Bloom Energy Update - Important Levels and TrendsHonestly, I don't know exactly what will happen with Bloom in the short term.
Worst case scenario, it taps 18, then bounces hard, which will confirm a full retracement of the over-extension.
The simple trend line I have should bring us to 30 soon.
The 200 Daily EMA has been reclaimed, as of today. It must hold til the end of the week.
I predict Bloom will hit $75, minimum, by the end of 2021.
Hydrogen
PLUG- Future of hydrogen clean energy is uncertainPLUG is arguably the leader of hydrogen fuel cell company. However, there are several concerns that need to be addressed.
#1. Hydrogen clean energy is still at the proof-of-concept stage and the natural gas industry seems to be its biggest advocate. Hydrogen gas is emission-free only if it's made by electrolysis from renewable energy.
#2. Currently, major renewable technologies include hydroelectricity, solar PV and wind power. Unlike solar and wind power, hydrogen doesn't occur naturally and needs to be manufactured from natural gas. This means that the significant time and cost will go toward setting up expensive infrastructure, storage and distribution networks making hydrogen power much harder and much more expensive to scale compared to solar and wind.
#3. Personal transport is one of the biggest application of the hydrogen, yet FCEV (Hydrogen) is steadily losing ground against BEV (Battery Electric Vehicle). The falling battery price and EV tax credit will only accelerate the adoption of EV, further widening the gap between FCEV and BEV.
#4. Sky high valuation and recent accounting issues.
I'm ambivalent toward PLUG and other fuel cell companies in general. However, I think it is a speculative bet and a good candidate for the swing trade given that one of the focuses of Biden's 2.25 trillion infrastructure plan is renewable power and that investors just love to throw their money on anything related to green energy due to the global decarbonization initiative that aims to reduce the CO2 emission by 50% in 2030.
I would initiate a small long position inside the demand zone. Conservative play is to set the target at the daily POC and exit completely. Alternatively, you can sell 50% and keep the remaining position as the potential long-term holding.
Do your own research. Not the investment advice.
XBC LongXbc finding support at levels established last year. Orange price target's for short and long term positions.
STOCKS - Hexagon CompositesModel Forecast for HEX.OL:
- Model had produced entry signals for PLATINUM previously.
- Model has produced bullish signals for HEX.OL.
- The Hydrogen Strategies market and Platinum are highly correlated.
- Technically bullish, with Automatic Rally + Wyckoff Spring off of Demand Zone, which has been tested 3 times.
- 52.40% potential gain in underlying to top of the channel.
- Excess to higher channels are highly likely, as we expect a Hydrogen Boom due to global Clean Energy initiatives. We believe this is an excellent entry point for companies that would benefit from such a boom cycle.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Potential parabolic growth beyond the line of least resistance.Pleas see complete sector analysis below.
Here is an analysis on the hydrogen fuel cells, which is a part of Clean Energy campaign (solar, electric vehicles, hydrogen- this sector is encapsulated in etf- CNRG)... within this, solar and fuel cells are truly clean energy. Electric vehicles still run on electricity produced by coal. so the definition of clean energy is either carbon-neutral or negative. Nuclear should clearly qualify as is carbon neutral, but is not deemed clean. (sorry for this jargon... now to the point)... Fuel cells are considered a major future source of energy, with thousands of patents claimed every year. (search "Fuel-cell patent applications per year")
A new etf was launched in march 2021, to reflect the HYDROGEN energy sector, which essentially is largely fuel cells. See the HYDRO line in the chart.
In this chart you can see PLUG is a major player. the second largest players is FCELL.
PLUG uses very expensive catalysts to generate energy.. so their technology is not really commercialized.. major car companies have spend lots of time with them.
The chart compares FCELL vs SPY, the new HYDRO ETF, clean energy etf CNRG, and its peers in the sector PLUG and BLDP (not competition as they do not serve same markets). FCELL has outperformed all these benchmarks.
Issues with PLUG are not only linked with the technology, they had issues with accounting and reporting. got warnings. Ballard's tech is lagging.
FCEL did not have a favourable earnings quarter, but is positioned the best in this sector to deliver fastest growth. I believe the line of least resistance is $18.69, beyond which the volume profile is very thin. Stop loss at that point could very well be the current price of 15.47, with an expected return of 56%. See the long position plan.
___ not a financial advice____
READY FOR LONG DIRECTION - CHURCHILL CAPITAL CORP IV- CCIV -30MNThank you for your likes and shares! Nice support! Really appreciated!
______________________________________________________________
CCIV Churchill Capital Corp IV probably long entry along the green up trending line. Possible pull back up accompanied with strong volumes.
Probably exit if in a losing position around the red dotted line. Otherwise, the hope is likely to be there for a recovery that will possibly take a while.
In the long run, high probability to see the price rise.
The close seems to had happened on a important price point. Probably, observe and keep those lines in mind.
