Long on EOS/BTC, best mid-long term investment in the market.EOS is still in its ICO phase and its marketcap is top5; on top of that the project is solid, and its been on a year-long ICO, which means it's probably the most DECENTRALIZED cryptocurrency out there, unlike those PRIVATE and then PUBLIC ICO's. It's lately showing signs of trading irrelevant of market ups and downs, and sometimes even going against it. We recently had a speculative bubble taking EOS price to around $22, and also 0.0025 BTC. This FOMO rally was caused by smart money getting ready for EOS' release in June 2nd. Smart money is buying right now. I can't guarantee you that EOS/USD will surely moon, as the whole market could just crash/go down again if the bearmarket is reestablished for one final big red week/month. But I'm fairly sure that EOS/BTC and/or EOS/ETH and/or EOS/anyothercryptoavailiableformargintrading will absolutely fucking moon. So if you bet on EOS in relation to BTC (in other words, going LONG on EOS/BTC) you're very likely to get great profits at a very low risk.
Right at this moment EOS seems to be in a consolidation phase, cooling off of a FOMO-ride (aka mini-speculative bubble). Consolidation phases are usually marked by low volatility, and can be interpreted as "late distribution" and "early accumulation phases" in bear/bull market cycles, respectively.
Entry point:
Anything under 0.0019
Targets:
At least 0.005 by May 31st.
After EOS snapshot/mainnet is release, expect the price to tank. Close your longs slightly before the release or slightly after it and you should be good.
If the Cryptocurrency market continues on this uptrend, or consolidates near where we are, I expect EOS to be hitting at the very least a price of 40$. Very likely to hit 60$.
Hype
Bitcoin is Back?!Hello, Dear Traders and Followers!
I show 8H TimeFrame chart, we can see rising demand support line (blue uptrend) on Bitcoin, and if this line could hold selling pressure for this days it will be great signal for Long term holders. And we can start buying for short term Long-Positions.
Short term range 7300-9000
Long term range 8000-11000
Hope all safe and good luck in your trades!
Bitcoin - stick a fork in meWhere are we on the Bitcoin/crypto journey?
This log scale chart roughly guesses at different stages on the Gartner hype cycle. We might still be on the way up to the peak of speculation, we may have peaked, and the chart also imagines that this asset class might continue to grow more modestly than it has previously done, up to September next year. And maybe that's a reasonable assumption, as this might be the year that scaling and mass adoption of blockchain gets cemented.
With Bitcoin reaching its tenth birthday next year, it'll be interesting to find out. Let's see how well this ages.
Dash!?Last realy hype was since 1 year. It´s indeed a real good coin because it has already Debitcard-support and is limted to 18.9 million pieces.
Also in day-period it´s below the lower Bollinger Band. The last 3 times it gone below the low-bollinger band in Day-Period it increased insanely.
Im not a pro just a crypto-lover.
Pleas share your opinion!
The next hype, I guess!Neblio could be the next hype I belive, API suite coming.
API in Q1, marketing launch in Q2. It should be a good year for Neblio.
Fundamental
Neblio was born 1 year ago. I regret not picking it up earlier. Huge returns given on this one.
However, 10 days ago I bought it. Looking for a 5x increase or so.
We got a hypeable launch of API suite coming, and the rest of year is looking attractive as well.
What I love about the Neblio team is that they are always ahead of schedule!
In cryptoland, things move quickly. Gotta keep delivering.
Please have a look at their January 8 development update.
NTP1 protocol delivered much earlier than expected. And it's an important delivery.
We got a hard working and serious team, it's on Binance & Kucoin.
We got things to look forward to, the general market is looking more bullish by the day.. I believe its a good time to buy some NEBL :)
Head over to their website if you're interested in learning more about Neblio.
But shortly put, they want to make it very easy for the enterprise world. Many languages, etc..
I dont know much about it, but we got this coming up in 5 days as well: "The Shipment Service".
Technical
I posted this in Koinworld 10 days ago. Obviously too early, but gotta expect that sometimes. Still a healthy and good market :)
Bought at 28 USD aprx.
Last run NEBL went up an astonishing 1007% . Could we do it again? Perhaps. I am aiming a little lower.
I am looking at the two 2.618 . That's my target for now atleast.
More based on the hype possibility and fundamentals than TA.
NEBL has been added to my Portfolio.
