HOW TO IDENTIFY STOPLOSS HUNTER AND TAKE PART ON IT - SETUP - HI BIG PLAYERS!
Today I want give you smart WAY to take part on stoploss hunters. I know everyone of us hate it to be stopped out. But to be honest, stoploss levels means a huge volume level, that institutions use for cheap entries.
This is why I want explain how I take part on stoploss hunting. I look on 4h chart for high demand and supply zones. On touching these area we all can expect more trade exchange and more volume.
If the price bounce of this zone and break with CHOCH (change of character ) the last trend, a lot of trader try to trade early as they can and the stoploss becomes calculatable .
As soon as the old trend is resumed, but in a narrow form, so that it is almost a sideways phase, then I identify stoploss hunter. The setup looks similar like this structure:
The good news: the stoploss to the last local point is very close and Risk-Return-Ratios of 1:3 are possible.
Comments are welcome!
Best regards
NXT2017
Hunting
Stoploss hunting in banknifty 28 NOV 2023My view of how market will react according to the stoploss present of both buyers and sellers.
The yellow lines present are the psychological levels, market respect to these levels very much.
The white line present between both yellow lines indicated the presence of both buyers and sellers at that point those who took positions for btst. The rectangle which shows the stoploss is marked using fib retracement tool. Tomorrow if market opened gap up it will take down the profit of sellers by 50 to 60 percent which will result in a massive sale. and also gap up opening of market will trigger retail investers to buy ce side creating stoploss down side. Therefore, I am having view of PE side or selling side.
PLEASE COMMENT DOWN IF YOU HAVE ANY SUGGESTIONS OR WANT TO CORRECT ME! THANK YOU.
AUD/USD LONG - HIGH PROBABILITY SETUPAUD/USD is at a monthly demand zone, there are numerous traps enticing retail traders to short. E.g. bouncing off the weekly trend line, and a so called area of resistance on the daily.
COT data also shows banks are becoming slightly bullish and reducing short positions.
A-la-la-la-le-LONG,
ah-long-long-le-long-long-LONG!
Don't short basically.
Ps. Trade prediction is not an entry yet, certain requirements still need to be met.
STOP LOSS TO BREAK EVEN + SOME PROFITNo point letting this trade turn into a looser now. Two lower highs created, so some structure to help create a logical place to move the stop too. Stop will be now at 1.46825. Worry free trade now, let the market go where it wants on this pair now.
Updates to follow.
GBP/NZD - LONG... Did you just get stopped out? Here's whyDid you just hand back over some money to the market after what you thought was a great entry? But why, that "support" looks fantastic? You might have thought;
Multiple touches in the past, strong zone.
Price created some nice bullish Price Action, it must be bouncing off the support.
We had a huge strong move up not too long ago.
This is accumulation within that strong move now is a good entry.
Lets enter and place our stops underneath that strong zone, surely price will fly!
All the banks and the big investors see is a nice zone full of stop losses, great liquidity for the taking. Why would the banks try and fill their massive orders at a worse price, when they can manipulate it downwards and gain a much much better entry.
Trade smarter not harder. Follow the big money in the markets. Wait until the liquidity (stops) have been cleared out, then enter!
IS IT WORTH TAKING THE TRADE? THE FINAL DECISIONSSo you have the "perfect" setup; all the stars align and you feel utterly confident in taking the trade, but should you? I have a process that must be completed before I even think about pressing the trigger.
Fundamental analysis points me in one of two directions, then from there I'm either short or long. I then look if there is a technical entry point that lines up in the way I want to enter. The final step to take is too see what target will be and what my R:R is.
For those that don't know R:R is risk to reward. So if you have 1:1 R:R and you risk 1% of your capital on a trade, then you stand to gain only 1%. This is pretty much a 50/50 gamble, and we don't gamble in trading.
If all the stars align and the R:R is 1:1 DON'T TAKE THE TRADE, MOVE ON!
