Don't Buy Without High Confidence.An update of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD which I posted a couple days ago. We still on neutral stance which means keep holding if you have bought Bitcoin until a clear exit point occurs, and if you're not then don't buy anything just yet. We need higher confidence before pouring all that hard earned money, so wait until MACD enter its positive phase, then wait for another 2 positive bar (2 days), and then go long if everything is up: price closes above tenkan & kijun lines, and chikou lines closes above all the lines including the price candle.
You can also try higher risk moves by checking 4H chart, but you really have to know what you're getting into. On 4H charts indicators (any kind indicators really) will presents many fake breakouts, but may be mitigated with going shorts if the price on 1D closes below the kijun / slow line and the MACD shows negative value while doing so.
Overall, my stance is still the same: continuation of this pattern will be reflected on 1D charts which is a perfect signal of the bullish sentiment, which in turn will be reflected in 1W charts which is also a perfect signal of 2017 bull run to make its attempt to reappear.
This is a personal analysis, not meant as any kind of financial advise.
Ichimokuindicator
ETHUSD 4H Uptrend over, what comes next after 40% rise?ETHUSD 4H Downtrend is starting and $160 acts as critical pivot.
Based on 4H Ichimoku ETH is due to trend change, watching closely for repeated breakouts.
We just broke $160 and downtrend continuation is likely.
Shorts placed, breaking of $162-160 area with volume will invalidate the idea.
BCHUSDPrice is below the kumo (cloud) and kijun sen (light pink line), chikou spanis (orange line) is below kumo - once price closes below kenkan sen (pale blue line) and RSI has moved below middle blue line and has turned red, open a short. If confident, use the Kijun sen price cross, as confirmation, while keeping a tight stop loss. Not advice.
NEOUSDPossible short. Price is below the kumo (cloud) and the chikou spanis (orange line) is below kumo - once price closes below the kijun sen (light pink line)and the kenkan sen (pale blue line) and RSI has turned red and is moving below middle blue line, open a short. Use support lines to take profit and look for change of trend momentum. Not advice.
Good time to short S&P 500 IndexAsset: SPX
Fundamental Analysis: Arithmetically increasing the number of people infected with the new COVID-19 virus in the USA will lead to a new wave of panic sales on Stock market.
Trend: Downtrend correction tends to end in the next few days.
Price support zone: 2300 - 2350 USD
Price resistance zone: 2650 - 2700 USD
Signals:
The sell from the level of 2650-2700 USD for SPX . Target price is to level of 2300 - 2350 and the risk is no more than 2820 level.
Reliable signal to the entrance in the direction of the existing trend have the good potential yield and the medium level of risk. This fact should be taken into account when choosing Amount of deal and money management.
Actual period for this signal: 2-nd of April 2020
btc longterm analysis weekly with IchimokuFurther analysis of monthly chart. We saw that at the start of the month the prices broke the bullish Gann fan trendline (red circle).
The prices are below the cloud which means that we are more bearish but we await a confirmation of the Ichimoku lagging span which has already made a first contact with the gann fan bullish trendline (pink circle) .
After this first contact we see the price and the lagging span which are recovering in buying force, which is a rather natural reaction with Ichimoku^^
But, the cloud twist (green circle) tells us that there is a high probability that the price move inside a big range.
Feeling reinforced by the last two weekly candles (blue circle) (see the closing in a few hours) which make a big wick on the tenkan and the kijun aligned.
in this case we will see the lagging span confirm and come out of the cloud so that the prices head towards the bottom of the range (around $3500)
BTC crash analysis from ~9.1k todayThe crash of today was expected as we reached the top of the wedge and had a fake out in it. As soon as I've seen the second rejection in the wedge and knowing that we are at Fibonacci 3.618 level, I've opened my short.
Nice crash to Golden Pocket and now looking for a reversal. Has also tested the uptrend channel and got rejected at Ichimoku Kijun line 4h as expected (Tenkan 12h). Usually we see a bounce on Kijun most of the time.
I don't know what happens next but I will prepare for both ways.
Daily RSI was at 73, so this was another trigger for me.
For now, I think the uptrend is still intact.
Bitcoin - Market decision time / Daily Candle Close Breakout? Hi TradingView Community,
I haven't needed to update from my last post until now, as our failed breakout attempts have continued as we projected bearish future and not a strong signal for the breakout to continue upside momentum (cloud 26 periods in front of price). Please refer to my previous posts.
What can we see now / What are our signals?
