Ichimoku Cloud
USD/JPY Price Structure Breakout SetupThis pair is attempting to start a bullish trend but has been struggling to break through the price structure we can see just left of where price is currently at.
It failed to break through the kumo there in the past so I really want to see that level broken to consider a long.
Typically when we do break through a level like that we will see a push up and through, then come back down to test it as support.
We can look for entries based on which style traders are more comfortable with.
I've drawn out some partial take profit levels on the way to my overall target. If we fail to break and hold above the entry line I've drawn, then this setup may become invalidated.
GBP/CHF Bearish BreakoutThis pair shot up a bit last week but since then has been forming lower highs.
I am looking for a bearish kumo breakout to coincide with a bearish kumo twist to confirm that it is time to try and push back lower as people rush back to safe havens like the Swiss Frank.
I've drawn out some partial take profit levels on the way to my overall target.
If we fail to maintain bearish confirmations, or if we fail to break down and hold below the kumo, this setup may become invalidated.
EUR/USD Long Term Swing TradeThis is a bit of a preemptive look at EUR/USD ahead of a potential bearish move.
We are close to a bearish Kumo Twist and chikou span is trying to get below price.
I am looking for a bearish kumo breakout as my last confirmation to get short.
We have a very long term target I'm looking at but I've drawn out several levels to take partial profit or look to add to the position.
It will be interesting to see how this progresses with the effect from Covid-19 and the hits taken by the economy around the world.
When considering most of the worlds currency is pegged to the dollar it would make sense that despite the loss of jobs in the US from business closures during this time, it makes sense that the dollar will eventually strengthen again.
If we fail to get our bearish breakout, or if our bearish confirmations change, this setup may become invalidated.
What does Ichimoku tell us about AAPL right now?If we look at AAPL a different way, again - looking at only the technicals - we see the 4 rules of Ichimoku are telling us that this stock is currently: Bullish.
That being said, there are some red flags popping up that I have also labeled. We could nit pick a couple more, but I ran out of room and wanted to keep this as simple as possible.
4 Rules:
1) Price in relation to Cloud: Price is Above Cloud = Bullish
2) Tenkan-sen in relation to Kijun-sen: Tenkan-sen above Kijun-sen = Bullish
3) Relationship of Chikou to Price: Chikou is Well Above Price = Bullish
4) Senkou A in relation to Senkou B: Senkou A is over Senkou B = Bullish
Warnings:
1) Price has crossed paths with Tenkan-sen - Signifying either a Major Pullback, or a Trend Reversal: The price has crossed over the Tenkan-sen line - this is a major red flag! We look closer, and find the price never surpassed down to, or through the Cloud. So this means this is a Major Pullback, but not a Trend Reversal.
Looking to the futhure, we see the price that has crossed this line, has also crossed below Senkou B - Signifying an entry point we want to stay AWAY from. So we draw a line at this spot, count the number of bars that consolidated at this point, and we will set an alert here.
2) The Cloud itself is thinning. A thinning cloud leads to a higher probability of a Trend Reversal. As we just had price hitting Tenkan-sen, we will start watching Candlestick patterns for signs of Reversals.
In one of my other posts, we already identified the 2 Candlestick pattern from Today and Yesterday, as a Bearish Harami. This is significant, and normally a sign of a reversal. We must look for 1 more Candlestick to confirm!
Thanks!
Who's the winner right now in crypto?So every cryptocurrency, having taken on the mutual correlation that Dow Theory predicts, is trying to recover its price from the recent big drop. I'm using Ichimoku on the 1 hour charts to gauge the strengths of BTCUSD, ETHUSD, BCHUSD, and XTZUSD.
Ethereum is winning in absolute percent gains off the low but very close behind are Tezos and Bitcoin Cash. Clearly Bitcoin is now the lagger.
In terms of relative price action Tezos is the first to break it's pre-crash high with Ethereum coming closer.
Alt season much? This might be what everyone has been waiting (years) for...
Late game FOMO buyers crushedMy target for the hedge 11900 was a bit off... 1.6%... I'll endeavor to do better next time :D
I liked the play out of "reducing volatility" with a hedge. (See last Idea) A 20% hedge saved a drop of -8% by reducing it to -6% off the high's gains.
I think that big drop killed a lot of the late-day FOMO buyers... their spirits crushed... may be hesitant to go all in again. If BTC continues up it will be a slower, longer term and we won't see another moonshot parabolic this run.
LARGO - INS - Oportunidad de ComercioBINANCE:INSBTC por fin ha logrado romper el MA200 en el gráfico diario, el cual a su vez tambien fue un Kumo breakout, un importante cambio entre soporte y resistencia, el cual indica que la tendencia alcista va a continuar. El volumen se ha elevado continuamente en los pasados 2 meses, lo que indica que hubo una gran acumulación y hay mucho interes en esta moneda.
Entrada: 0.00001794
Objetivo 1: 0.00002181
Objetivo 2: 0.00002503
SL: 0.00001679
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EOS breaking out of consolidationMassive high timeframe bull div on RSI, Tenkan/Kijun just crossed bullish. Breaking out of consolidation now. It barely moved this cycle, it seems like now is finally the time. TP1 - cloud's bottom edge, TP2 - 200EMA, TP3 - flat cloud + previous orderblock S/R level. SL - 2700.