Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 20 days and is about 6.3% wide. It has widened and is stable. The various lines indicate sideways/downtrend on the short term, uptrend/lateral on the medium and long term.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for long positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirm bullish momentum but we observe wide shadows on the Tenkan and just above, still indicating a sideways momentum.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 27950.00 Fibonacci
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral, given also the proximity of the psychological threshold of 30000.00.
Hosoda's N wave of the ABC pattern identified several analyses ago has been centered and is acting as the resistance. It is possible to find a bullish ABC pattern indicating a first V level at 31227.96, NT level at 33467.19, and N level at 35827.10. On the other hand, a lateral/ribassist one indicating NT at 29501.31, and N at 26824.77.
It is interesting to see how BTC is recovering having closed a good quarter in conjunction with the problems in the traditional banking system.
It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 29500.00-29800.00
- Bearish/Lateral: 25000-26800.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- BTC Dominance: Decreased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Expectation of Alt Cycle: Increased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Ichimoku Cloud
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyse at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
The Kumo has been green for 13 days and is about 6.40% wide. It has widened and is stable. The various lines indicate an uptrend momentum with a sideways bias in the long term and medium term. In the short term, however, the price is on the Tenkan, indicating a potential bounce or downtrend.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for long positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirm bullish momentum and net of one red candle, the rest are green and away from the Tenkan.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral, given also the proximity of the psychological threshold of 30000.00.
Hosoda's N wave of the ABC pattern identified several analyses ago has been centred and is acting as the resistance. It is possible to find two other ABC patterns: one bullish indicating a first level at 31134.30, another indicating a sideways movement where the N wave is at 24417.14 and the NT wave at 33736.10.
From a fundamental point of view, it continues to be interesting to see more distressed banks and instead the strength of Cryptos, born precisely out of distrust in the traditional market. In general however, the FED continues to raise rates while the market is responding with a rebound in the stock market.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 28700
- Bearish/Lateral: 25000
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- Dominance of BTC: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Bitcoin Upcoming Levels of ResistanceThis is a followup to my Bullish trades on Bitcoin since 2023 (see links below). I highly suggest you check them out to see how to find opportunity before it late into the move.
So now it is time to start marking off Resistance Levels as this bullish move matures. The reasons:
This is still a crypto winter and this is a bear market rally.
Crypto trading platforms are starting to send unsolicited push notifications to remind people that Bitcoin is going up!
Crypto social medias are busy intensifying Ron Paul "It's Happening" memes regarding the failure of 2 banks = collapse of US Dollar.
There are three major levels where I will look for this rally to stall and possibly reverse.
32k : This is the closest and most probable level. It is respect of the lows of summer 2021 and importantly the 50% Retracement Resistance of the March 2022 high to the current Low of this Bear market.
36.5k : This is the inflection point where Bitcoin tried to hold the bullish trend in January 2022 and the 50% Retracement of the entire March 2020 - All Time High move.
42k : This is the 50% Retracement Resistance of the whole bear market move.
Using Ichimoku theory:
This is still a bear market pullback because price is well below the Ichimoku cloud signifying a bear trend. Price does not become bullish until it has cleared the entire Weekly cloud. What this move has done though is get Bitcoin into the Weekly cloud which is the first step from going to full on Bearish, as it has been since May 2022, to bullish which would not happen until time and the highest Resistance (42k) has been passed.
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 6 days and is about 0.7% wide. It changes abruptly but is currently widening. After the bounce on the Kumo and the Kijun Weekly now the situation is generally bullish and the Kijun Daily is on the Tenkan Weekyl level.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for long positions, as anticipated the change was very likely and now the price is very far from the Kinun.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the rebound and strong bullish momentum.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan.
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish.
Considering the current pattern with point B at March 10 and calculated with point C at March 14, we have 28773 (NT) as an interesting level.
From a fundamental point of view, it's interesting to see several banks fail and respective central bank bailouts. In general BTC was born as a response-in the times to-similar issues, this could be the motivation for the price increase.
