downside: Strong US Jobs Report: The highly anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday could show strong job growth, strengthening the dollar. Hawkish Fed: The Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday is a key event. If the Fed signals a more aggressive rate hike path to combat inflation, the dollar will likely strengthen. Overall: The EUR/USD sentiment is currently uncertain. The direction will depend on the outcome of key data releases and the Fed meeting. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. 4. Price currently within a Weekly demand zone that can initiate a minor Pullback for the continuation down to the Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price in a clear corrective move to the upside after tapping the Weekly Demand Zone. We didn't mitigate any HP Supply to initiate the INT Structure continuation phase so the scenario will be that price still could continue to mitigate the Daily Supply Zone. Other scenario that with the corrective more currently we are in price will continue down without the mitigation of a Supply zone. More price development required / LTF confirmations for the 2 scenarios. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Sub-Internal Bullish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the Weekly demand and initiated the Swing Pullback Phase. With the Bullish OF and as expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there. 4. With Sub-INT / OF is holding Bullish, I Still see more upside as long we hold the recent Sub-INT Low (Green Line). A break of the Sub-INT Low, this will confirm that the Pullback Phase maybe is over and we will continue down targeting the INT Low. On the other side if the Sub-INT Structure will stay Bullish, there is a HP we are targeting the mitigation of the Daily Supply. More Price development from Intraday analysis to confirm a scenario. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22-26 Apr 2024 W17 Weekly Analysis – EU PMI / US PCEThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment In light of the recent passage of an aid bill for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan by the U.S. House of Representatives, it is anticipated that this could escalate geopolitical tensions. This, in turn, may prompt investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets, thereby bolstering the strength of the U.S. dollar. This trend is likely to be further reinforced by the divergent monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. The market will also be looking at the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak INT Low and the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. CHoCH is currently away from current price so maybe we can create a new low before we initiate the INT PB Phase. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill the INT Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish INT / Swing Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. With the INT Structure Pullback Phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH. Price had a deep PB to the 4H Demand formed. Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H INT and Swing Pullback Phases. 4. 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it's not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
SOLANA UPDATE SOLANA has been one of the best performing large caps this year. A strong L1 project that has an ATH of $260 from the previous Bullrun that has made a huge rally off the lows. My pessimistic side is worried that the rally has been exhausted, we've reached HTF RESISTANCE as well as a STRONG BEARISH DIVERGENCE. There is a strong case to be made that using TA this would be a great place to take profits. Not necessarily go short, but de-risk and enjoy what would have been a roughly 5x from lows. We also have SOLANA being used to buy SOL memecoins, we're seeing this across the board with AVAX and INJ too, we've reached the memecoin phase of the run which also leads me to believe this move is coming to an end. Just how long the memecoin run will last, who knows, but it will come to an end as they always do, and usually very suddenly. For now TA says to de-risk, however FA is running the show for now, we'll see for how much longer.
by ProR35
EURUSD 15-19 Apr 2024 W16 Weekly Analysis - Middle East Tension!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill a Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US CPI PPIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Continuation 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which was initiated after the Bullish CHoCH which formed a demand that is currently showing reaction from causing a Bullish CHoCH. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 Weekly Analysis - NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Continuation 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback. Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure. More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase. 3. 4H and Daily Demand Zones for possible reactions only once reached. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 25-29 Mar 2024 W13 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 25-29 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback. We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low. If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 18-22 Mar 2024 W12 Weekly Analysis – US Rates/FOMCThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 18-22 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. In order for me to consider that the INT Structure Pullback is over, i need to see at least a Bearish CHoCH. So will be watching the Daily Demand Zone for possible continuation up to target he HP POI (Daily/Weekly Supply) or a Bearish CHoCH for me to start looking for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
4
EURUSD 11-15 Mar 2024 W11 Weekly Analysis – US CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 11-15 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Price swept the Liq above the Weekly demand and now targeting the Liq below the Weekly Supply for bearish continuation. Expectation will be after reaching the weekly supply is to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Daily Bearish Swing we reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone and formed a bearish iBOS confirming the Swing Pullback is over and we are Pro Bearish Swing and starting the Continuation Phase targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expected a Pullback. After mitigating the Daily Demand zone we formed a Bullish CHoCH which confirmed the INT Structure Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set now for the INT Structure Pullback Phase to continue to the INT EQ up to the Daily/Weekly Supply. But be mindful that the Swing Bearish continuation can continue at any time. There is no HP POI for Shorts up to the Daily/Weekly Supply Zones. IMO Price could continue up to sweep LIQ from the INT Momentum Phase that leaded to the iBOS before we continue down. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback and as expected price reached the supply zone above the Swing EQ, also sweeping the Liq above the Supply zone which could initiate an INT Pullback for the Bullish INT Structure. CHoCH will be the first sign for the INT Structure Pullback. 4. Be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase. Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2