TELADAN SETIA - SLOW AND STEADY RISE1. Tenkan above Kijunsen
2. Chikou Span breaking free of price zone
3. Price moving above Tenkan and Kijunsen
4. Buyers' market the past three days.
5. Price has now entered Bearish Kumo Cloud, going up.
Outlook: If the buyer sentiment continues into next week, and Teladan clears 0.65, it should have confirmed a bullish trend.
Ichimokukinkohyo
MATRIX LOOKING GOOD FOR HIGHER HIGHS1. Span A over Span B indicating uptrend
2. Tenkansen above Kijunsen
3. Price above Tenkansen and Kijunsen
4. Price has retraced back to its 100% Fibo level of 2.23
5. Prices above the cloud for four trading days already
6. Buyers in Control.
Possible for Matrix Concepts to breach the 2.32 level (1.618 Fibo level)
BTC/USD updateLet’s have a look at BTC/USD using as many indicators as i can. The purpose of my post as always is not price predication but more education on what these various indicators and squiggly lines are indicating.
As you can see on this Bitstamp 1d chart, BTC is in a Descending Triangle Pattern ‘potentially a Bearish Continuation’ as well as a Falling Wedge Pattern ‘potentially a Bullish Reversal’ on this 1d timeframe.
If we look at the Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C) we can see that BTC is still below the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. BTC is still above its Lower Yellow Schiff Pitchfork Support Line, a close below this level will possibly result in BTC revisiting its previous low of around $39,580, a close below that will take BTC down to its 50% Trend-Based Fib Extension level at around $38,536.
At the moment BTC is fighting to get back above its 38.2% Trend-Based Fib Extension Level.
BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that the Middle, Upper and Lower Bands are all sloping downwards and we have slight expansion of the Lower Band.
BTC is getting really close to to testing its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) as support on this 1d timeframe. If BTC closes a daily candle below the LSMA then that is potentially a sell signal.
Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid Point of the Short-Term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid Point of the Mid-Term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that the momentum at the moment is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 30 Periods ago, this is not good a good sign.
BTC is still well within the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud, note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) resistance level is pointing downwards further confirming nagative momentum. We should expect even more of a drop if the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) starts to point downwards in parallel with the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A).
Let’s take a look at 4 different Momentum Indicators and see what each are telling us on this 1d timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is pointing slightly downwards at the moment indicating slight Negative Momentum. The MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but it is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and note that the Green Histograms are getting lighter and decreasing in size. If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be a sell signal on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 18th Nov 2021.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum is still strong with the -DI (Red Line) at 27.83 and it is still above its +DI (Green Line) which has dropped to 12.05. Note that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 36.88 and it is still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 36.55. Note that the +DI (Green Line) has not been above the -DI (Red Line) since 15th Nov 2021.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that accumulation has actually increased with the CMF (Green Line) rising up from -0.24 on the 5h Jan to 0.01 just above the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still above its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) indicating accumulation strength on this 1d timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) has popped out of the Negative Zone at the moment, note that the CMF has not closed in the Accumulation Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 24th Dec 2021. Look for a successful daily close above the 0.0 Base Line
If we look at the Elder Force Index (EFI) we can clearly see that the Bears are still in control because the EFI Line (Red Line) is still under the 0 Base Line indicating a Negative Elder Force. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) is also starting to point downwards. If the EFI Line (Red Line) crosses back below its 9 Period EMA (Cyan Line) then that may see continued and faster negative momentum for BTC on this 1d timeframe. Note that the EFI Line (Red Line) has not produced a strong Positive Elder Force signal since 15th Nov 2021.
Here is a closer look at this Bitstamp 1d BTC chart:
So what does all this tell me for the medium to longterm, it tells me that for the medium to longterm unless BTC starts CLOSING daily candles ABOVE key levels like the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and the Schiff Pitchfork Median Line on this 1d timeframe then we will see continued downwards momentum at worst or sideways momentum within a range at best. The LSMA is a key indicator to watch on this 1d timeframe, just trace back on the chart to see what may happen when the price successfully closes ABOVE or BELOW the LSMA indicator.
I hope this post helpful with your understanding of what the above indictors are indicating and i hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
XAUUSD Short Term Trade, Long Term View#XAUUSD Analysis
Crystal Clear Market Order Sell + Long Term Sell Zone For Swing Traders. Long Term Sell Zone Will Be Active Once Broken And Retest + Dont Forget To Match With Your Strategy.
Like + Comments Will Be A Big Support.
Disclaimer:
Buying OR Selling is your own decesion. This is just my personal view of the market for educational purposes.
ADA/USD - updateWe have seen a very nice rise with ADAUSD since the 11th Jan with increasing Volume on this Binance 1d chart. The only issue at the moment is that BTC is dragging everything down with it so ADA is having trouble maintaining its rise at the moment.
ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands and this expansion is for positive momentum. Not that ADA is above its Bollinger Bands Upper band so a retracement back under the Upper Band shouldn’t come as a surprise.
Note that ADA is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe.
ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud but note that ADA has risen and is now getting close to the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) resistance Level.
Note that ADA is still above its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line on this 1d timeframe.
ADA is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8x daily candles that i have selected.
ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
Note that Volume has increased and yesterday’s Volume Bar closed above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average and today’s Volume Bar will also close above it.
If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Diveragnce (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back over the Signal Line (Orange Line) generating a Buy Signal on the 13th-14th Jan and note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is very close to crossing back over the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone of the MACD indicator. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 17th Sept 2021 so this will be an important move.