Please read my recent blog post to get updated on what I am doing! :)
#APPC is a strong buy#APPC is a great medium term buy. This coin has went for a few runs and is stuck at 12000 sats. A lot of hype and news surrounds this coin, however a bear market has caused volume to decrease greatly. Once BTC futures expires and the market is pumping again, expect this coin to make some serious gains.
Ripple Long (400%) Feb-MarHype coin with strange background, but it's crypto-hype now... Buy everything with huge commercial, don't matter is it good or bad. Bad news is a good opportunity to buy low, especially when it's coin like ripple.
If Bitcoin falls to 9200 and lower -
BUY RANGE
0.89-0.62
SELL RANGE
3.95-5.24
Stop-loss
-30% from buy zone
#INS is ready to fly#INS is super bullish and ready for a breakout from the triangle. A newly listed coin, there is some hype surrounding INS as it has a new exchange listing and token airdrop coming up. RSI and Stoch look good, I expect this to be a big gainer within the next few days-weeks. I have filled a bag.
Fractal cyclical idea for ETHBTCIf the fractal pattern repeats, we could see a pretty bullish few weeks ahead soonish for ETH.
This would fit the 1 year ETH hype cycle. Imho, ETH is pretty undervalued right now. Metcalfe price is way above 1000, since the number of users and the number of transactions has kept growing exponentially, yet, the price of ETH has not grown a lot compared to other coins, in the last 6 months.
Therefore I think that we will see a pretty nice ETH rally in the next months.
#SYS is too cheap#SYS is another coin I expect to explode in both the short and long term. RSI and Stoch are bullish and triangle breakout will come. In addition to great technicals, there is a lot of hype surrounding this coin. My bags are filled
"Real value" of BTC, thoughtsAs a result of the ongoing fall of BTC, there is a lot of talks going on about the "real value" of BTC and the magnitude of the hype.
Here is my take on it:
- before the last, normal-weekly correction (2015-01-25) highest-OBV was 2,2m. At this OBV-level the close-prices were 920USD (2013-11-25) and 2349USD (2017-05-29).
- let's accept 2017-05-29 close price as a "real price": 2349 USD (at OBV 2.2m)
- since 2017-06-05, OBV has grown roughly ~30%.
-so superroughly 2349*1,3 = 3054. (which - by the way - corresponds quite well with middle level of Keltner 100, 1.618.)
-so i n my mind BTC is ~4 times overhyped and running without any weekly correction since 2015-01-02 (!).
Weakness of this line of thought:
- OBV-price relation is more complex
- Daily-based corrections might do for correction in such a speedy market
- BTC-beleivers says that the promise is a new financial system and the value isn't the market value.
Personally:
- I think it is overhyped, but will not fall as of now
- The continuous hard-forks feels spooky to me (26 by now?)
- Winklevoss-twins as a face of bitcoin do not correspond in me with Satoshi's or Szabo's freedom-loving geniusness, dignity and goodwill.
- The way in which Winklevoss-twins-billionaires boosting the hype feels somewhat irresponsible to me (cryptos are risky, and if down the line BTC falls big, small Jennifers/Joes will lose, not them) -- they feel like "a man who knows the price of everything and the value of nothing."
This is NOT a trading advice, but comments/criticism welcome!
#ICX is a moon shot#ICX will be the next non-Bittrex coin to moon. We can expect it to break out of the triangle soon and form an uptrend. One of the hottest ICOs of 2017 and will no doubt be a long term hold for 2018. In addition to the technicals being extremely bullish, this coin is a great project and has a lot of hype surrounding it. You can hold for short or long term.
Time to turn on the POWER!With the current state of cryptoland, this coin should get a decent pump!
Fundamentally solid, and with a sligly undervalued marketcap I believe.
Fundamental
So yesterday we got some good news from PowerLedger.
Thai-Government backed BCPG agreement!
That's substansial and should increase the hype. It's a new coin, and there is a lot of speculation money flying around now. That's what I think could equal increasing demand for the short term.
POWR is a little difficult to fundamentally judge. It's very techie.
However, I like the team and it definetly looks like they are doing a lot of work and have some important connections.
That's enough for me to invest for the short-mid term. I see a good risk/reward ratio.
But I would recommend small percentage of portfolio.
Technical
You may know that I don't like to draw on BTC parings. If there is no USD pair I tend to go much more on the fundamentals.
