HYG
OPENING (IRA): HYG FEBRUARY 19TH 83 SHORT PUT... for a .37/contract credit.
Notes: Selling the strike in the monthly that pays a credit > or = to the monthly dividend, looking to emulate monthly dividends without being in the actual stock. The weeklies, unfortunately, aren't as liquid as I would like, so will sell in the nearest monthly down to 30 days until expiry.
HYG Global view WWe are very close to hit the resistance level 89 by wave (Z) of (WXYXZ) to complete the edge of B.
It can take from couple of weeks to couple of months to hit the level. We expect the downtrend to start by summertime (May-June 2021)
Afterwards the big-big sale of “junk bonds” will undoubtedly start along with deep correction on all the markets which will last till the end of the year 2021
In this case the HYG market might repeat the level of March 2009 - 62
OPENING (IRA): HYG JANUARY 15TH 84 SHORT PUT... for a .37/contract credit.
Notes: Parking a little bit of idle capital in HYG in the expiry nearest 30 days in the strike that pays at or greater than the monthly dividend. Fine with getting assigned, selling call against if that happens. Will otherwise run through expiry/expiring worthless.
OPENING (IRA): HYG JANUARY 8TH 85 SHORT PUT... for a .42/contract credit.
Notes: Selling the strike nearest 30 days that pays at or slightly greater than the monthly dividend to park buying power in short duration in lieu of just letting buying power sit idle. I'm fine with taking assignment, selling call against, so will run these to expiry, particularly given the credit received.
OPENING (IRA): HYG DECEMBER 24TH 84 SHORT PUT... for a .38 credit.
Notes: Here, selling the strike nearest 30 days that pays an amount approximately equal to or greater than the monthly dividend. (See Post Below). Just looking to park what would otherwise be just idle cash in fairly short duration. I'm okay with getting assigned, but would rather just keep the premium.
OPENING (IRA): HYG DECEMBER 18TH 83 SHORT PUT... for a .36 credit.
Notes: Although implied volatility really blows chunks here (30-day at 11.9%), looking to deploy some capital in an underlying I wouldn't mind acquiring for its dividend (current yield 4.94%). Here, selling in the expiry nearest 30 days 'til expiry for a credit that's approximately equal to the monthly dividend (currently .359). This should generate an annualized return approaching the dividend yield without being in the stock itself.
EDUCATION: SYNTHETIC DIVIDEND GENERATION VIA SHORT PUTI think everyone can generally agree that idle cash sitting in your account doesn't earn you much. Here are a couple of methodologies to deploy that capital to emulate dividend generation without being in the stock itself.
For purposes of this exercise, I've chosen HYG, which is not only options liquid, but also has a decent dividend relative to the broader market. Currently, it's 4.92% annually, and its last monthly dividend was .359/share compared to SPY's annual yield of 1.59% and TLT's 1.57%.
In the past, I've used several different methodologies to generate a yield approaching what the underlying is paying annually, depending on how much capital I wanted to or needed to tie up while waiting for opportunities.
(a) The Once a Month/30 Days 'Til Expiry Option: When the next monthly is 30 days until expiry, sell the option paying greater than or equal to the current monthly dividend. Run it until expiry and allow the option to expire worthless and/or take on shares if in-the-money, and sell call against at the same strike as you sold the put. Manage thereafter as you would any ordinary covered call. This is potentially the least buying power intensive setup if you're just selling one contract per month and will necessarily be of short duration.
(b) The Each and Every Weekly 30 Days 'Til Expiry Option: Each week, in the expiry nearest 30 days until expiry, sell the option paying greater than or equal to the current monthly dividend, again allowing each successive weekly option to expire worthless and/or take on shares if in-the-money, selling call against at the same strike as you sold the put, managing it thereafter as a covered call. Naturally, if you want to do something like this each and every week, doing, for example, one contract per week, you'd be tying up greater buying power and/or notional risk to do so. The upside: your longest duration is going to be 30 days.
