IB
LONDON UJ LONG 618 ON IB IMOMENTUMUsing half of our profit from last trade, we will go for another 2R on this last setup of London. Price has yet made another playbook setup and we must heed by our trading plan and take it.
We have taken far more entries during ASIA/LONDON than we anticipated and although they were all profitable, taking these many entries is NOT what we recommend. Psychology studies suggest that the human mind can typically only make 1-2 rational emotional decisions per day and as we all know when risking capital, we are also risking our psychological capital which opens up risk of trading emotionally and going on TILT, resulting in giving our gains back to the market, or even ending up in a worse position than when we started!
The only reason we are taking this trade is because it is going to be a 'set it and forget it' type of setup, using 1R which is technically "house money" at this point.
PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS: 25%
Iron Bank - Back Up The TruckConje project, involved with ve(3,3) solid distributions for IB/FTM shakers, veIB holders will get solid airdrop. Aside from that, the main utility is the 6.6 trillion dollar per day forex market.. bringing fiat to fiat trades with no intermediary, no slippage, no fees. Some are saying solidly is curve, convex, and uniswap blended into one with a better reward distribution model. Only way to get solidly is to provide liquidity to ve(3,3) NFT holding protocols of which there are like 20-24, of which IB has the lowest mcap/TVL. TVL is already north of 1.2b in TVL after only a month, #27 on defillama.
7.3m total supply, 7.2m are "multisig" which apparently removes them from circulating supply mcap calculations? Feel free to comment on that if you know anything about it.
Either way, after a few other deductions (dev allocations, etc) there are 51,000 coins in circulation. Something about airdrops being automatically vested for 4 years as well.. vested airdrops to eliminate sell incentive and classic price drop at launch. I like it.
Supposedly at that circulating supply of 51k, its a 8-9m market cap coin only available on spooky swap by bridging assets over to FTM opera and then swapping wFTM for IB.
Launched a month ago and quietly went from $250 to $30.. just formed a very unnatural looking perfect cup over the last month back up to $250, and is currently finishing up the handle portion of the cup and handle around $170.
Currently, we have a descending triangle on the FTM/IB chart, which is traditionally a bearish continuation pattern, or can be a bearish reversal pattern if it comes after an uptrend, but the probability of downside breakout is marginally better than a coin toss. 55% or so.. which means it's a really weak pattern, and assigning bearish bias to it is not advised.
We have a breakout, retest, and support.
I think this could easily be a top 300 coin.. 200m market cap like $KP3R is a good start, which is 25x from here assuming "multisig" isn't some kind of technicality.
Thoughts, concerns, counterpoints, throw them in the comments. Let's debate about this and figure out what's going on with this coin.
Thanks!
BITCOIN (BTC) CLOSING 40K 1H IB SCENARIO - SM CONCEPTScenario where Bitcoin goes closing its 40k 1h chart unbalance before continuing its way back down
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If you enjoyed this post and agree with me, a like and a sub would be very nice : )
If you have any other ideas or simply disagree, manifest yourself in the comments ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Stay updated for more content
Have a nice Day : ) Bye!
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BICOIN (BTC) CLOSING 39K 4H IB SCENARIO - SM CONCEPTScenario where Bitcoin goes closing its 39k 4h chart unbalance before continuing its way back down.
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If you enjoyed this post and agree with me, a like and a sub would be very nice : )
If you have any other ideas or simply disagree, manifest yourself in the comments ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Stay updated for more content
Have a nice Day : ) Bye!
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BTC move up if POC breaks to recover Vector The above are just areas to be aware of and is not financial advice.
Currently we are being held down by two Points of Control (POCs).
If the POCs are broken we could see the recovery of the High volume candle above (vector).
Above that we have a Naked Daily Open and several Naked Initial Balances (IBs) which could act as resistance.
Also marked on the chart are Pre New York Trading, New York Open and Close, Sydney Open and Asia Open.
Trade safe
Frien_dd
Sessions Future/Past Initial BalanceGood afternoon all,
This video is a trailer to a script that I will soon be publishing.
The script allows you to display:
1. Future days of the week vertical lines.
2. Future session opening vertical lines (plus additional future lines, for if you notice a trend at a certain time).
3. Session boxes, boxes are built using the high and low of a user configurable time.
4. Session Initial Balance or Brinks boxes.
5. Extendable function for the current and previous Initial Balance/Brinks box.
6. User customizable settings: gradient of box background / box outline options.
This indicator will be released in Dec 21, I will release early if the community show interest for early release.
Thank you for your time and support.
Conflict of Interest in the MarketplaceThe times have changed for the retail trader, and in essence scalping and day, trading has, in essence, become a complete waste of time for the average person looking to make even a small gain in the FX market. In the last 6 years, day trading and scalping have become worthless strategies, only done by those who are ignorant to the situation behind the scenes that makes of a huge negative feedback loop full of conflicts of interest with one goal; to take the retail trades money. As swing traders, we are the only type of trader that is left. We let the market tell us what to do, not the other way around. It is obvious that a market that is stuck in a range, is impossible to trade for a profit. The biggest mistake one can make, is only trading one asset class, and only 1 timeframe. This is the most obvious mistake that most new traders make. Learning to trade the timeframes that are significant to volatility in the market and by diversifying to multiple asset classes.
Volatility is a traders lifeblood of a trader. Since 09', volatility has been absolutely crushed. Without volatility, there is no risk and opportunity (sides of the same coin). This means returns peter to 0. The question is, why has volatility been crushed? There are a few reasons: quantitative easing, the advancement of algos, and expanded participation.
The monetary policy introduced by the FED after the 08' recession was quantitative easing QE). Essentially, QE means that central banks increase the supply of money by buying government bonds and other securities. What does this mean? It means a guaranteed buyer of bonds, which suppresses yields permanently, feeding over into other asset classes since the market begins to look for other opportunities (chasing yields) which ironically only suppresses yields further.
Technology: Volatility has been suppressed by the advancement of algos and automated trading stations. An increase in algos over the last 8 years has dramatically increased the number of market participants. How does this affect volatility? It's simple: more willing buyers and sellers mean that the equilibrium in price is considerably more stable, thus decreasing the natural fluctuation in the price of an asset at every single price.