QQQ setting up ReversalQQQ has been downtrending however-
it broke through the mid-Fib levels which are now resistance
the Momentum Oscillator shows bearish momentum decreasing to nearly zero
the red dot on the center line suggests a squeeze is underway
recent candles are small range and nearly Doji
candles on the RSI Ichimoku are wide range and volatile
in general relative strength is rising in bullish divergence
Accordingly I will close the put options and open call options
with 48 hours of time to expiration at a strike 1% above current price.
Ichimokuchart
BTC/USD - Will we see a Death Cross on the Bitcoin 1 week chart?Looking at the BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA (Yellow Line) is now getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). A crossover would signal a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the entire history and available data on this BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA has never crossed under the 200MA on this 1w timeframe. Note that the 50MA did come very close to crossing under the 200MA around the week of the 30th Nov 2015 but in the end, it didn’t happen.
Other notes:
BTC is still in a Massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern.
BTC is also still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still under all 3 of its major unique Ichimoku Kumo (Cloud) patterns.
BTC is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow, we can see that we are still in the Distribution Zone traveling slightly upwards but would say more like 'sideways within a range' on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is a sign of continued weakness on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but has starting to slope downwards. Note that both the MACD Line and Signal Line are still deep in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the last green histogram had also decreased in size and this weekly one looks like it will also close smaller than the last indicating upwards momentum is weakening on this 1w timeframe.
Interesting times and potential opportunities ahead once this World Recession bottoms.
I hope this quick chart is helpful.
ADA/USD - still in its Falling Wedge PatternHere is a closer look at this ADA/USD 1d chart.
Just like BTC, ADA is still in its massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
Here is a closer look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI).
Once this world wide Recession has fully bottomed, for those that are prepared, there will be truly amazing opportunities to acquire your crypto of choice at a real bargain price ready to ride the next cycle upwards.
NiftyHello and welcome to this analysis
Nifty today activated not one but two bearish reversal signals.
First it activated a Bearish Harmonic Alt Shark (double confirmation if price sustains below 18350) for suggested downside levels of 17750/17250. This pattern would be considered negated above 18575.
Second it coincided with an Ichimoku Price and Time axis equilibrium date - (double confirmation if price sustains below 18360. The reversal as per Ichimoku will become invalid if a daily candle close occurs above 18450. Downside targets for Ichimoku are also similar to Harmonic ones.
Use the dips / correction to add stocks, corrections are healthy and a good opportunity to invest in growth stocks.
$BTC to $23-25k, then $15.8k? The ultimate bull trap?Alright, as many of you've seen, I've updated my previous chart in the comments and have become short term bullish. I do think that BTC heads higher in the next few weeks tagging the $23.5k mark or $25k mark. I was originally thinking that this would make the short term bottom of this move down, but now I'm questioning that thesis and I think that this is the more likely scenario that will play out... Let me explain.
Something never looked right to me when analyzing the Ichimoku cloud. Why is it trending down on the 2D chart? Also, if you analyze it from a 3D chart, the cloud is too thick with resistance to break through. So that leads me to believe we're not ready for the breakout higher yet.
From all of the charts I've seen people post, most people think we're going to $21k than instantly reversing lower. Then the other camp thinks that $23.5k is the line in the sand, and that if we break that, we've started a new bullish trend. This all leads me to believe that the most likely outcome is that we break both resistances and hit $25k, and only after we don't break that, we reverse lower. I think that would lure the most people into the market. I think most people at that point would think to buy the dip (because again, the new bull trend is starting). However, I think rejecting $25k, would just form a double top from the move back in August and setup a move lower (where we finally break the lows).
I think if this all plays out, and we can't surpass $25k to form a new high, it sets up the move down that I was expecting to around $15.8k. I think the move up plays out before the middle of November and I think the move down would play out towards the back half of November bottoming sometime in early to mid December. I've added pivot points to look for changes in price action.
Only after this plays out, would I expect a large bear market rally (one that takes us back up to the $30k region).
I am long BTC and a lot of alts at the moment (because I'm expecting 50-100% exit pumps before we head lower). On any significant moves higher, I'll be locking in profits because I don't want to risk staying in the market if this plays out like I'm expecting.
Good luck. Let's see how it all plays out over the coming 4-8 weeks.
BTC/USD price target if it breaks below its Descending TriangleBTC/USD is still in a massive Ichimoku W Wave Pattern.
BTC is still in a Descending Wedge Pattern and a Descending Triangle Pattern.
BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indication that the mid-point of the short-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indication that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment is slight upwards but overall ranging sideways.
If BTC breaks below its descending Triangle pattern Using Negative V Calculation a price target of around $9,916 is produced.
V Calculation (Negative)
V= B-(C-B) = D
C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622
B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,622 = $9,916
The above V Calculation is taken from the 1 month chart but I have added it onto this 1 day chart. For your viewing pleasure, below is the BTC/USD 1 month chart.
Notice that we have a timescale pattern of 9 Bars and 17 Bars on the above 1 month chart. 17 Bars takes us to the month of 1st April 2023 but due to crypto volatility, the price target may be achieved much sooner. Note that 9 and 17 are part of the Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō Number Theory.
This is all just my opinion using the Ichimoku System. In any case, i hope this is helpful.
Weekly Ichimoku Review of S&P 500 IndexI had a lot of fun calling directions the last few weeks.
Best Long Call - 2 week bear rally.
Most Profitable - Oct Inflation Print
Epic Daily Call - Paramount Double Bottom
Some serious Alpha takes being able to spot trends.
My indicator of choice for trend spotting is Ichimoku Cloud.
Ichimoku Cloud
C1 - Bullish
3 weeks to least resistance cross over of bearish trend (price moving over cloud).
C2 - Bearish
Thick weekly cloud indicating a ways to go before cloud crosses over bullish.
Tenkan-Sen (conversion)
TS1 - Bearish
9 week trend (short term) is still trending down.
TS2 - Bullish
Weekly high broke to over the 9 week trend.
Kijun-Sen (Baseline)
KS1- Bullish
Price broke above 26 week trend line after previous 2 failed week failed attempts (3909.2).
KS2- Bearish
26 week is above 9 week
Chikou Span (Lagging Span)
CS1 - Bullish
Cross over the 26 week lagging trend line.
CS2 - Bearish
2-3 weeks of choppiness in store.
My overall analysis for the upcoming week is slightly Bullish.
My personal trading target for the week is positive by 2-3% with a test of the 200 day moving average to confirm Short term bull trend.
The last time an attempt was made to break 200D was the bull trend peak in august.
My biggest concern right now is the window of weakness going into thanksgiving weekend.
I will be doing more analysis on the Window of Weakness in the next few weeks prior to thanksgiving.
PPI is Tuesday so keep an eye on that for a short term bump or down.
If PPI does not decrease by a significant amount as CPI, look to give back some of last weeks gains.
Bulls need to hold 3900.
Bears need to position for test of 200D this week and should be mindful of OPEX.
OPEX is this week for which 4000 seems to be a magnet.
Potential upwards momentum Notice the Kijun-sen has pointed upwards while the Chikou-span has closed above its price 26 periods ago, if you drill down to the daily chart the price is above the cloud but the Kijun-sen points downwards, it's better to keep it in your watchlist to see how it unfolds in the coming days
us30 bull move evening traders. Trading has been choppy recently with these current markets but is the us30 heading for a bull rally? We have 3 signals in the ichimoku trading strategy triggered, base line and conversion line crossover, green cloud and lagging span above the cloud. Price has also broken the downward trend line and if we close above then we could be seeing a bull rally. Rally targets we would be looking at I would say are 34300 and 35500.
We're still below the cloud on the weekly so it could be a false break and a trap, its hard to dictate in these market conditions.
Trade safe traders.
cheers
shaun.
THETA bull(ish) chart 3rd of November 2022Hey guys,
THETA seems to be on the verge of a breakout on the daily chart . Already inside the ichimoku cloud and moving up. I think that after we get a breakout and support on the cloud we should see at least a 150-200% run up towards the 4$ levels.
Got in at 0.98$, targeting 4$ before taking profits.
P.S. - Previous chart from 2 days ago was removed because I linked my twitter account.
Gold reached Gold reached the resistance and I'm ready for another downtrend. Targets 1631 / 1615 with risk reward 1:3
The reason for that is my analysis of the US Dollar Index which reached the first target and went back to the support. We have a couple of US events later today on the calendar, be ready!
BANK NIFTYHello and welcome to this analysis
Bank Nifty has activated a Bearish Harmonic Bat in daily time frame.
The anticipated retracement levels are 38-50-62% of the upmove. The view would be negated if it sustains above 41530.