After H&S and a try to go downtrend, #MCPHY hit the uptrend lineAfter a quick consolidation $MCPHY is wanting to restart an uptrend.
PROBABLE LONG ENTRY - FUELCELL ENERGY - FCEL - 30MNThank you for your likes and shares. I really appreciate!
_________________________________________________________
After a long run down the FCEL in short time frame is probably preparing to recover.
See the latest candlestick showing a very strong squeeze of sellers. This won't prevent the market to go down further. But, in probability, when this even occur with such a high volume, the market tends to go in the opposite direction afterward.
For long time investors, this could be a nice placement knowing how the sector energy want to improve and evolve by introducing slowly hydrogen to the current world. Specially with the increase of space projects interested in the "clean" hydrogen applications.
Fusion Fuel Cell, in a good entry pointAlmost 50% below the January peak.
It has fallen steeply since the end of January.
The Stochastic and RSI have been near the oversold point for a few days.
It had a strong capital flight since February.
Will it be close to bottoming out?
I doubt that it will fall beyond 10 dollars, being a company in a growing sector it can be a good entry point.
In addition, it follows an almost perfect correlation with the RSI and the OBV, at any moment they will rise again.
NASDAQ:HTOO
$AMTX Unveils 5-Year Plan Targeting $1 Billion Revenue by 2025Aemetis Unveils Five-Year Plan Targeting $1 Billion of Revenue by 2025
has rolled out a new five-year plan that positions the company to generate $1.07 billion of revenues and $325 million of adjusted EBITDA in year 2025.
The Revenues plan is a CAGR of 35% and the EBITDA growth plan is a CAGR of 109% for the years 2021 to 2025.
The majority of the Company’s revenue growth is expected to come from California dairy Renewable Natural Gas and the Aemetis “Carbon Zero” renewable jet/diesel plants using negative carbon intensity cellulosic hydrogen produced from waste almond orchard wood in Central California.
The Aemetis Dairy RNG project plan shows revenues growing from $9 million in 2021 to $175 million in 2025 , while Dairy RNG project EBITDA expands from $4 million in 2021 to $141 million in 2025 . Aemetis has been awarded $23 million of grants related to dairy RNG and related gas cleanup and utility pipeline interconnection units, including a $1 million grant to install an RNG dispensing station to fuel RNG trucks at the Keyes plant.
The Aemetis “Carbon Zero” renewable jet/diesel plants utilizing estimated -80 negative carbon intensity cellulosic hydrogen are planned to grow to $467 million revenues and EBITDA of $136 million in year 2025.
By completing carbon reduction upgrades and expansions of its current operating ethanol and biodiesel plants, the Company expects to generate annual revenue in ethanol and biodiesel of approximately $426 million by 2025, up from about $227 million of expected revenue in 2021, an increase of 87% .
Aemetis has received $16.8 million of grant funding to support its carbon reduction upgrades at the Keyes plant and $23 million to support the estimated -416 carbon intensity dairy RNG project . Supporters includethe USDA, the US Forest Service, the California Energy Commission, the California Department of Food and Agriculture, and PG&E’s energy efficiency program.
finance.yahoo.com
Switchback Energy - two possivle routs - Q1Switchback Energy - two possivle routs - Q1 - depends if it can break out on top of the tirangle or will make a second round to build a bullish flag.
$FCEL New Target: 33.5 per share -- WAVE EXTENSION; LONG!Extending the current support of a very moonish channel, we are setting a new goal on FCEL @ 33.5 per share.
It has met a lot of resistance climbing 24. This 33.5 target we want to be realized by about FEB 17 to FEB 19.
Albeit, with VIX having been so high, this is a ranging guess. It is the best we have for this moment, even so-- the adherence to the outlined channel has been PLENTY concrete in its nature.
FCELLLLLY!
-BDR
See related idea Re: CUP & HANDLE, the handle of which is still the current state of $FCEL
BUY $PLUG PT1 72 PT2 80 SL 60 Rationale
Hydrogen Companies are hot right now
Secondary done at $65 this is now a key level
Volume shelf at $65, Price is current retesting this as a floor
Option interest for Feb 12th is 60% calls
Crazy IV on options, potential covered call play
Current Consolidation Range volume has decreased, the price is getting ready to move rapidly.
FCEL "Handle" still shaking out: STILL QUITE LONG HERE!$FCEL has sideways corrected, but it has been up 7 of the last 10 trading days, establishing a daily high last week 24.5-7.
This handle is taking longer to break, which is overall ACTUALLY VERY GOOD: The move upwards will be ready when it is; and to that point - Precise timing is nearly impossible w/ VIX as it is right now.
Some might be losing patience here, but that will be a costly mistake. The overall trend is still bullish and this is now on the 5th day of its handle formation-- THAT IS NOT THAT LONG A PERIOD. Breathe.
FCELLLLLY!
-BDR
See related idea w/ the trade channel and targets outlined!