Fakeouts, hourly 200 ema, 3rd structure and apex of new triangleAll details at chart.
My sentiment is still bearish/sideways.
Apex of new triangle is about to end soon.
Expecting bigger move soon... ...or boring sideways.
Huobi
Fakeout then Breakdown? Eu BTC terrorists FUD?Details at chart.
Looks like we're going down from triangle with nice fakeout 18th.
If price won't come back above triangle upper trendline soon, targets would be at .618-1 fibo retrace.
If breakdown is not fake, upper triangle trendline should act now like a resistance.
Chart suggesting SHORT sentiment but it can go back up soon or go sideways without any clear trend.
Anyway some FUD about terrorists and BTC is typical short information especially after mini bubble 500$, weak bounces and many sideways days.
Good luck!
BITCOIN December ForcastAfter the dump from the smaller triangle we have entered the larger triangle again. (same top area, different bottom area)
We can see some existing bullish orderbooks and insititutional investment present around key support levels on the way down as was saw when we dumped to 2060, the price immediately got shot back and then pumped on the MSFT news.
Right now we have 2 options and an inter triangle trading range (which might proove profitable or not depending if we break the triangle or continue the pattern, so far is is looking that we're hovering over the bottom of the triangle)
If we break the bottom support level, we might see a spike back to the low 2000-2060 range before we see how much the orderbook will be bought up
If we break upwards we have 2 key lines that we will bounce on 2280-2340 which is the range of the previous triangle and then again on the way around 2420-2450 which is the previous 4h pivot point
Somewhere along 365-390 we also have the very big bear downtrend line from December 2013. That plus current support are making a large descending wedge which technically means that the price should pump. Given the fact that we've went this far into the wedge, the breakout price is actually quite close (we broke it when we pumped in NOV)
So in my opinion the plays are like this
1) You can trade the triangle but i dont recommend it at all, as it can break down
2) Buy if it breaks triangle on the top, and keep adding to it if it breaks the big bear trendline (make sure you have a few Daily candles done not just a wick which happend in NOV)
3)Sell if it breaks on the downside but keep a close eye on it and keep your position controlled. The end of the wedge is relatively close so we could theoretically break out of the pattern at any time and break it fast (like MSFT breakout was) which was also a large Stop Hunt(tm))
Some people most notably DanV and a few others are poiting that the true bottom of the wedge will be around 250. I am not as PRO in Elliot waves as they are, but that might happen or it might now, but you have to keep this in mind.
Also keep in mind that if we do break $275, and if we break $262 (which weas the high of the prev pump) then its gonna be blood in the street, etc etc.
Regards
Possible ways of where we go with BTC in the next hour 1-2 daysPossible situations of what might happen in the next hours / 1-2 days 4 November 2014
Resistances congestion on 2H chart. Interesting.As you can see EMA(65) on the 2H charts has been pinned many time and called some tops.
We are right now with a new pin on it, under a huge congestion of resistances which could lead to a breakout to watch for. Indeed, I think the momentum could be enough to go through.
BTC bear flagging againMy short term target is 2180 ish but could head further down to 2130 is before the next bounce
Intermediate target for LTCNow expecting 25 yuan target for this bear flag. Huge hidden bearish divergences on 4hr and 1hr
HUOBI SIGNIFICANT LEVELS ON 4H CHARTHuobi is in the middle of a downtrend channel at the moment. The candlesticks seems to show a rejection from the upper channel, so if the bulls don't do their move it's possible one more leg down or simply sideways. A first psicological level that i draw some days ago is the round number 2300 that we hit in this downtrend and that is acting as a support. Now i see as a possible level in the downside the trend based fib extension at 2219 area. The RSI also seems pointing down. Considering that it is a good place to buy it's possible to see a bull run if the channel is broken with a good volume.
Good luck for your trading
We are going back to 22 yuan4hr DMI/ADX is turning up again. This is just beginning. Looks very similar to the selloff that happened at 31, Target this time is around 21.7, which puts us at lows for a double bottom
$500 or greater - Here We Come!!Looking at the out the daily Willy and Godmod... We got serious major buy signals down here and bottomed hard... 3070 is $500 and that puts us slap bang in the OTE and some strong resistance zones....That's where we are headed IMO
LTC on a rollercoaster ride to hell, or is it?Looks like LTC is breaking down, but I'm expecting a bounce on the 78.6% fib which also happens to coincide with a possible trendline and 1hr 200ma. I'm looking to buy 30.30 to 30.70 CNY
Risky, but valid atmThis could turn out here... valid target is 3003 on huobi which has been the whale target all along... now they have many bag holders to help get there. Could be wrong given the masses of bullish divergences here, but were right on the upper resistance trend line. It seems the clever money could make it happen and maintain bullishness by keeping divergences in tact
Whales not filled up yet.... not enough volumeUpdate to previous chart... We need to break this falling wedge to the downside briefly to create panic and get the whales filled up at 2994-3000 CNY...
Weekend Bull?So we've just had a 4hr Grib breakout and 1hr/4hr have bottomed. Lots of divergences on the 15m macd and plenty of support bouncing off the 50% level from lows to recent highs. This should be enough for a leg up to test the trendline above and fail again (Imo!)
Huobi next move predictionTopped up here and will retrace some. I think momentum will gather and i'm targeting the confluence area around the 61.8% fib, 1.618 fib extension also the trend line from the bottom 2 lows
Head and Shouders Pattern Formed On Huobi Again!Better sooner than later!
BTC showed us again a head and shouder formation!
This will take us back to at least 3615 because there we have strong reactance from the last weeks.
It's time to go short to for a few hours and wacht carefully if we break 3615.
If that happen the target at least 3600 or maybe even lower.
Our target is calculated just like the cup and handle pattern.
Measure the distance between the head and the neckline, and that is approximately the distance that the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
3720-3630=85
3650-80=3570 (580USD)
I hope this helped!
If you like my chart or my description, don't forget to like :)
Huobi LTCCNY: New bottom target of 39.xx CNYLitecoin continues its downward trend to create a new bottom of 39 CNY, lower than the previous bottom. I continue to believe my previous assessment that Litecoins fundamentals are no longer enough to keep it in the position as the second place coin. Unless something very extraordinary(i.e, Litecoin on Coinbase) happens to Litecoin at this point, it's bound to continue its inevitable deflation.
In my opinion this is still an excellent short.
HUOBI POSSIBLE BREAKOUT TO THE UPSIDELooking at previous moves on 2h chart the downtrend is taking the shape of a descending wedge. So it's still possible to look for one more leg down, but at some point i'm expecting a breakout to the upside, pointing around 4090 area. Good luck for your trading
Short term short. Long term long.These are some situations that could happen. The 3rd one is the one I feel may be the most likely on reflection having seen this type of action before. I feel resistance is weak however support is exhausted from recent gains so may just dip slightly while support is gathered ready to break through the $700 barrier.