(c). The Laddering Out in Successive Monthlies Option: Instead of doing just the next monthly at 30 days until expiry, ladder out 30, 60, and 90 days until expiry, selling the put in each successive monthly expiry for an amount greater than or equal to the current monthly dividend. For example, sell the December 18th 83 for .38; the January 15th 80 for .42; and the February 19th 76 for .38. When the front month expires worthless, consider selling a new back month, again for a credit that is equal to or exceeds the monthly dividend. The downside to this methodology is that it is not only buying power intensive, it ties up buying power for greater duration.
OPENING (IRA): HYG NOVEMBER 20TH 77 SHORT PUT... for a .66/contract credit.
Notes: A starter position in "junk" at the 17 delta in the November cycle. The implied volatility here is quite low -- 15.7% for the 30-day, but I'm looking to eventually swap out my TLT position for something that pays more on a percentage basis. HYG's yield is currently 5.02% with a monthly dividend payment of .341, with the short put premium nearly twice that amount, so I'm fine with just keeping the premium versus actually being in the stock. TLT's yield is currently a paltry 1.62% with a monthly dividend of .18292 as of the last distribution.
HYG Bearish RSI Divergence 9/6/2020HYG or junk bonds at the daily view.
This is a project that my trading team and I are conducting. This is 9 of 9 charts (available on Trading View) that searches for clues for an imminent correction by using both June and September 2020 cases. It's a comprehensive overview that connects the charts volatility , trends, divergences, credit, and currency strength.
It seems that the credit markets had a bearish RSI divergence since August. It was too hard to see with candles. However, putting it as a line shows where the closing prices and closing RSI levels were. It seems that bearish RSI divergence finally played out in September's correction. Had I saw this earlier, I would've scaled in more VIX longs.
Not sure how far this will go. However, HYG is at a critical level where it needs to maintain the trend supports or it's going to fall like a rock. If traders and the Fed are the sword (to prop the markets up), the credit markets are the shield that protects the major indices from selling off even more. If corporate credit breaks their vital supports, we might get more than just a small correction within the ES, NQ, and RTY.
HYG Calls SignalGot into HYG through flow bot in the trading group, looked at its chart and it has a lot of potential.
I Called it out at 81.60 in the group chat, made 40% took profits and I am looking for another good entry, target will be 83.97, then 86, then, 86.66, then final is 88
The group chat is having a 20% sell for the 4th of july ( Use coupon code: "July4" ) and will go on until sunday the 5th. I would , love to see anyone who supports my posts join our group and make even more money with us as we grow richer and richer by the day: IF your interested join through DMing me.
All you'll have to do is join the discord, then go to free chat room and type upgrade and set up your membership.
And of course Direct message me with any questions you have!
HYG - High Yield US corporate bonds ETF s/r zonesHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
The ETF market for high-yielding corporate US bonds is currently in an important support area that was until recently a resistance. Resistance turned into support with a highly volatile upward movement supported by high volumes. This is a clear signal of a growing willingness to invest in riskier assets. This zone has a strong historical connection. If the market stays at or above this support, it means a positive outlook to allay market fears. The VIX index, as the main indicator of panic in the markets, is also slowly beginning to gradually return to its normal values. Market ties that were valid yesterday may not be valid tomorrow, so invest and trade wisely and carefully.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (4 000 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
No V Shape Recovery Coming - I'll Give it Til FridayI don't believe this is going to be a V shape recovery like we say in December of 2018. I will give it until the end of Friday. At most Monday before we break out of the rising wedge and sh*t hits the fan if not earlier.
The 4hr is still on a very healthy uptrend, so this doesn't mean we can't go higher in the short term here. There is a lot of confluence in the 280 - 285 level, in addition to the weekly EMA resistance being right above us which leave me to believe we may be very near the top. Especially if the 4hr doesn't break up higher soon, that would be a big red flag.
Furthermore, earnings are coming up and in all likelihood they are going to be ugly and will dominate the news cycle driving prices down.