It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 28700
- Bearish/Lateral: 25000
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle, we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- Dominance of BTC: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
BTC - Where we've been, and where we're likely headed.What an exciting ride it's been in Macro Markets lately! If you're into S&M; that is. I've long said, thanks to Luke Gromen, BTC is our best Liquidity Gauge in markets. And BTC hasn't failed us this time either. It sniffed out a change in tides, well before any other asset in markets.
Where we've been....
1) BTC on the Weekly chart puts in a beautiful, textbook "Bullish Divergence".
2) BTC closes on the Weekly, above the Kijun, and with High Volume (Green candle, not color, the 'g' below it; indicating high volume and high price movement : Bill Williams theory)
3)BTC breaks above the Descending Forecast Line (Orange Dotted) from our 69k ATH! This is HUGE. I took profits on Longs here, as generally speaking, the first touch of a Forecast Line rejects. We proceeded to grind down the Forecast Line (on the upside of it), and this week have broken back out to the Upside, consequently also breaking through the new Forecast Line made by our original piercing/pullback of the 69k Line.
This is all beautifully Bullish, and as I said...was indicative of BTC sniffing out a Pause/Pivot/Trouble in the FED's "tightening" scheme. It will definitely be interesting to see what Powell does re: Rate Hikes in a few days.
So here we are, breaking through many "resistance" areas, and now sitting just below this very thick Cloud. A pullback to the Ascending Forecast Line (from the 15,xxx Lows) would not surprise me, and would likely represent a perfect Buying Opportunity (currently 19,2xx and rising).
Where we're likely headed....
4) The 32-33k region has a very flat Kijun and SSB, a likely candidate for a Target on running Liquidity/Pausing/Resistance.
5) The current Monthly Kijun as well as ~~Weekly SSB around 42,2xx would be the next higher target.
6) Followed by the 69k ATH Monthly Forecast Line (Red Dotted Descending) currently > 50k and descending.
Unless Global Macro forces change suddenly, and the FED decides to ramp rates much higher ( I don't see this happening ), I see Medium to Long Term upside for BTC, and Dips are for buying.
As always, good luck, have fun, and practice solid risk management.
Bitcoin at Critical Retracement SupportBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has pulled back to the Major 50% Retracement of the January rally at 20360. This is a key Support level that must hold to continue the bullish trend. Watch how price behaves at this level. If price holds the level (closes today above) and remains above then the bull case remains intact. If price closes below the level for 2 or more days the rally is over.
Using Ichomoku analysis the bullish trend is not yet broken as price has pulled back to the bottom of the cloud but not yet broken through.
This is a followup to the trend breakout that began January 12th as per my last post using Ichimoku to define the breakout.
$SPX $SPY Analysis, Key levels, and Targets $SPX $SPY Analysis, Key levels, and Targets
So on the weekly timeframe…. SPX got slapped back under the ichimoku cloud… and the 50MA is holding it down…
In my opinion today was just a dead cat bounce off of the 200MA on the daily chart.
Next support level around 3760
Not a big update today, just some observations on the bigger timeframes…
Have fun trading tomorrow…. It has been a fun week so far… let’s see how the week closes…
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku
Good start to the week,
Let us analyse at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 58 days and is about 11% wide. It has risen since the last analysis and is looking slightly upward. The situation is still uncertain: on the short term there is downtrend, on the medium term there is laterality, and on the long term there is laterality/uptrend.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for long positions, although price is at Kijun levels and yesterday could have signalled short positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the bearish movement last week and the touch of the Kijun, which instead with regular candles was overcome.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral.
Hosoda waves calculated on an ABC pattern representing sideways momentum shows the following price levels on the waves: 26245 (NT), 22346 (N), 18447 (E), 17452 (V).
From a fundamental point of view, the week generally closed with a sign of weakness in the markets despite the fact that equities closed slightly higher, while BTC closed a down week in anticipation of a potential recovery. In general, U.S. employment data are positive but U.S. GDP is not.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 24400.00-24800.00
- Bearish/Sideways: 23300.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle, we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased.
- Dominance of BTC: Decreased.
- Price of BTC: Decreased.
