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Hurricane

XOM - Will The Hurricane Drive Momentum?It is time to put Oil on your radar for two reasons. One thing that is really striking is how the stores are already selling completely out of water this weekend, after visiting 8 stores and coming up empty handed. BUT, how will the country be faced with gasoline shortages as mass panic begins to strike into the human mindsets, fear, and much more. Especially with not knowing the exact placement of the hurricane and the strength of destruction as the country is facing record high inflation and the government is depleting the strategic reserves of our Oil. THEY will need to start buying the Oil off the market at a rapid pace before the price of oil begins to aggressively increase - thus fueling the demand for buying; causing a momentum spike in price action. The Oil Markets have been looking for a catalyst and this could be just what the market needed to get some demand under it, after-all, recession or not, the U.S. needs Oil to survive and it wont' be long before the U.S. is pressured in admitting the need is critical. I am linking my home repair and oil charts below for simplicity purposes. My support/resistance lines are represented with the horizontal lines. You can use those as targets and/or entries for positions based on bounces of those areas or rejections.
NYSE:XOMLong
by bsdvs23
OXY AND HURRICANESIt is time to put Oil on your radar for two reasons. One thing that is really striking is how the stores are already selling completely out of water this weekend, after visiting 8 stores and coming up empty handed. BUT, how will the country be faced with gasoline shortages as mass panic begins to strike into the human mindsets, fear, and much more. Especially with not knowing the exact placement of the hurricane and the strength of destruction as the country is facing record high inflation and the government is depleting the strategic reserves of our Oil. THEY will need to start buying the Oil off the market at a rapid pace before the price of oil begins to aggressively increase - thus fueling the demand for buying; causing a momentum spike in price action. I am linking my home repair and oil charts below for simplicity purposes. My support/resistance lines are represented with the horizontal lines. You can use those as targets and/or entries for positions based on bounces of those areas or rejections.
NYSE:OXYLong
by bsdvs23
Hurricanes and Home RepairIt is time to put LOW and HD on your radar for two reasons. One I like how the technical complex looks and the other is the fact a major hurricane is going to rip into Tampa, FL (where I'm at), or somewhere into the U.S. In that same breadth it is imperative that we keep an eye on the Oil Stocks such as OXY and XOM, of which, I will be looking at and posting shortly with levels. One thing that is really striking is how the stores are already selling completely out of water this weekend, after visiting 8 stores and coming up empty handed. BUT, how will the country be faced with gasoline shortages as mass panic begins to strike into the human mindsets, fear, and much more. Especially with not knowing the exact placement of the hurricane and the strength of destruction as the country is facing record high inflation and the government is depleting the strategic reserves of our Oil. THEY will need to start buying the Oil off the market at a rapid pace before the price of oil begins to aggressively increase - thus fueling the demand for buying; causing a momentum spike in price action. I will try to link all of those charts together for simplicity purposes. My support/resistance lines are represented with the horizontal lines. You can use those as targets and/or entries for positions based on bounces of those areas or rejections.
NYSE:LOWLong
by bsdvs23
Hurricanes and Home RepairIt is time to put HD and LOW on your radar for two reasons. One I like how the technical complex looks and the other is the fact a major hurricane is going to rip into Tampa, FL (where I'm at), or somewhere into the U.S. In that same breadth it is imperative that we keep an eye on the Oil Stocks such as OXY and XOM, of which, I will be looking at and posting shortly with levels. I will try to link all of those charts together for simplicity purposes. My support/resistance lines are represented with the horizontal lines. You can use those as targets and/or entries for positions based on bounces of those areas or rejections.
