Ichimoku_trader
GBPAUS Short SS tradeThis is the third trade with the new methodology derived from the old. It is designed to provide high probability trades set-ups with good to Great RRR on a daily basis (as opposed to 1-3 such trades per week). Since it is on a 15-minute chart and there is a 15 minute delay for posting here on Tradeview, there may be timing issues. I will do my best to post so everybody can take advantage. We will start considering trades at the European open (currently 3am est). Also, this methodology relies on a directional bias, which may Increase, decrease or change completely mid-session, so I will update the trade accordingly, so look for those changes.
like yesterday, 2 potential entries
15 KS Entry = 1.8440
or
BO entry = 1.8407
Stop = = 30 pips
Initial PT = 90 pips
GBPAUD SS Short2nd day publishing the new methodology which was derived from the old. It is designed to provide high probability trades set-ups with good to Great RRR on a daily basis (as opposed to 1-3 such trades per week). Since it is on a 15-minute chart and there is a 15 minute delay for posting here on Tradeview, there may be timing issues. I will do my best to post so everybody can take advantage. We will start considering trades at the European open (currently 3am est). Also, this methodology relies on a directional bias, which may Increase, decrease or change completely mid-session, so I will update the trade accordingly, so look for those changes.
2 potential short entries
Entry = 1.8597 or
1.8555
Stop = 30 pips
Initial PT = 90
GBPAUD SS LongThis a new methodology derived from the old. It is designed to provide high probability trades set-ups with good to Great RRR on a daily basis (as opposed to 1-3 such trades per week). Since it is on a 15-minute chart and there is a 15 minute delay for posting here on Tradeview, there may be timing issues. I will do my best to post so everybody can take advantage. We will start considering trades at the European open (currently 3am est). Also, this methodology relies on a directional bias, which may Increase, decrease or change completely mid-session, so I will update the trade accordingly, so look for those changes.
Long Entry = 1.8541
Stop = 1.8511 = 30 pips
Initial PT = 1.8631
Completed LONG order until number 52With the front published idea, we can stop our long order with this number 52.
From B -C, it is clearly in number 9, there is the first wave of the big third wave(Z-A-B-C UP).(First wave is 33, the second wave is 14,)
The third wave always it bigger than the first.
So after point C will small return in number 9 again and target is point A's value.
So SHORT at yesterday and will keep this order in 9 until next Thursday.
Keep LONG GBPUSD to 52Continue the front ides.
Now AB is numberic 14, where will be target point C is important.
We can see Z'-C is basic number 52 where the cloud is crossed in the Senkou SPAN.
B-C is number 7 whitch half of A-B and same day for Z-'C's number 52.
So keep the LONG order untile this number 7.
About price target, I care about that will the point C be broken over to A? If not there will become into P wave then 14-7-7, else with 14-7-22 become the third big wave.
EURJPY Homerun trade + 240 pip potentialthe Monthly and Daily are bearish
and this pair has been banging up against the 125.23 level all week
IMHO, this is ready to explode to the downside.
The Cloud is thin and price has established below the 60 Kejun Sen
Entry = 125.23
Stop = 125.43
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 122.80 (the Daily Kejun Sen)
Reward = +243 pips
RRR = 12 -1
GBPAUD double News retracement trade +204 Pip potentialHad major news on Both currencies in this pair. UK parliament vote on Brexit sent GBP down and a better ten expected AUD CPI sent AUD up. This setup will try an harness both results
I am using fib levels using the Pre Uk vote price (which is not the daily high) and the low after the Aud news (which still may change so we will have to re draw the fibs)
Using 2 even entries at the following fib levels:
.382 = 1.8284
.50 = 1.8307 (yes I know it's not a real fib level)
I do not expect this market to retrace more than .50 (which is where the Kejun Sen = Bold Blue line will probably be)
Stop = 1.8353 and will tighten as we keep it 10 pips above the Kejun Sen
Risk = 58 pips
Profit Target = 1.618 ext. = 1.8091
Reward = +204 Pips
Current RRR = 3.5 - 1
GBPJPY Pullback trade +195 pip PotentialEven though GBP has been dominating for over a week now, it is, imho,over extended
and ripe for a pullback.
The Monthly and Daily are still, despite it's recent strength, still bearish
Resistance has formed at 143.55 and has been rejected once (double top)
The Resistance level is in close proximity to the Daily Senkou A, which is
a very strong Resistance level.
The RSI is Overbought and descending.
Entry can be had on a retest of the 143.55 level or a candle formation rejected at that level
or you can wait to see if the Daily Senkou A is tested.
Entry = 143.55
Stop = 143.95
Risk = 40 pips
Profit Target = 141.60 (the 60 Senkou A)**
Reward = +195 pips
RRR = 4.8 - 1
** it should be noted that the future cloud is ascending and the profit target
will have to adjusted to where price meets it.
EURAUD cloud Channel trade +350 pip potentialThe Monthly and Daily and 60 are in an uptrend.
Need a pullback to the 60 Senkou B (or Daily Senkou B before 3 am confluence)
Entry = 1.5860
Stop = 1.5840
Risk = 20 pips
1st PT = 1.5917
Reward = 57 pips
RRR = 2.85 - 1
2nd PT = 1.6219 (the Daily Kejun Sen)
Reward = 359 pips
RRR = 18 - 1
* At the 1st PT you can either take a portion of your position off and move your stop to flat
just move your stop to flat (which is what I will do)
AUDNZD +140 potential shortThe Monthly and Daily time frames are Bearish.
