Spain's Political Shift: Rising Investment RisksRecent political developments in Spain, particularly Deputy Prime Minister Yolanda Diaz's controversial pro-Palestine remarks, have strained diplomatic relations with Israel and drawn international criticism. This escalating tension raises concerns for investors in the Spanish market.
Potential for Instability: Heightened geopolitical tensions and the possibility of increased antisemitism could lead to social and political instability in Spain. This, in turn, could deter foreign investment and damage the country's international standing.
Security Risks: The recognition of Palestine amidst ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts elevates the risk of terrorist activity within Spain, further eroding investor confidence.
Market Disadvantage: Unlike the US, Spain lacks a significant presence of major technology companies. This makes the Spanish market less attractive during periods of geopolitical uncertainty when investors prioritize stability and high-growth opportunities.
Conclusion: The current environment presents a complex web of geopolitical instability, historical tensions, and potential economic disruption, ultimately leading to a volatile market with the potential for negative investment returns.
Ibex35short
#IBEX35: Third COVID-19 wave coinciding with bearish bat patternSome regions of Spain have hardened anti-covid19 measures in order to stop (not even reduce) the contagion. For example, Catalonia's new measures are municipal confinement from the 7th to 17th January, with shopping malls and gyms closed. However, EURUSD getting higher might seduce investors to invest in Spain, a strongly punished market since March 2019.
From a technical perspective, a bearish bat pattern seems to have taken place and I expect the index to close it at 8500 level around January 18.
Happy new year everyone and feel free to comment!
ridethepig | IBEX📌 Another example of the erroneous breakdown, a very similar position to DAX, CAC, FTSEMIB and STOXX. We can see how clearly the virus is leading the equity board, as Spain were the first to enter back into the second wave the prevention of a freeing breakup is being made possible via the important loss of diagonal support.
"Sell weakness, and even more when the lows are untested in an environment which can be described as very similar to the original protection. The fact that we are technically well placed when it comes to sub 7,000 we should express dramatically more weakness in Spain and play another test of its lows".
As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
IBEX35 EXTREMELY BEARISH SCENARIODear Gamblers,
Here is IBEX35, major index in Spain. As you can see, things are getting uglier and uglier here.
Do not get caught in this enromous bullish momentum lately as you might get your ass kicked.
There's no strategy here as the neckline have not yet been broken, but it will, within the right time.
This strategy is no longer available if the index price reaches around 11500.
Happy trading,
Kind regards,
BeniGo
***I am not your financial advisor neither I intend to be, please do your own research before risking your money***
IBEX short 30 minute chartIBEX35 30 minute chart.
We see the red dotted traversing resistance line (once a support level) coming into play here. This level has disciplined the price (since 2012) whenever price has come into contact with it and has controlled price action steady through the last 8 years.
We go short as stochastic (not shown) is in overbought territory and we're hitting both the red dotted long-term resistance line and the regular resistance line of 9809.1. I also see what looks to be a bearish butterfly pattern formation. As always, wait for price action (to sell, in this case), and manage your risk.
Have a great Friday trading, and enjoy the weekend. Best wishes.
All comments welcome.
Ibex 35 abandoning bullish channel from 01/01/2019Trade war tensions made the markets tumble this Wednesday. Ibex 35, which is gaining volume (Cumulative Volume Indicator CVI was used) every week, has abandoned bullish channel started at the beginning of 2019 and continues its downward trend started back in May 2017. From a long term point of view, the end of this week will be critical to establish a correct position on it, either bullish if it gets back in the bullish channel or bearish, if it gets further away. One thing is for sure, from a short-term point of view the "Sell in May" prophecy period is also ending this week as May ends and the index could experience a bullish reversal the first days of June that won't last for long. All in all, long-term is bearish and short-term might come with some volatility surprises.
Elliott Wave: Further Downside Looming For IBEX?Hello Traders,
IBEX short-term Elliott wave view suggests that a decline to 8850.20 low ended red wave A of a zigzag structure. The internals of that decline unfolded as 5 waves impulse structure where black wave ((i)) ended at 9471.20 low. Black wave ((ii)) ended in 3 swings at 9542.80 high. Black wave ((iii)) ended in lesser degree 5 waves at 8971.30 low. Then black wave ((iv)) bounce ended at 9120.80 high and black wave ((v)) ended at 8850.20 low.
Up from there, the index made a 3 wave bounce to 9141.92 high & ended red wave B in lesser degree zigzag structure. Where black wave ((a)) ended at 9021.10. Black wave ((b)) ended at 8986.80 low. And black wave ((c)) at 9141.92 high.
Down from there, the index has made new lows already confirming the next extension lower in red wave C and creating a short-term bearish sequence from 9/21/2018 peak. Where a decline to 8639.70 low ended black wave ((i)) of C. Near-term, while below 8885 but more importantly below 9141.92 high we expect more downside to follow. We don’t like buying it as the right side is to the downside.
Testing support as the Catalan saga continues10,000 is a support zone:
- Broken trend line (resistance should turn to support)
- 50 MA line
- Psychological level
10,500 is resistance
Bullish scenario - IBEX will climb to 11,000 if it will hold above 10,000 and break above 10,500
Bearish - In case that 10,000 will break, IBEX will slide back into its downtrend zone and continue towards 9000
Read more about IBEX, EURUSD, DXY, SPX, GBPUSD and Bitcoin in this week's newsetter (#WeeklyMarketsAnalysis)