NYSE:HDLong
by bsdvs23
NHCT Ready for Moon!?Hurricane NFT Market is a cross-chain NFT trading platform launched by HurricaneSwap. It is the first cross-chain NFT trading protocol based on Avalanche. It was born to solve NFT cross-chain transactions in different ecosystems, and is currently the only cross-chain transaction platform that has been implemented. It will support cross-chain NFT transactions on multiple chains such as Ethereum, BSC, Avalanche, Fantom and Polygon. What can I do now? if you are interested NFTs, I think this project could be good for investment! but be careful cuz this is my opinion! this is my Idea, I think it is the first Idea in tradingview! I hope this helps you.
NLong
by PatoshikCrypto
USOIL - BRENT - WTI : Will it ever pass 76$ this year? Maybe ...This is my idea for Oil Price movement until year end. Half way from Tech Analysis and Fundamental WE WILL TAKE IN CONSIDERATION Price History Some Political / Economical rumors / idea Weather incidence General Market Stock Price PRICE HISTORY 2019 Average prices between 50$ and 65$ (15$ movement) 2018 There was a small Pump but from September with Big Stock Drop also Oil dropped with from 75$ to 44$ (about 30$ lose) 2015 -2017 Average prices between 42$ and 52$ (10$ movement) 2015 Oil dropped from 107$ to 45$ (over 60$ movement within 6 month) (check EXPLANATION / GLOSSARY below) 2011-2014 Average prices between 85$ and 105$ (20$ movement) (Post SubPrime Real Estate Crisis) 1970-1980 Oil price peak from about 3$ (about 10$-15$ today) to 35$ (about 110$ today) (we analyze later why) IN DEEP... For your price prediction this news/rumors/idea must be taken in consideration China and India says they will use SPRs Reserve to avoid Oil price to go Up any Further (reads : if Countries opens SPRs, OIL price drops ) Biden called China for "economical agree" (does it ask to wait to open SPRs reserve? Maybe) Warehouse Shortage (stock supply, goods etc) where drained of by an hungry "buy everything frenzy" during Lockdown. To keep update with demand it is needed to accelerate production (isn't it quite impossible because of "bottle neck" everywhere??). If OIL price go up over reasonable area no-one will never be able to produce goods. Biden asked to Opec to rise Oil Production on September. More OIL means drop in Oil Price. Opec not responded clearly (are they trying to keep price high?) There are some rumors about a law for a credit of 12500$ for people that will buy USA EV Cars within 10 years ( shift to Renewable Energy means less OIL request, more Oil stock available, price drop ) After 1970/1980 crisis, America know very well what means to not have Oil Reserve and to manage a real high price Oil Supply. If they aren't completely foolish, no one will permit price to rise over a reasonable prices. Too risky. From September to November Hurricane risk is high. Usually a lot of traders bet for Oil price rise if some production area go down for some weeks. MY IDEA This is my idea, not a financial advice. I believe that Gov will not let OIL price to rise over certain prices. We need to restart economy, to avoid collapse, and a low Oil price will let Industry to regain capacity. If weather doesn't make damages, oil can stay low. Industry cannot give another future Up Shot to Stock Market. There are few good to sell this year, expectation for very low gain. When there are drops on Stock Market, also Oil drops (check 2015 and 2018) China & India (and maybe other countries) will for sure open SPRs, Oil prices will stay low until needed. OPEC forecast is not so great for this year, so we can expect lower production but also less ask. Likely price can go down to 60$ or even lower until (maybe) March 2021. IDEA 1 Prices will stay in 60$-65$ IDEA 2 Price will follow an "likely" Stock Market downtrend Until December (see some historical drop similar to Covid, like 2018 drop) IDEA 3 Price will drop on longer period until spring, when lower gains or losses will be revealed around a lot of sectors. Also I've insert a probability of prices rise for short period to 77$ (this happen on 2015 and 2018...15-30 days of delay from Stock Drop) IDEA 4 Price will drop until Late December to 50$ area. EXPLANATION / GLOSSARY SPRs : Strategic petroleum reserves, crude oil inventories (or stockpiles) held by the governments of particular countries or private industry, for the purpose of providing economic and national security during an energy crisis. Those were created after 1970-1980 Oil crisis. 1970-1980 OIL CRISIS : Oil prices start to growth when American, Germany and other countries production capacity start to collapse. High demands for Oil Import rise the prices too much (from 3$ to 35$ is like 10$ to 110$ today ... wait... in 2020 prices go from 20$ to 77$...). This Oil supply request arrived at collapse... 2015 Oil dump : After SubPrime Real Estate crisis, Economic world start a run to rise everything to new levels. Ask for every type of goods was high, production same. Oil rise because of very high demand. Trend was so happy that Oil Supply reached the Over Supply. (every sector was saturated by extra good)... and OIL prices suddenly crashed from 107$ to 45$ (no more demand) That's all folk. Remember this is not a financial advice. Maybe I've missed out some ideas...but to write this article took about 1.5hr. If you like it (and earned something with this ideas) you can consider to donate something to Paypal or Crypto Wallet. This will let me to write other consideration on stock market. Thank you a lot