However, I have added on some fib levels to where I think we could face some resistance. And the pitchfork is always nice to follow for support levels.
My target for this trade is around 16900 SAT.
I have added it to my Portfolio-Spreadsheet .
Where you can follow what changes I make in my hodlings.
Possible tops of this BTC cycleThis one is pretty self-explanatory.
I drew the logarithmic trend channel, and drew a repeat of the 2013 cycle.
If such a thing were to occur, the new target estimates are 50K for the first top, end of december/ beginning of january.
Then bouncing between 10K and 30K for a few months like in summer 2013.
Then the end of this hype cycle at 100-200K.
Then a pretty brutal bearmarket like in 2014 and 2015.
Then the start of the next hype cycle after the halving 2020.
Let them chinese make us some cash :)Last week I posted #hypeoftheweekend with Bitcoin Gold . That idea gave me a nice profit off almost 100%. This weekend my eyes are on NEO and China!
I expect the same result :) Buying at 37 USD, selling at 88USD for a profit of 138%.
Fundamental
On 21.Nov the " Blockchains in Fintech " event goes off and we have NEO founder Da Hongfei as top speaker.
NEO is also trying to hype up the event beforehand: twitter.com
If this will be a repeat of the SWELL conference with Ripple, time will telll, but I feel that risk/reward is good enough to enter this trade.
The chinese goverments eyes is on crypto, and that may turn into incredible news for NEO.
The chinese are still very important in cryptocurrency, and NEO should be in your portfolio for the long term.
Technical
I expect to hit the 1.618 fib and complete an Elliot Wave within the channel in my pitchfork, depending on what we get out of the conference obviously.
When you trade you need to be open to everything can happen, and adjust your mindset when things do happen. But at this moment I believe what I have drawn will unfold. Time will show, and I'll try to update this along the way.
If this trade goes the wrong way, I am looking at that trendline. If it breaks, I am getting out.
Numbers
Buy: 37USD
First Sell: 88USD
Second Sell: 139USD
Stop Loss: Below Trendline
Autumn Hype CycleFirst of all, I'm not a pro trader, I only got into trading cryptocurrencies earlier this summer in the last hype cycle, this is purely for personal speculative purposes and out-loud observations so I can be proven wrong in the future.
It's funny how this current hype cycle began, Altcoin traders started dumping their coins into BTC about a month ago to get in on this upcoming fork, and because so many people made a move at the same time around middle of October, it jumped from $4200-5700 in a matter of 10 days. What happened is that triggered a price event which caught headlines, and the media has been having a field day with it.
That new wave of Bitcoin in the media is bringing on a whole new wave of crypto newbies (just like me a few months ago), with Coinbase signing up 100K new users in one day, who are buying at these crazy volatile levels. People heard a fork is coming, though nobody can explain what a fork actually is, it's just free money, isn't it? And so confusion is accepted as the norm, and people just keep buying on headlines that one Bitcoin will eventually be worth a billion dollars. I actually read that in a headline, one billion dollars for a Bitcoin, some people believe that.
In the last few weeks, looking at the volume spikes, you can see some big whales in the pool who are making an absolute killing on these price pumps, and those whales are smart cookies. The average whale could own 1,000-100,000x more than the average Bitcoin owner, and they're often playing with other people's money, who need to see a hard return in fiat. A lot of this new money is not people who 'believe' in Bitcoin as the future of currency necessarily, though they are smart enough to see a hype cycle and know how to extract massive profits from uneducated first time buyers.
With Segwit 2x futures peaking at only 33% of the price of Bitcoin, and this last bull run seeing an over 100% gain, just do the math, a whole lot of people are going to loose a lot of money after this fork happens, and the whale traders are going to have very very nice fourth quarter reports to take home for Christmas.
Honestly, look around, people are primarily gaming Bitcoin to make money right now, which is an important network effect for the overall ecology, though in my opinion is not the original spirit of the technology. The culture is being over-run by speculators who fill up blocks with quick turn-around trades. With Segwit 2x fork lacking re with billions in newbie money coming in, I can see this being a recipe for disaster. No way around it, a whole lot of people are going to loose a whole lot of money on Bitcoin in the coming weeks. The loss will be in the magnitude of tens of billions of dollars.
Money will be lost through replay attacks, people sending funds to the wrong networks, and a general price collapse.
