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IBIT

$BTC doing exactly what we said...Was away and have not posted here in some time. Was away and had a few things neded to take care of. Please see profile for more info on that. Will consolidate everything we have said on #Bitcoin over last few days. CRYPTOCAP:BTC was worth a shot early this week or late last week. We bought overnight Sun - Mon. Mid 60's is likely around the corner. Don't see #BTC in the high 60's but 67k is definitely possible. Buy volume is still WEAK. Not crazy about that BUT at least it has been more buys, sellers might be done for now.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
1
$IBIT 4-Hour Chart Gaps Continue to Fill and Leave Clues for BTCThis new leading 'indicator' for lack of a better term, continues to be accurate and 100% since the NASDAQ:IBIT inception. Every single gap has filled, except one recent one which I believe will resolve to the downside at some point below. The 2nd IBIT Gap just filled on this mini-rally today, so I think we head lower to fill the other lower unfilled gap as noted. Although it's showing a nice hammer reversal candle and Bullish Engulfing candle here. So If it breaks and holds above $33, then we likely push higher for a time. There's no time limit for filling these gaps unfortunately. But I think we'll re-test recent price action on Bitcoin around GETTEX:54K , which would be a nice buying opportunity. Unless the markets continue to get spooked with election / econonomy fears. Also, since the CPI came in as expected there's less reason for the FED to drop rates .50 basis points which is what I thought could be a short term catalyst to rally prices. As of today's CPI news, there's an 85% chance of just a .25 basis point cut. I can't foresee any positive bullish news in the short term, so I'm expecting September to continue to be rangebound, choppy, and re-test recent lows. BTC.D does look bullish here, so I'm focusing attention on Bitcoin and SOL buying zones mostly. Really curious to see if and how long this 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT chart and 'gap trading' continues to work... Shhhhh, for now I've found something new that's working :) Feel free to like and share. More info in my bio. - Brett
NASDAQ:IBITShort
by BrettFogle
$IBIT Gap Filled As Forecast (New Leading Bitcoin Indicator?)Proof that this works? So far it's 100% accurate. Every single 'Gap' on the NASDAQ:IBIT 4-Hour chart has filled. Refer back to my prior videos showing this, and while this does NOT mean it will continue to work forever... It's certainly a curious anomoly. And likely works based on the same principals as the CME gaps which typically fill 99% of the time (There's still an unfilled gap on the Bitcoin CME at $9750 as I recall). But who's counting. Going forward, I'll be using this as an additional guide to where price may be heading and potentially reversing to, before resuming trent. Like and share this with your other trader friends, as this has been very interesting to monitor!
NASDAQ:IBITShort
by BrettFogle
1
"Powell and Trump's Pump" & New Study Showing BTC Fractal TargetWe had a nice pump in the markets today, stemming from J Powell's comments from Jackson Hole signalling not only one rate cut coming in September, but likely multiple (not priced in). RFK also kinda sorta endorsed trump but still kept the Hail Mary option open for him to still get elected (Don't hold your breath, although I'd love to see that. RFK had a great speech at Bitcion 2024 and is a good man, but doesn't have the votes). Markets reacted positively and some are boldly saying 'The Bull Run is Back'. 🚀 We shall see. Students of Hurst's Market Cycles will also note that this week (tomorrow the 24th preciely) should be the weekly cycle low, so that could also be a contributing factor. In this video, I briefly review the NASDAQ:IBIT chart showing one open unfilled gap lower (this can take awhile and so this is still on the table) as well as the new BTC fractal study I mentioned. (But I forgot to share the DXY chart showing that we're testing the important 101 level, which is looking like it's going to cut right through it like a hot knife through buttah). Most interesting... Check out this fractal overlay I pulled from earlier in the year, showing the possible path of Bitcoin higher, and that almost exacly lines up with current / previous trendline S&R as well as my Fibonacci price target of $150, which you can review in some of my other posts here... Finally seems like we'll have the wind at our back soon. While this was a nice breeze, I'm going to remain cautious and wait for confirmations higher to go 'all in'. For me, that's seeing confirmed closing price action above $74k. See the video for some specific / excact entries. If you'd like me to cover anything in future videos, leave a comment below. Thanks again to the TradingView team for choosing my last video as 'Editors Pick' today! 🚀🚀 Keep up the good work guys!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by BrettFogle
2
Bitcoin Update on the Top 10 Factors Leading to $150k - $250kIn this video, I'm updating a few of the factors we've been following for the past year, that could lead to a $150k - $250k or higher Bitcoin this bull-run. With some breaking news today, we're starting to see more of the dominoes fall in our favor. Namesly: 1. The Norweigan government just announced a "Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund’s Bitcoin Spree" of buying, which is very Bullish and should lead to increased country interest both as an investment and also inevetiably in making Bitcoin it's financial reserve asset. AKA - This is a Country FOMO Starter Kit. "Norway now indirectly owns 2,446 BTC through its investments in crypto stocks. That’s bullish news for Bitcoin. It paints an enticing picture of global sovereign support for the BTC price." 2. The BRICS nations now total 159 countries. What that means is a growing trend away from the Dollar (The DXY is crashing as of writing this and as I cover in the video). Less demand, equals more supply, and that can lead to hyperinflation (Unless the US moves toward a Bitcion Standard and as Trump recently stated, buys a large block of Bitcoin to add as a reserve asset). 3. Morgan Stanley recentl announced it's giving the 'Green Light' for it's army of financial advisors to start recommending Bitcoin to it's high-net worth clients. While they are starting out cautiously, this is clearly a trend that will continue and lead to other institutional FOMO. For these reasons and more, I've updated my 'Path to $150k -$250k Bitcoin Study' per the video. Would love to hear your toughts, and if I've missed anything at the macro level. I'm actively following a few newer theories related to massive liquidity about to hit the markets which should drive risk assets like Bitcoin higher as well. Cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BrettFogle
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Is Forming An Intraday Bullish SetupIf we take a look at the hourly chart of BlackRock Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT, we can see nice and clean five-wave intraday rally from the lows, followed by an a-b-c corrective setback with first support at 32 area, while second deeper one would be around 31 area. So, seems like it's forming a nice intraday bullish setup formation, thus watch out on a bullish continuation, while it's above 28 invalidation level, just keep in mind that bulls may step in above 34.15 level.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by ew-forecast
New IBIT Downside Gap To Fill Signaling Bitcoin RetracementWe have been following the BlackRock NASDAQ:IBIT 1 Hour and 4 hour chart since it was released earlier this year, and noticing that... Like the CME chart gaps, the IBIT chart gaps also similarly seem to fill. EVERY ONE SO FAR. So I'm now eyeing this lower gap to fill, and since the IBIT tends to be a leading signal to Bitcoin price, I'm expecting Bitcoin to drift lower to re-test recent lows before heading higher again.