TVC:USOILShort
by STABLECOINS_GURU
NATURAL GAS FRENZY - Is this "natural" or only a "fart"?Just want to share with you my idea. If you read my past post I'm in "safe area" because market is really extend. For a quick reference I've crossed 3 graphs : Sp500 | Oil | Natural Gas Let's compare 2018 with today. I strongly believe that 2018 is only a "small version" of the 2020-2021 Economical LunaParKovid Frenzy. I was really surprise to discover that Natural Gas was Pumped at very start of market dump in 2018 . Those pump (both today and 2018) are strictly related to beliefs on debate going on how natural gas is a “bridge fuel ” that can help pave the way for the U.S. to reduce carbon emissions and renewable. Main problem is the Dump after the "FOMO storm"! Storm in both sense : literal because IDA and Nicholas Hurricane push prices up. FOMO Storm because Fear of Missing Out take aboard all type of small retails looking for easy cash (and empty pockets at least). However, the only thing I see now is only a FOMO . Stay alert this can finish worst than you can image. Doesn't matter if Cramer say....if Hurricane doing... if China making... We are in an high volatility market. Be careful, don't chase your dream, don't chase FOMO. Just use your brain. This is not a financial advice. Only ideas. If you are happy with this post, please consider to donate something on my Paypal.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by STABLECOINS_GURU
6
Getting ready for a volatile day: pound and dollar have the bullLabor Day in the US and Canada led to a relatively calm day on the financial market. But today everything can change radically. On the one hand, Hurricane Dorian threatens to become the most powerful in history. This means that the potential damage could also become the most significant. Yesterday we promised to show the way how to make money on this kind of natural force majeure. Here are a couple of facts. Irma was the first Category 5 hurricane (like Dorian) provoked a sharp decrease in the number of new jobs created out of a farm sector in the United States (NFP indicator) in September 2017. With an average 200K number, its September figures were (the peak activity of Irma in the month of August) -33K (!). In 2018, hurricanes were less destructive, but the September NFPs came out below forecasts 30% (!)and much lower than the average. Thus, if the hurricane turns out to be quite destructive, we can expect weak figures for the US labor market for September-October. Accordingly, it will be possible to prepare in advance for the failed data and make money on it. But the consequences of Dorian are not clear yet and will manifest after some time, but in the UK everything can be much more dynamic. Today, the UK Parliament is returning from recess with the understanding that they have less than 10 days to stop Johnson, because on September 12 his activities will be suspended until mid-October (the UK will leave the EU on October 31). That is, today all sorts of sensational news are possible to happen. There are a lot of development options of events, starting from the law prohibiting exit without a deal, ending with the resignation of the Government or early elections.Thus, the dynamics of the pound so far seems completely unpredictable - it will be entirely determined by the results of the parliamentarians activities. Let's try to give an approximate plan for working with the pound, depending on certain results. We sell the pound if the Parliament can accept nothing, as this is likely to mean a "hard" Brexit. We buy the pound if a law is passed to ban the exit without a deal or if a vote of no confidence is put forward to the Government. We regard early elections as a neutral option with positive for the pound since it will at least delay the “hard” Brexit. Also, today it is worth paying attention to the ISM index of business activity in the USA, Michel Lagarde speech, as well as the index of business activity in the UK. Speaking of our other trading preferences for today, we note that we will continue to sell the euro, buy gold and the Japanese yen, sell oil and the Russian ruble.