- Alt cycle expectation: Stable.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Weekly Analysis BTC via IchimokuGood start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 51 days and is about 9.9% wide. It has been up since the last analysis and always flat. In the short/medium term, the situation is now bullish/lateral: price is above Tenkan and Kijun. Tenkan and Kijun are flat on the same level.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for long positions, which changed from last week.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the bullish movement of the past week.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan.
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23700.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral.
Hosoda waves calculated on a new ABC pattern representing the sideways momentum shows the following price levels on the waves: 24160 (N), 20202 (NT), 26010 (E) and 27158 (V).
From a fundamental point of view, the challenge between FED and Markets continues, where despite the promise to raise interest rates, the stock market is still up. This week also includes the FOMC meeting and MoM data.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Rizalist: 25000.00-26101.00
- Bearish/Lateralist: 23100.00-22440.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- Dominance of BTC: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Is getting above its Ichimoku cloudWill it close above it (daily japanese candlestick of 15-01-2023) ?
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku
Good start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 44 days and is about 9.9% wide. It has expanded further since the last analysis and but has flattened out. In the short/medium term the situation is bearish: price is below the tenkan, the tenkan is moving below the kijun. In the long term it's sideways/ bullish. In addition, the price, if it stays on this level, could enter the kumo again. There is uncertainty though.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for short positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirm the strong short- and medium-term bearish movement.
Supports and resistances:
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23700.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bearish/lateral and very uncertain.
Hosoda waves calculated on an ABC pattern representing sideways momentum shows the following price levels on the waves: 24160 (N), 27700 (NT), 25621 (E) and 25421 (V).
From a fundamental point of view, we are waiting for inflation and retail sales data. Also, Paxos was attacked by the SEC in connection with BUSD, which brought further distrust to the Crypto market. This ties in with the fight against staking in the U.S., as with the Nexo platform.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullush: 22400.00
- Bearish/Lateral: 21300.00.
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased.
- BTC Dominance: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Decreased.
- Alt cycle expectation: Collapsed.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Trading setup for a long opportunityIf the chikou span gets above the cloud then there could be a long trade opportunity with key levels for TP that could be :
0.1615
0.1635
0.1670
Weekly Analysis BTC via IchimokuGood start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 37 days and is 8.5% wide. It has expanded further since the last analysis and Senkou Span A is looking upward. The situation is always bullish/lateral on the long term but on the short term it's a bearish momentum: the price is below the Tenkan.
The Kijun Trend indicator always indicates looking for long positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms a strong short-term bearish movement.
Supports and resistances:
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23700.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish.
Hosoda waves calculated on an ABC pattern representing sideways momentum shows the following price levels on the waves: 24160 (N), 27700 (NT), 25621 (E) and 25421 (V).
From a fundamental point of view, we are at an interesting time with respect to inflation, where bond market yields are rising and there are thoughts of increased aggressiveness by the FED.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Rizalist: 23700.00-24400.00 and Tenkan.
- Bearish/Lateralist: 22400.00.
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- BTC Dominance: Decreased.
- Price of BTC: Decreased.
- Alt cycle expectation: Stable.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Weekly Analysis BTC via IchimokuGood start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 30 days and is 7% wide. It has expanded since the last analysis and is now flat again. The situation is always bullish/lateral on the long term but on the short term the bullish momentum has stopped and the price is now below the Tenkan.
The Kijun Trend indicator always indicates looking for long positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the bullish movement. After compression now a candel is forming without a body but with a very wide range.
Supports and resistances:
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusp level or flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish, but with a specific lateral/bear momentum.
Hosoda waves indicate a new ABC pattern with interesting price levels on the waves: 21685 (N), 29254 (NT), 14124 (E) and 8695 (V).
From a fundamental point of view, there is caution waiting for FED data and quarterly reports, particularly from technology firms. But over the long term, bullish sentiment remains.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 24400
- Bearish/Lateral: 22400.00 and the Tenkan.
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and the Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased.
- BTC Dominance: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Decreased.
- Alt cycle expectation: Dump.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance