ICE
SB Bullish, still on trackStill bullish SB as it appreciated over the past month. It really gained momentum has it had to break out from oversold conditions.
What happened over the course was the term structure (future spreads) are now in backwardation for the entire next year. This leaves me with remaining bullish as it foreshadows supply tightness coming out of Brazil.
Also the USDBRL has come off of its highs and could provide some further support for a rally
SB#11 - Get ready to “dive the five” I still do not like longs on most of ags, unless you aim short term and get orthodox with your stops. Since my previous post about one month ago (see link below), SB11 is keeping its pace moving downstairs. At this point in time I see no signs of reversal, instead, my reading says we are about to “dive the five”. What comes after that remains to be seen.
It is true that technically this fourth wave could hike up to the 13.50-ish level, however, I don’t think going long at this point has a good risk/reward ratio. I believe one would be better off building shorts from here and keeping an eye on possible DX reversal.