We win by having better winning trades than looser's. Ideally I want a 1:1.5 R:R, ideally 1:2 (So if i risk 1% and my trade reaches TP I gain 1.5% or 2%).
If I have a R:R less that this I stay away or risk 0.5% on a trade, but I advise you stay away from the trade and look for another opportunity. After all, there are infinite entries in the future.
Happy Trading.
USDJPY WaitThis pair is more likely to continue ranging between 110-116 this week, but might breakout either upside or downside soon (with US tax reform news most likely triggering volatility in the near-term) and any confirmation candle past that range will trigger the buy/sell stop order with TPs at 120/107 and SL near base pivot line.
www.recode.net
www.cnbc.com
www.dailyfx.com
www.dailyfx.com
Weekly:
Confidence: A
DAX LongDAX after the breakout upward now backed to the range. Price achieve bottom edge of range and at this level buyers became active leaving a trail of bullish pinbar. It looks like long orders stop loss hunting preceding upward price movement. We are opening small long with Risk Reward Ratio 1:1 with stop below last pinbar and target near last high. Near 13020-13030 we will move SL to Break Even.
Bitcoin - Seasonal Opportunity within the chaos (1 of 2)Hello all,
After what can only be described as a parabolic move in the US$, we have seen one by one the world's 'risk' assets slowly work their way back down to earth. Weather it be, gold, oil or now even stocks, the bubble of the US Federal Reserve Board's QE program is deflating. Bitcoin too it would seem has been caught up in this deflationary spiral as it has seen its' value drop by 50% over just the past four months and nearly 75% from it's peak only ten month's ago....kaboom.
Macro economic backdrop
The current deflationary pressure is warranted in my opinion as it appears the US economy no longer needs to be force feed liquidity to keep it afloat. Unfortunately, through 'fear' cycles our society inevitably will be net sellers of assets as the baby boomers liquidate life savings to pay for retirement. The problem is, when too many of them rush the exits all at once the market can get overwhelmed very quickly. Couple that with poor ethical decisions by political leaders (US housing crisis....ty Jr. Bush and the whole elite superstructure) and one literally has the makings of an economic disaster written all over it. Without such extreme measures like Quantitative Easing asset prices would have gone through the 2008 lows and stayed down (a la Great Depression). Considering too the West's reliance on deficit spending (ty Mr. Regan) and one can clearly see that letting the economy find it's 'natural' footing (as Mr. Hoover advocated for through his respective 'fear' cycle tenure) simply was not an option. Through the force feeding of the QE programs, asset prices have risen enough to be able to absorb more selling if needed. Indeed, stock prices themselves could easily fall 50% from current levels and still not threaten those 2008 lows. Quantitative easing has worked, it has bought the market some time but this all that it has done. Keep in mind, this is not a strong economy to begin with. Due to structural issues short term interest rates in North America are at/near zero for a reason and now just the suggestion of removing the QE programs has been enough to bring whatever economic expansion that existed into question. On top of this, Neither Asia nor Europe seem ready willing or able to pick up the proverbial slack in demand at the moment. It seems to me, with both the US$ rally and the stock market break, the market is searching for the point at which it will get the US Fed to resume the QE programs. How far lower do asset prices need to fall in order to get them to act? That of course, is the $64,000 question! As the famous Mortimer Duke would say, 'turn those machines back on!, turn those machines back on!'...
Seasonal backdrop
In the face of the scenario outlined above, we have a number of seasonal forces that are helping the bear along. These include repatriation of assets into the US Federal Government's fiscal year end which happens to be exacerbated because of the 'carry trade', reporting of typically weak late summer earnings, liquidation of agricultural assets in size and of course the Vernal Equinox. This is a big time for change in markets and we retail investors are often handed some incredible opportunities through the later part of the window. As one market technician I love (Don Vialoux) would say, 'buy when it snows and sell when it goes'..
end of part 1....