SPANISH SHARES BANCO POPULARAfter a good impulse, a flag contracting pattern is being formed.
I am expecting this to trully rise, the reward on this type of shares is insane, as they are less than 1 unit, you can buy a lot of units and every cent it moves, gives you an insane reward.
There is two possibilities, buy in the E or buy the break out. I will personally probably buy the E as I am a risky guy and I want to make the most of this.
By the way I already have a long term position on this with 2k shares at 0.96. expeting to rise to 1.3 to make at least 700 bucks.
Have a great week.
Ibex
IBEX35. Spanish market getting ready to popIBEX35, the spanish stocks index, is ready to pop but first it has to correct to a huge support zone which was a resistance for approximately year and a half.
A potential Cypher pattern is pending to be completed highlighting the end of this correction, I will wait for pattern confrmation before I enter a long position.
If everything is correct, will place a buy order at 9134 level, SL: 9090 and TP at 10300
IBEX35. Unfinished spanish businessI normally don´t watch local TV but fortunately saw the news last week while I was having a lunch. Spanish GDP is growing 3.2% since last year and I heard almost the same words that I heard in 2007: we are in front of Europe, the crisis is behind... and else, and else, and else...
Just wanted to have a look at Ibex35 index, to see whether I missed some wonder or if somebody gave Spain several hundred Billion to restore the economy.
UNfortunately, I haven´t missed anything and the 22% of unemployment talks for itself.
From technical point of view, I can see a long-time H&S pattern which is still pending to be developed and drop spanish economy to the levels of the late 90s. And, in real numbers, to much lower than that because in late 90s there were no abysmal sovereign debt.
Talking about the numbers, I expect IBEX35 to raise back to 11.000 area that is where the Hagopian line is placed. This is a psicological value for those who follow the spanish market. Once there, their voices claiming the crisis is over will be heard from every bar: a classical situation with 80%+ of the bulls. We all know what market does when such a thing happen...
I would short IBEX35 from 10800 approximately, targeting as low as 3000 ish by 2-3 years as much. And hope there will be a broker who would pay for such a big short.
IBEX 35 bullish momentum should continue towards 9000 level 8726 level support has a bullish candle confirming my bullish bias, the perfect buy would of been at the 856 level.
That bearish engulfing void candle at 12pm was just there to take out stops, the 4 hour block has been violated so this shows uncertainty because price has dropped on 8830 level and has also shown bullish action before. 1 hour time frame confirms my bullish bias.
OHLE SHORTOHL is going down baby!!
For those playing on the long side, a good entry point would be around the 38.2% retracement = 1.161% os wave blue 3
BULLISH RALLY ABOUT TO START IN IBEX35A bullish rally is about to start on the spanish index. The famous ibex35 is in its way of a major wave III with a very clear continuing diagonal triangle at wave II.
Bullish positions till arount 9000-9150 and then get ready for the wave IV to come, probably on a sharp rally due to elliots wave alternation rule.
Maybe we there is a fair chance to be involved in an extended wave III so we coud potentially reach 10000-10500 pretty soon.
LONG POSITION ON IBEX 35 - SPANISH GOVERNMENT ABOUT TO FORMHERE WE HAVE THE IBEX 35 INDEX IN A VERY SIMILAR WAY TO SANTANDER BANK. ALSO CHECK MY LAST ANALISIS ON SANTANDER FOR A GOOD TRADE OPPORTUNITY.
IF THE GOVERNEMENT IS FINALLY FORMED BY POLITICAL PARTIES PP + CIUDADANOS THE BIG INVESTORS WILL COME BACK TO SPAIN AND INVEST THEIR MONEY AGAIN, THAT WILL MAKE THE IBEX 35 INDEX GO UNTIL THE CLOUDS.
THE OTHER IMPORTANT EVENT WILL BE THE FINAL DECISION ON BREXIT. IF UK STAYS IN EUROPE THE IBEX 35 AND THE IMPORTANT SPANISH BANKS WILL RAISE THEIR VALUE AT THE SAME TIME OF THE SPANISH INDEX.
MY CONCLUSION. I AM WAITING UNTIL THE HORIZONTAL LEVEL IS FINALLY BROKEN AND RETESTED AS YOU SEE IN MY ANALISIS. IF THAT HAPPENS THE BUY LIMIT ORDER WILL OPEN AND A LONG TRADE CAN BE MANAGED INTO A GREAT PROFIT UNTIL THE IBEX REACHES THE 10.000 REISITANCE AGAIN, THE POINT WHERE IT WAS BEFORE THE SPANISH ELECTIONS AND THE BREXIT.
LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU THINK!
CARLOS
IBEX 35 | Corrective structure about to endWell... This chart is a difficult one. We have a long term bearish channel and a mid term bullish support (Acting like a corrective structure)
We also have in the short term an inversed flag/corrective structure that could end both ways, being broken upside or downside. Anyway as it's an inversed flag it should break downside wich means bullish mid term support must be broken.
We could spect a new wave downside if this happens so my decision on this chart is... Short on breakdown and if breaks upwards, short on top of the channel.
Regards and happy trading!
IBEX either fail or about to break 9400- 1 hour potential Head and Shoulder formation targets 8800
- A bounce from current level may put in a strong rebound to test upper bullish channel
- If H&S plays out - the target is decent and viable since 8800 level has minor support April 15
See weekly and daily chart too for directional play