by Trade24Fx
Hurricane Dorian, Trump's new tariffs & Brexit Queen approves PM`s plan. Parliament is to be suspended for five weeks ahead of 31 October, the day the UK is due to leave the EU that was perhaps, the main event. This event is unusual: the prime minister, who was not chosen, and the Queen, who was not chosen as well, blocked the work of epy supreme body, which directly selected by people and represents their interests. So we closely monitor event development in Britain. This week we will see the continuation of an exciting series from the UK. On Tuesday, parliament will return from the summer break and will work for only a week before suspending its work, according to the Queen’s decree. A hurricane of events that is what we all are waiting for. Events are becoming less predictable and ever larger in terms of consequences. One of the main victims, well, main beneficiaries, of course, will be the British pound. We will refrain from direct pound trading orders. However, we continue to believe in the triumph of common sense and a valuable exit, which will provoke the growth of the pound by hundreds or even thousands points. But taking into account how events are developing, it’s worth preparing for almost everything, including the classic divorce with “beating dishes”, the division of property and the courts. As for the other important events, another uncertainty in the trade war: the parties either want negotiations or not. But at the same time, the facts show that the war is going on and even intensifying. From now on, the United States introduces new tariffs on goods from China. Also, Extremely powerful, life-threatening Hurricane Dorian is gaining momentum and could potentially cause major damage in Florida. Tomorrow we will write in more detail how to make money on this natural phenomenon. In general, given how uncertain and worried the world is, this week we will continue to buy safe-haven assets. The week may well be difficult for the Australian and Canadian dollars: on Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its decision on the interest rate, and the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on Wednesday. Well, the publication of statistics on the US labor market will conclude more than an eventful week. Considering that before the FOMC decision is announced, it remains just a couple of weeks, the data on the NFP may well completely change everything. But we will talk about this in more detail during the week. As for our trading preferences for this week, we note that we tend to sell the euro, avoiding trading the pound (until the current situation with the Parliament’s blocking becomes clear), buy gold and the Japanese yen, sell oil and the Russian ruble. As for our trading preferences for this week, we note that we tend to sell the euro, avoiding trading the pound (until the current situation with the Parliament’s blocking becomes clear), buy gold and the Japanese yen, sell oil and the Russian ruble.
Short
by Trade24Fx
2
Overall view on Natural Gas - Update of July 8th's weekNatural gas has been selling off since the beginning of the year. With the EIA inventory cut due to the Atlantic Hurricane threat, we are likely to see a surge on prices. In fact, the energy commodity is still consolidating on a tight 0.130$ per unit range while being bullish. Possible targets: @2.500 (+40 pips or 0.04$ per m3) and @2.600 (+140 pips or 0.14$ per m3) or 2.265 (+100 pips or 0.10$ per m3) if we break downside @2.370 level. Advice: Stay bullish and buy at any low point while we don't break the @2.370 bottom level.
OANDA:NATGASUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
Hurricane Energy PLC - Too early to enter?This is my first post, so I'll keep it short. My Impressions... Fundamentally: Bullish. This company is expected to start pumping oil in early 2019. Keep an eye on oil prices. Technically: After going below the 200MA on daily chart, I think there's strong potential to get a better entry so rather than illustrate a stop, I've attempted to include an accumulation zone in yellow. My trade: I'm long from 42.20 with only 10% of what I've set aside for this trade as I'm quite cautious when there's not really a strong Technical case to enter yet. If we move much lower I'll take the opportunity to lower my average cost. Timeline: Never can be 100% but I'm happy to sit back and see if I can improve my entry over the next few months.