As per Ichimoku Time and Wave Theory also we have a turn date activated. Until it sustains below 41530 it would remain weak. In case it breaks on the upside then the low of Friday October 28 would be considered as a stop loss for longs
Gold bearish trend is ready againFrom my last analysis, we manage to catch the $55 Movement with risk reward 1:3. Now we will apply the same risk-reward ratio. Based on the Fibonacci & Ichimoku cloud we can clearly see the resistance level at $1660. Don't miss another golden opportunity. Share the idea with all your friends!
Ichimoku cloud won't break!We have only touched the bottom of this cloud 4 times now in almost 12 years. Everytime we do, it means something huge for ole' BTC. First two times it indicated approx. 30x gainz. Second time, 20x. Third time 10x?
We shall see folks. Buckle up cuz' either way I smell something big!
Stew
CANFIN HOMESHello and welcome to this analysis
The stock had a very sharp decline in September due to management reshuffle.
It is now showing a reversal from a strong base area.
Short term Ichimoku is indicating a possibility of 530 and 560 if it holds above 490
Good risk reward set up at current juncture.
SPX500 ready for for new lows?Evening traders. Ive been watching the spx500 for quite sometime now. If you look and my chart the price has bounced off the trend line quite a few times. I was expecting to see price move in between both trendlines, squeeze and push either upwards or downwards.
As per my strategy my sell signals have triggered which are all highlighted in red. RED cloud formed. crossover. lagging span broke the cloud and price closed below cloud. However as you can see the highlighted yellow area the market has been volatile and could take an unsuspected upwards move. It could be a trap to trigger positions, push back to the lower trendline or even hit the cloud again and then hit lows at 3639 - 3548.
I am following my strategy though and I will be placing a trade in the next few days.
As always trade safe
cheers
BTCUSD: Bullish TK-CrossThis is another textbook Edge-to-edge (E2E) setup.
With an entry at the current price, the long target is about 25% (30'000 USD), for a stop-loss that should be set at a candle close below -14% (21'000). This makes the risks/reward ratio quite interesting!
Let's recall that E2E aren't as statistically consistent as say a kumo breakout (green cloud, bullish tk-cross, lagging span over price, price above cloud). Hence, set your capital allocation accordingly.
On the fundamental side I don't have a lot. Except that with all that has been going on the last two years, what could go worse now!? ;)
Happy trading!
* This is not financial advice, always do your own research *
HUT 8 Canadian Bitcoin Miner Winning During Hot Summer (Double?)Hut 8 is one of the older and experienced BTC miners that is run by some wonderful ladies in Canada where it is cold and they are using low cost energy. Texas miners are shutting down to provide electricity back to the grid. European Miners have much higher energy cost and are also unplugging. When so many machines that mine Bitcoin go off the network the ones that are left get paid much more. It is estimated that Hut 8 is earning an extra 10 to 15% Bitcoin because of other miners turning off machines. Hut is also continuing to buy equipment at low costs and are growing BTC mined per month.
Hut has burned through the Ichimoku Cloud and just retested support Friday. If the QQQ continues to squeeze those that don't believe that the Nasdaq leads 4 months before the low of the market, HUT 8 can surge like MARA and SDIG did. If you watch Krowns Crypto Cave analysis on BTC each morning then you know that BTC is setting up for a run up to 25k to 28k by the end of this month.
Wild Card Prediction - Elon Musk did sell BTC in Tesla to make payroll for those big cash furnaces in China, Berlin and Austin. He went out of his way to say he didn't have anything against Bitcoin but you know his CFO was explaining he didn't want to show a $500M asset devalue, so they sold at their cost. The other sale of BTC was for a $200M gain. Elon is sitting on a lot of cash for his Tweet excursion that likely will expire. Where will that cash go? Dogecoin, maybe, but more likely BTC.
MARA and SDIG both saw crazy moves up. So if you're looking for the next Bitcoin miner to get crazy options activity it is likely Hut 8, but maybe it will only be the poorly run BTC miners. Paul Barron Network did a nice interview of Hut 8 last month on youtube if you want to learn more about them. Bitcoin currently trades in great linkage to the QQQ but that is only likely to continue for a little longer as asset managers uncouple their trading algorithms for BTC.
Nasdaq will go down to the support areaHello everyone this is my first idea publlishing in Trading view.
so in my opinion Nasdaq will go down to the support area maybe near 12500 acording to the Ichimoku Cloud and support area.
But in a long term .
And the seceond reason is the RSI shows us the high limit area of 70 touched and it must go down technically so let's see what will happen.
Stay safe from liquidity.
Good luck everyone.
Please support me if my posts are usefull for you.