NASDAQ:IBITShort
by BrettFogle
Quick Analysis on Early signs of $BTC CapitulationJust a hunch on $BTC. We bought ETF's on this last dip. IBKR only allows 10% crypto. May begin buying spot again as we sold close to top. First an explanation on a 4Hr #BTC chart broken down into 3 phases (Letters A - C) A The descending arrow shows $ Flow weakening. There were huge buys but sells were eating it up. That was a RED FLAG. We spoke about divergence and lessening buy volume for DAYS! Few warnings. It was eventually followed by #bitcoin selling pressure. ------- B $ Flow indicator is a laggard, we keep eyes on an investment's volume on our own, visual. In this case we're looking at the #Bitcoin volume. CRYPTOCAP:BTC had some buying but sells kept coming in. These were likely sellouts from leverage & shorts. Wont comment on Germany as spot #BTC is still irrelevant. ($ Flow was fine for spot and nowhere near as bad as futures, but CRYPTOCAP:BTC kept going down. Not sure what needs to be shown for people to realize that spot is IRRELEVANT until some time in the future.) ------- C 2nd CRYPTOCAP:BTC phase is almost done. Buys coming in and the sells are not as strong anymore. It needs a lil more time but #BTC MAY/COULD be capitulating. It holds 52kish weekly & monthly and we could see something nice. See the chart on #GOLD for the Cup and Handle breakout. Have a great weekend!!! (pls see profile for more info)
CME:BTC1!Long
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Bitcoin has reached the Top by mid-March. What is Next!?The United States spot Bitcoin BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recently achieved a new milestone after attracting more than $1 billion in net inflows for the first time on March 12. Investments into spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to soar as daily inflows breached $11.1 billion over the last 13 days. On March 12, Bitcoin ETFs saw their biggest-ever daily inflow of $1.045 billion, chiefly contributed to by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT). Too many excited ppl, isn't it?! Technical graph indicates on 2-years long upside channel, where near 73K per BTC is the Top, and near 55K is the middle. Technically, BTC can retrace to mentioned above level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FinWealth
3
BTC Futures. Bulls fade. Robust gain de-established.BTC has reached the top around US$ 73700 on March 14, 2024 as it was clearly explained in previous publication. Since that it's gone around 1 month till now, and no one new high was printed in BTC. Bulls fade. Robust gain de-established. Upside bubble-alike trend transformed into detrend structure with flat top near US$ 73000 per BTC. RSI (14) is sluggish also. This idea is for b-adj CME’s Bitcoin futures contracts, ticker symbol BTC, which are a USD cash-settled contracts based on the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR), which serves as a once-a-day reference rate of the U.S. dollar price of bitcoin. The BRR aggregates the trade flow of major bitcoin spot exchanges during a one-hour calculation window into the U.S. dollar price of one bitcoin as of 4 p.m. London Time. The Bitcoin futures contract trades Sunday through Friday, from 5 p.m. to 4 p.m. Central Time (CT). A single BTC contract has a value of five times the value of the BRR Index and is quoted in U.S. dollars per one bitcoin. The tick increments are quoted in multiples of $5 per bitcoin, meaning a one-tick move of the BTC future is equal to $25. BTC futures expire the last Friday of the month, and are listed on the nearest six consecutive monthly contracts, inclusive of the nearest two December contracts. Technical graph indicates on a detrend structure, where near 73K per BTC is the Top, and near 55K is the target. Technically, BTC can retrace to mentioned above level as it still below reasonable resistance.
CME:BTC1!
by FinWealth
BTC looks okay, 1st phase pretty much complete, phase 2 nextTurned bullish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC during the beginning of May. Futures #BTC looks good but the volume is lacking a bit. RSI looks okay but not great. $ Flow is not that great either. Spot #Bitcoin = ditto. However, technically they look good, they are trading above their respective moving averages. What would seal the deal? HUGE volume breaking highs! -------------------------------- Not shown here, pls see profile for more info. Noticed an interesting weekly CRYPTOCAP:BTC pattern. Will speak on that later as the pattern will likely resolve months from now. Want to see what happens within the next couple months first. Spot #BTC hasn't proven it's better to chart vs futures #Bitcoin, doubt it will until it counts (meaning it'll change when things hit the fan). Current box is the best looking. We'll see what happens very soon. #crypto
CME:BTC1!Long
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
1
$BTC Futures STILL better to chart vs SpotTweaked the CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart. It really needed updating. Fixed the colors too! #BTC is 2 weeks away from the end of what we called, phase 1. In my opinion, it's going to move SOON. #Bitcoin breakdown: The moving avg crossover, yellow circle, is bullish. Cyan circles show bullish signs; RSI above 50 Money Flow is above 0 ------------------------- Bonus post CRYPTOCAP:BTC derivatives vs spot - FINAL proof! (They are trading a lil closer than ever) Both #BTC RSI look identical but Futures turned bullish 1st. However, #Bitcoin $ Flow is a VERY different. Futures have been mostly NEGATIVE until yesterday! Spot has been mostly above 0 until recently!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ROYAL_OAK_INC