HLong
by mackenzie7070
Natural Gas ETF long I'm all about generating ideas off of the storm hitting the Gulf right now. With an anticipation in increasing high natural gas prices, I'm looking at this chart. A good buy for me is around 21.55 with an initial target of 23.13, where I will take 2/3 profits and move my stop up from 21.20. As a disclaimer, this post and previous and future posts are my opinions only. Do not make investment decisions off of my ideas. This is not official advice.
AMEX:FCGLong
by Brandon50115
2
I'm trading ALDW oil, F, GMViewing the chart above, the vertical line represents the day Hurricane Harvey hit. These stocks; which fall in the automotive, home and oil industries; saw a substantial increase over the next month and all but oil is still seeing an increase. Ford, GM, LPX and Alon. I have been mentioning and trading the first three, Alon (ALDW) is a new one for me. ALDW appears to be forming a cup and handle going into this storm. The last storm caused ALDW to jump upward. At a p/e multiple of 16.38, this stock trades cheaper than say XOM, which is at 29.49. Also note that ALDW has a small capitalization of 739 million, making it fairly reactive to oil prices. I'm using technicals, mainly RSI, for entry. I look for RSI to range around 50-65 on support, lower could mean a bearish move. My portfolio holdings going through Q4, FX trading - 10% Swing/pattern trading - 30% ALDW - 20% F - 20% GM - 20%
NYSE:GMLong
by Brandon50115
Can tropical storm Nate send Exxon (XOM) above 84.51? Tropical storm Nate is set to hit the Gulf coast over this weekend, affecting natural gas and oil production. Here is my little break down of what this could mean for the market and why Exxon may break a key price of 84.51, which I used the above renko chart to identify. The Gulf accounts for 17 percent of the US crude oil production and 5 percent of its natural gas production. The area also accounts for 51 percent of the natural gas processing plant capacity. A strike to this area could mean limited supply and higher prices. Hurricane Harvey sent gas prices up 14 cents for a 12 day period. The vicious storm shut down 25 percent of oil and gas production, which made up 5 percent of the nation's output. In addition to oil and natural gas prices rising, we should expect a short-term spike in the auto and home building materials industries, possibly a week or 2 after. Companies to watch include, GM, Ford, and Louisiana-Pacific. Also watch Exxon Mobile, which could be fueled into a new high. Just be careful, XOM is trending down. Always use proper stops and position sizing. Happy Trading!
NYSE:XOMLong
by Brandon50115
Ford to move higher after rally from recent hurricanesRecently, I have been trading auto manufactures, steel and home building materials. We've looked at GM and LPX. They received a boost from the September hurricanes. Here's another one, Ford. We see a rally and higher high on heavier volume yesterday. RSI is showing good strength. Looking at its Renko chart, there appears to be price resistance at 12.64. News of higher profits coming off of the hurricanes caused a significant gap up in price. Expect that gap to fill and the price to fall to 12.09. This is going to be my buy point with a short-term target of 12.64, a 4.6% increase. My stop would be at around 11.86. For now, I'm on the sidelines... Here's the renko chart I used for finding s/r levels: Happy trading!
NYSE:F
by Brandon50115
GM's post hurricaine rally could be coming to a haultWhen cars and homes were destroyed, those industries got a boost. LPX makes wood-panel sidings for homes and saw a 15% increase. Auto makers like GM saw a large increase as well this past month. Is it coming to an end for GM? Can it go higher? Is a good entry in sight? I believe so. The trend angle increased, representing strength, and the price action in terms of ATR increased as well through the uptrend. However, the break through the 41.20 level on news of it's September increase was seen on lower volume than the previous day and ultimately closed below that level. For me, I take this as a good time to sit on the sidelines and wait to see what happens. If it falls, then I will look for a good entry. Fundamentally, I see this rising over the next quarter.
NYSE:GM
by Brandon50115