The FOMO traders are in it for a quick buck, they're not in it for the long game, so when it crashes again, human nature is to buy high and sell low. Every trader knows that the opposite thinking is the only way to make money, so I can see a pretty harsh hangover coming up right after this fork. That said, we're in crazy new territory here, and I'm glad we're finally getting an alternative to fiat, although I would like to see crypto adopted more widely as an actual payment method where goods and services are being exchanged, rather than just the price speculated on. These hype cycles don't exactly facilitate my ideal use case for cryptos.
Those are my thoughts on Bitcoin today, and one thing I've learned is that Bitcoin doesn't care at all what I think, it's a wild beast that has it's own way with things. Happy trading guys, I'm selling a portion of my Bitcoin now for Litecoin and other alts with hopes of advancing my position in BTC after this fork. #hypocrite #famouslastwords #thisisnotinvestmentadvice #hodlordie
Delusional Lisk Moon Dreams Lisk might face some resistance with this potential rising wedge so depending on your risk tolerance you could try trading it. I doubt I will try to trade any highs because I am completely consumed by moon dreams. I am all or nothing going to take profit at 0.003 and then 0.0045.
I got fucking rekt on cripple with a margin long and in true market autism, traders bought the rumor and sold the news, leaving delusional margin longed moon autists like me, bag holding just in time for xrp to dump harder than someone with chronic diarrhea, liquidating us all. I didn't practice any risk management, didn't use a stop loss and was absolutely shrouded by moon dreams and hype; the end result being fucking rekt RIP. I then closed at the bottom and now thats all said and done ripple might moon for I have bought high and sold low and the whales have successfully taken my btc but i am fucking done with that coin, on to alternative moon dreams now.
So after that background information we can conclude that I am chasing profits but this time trying a more long term buy and hold strategy for these meme coins. As far as I know you cant margin trade lsk like you can bts or ltc which might be a blessing in disguise for me as I am prone to full margin long induced REKT and then venting my frustrations at the expense of everyone in the trading view cryptocurrencies chat.
I am full margin long with bts and ltc and its only my delusional moon dreams keeping me from getting rekt whereas with lisk I cant margin long so I can just HODL indefinitely until it reaches ath at least which I would say has a good chance of occurring because the SDK and rebranding are coming out supposedly in q4. Also lsk is very well funded, has a HQ in the business district of Berlin and is one of the most transparent alt coins ive seen in crypto. I can only see lisk dumping to the lower green lines if LSK is hit with very bad news either before or after SDK. If that should happen depending on the news and the state of crypto and BTC, I would most likely sell my rusty shit car and buy lisk depending on how bts and ltc care going . LTC BTS LSK are my current longs and now I am now 100% in alts. Hopefully I can make back my life savings and get out of REKT status. Good luck and do your own due diligence. Dont trust my trades because im a shit trader. I wonder if I lose everything by next year and am back working for minimum wage.
Gartner hype cycleSee chart for explanation.
www.gartner.com
Bitcoin rally could void the chart, but I am considering going in long with a large position here.
ETHEUR bullish channelTwo bullish channels spotted (short and long term), major resistant level is at 200 and 220. I'm sure eth will test 230 level - if it holds that would be our new resistance point. 300 is near guys!
ETHBTC Long termDisclaimer: I am a bitcoin maximalist so i may be biased. Also, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Etc.
Anyway. At first glance the blue breakout looks solid since the candle on breakout has alot of volume. However a candle with alot of volume can also signal that buyers/bulls are getting exhausted.
The price behaved somewhat similar back in may 2016, followed by a big red candle.
The important thing here is to zoom in on smaller time frames to see if a top of sorts is forming. I may update this idea later with such a chart. End of the day if ETH experiences a similar glut marked with the pink channel, it will be interested to see where it finds a bottom. a new low versus the previous glut would be pretty bad. Im following this until end of summer. Have a nice day.
SNAP: Dont Follow the HypeYou dont have to be a genius to know there are better places to put your money. Investing in SNAP without any knowledge is simply gambling. We have the casino for that. Technical already pointing to the downside and the first move up was from the hype around SNAP. But looking at how profitable SNAP is, it isnt. A company can be good, but that doesn't mean the stock will be good. This is a simple 5 wave structure for the stock based on the IPO of $17 being future support. The support will bring price up to around $24, previous support now new resistance. From there we might see price go a little higher to attract late buyers. Then we will see this stock falls to new low.