BTC Update Sunday EditionIt is what it is. More boring Price action, they sell to target and we go up. There is nothing hard to understand about this.
If that is difficult for you to understand, then good. Watch the video and listen. I make 18-20 minute videos regularly not to say what I think is going to happen, but to EXPLAIN why I think it will happen and how I analyze.
I may have looked at DXY wrong in assuming that there is control over where it can actually start the new week. It seems that there is no influence to where it starts from past history. (I need to triple check though.
So assuming that I still think the DXY will be bullish on open, but most likely reject at 103.188.
I suspect we open at 102.6, drop to 102.25 and then go to 103.188 and reject. Starting the next week under 102.25 and sending the dollar towards 100 buckerinos. I pray for no overselling that turns the dollar into the reversal it started in late July.
Hullmovingaverage
HOW-TO use L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H for BTCUSDT.P 4HLevel: L4
Function Description:
The L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H aims to help traders identify trend reversals and trade signals using various moving averages and indicators. The script is designed to be adaptable and customizable, allowing traders to tweak the settings to suit their individual preferences and trading styles.
At its core, the script uses the hybrid Hull Moving Average (HHMA), a popular technical indicator that aims to reduce lag and noise while improving the accuracy of moving average signals. The HHMA is combined with a reverse chop indicator, which helps identify trend reversals by measuring the volatility of the market and comparing it to a set threshold.
In addition to the HHMA and reverse chop indicators, the script also includes customized open-close cross (OCC) conditions and a hybrid Hull Moving Average (Hybrid Hull MA). The OCC conditions allow traders to generate buy and sell signals based on the cross of the open and close prices, while the hybrid Hull MA combines the HHull MA with other moving averages to provide a more accurate and reliable trend-following signal.
Traders can adjust the settings of the script to suit their trading style and risk appetite. For instance, the chop length, ATR length, and reverse chop threshold can be customized to identify trend reversals more accurately, while the Hull MA length can be adjusted to provide a faster or slower response to price changes.
Overall, the L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H is a powerful and flexible Pine script that can help traders identify trend reversals and generate accurate buy and sell signals. With its customizable settings and reliable indicators, the script can be a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit.
About Time Frame:
The L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H is specifically designed for use on the 4-hour time frame and is particularly well-suited for trading the BTCUSDT.P trading pair. The script combines various technical indicators, including the Adaptive Hull Moving Average (AHMA) and the reverse chop indicator, to help identify trend reversals and generate accurate buy and sell signals.
Traders who are interested in using the L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H should be aware that it is optimized for use on the 4-hour time frame. While it may work on other time frames, the signals generated may not be as reliable as those generated on the 4-hour chart. Additionally, the script is specifically designed for use on the BTCUSDT.P trading pair, and may not be as effective on other trading pairs.
Overall, the L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H is a powerful and adaptable Pine script that can help traders identify trend reversals and generate accurate buy and sell signals. With its focus on the 4-hour time frame and the BTCUSDT.P trading pair, the script can be a valuable tool for traders who are looking to improve their trading results on this particular asset.
Choppiness Sensitive
The L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H includes a choppiness detection feature that helps traders identify whether the market is trending strongly or moving sideways. When the market is trending strongly, the background color of the chart will turn blue, indicating an active buy or sell signal. Conversely, when the market is moving sideways, the script will ignore any buy or sell signals generated by the OCC or Hull MA conditions.
The choppiness detection feature is based on the reverse chop indicator, which measures the volatility of the market and compares it to a set threshold. When the chop value is above the threshold, the market is considered to be in a sideways or choppy phase, and the script will not generate any buy or sell signals. However, when the chop value is below the threshold, the market is considered to be trending strongly, and the script will generate active buy or sell signals based on the OCC or Hull MA conditions.
Overall, the choppiness detection feature is a valuable addition to the L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H, as it helps traders identify the optimal times to enter and exit the market. By focusing on strong trends and ignoring sideways movement, traders can improve their trading results and minimize their risk of losses.