Long Wicks are evident as we tried to breakout of the cloud, however the moves up were rejected by the market and price fell and consolidated in the cloud. We are into the 9th day of general consolidation, you could draw a box around the range we have traded over the last week/few days between $9600 - 8950 BTCUSD.
Now for the first time we may actually have a candle close outside of the cloud and this time if we have all rules met for a breakout trade giving us a higher probability for a move to the upside.
Rules of Cloud Breakout - Ichimoku :
1. Price Break above cloud and above Kijun (Brown line) (YES) & Close Above (About to CLOSE ON DAILY CHART)
2. Bullish Green Future (26 Periods in front of current candle, is it a green bullish future - YES)
3. TK Cross - YES Stronger Bullish Signal (Blue line crossed Brown)
4. CK Span - YES Above price (Purple Line above price at that period)
This candle close is crucial as confirmation of our rules and as an indicator of momentum.
Always consider your stops and risk management with every trade setup.
Mattchimoku
*Not in any way trading advice, consider my personal perspective/opinion only*
GS shortThe daily candle for today rejected at a previous resistance. We also see the lagging span reject the same area as last time.
The previous two times when the price closed under the $219.25 price level, it continued downwards.
I am planning to short until $215.72-ish, which is where I will be watchful waiting since I expect a bit of resistance there. It is still possible for GS to continue its upward trend, which I will be watching for carefully.
$AMTD longAMTD intially dropped due to news of them getting rid of commissions and it looks like it's starting to head back up there.
-The stock is currently in an uptrend and I think it will move something like this
-We see the first resistance level around $36.15 back in Apri/May 2017 and the lagging span bounced off of it
-The next resistance is around $40.26 and I'll come back and update when it gets there
USD/JPY Cliche Ichimoku BreakoutJapan is set to have an impressive week of news. This pair is obviously overvalued based on how bad the US has been doing. This would fall regardless of whether we found a cliche Ichimoku breakout (haha). Not the biggest fan of the Ichimoku indicator; however, you should be trading at your own risk.
EURGBP | SHORTPara el par EUR/GBP
Tenemos una fuerte señal a la baja.
Tenkan sen cruza Kijun Sen, Chikou Span por debajo del kumo y barras de precio por debajo del kumo.
Pueden entrar apenas abran los mercados el domingo
No coloquen Take Profit, la salida de la operacion es cuando se vuelvan a cruzar el Tenkan y el Kijun (linea blanca y rosada)
GBPUSD análisis técnicodepues de el anterior análisis de este par, 100 x 100 cumpliendo traigo este, con tl en monthly y con unas posibles opciónes como una ruptura seguido de un retesteo o un rebote que implicaría llegar a la siguiente tl como mínimo.
aunque dado el cruze de la linea azul a la roja (ichimoku) y la linea del pasado por debajo de la nube una de las señales mas fuertes de venta.
TAMBIEN VEO UNA CORRECCIÓN DEL PRECIO EN ESTA SEMANA 20/05/2019
Gold vs US Dollar - War of Attrition?So Gold's upward thrust appears to have been stalled recently due to the resurgent US Dollar. Every time we think Dollar strength is beginning to wane and #Gold can once again resume it's flight to the stars, something fundamental pops back up and Dollar ascendency once again becomes the norm. A war of attrition and which ultimately will win out?
Well as always much depends on what's happening in the world and in this case, we're once again wondering if Trump and Xi are going to kiss and make up, or if both sides are still as wide apart as ever and more tariffs (which for reference Donald, are NOT paid for by the Chinese, but your own citizens - just saying...) are on their way in March?
Right now we seem to be at a stand-off. If trade talks do break down then around 97.43 on the DXY looks likely imo and possibly even 97.83, which would seriously dent #Gold and pretty much everything else too.
Gold on the other hand needs to hold at 1303 support. If that fails then 1295. If the dam breaks here then 1281 and a lot of frustration. Keeping an eye on #USDJPY, and #DXY
Author's personal holding: Long gold miners (holding)
KEYBTC - LONG - Possible Edge to Edge tradeWe are looking at KEY, with a nice consolidation above the Tenkan in the 12H chart, it looks like its setting itself up for an Edge to Edge trade. This position may last about 2 - 3 weeks for the whole thing to play out, but we will be setting some short term targets, and after that we can just adjust the stop-loss and let the rest of the position ride.
Entries: 0.00000090 - 0.00000094
Target 1: 0.000000103
Target 2: 0.000000115
Stop Loss: 0.00000086
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