This pair has trading in a tight range since January 17
Would like to see the Kejun Sen flatten or better yet
step down and that will happen if the pair respects the
Resistance level.
The Optimal time to start look for this trade to trigger
would be after 1am as the Cloud will have thinned out
making it easier to break through.
Entry = 1.0645
Stop =1.0665
1st PT = 1.0505
2nd PT = 1.0356
Risk = 20 pips
Reward 1st PT = 140 pips
Reward 2nd PT = 289 pips
RRR 1st PT = 7-1
RRR 2nd PT = 14.4 - 1
GBPCAD 500+ pip move potentialGBP has been dominating all week and is, imho, overextended.
GBPCAD is now at a Daily Resistance level that has been rejected 3 out of the last 4 times (75%)
Need to see compression on the 60 min chart below the resistance level and then
a strong bearish candle for entry.
Entry = not yet ???
the stop will be 10 pips (+2 for spread above the last swing high)
PT = 1.6668
* both sides of this pair have news release that will effect this trade. GBP retail sales at 4:30 est.which is forecasted for -0.8 which can easily be beat
and CAD CPI at 8:30 est .Please take this into consideration
** A more aggressive entry can be made if there is either multiple testing of the resistance level
or a tight compression below but at it, for at least 8 hrs.
CADCHF Potential homerun tradeThis pair is bearish on both the Monthly and Daily time frames.
price is currently compressing below the Daily Senkou A (bottom of the Cloud)
this is a very strong resistance level and great place for a small stop loss entry with
a profit target of .7066 which is the Daily 1.27 fib extension.
first we need the pair to compress slightly below the Senkou A for at least 2 more hours
(starting at 1am est. ,we will look for a quick pop back up the Senkou A level for entry)
Entry = .7491
Stop = .7511
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = .7066
Reward = 425 pips
RRR = 21 - 1 :)
Ichimoku short setup: USDCHFA few days ago, I stated that we are expecting a bearish kumo breakout within the next few days and so it did. Check out the link below:
On the daily TF, all the Ichimoku signs are bearish. Span A and B are both angling downward at 45 degree. Chikou span has broken free from the kumo. I am expecting a home run for this pair.
GBPCAD potential Homerun tradeThe Daily is bullish and a nice support level has formed. price is currently being supported by 60 Kejun Sen (blue Line) and that would be our entry
Entry = 1.7020 (+ 2 pips to account for the spread on buy limit orders so 1.7022)
Stop = 1.6990
Risk = 30 pips
PT = 1.7236 (+216)
RRR = 7.2 -1
EURAUD 60 min Senkou A ShortThe Monthly and Daily direction is Bearish.
The market has retraced, and been rejected at the Daily Senkou A (bottom of the cloud) at 1.5841
I anticipate the market will drop back to the cloud, either the Senkou A (top) or the Senkou B (bottom)
and then rally back to retest the Senkou A at 1.5841
2 Potential entries;
First, the aggressive entry would be to place sell limit orders at the Senkou A
with a 50 pip stop
Second, wait for the confirmation of the Cloud breakout trade
EURAUD 60 MIn Cloud BreakoutMonthly and Daily Direction is bearish.
I anticipate the market will reverse down into the cloud
bounce up off the Senkou B (bottom of the cloud)
then stall between the Senkou A (top of the cloud) and the
resistance level at 1.58600
For the cloud breakout we will need the following;
1. A cloud penetration;
2. A TK cross
3. The Chikou below price
4. A Kumo twist
** You can take the Cloud channel trade (long at the Senkou B)
and that is an advanced technique with low risk targeting the Snkou A
I will update this post as the market unfolds
NZDJPY 60 min Cloud BreakoutThe Monthly and Daily remain bullish
Have a text book cloud breakout
The only thing I don't like is the time
as it is 4 pm est and I prefer not to take trades
this late in the US Session, so I will wait for the Asian Session
which may provide for a pullback opportunity and/or a smaller stop
Entry = 77.95 above the Daily Tenken Sen (Red line)
Stop = 77.31
Risk = 64 pis
Profit Target = 80.23 (10 pips before the Daily D Ext.)
Reward = 228
RRR = 3.5 - 1
NZDJPY 60 Cloud Pullback "homerun" tradeAlthough the Monthly and Daily are up, there is, imho, a
high probability, low risk pullback trade setting up
NZD which has been on a Great Bullish run is showing signs of weakeniing,
specifically, on the Daily charts of NZDCHF and NZDUSD both finished yesterday with Doji's
GBPNZD and EURNZD were both Spinning tops.
NZDJPY had a bearish decision candle, although not an engulfing certainly the strongest
of all the pairs against NZD.
Their has already been a bearish cloud breakout but with a retracement back into the cloud
Trade setup:
Entry = 78.14 (the 60 Kejun Sen)
Stop = 78.78 (10 pips + 2 for spread above the Senkou A)
Risk = 37 pips
Profit Target = 76.23 (the Daily Kejun Sen)
Reward = 218 pips
RRR = 5.8 - 1