Divergence Detection and Alerts
The L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H is a powerful Pine script that can produce divergence labels and TradingView alerts using the built-in alert() function. This allows traders to receive real-time notifications when the script generates a buy or sell signal, making it easier to stay on top of market movements and take advantage of profitable trading opportunities.
To set up alerts, traders can simply add the alert() function to the script and specify the conditions that should trigger the alert. For instance, traders may want to receive an alert when the script generates a buy signal based on the OCC conditions, or when the Hull MA crosses above or below a certain level.
In addition to alerts, the script can also produce divergence labels, which can help traders identify potential trend reversals and generate more accurate buy and sell signals. Divergence labels are based on the difference between the script's indicators and the price action of the asset being traded, and can provide valuable insights into the underlying market dynamics.
Overall, the L4 Adaptive Hull Suite 4H is a versatile and customizable script that can help traders identify trend reversals and generate accurate buy and sell signals. With its ability to produce alerts and divergence labels, the script can be a valuable tool for traders who are looking to stay on top of market movements and take advantage of profitable trading opportunities.
Bull Bear Power Void with a Killer Exit IndicatorWelcome to the coffee shop everybody and this is your host and baristo Eric. the bull bear power void has had a massive update since the last time I have been in the shop. So thanks for joining me on this one.
THE BACKGROUND:
I have recalculated the background to show you when you are looking for Longs and when you are looking for short trades. It's simple enough and the background is either red or green to tell you early that the trend has changed. just because the background color is red doesn't mean enter short it means that a retest is coming and a Divergence is about to complete. The same thing goes for green. when it changes to Green it means that a retest is coming or that I Divergence is about to complete and you trade into that direction.
The light blue filter is called the Volume regression moving average. this does a really good job of telling you exactly what's happening with volume as it's moving along. it calculates against the highs and lows of the immediately closed volume bars so when you break a previous high or a previous low then you know you have broken a range and you have maintained a new structure.
breaking a previous high or previous low also means that you can either trade to the long side or to the short side. This is just an added confirmation to layer into your background and your volume bar colors.
VOLUME BAR COLORS.
Speaking of the colors of the volume bars. I've changed them to make them a little bit more intuitive for people. Now it's really simple. if you have dark colors like dark green and dark red then you know volume is moving to the upside. if you have light colors like light green and light red volume is moving to the downside.
These colors are irrelevant to the location of the bar meaning it doesn't matter if the bar is liked or dark color above zero or below zero.
if you get a dark color below zero you're still moving up anyway because up is always up and down is always down.
the short of it is dark colors mean long light colors mean short.
The final Clincher of the updates to the bull bear power void is another filter using a hull moving average calculation.
in this oscillator it's shown as a purple moving average. this does an excellent job of telling you when a pullback is over or a trend is over or a trend has lost its momentum. it is the final layer of Confluence to tell you that the move you were in is over or it's on pause.
the bottom line is that this purple moving average is to be used as an exit indicator not an entry indicator.
When the light blue and the purple moving averages cross each other above closing volume or below closing volume is when you have a strong move in the opposite direction. These two moving averages combined are always pushing volume away from it.
as you watch your charts you'll notice that primarily volume will exist inside of these two moving averages in other words you will have these two moving averages at the bottom of your panel volume will exist above them and then the zero level would be there if this is the case you have an uptrend.
Timestamped Market Overview 1/1/23 Short Version of DXY and VIX 8:24-9:24
DXY 0:14
VIX 4:45
APPL 9:25
HSI 11:11
NASDAQ 12:10
BTCUSD 14:18
MARA 16:00
PHUN 16:47
NVDA 16:58
PYPL 18:15
TSLA 18:55
Closing words (Will be interesting to see where the dollar opens) 19:43
Overall I think things look fairly bullish. At least in the ability to regain some of the loses from the past two weeks.
My big issue as always, is that the dollar is dropping more and more and stocks just are not going up as much as they need to in order to counterbalance. If the DXY hits 98-100 and bounces, then it wont be pretty for stocks if they haven't positioned themselves from a technical/chart perspective.
Market Update 12/18/2022TimeStamps:
VIX 0:00
APPL 1:03
NDQ,DJI,SPY 5:12
BTC 6:24
DOGE 8:38
HD 10:50
DKNG 14:00
META 15:18
PYPL 16:18
Just an overview since the last video and some thoughts moving forward.
I hope you all are doing well. Sorry for not being on as much as I used to. I hope to be on more in the future.
Stocks & Crypto QuickFire: Time StampedTimeStamps:
DOGE 0:18
SOXL 3:22
PYPL & DKNG 5:22
LTC 7:46
ETH 8:50
HSI 9:50
GOLD 12:00
PHUN 13:40
SLP 14:58
MSFT 16:14
NVDA 17:10
TSLA 18:00
AUDCAD 19:04
I say something like 17-6 in the beginning when I'm looking at DOGE. I meant to say 7.6 cents when referring to 7.6 cents being a smaller position entry area and 6 cents for a more sizeable one.
Market Update 11/30/22 Timestamps BelowReal support for Vix is below at 19.8 and 19.4 with the strong trend line at 17.6. Though Powell did have bullish comments today, the price movement of the VIX supported the likelihood of a market move upwards more so than a market move down.
Time Stamps:
VIX 0:00
APPL 11:00
NASDAQ 14:39
DXY 15:40
BTC 16:50
SPY & DJI 18:22
Market Update 11/29/22: APPL, VIX, DXYThe Quality of the Video is 3x better if you full screen when watching.
I still feel like there could be some bullishness coming in here. I am not sure if this bearishness will stick. I go into more depth in the video.
I am looking forward to seeing where the vix starts/goes tomorrow before the market opens.
"The" Daily Market Update (Centralized)As I am permitted, this core idea will have a daily video update every day besides Saturday. These updates will ALL be videos in my usual format and each will be 'IDEAS' themselves: As opposed to a screenshot with words. This is key, because any Intra-Day update that I make in regards to that idea (same day update) will have the update within that idea. So clicking on that daily update may have more updates past the initial one.
The purpose of this is to further consolidate and reduce clutter that may build up over time and by doing so I hope that you can get an understanding of my thought process by quickly being able to refer to previous days, as well as having any comments/questions answered in one centralized location.
I believe I started (specifically) doing the regular daily updates from September 7th, so it only goes back that far as of now. I have done some here and there, but want to keep this idea as clean as possible for everyone.
Related Ideas linked below are some of my more important ideas that I often refer to.
I stream every weekday: 15 minutes before the market opens and at least 15 minutes after the market closes. I also stream Sundays 30 minutes before the Week candle Change on BTC.
Some other key information regarding TradingView Subscriptions:
1) I do not believe it is needed (for me) to be able to analyze and trade anymore, BUT it is key for going over old data to train and is HIGHLY worth considering when you want to take your trading to the next level. I may not continue with the Premium next year, but I will NEVER not have a TradingView Subscription; Just as I will never eat unhealthy food again. There are certain things you do not go back to. Being subscription-less is one of them.
2) If you feel comfortable analyzing and want to try new things, I HIGHLY recommend taking a look at the subscriptions levels and features, because on which you choose you can get access to many amazing features such as:
a) Volume Profiles (Horizontal Volume)
b) 20,000 bars worth of data
c) Intra-Day Replay (Very useful for accurate back-testing and training)
d) Multiple charts at once (Easier for me to compare movement to find correlations)
e) The ability to make video ideas.
In the spirit of being fair, I must mention one small drawback in regards to one feature of the premium plan. This is only in regards to anyone that streams regularly on TradingView and 9.9 times out of 10 will not apply to the average user. I explain an incredibly easy work around at the bottom, so make sure to check that out.
The "Premium Plan" allows your streams to be "saved indefinitely". This is the response I got and why I believe the streams are saved, but not available after you stream 50 more times (overwritten or hidden). Though until they are made available, if ever, they might as well not exist.
"I have double-checked this case with our tech team and they assigned a task to add the possibility to view the records of the past streams in the Profile.
Your ticket is tagged to the corresponding task so you will be notified in case of an update."
So it appears from the language used that the streams are saved, but are unavailable after 50 streams. I stream every day, so this is important to me. Maybe it will be important to you as well.
Work Around:
You can save your own recording to your pc when you stream and/or also multi-stream through Trading View to YouTube and Twitch. YouTube will turn your streams into Videos so that solves the issue of that; More or less. TradingView is my platform of choice, so I'd prefer all of the streams to be accessible on this platform and, through that, encourage more people to access this platform for data.
Market Update 10/5/22TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL Today's Movements 0:55
NASDAQ Quick 2:35
BTC Quick 3:43
DXY Being Weird 4:27
APPL Talking opening Targets 6:50
Possible VIX Concerns 11:30
USD/WTI 13:48
Hang Seng 16:28
________________________________________
I will see you tomorrow at 9:30
Market Update 10/4/22TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
BTC Update 0:20
APPL Today's Movements 5:04
APPL Talking Opening Targets 9:06
Possible VIX Concerns13:42
NDQ 14:17
USD/WTI 15:15
Some Stocks and Gold 15:56
Closing Statements 19:20
________________________________________
See yall tomorrow at 9:15 EST
Beep boop. Beep Beep boop.
Beep boop. Beep Beep boop.
Market Update 10/3/22 Fight for $142.65TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL Possible Movements 0:28
APPL Today's Movements 4:15
BTC Recap 7:05
USD/WTI 14:25
ETH/BTC 15:30
XRP/USD 18:44
Closing Statements 19:45
________________________________________
I'm too lazy to type too much today. In the video I go over what I want to see in the first 1-2 minutes. If you want an update on what the market did through my perspective, then check out the video after the first 1-2 minutes.
I go over BTC in the second half of the video, but nothing has really changed with BTC since yesterdays update. It is just moving with the market and we saw the entry point yesterday after the Week candle change. The short spots are still there if the price reaches. Most likely we will not get there until/if the stock market drops.
142.65 is still where APPL needs to fight for.
BTC Sunday Update 10/2/22Check the 2HR and 4HR 375 and 500 Hull averages for short entry targets. We were not nearly as bearish as I would have thought when we ended friday. Obviously we will see what happens on Monday with the Stock market.
I inked Fridays Market update to this, so you can check that out if you want. I talk about spots where I expect we can see a reversal depending on where we start.
TLDW; BTC week end target is 18k. We obviously aren't there and we found support above the 4HR and 4 HR hulls. The short targets are there, but someone or something has to push it down, otherwise its not worth shorting where it currently is.
Pushing to the Week 200 SMMA isnt particularly amazing, because we want to see the candle end UNDER. To do that its going to take another 7 days from now, so selling it early can easily be seen as over selling. Unless the stock market is trash of course.
Market Update 9/30/22 Off The Cliff We Go?TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
BTC 0:54
APPL Yesterday's Movements 9:23
APPL Today's Movements 11:12
APPL: When the Market Fell Off the Cliff 13:53
What We may See Monday and Issues of Dropping Further 18:06
Closing Statements 19:26
________________________________________
There is probably one thing that saves this, and I really doubt it will happen at this point.
I only go over BTC and APPL in this one: Focusing on the Kings. The buying and selling, more specifically the selling, was REALLY good today. Even when we were slightly oversold on the shorter timeframes, the price made sure not to drop too much until we had higher time frames start under the major trendline.
BTC starting the week under 18k is horrible, things look bad, but these last two trading days have had amazing price action. I think this is worse than better, because bad selling brings good buying, but good selling generally brings nothing but more selling.
The sell off at 11:29:45 (last 15 seconds before the 2HR, 1HR, and 30Min TimeFrame change to bring it just under 142.65 was really something. I pretty much knew what was coming the second I saw that on stream. I go over that moment in the video.
Anyway, see you all on Sunday around 19:30 EST for the Crypto Week Time Frame candle change.