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the +DI (Green Line) is at 25.30 and has crossed back over the -DI (Red Line) which is at 14.28. this means that Positive Momentum is stronger then Negative Momentum on this 1d timeframe. Note that the Trend Strength is slightly weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 18.94 under it s 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 19.85 and under the 20 Threshold. Note that the ADX (Orange Line) is pointing upwards so we may see another massive increased positive rise if the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (White Line) and the 20 Threshold level.
If we look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is in the Overbought Zone of this indicator. The %K (Blue Line) is pointing downwards but it is still above its %D (Orange Line). Be on the lookout for if the %K (Blue Line) stays above the %D (Orange Line) or crosses back below it. Note that because the %K (Blue Line) is in the Overbought Zone that doesn't see that it will drop out of it because the %K (Blue Line) can range sideways in the Overbought Zone for a prolonged period of time.
Here is a wider look at this 1d chart.
With such a rise it is not uncommon for the price to drop back under its Upper Bollinger Band before continuing upwards. If Upwards Momentum continues being strong then we may see ADA walk up along its Upper Band for a few days.
As usual with BTC dropping, BTC is dragging everything down with it and slowing ADA’s rise, so we have to keep an eye on what BTC is doing because if BTC drops under $40K, then that will continue to drag ADA and all other alts down with it.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC on correction waveat the moment BTC are testing at curent support that has been tested before.
the re are posibility the price will retrace to get some momentum to make new low and break New ATH
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku by TheSocialCryptoClubGood weekend,
As usual, here's our weekend analysis for the week's trades by our Ichimoku Analysis Tool (now available Open Source) with its toolset by looking at a glance at the BINANCE:BTCUSDT Daily chart using the “Traditional” settings with theIchimoku Kinko Hyo.
Macro Trend Analysis using Kumo :
Tendency: BTC continues to be in a downtrend now from 44 candles. Kijun Trend Indicator is still indicating a downtrend.
All the medium-term lines confirm the downtrend and some sideways bias (Kijun Flat), although the Kijun is under the Tenkan. In general the behavior of the last weeks is confirmed.
Price: The price is under the red Kumo and Chikou is under the price.
Supports and Resistances in the area :
75000.00 by Fibonacci
67000.00 by Historical Maximum (too much precise)
66001.41 by All-time-high Chikou
51800.00-52600 strong price structure by flat lines
49140 Kijun Weekly
40500-40600 from Ichimoku Flat areas/Chikou Cusps
For the various static price structures it is possible to refer to the chart where the structures identified by the flat moments of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes are plotted, also Chikou price for the Current timeframe.
Moreover, let us remember that the various lines of the Ichimoku serve as price structures: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the downtrend movement, even if some green Japanese Candles.
Fibonacci
CryptoFall, which identifies Fibonacci levels, still shows us a positive sentiment and places the 0 upwards on 75000. Price is under 0.618, which is the lower limit for normal retracement.
Conclusions
BTC continues to be in a downtrend. It has broken the lows of the sideways channel that had been created, closing below the low of December 4 and - in this case - there was no immediate absorption of that level. Because of that the ABC Pattern previously identified was invalidated.
In general, our Kijun Trend Indicator is still short.
It is important to evaluate the closing of the week on the following price structures:
Bullish 44000-45500
Sideways 43200
Bearish 40100
For the Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the Weekly momentum:
- Total Crypto Market Cap: Decreased
- Dominance of BTC: Increased
- Price of BTC: Decreased
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decrease Fast (Dump)
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
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VeChain 1d chart - still on Low VolumeVeChain Update:
VeChain is still in its massive Symmetrical Triangle Pattern as indicated by the converging ascending and descending dotted trend-lines.
At the moment, VeChain is trying to stay above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. VeChain need to close this daily candle above the BB Basis. Note that Lower Band is moving upwards and the Upper band is moving sideways.
VeChain is still below its least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe. If you are waiting to go long using this indicator then wait until a daily candle closes back above the LSMA level.
Note that VeChain is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
At the moment, VeChain is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 6x daily candles that i have selected.
At the moment, VeChain is below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
Note Volume is still very ow on this Binance 1d chart, and note that the last 6x daily Volume Bars have been way below its Volume 20 period MA. We need to see rises on increasing volume for any upwards momentum to be sustained.
I have added some key support and resistance areas indicated by the Black Horizontal Parallel Lines with Orange Shading. I have also added some key support and resistance lines and indicated by the various dashed, solid and dotted lines.
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 19.45. Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.09. Note that the Trend Strength has weakened with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 25.24 and is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.19. For any upwards momentum to be sustained, we need the ADX (Orange Line) to stay above the 20 Threshold (Black Dashed Line) and we 100% need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1d timeframe.
If we take a look at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the %K (Blue Line) is fighting to stay above its %D (Orange Line). The %K (Blue Line) needs to stay above the %D (Orange Line) for continued upwards momentum. If the %K (Blue Line) drops and stays below the %D (Orange Line) then we will see further drops on this 1d timeframe.
Here is a wider look at this 1d chart, you can clearly see the difference in Volume that VeChain has now compared to what VeChain has experienced in the past. At the moment Volume is very, very low.
So what does all this mean to me? I would be very suspicious of any rise happening on really low volume. For me, I wouldn’t get excited by any rise unless its on increasing Volume. As always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing as Bitcoin is still in a H&S Pattern.
Be on the lookout for a successful break above the LSMA indicator level and any successful re-test as support as well as the +DI (Green Line) crossing back above the -DI (Red Line) on the ADX DI indicator on this 1d timeframe.
I hope you’ve found it helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VeChain - 1d chart updateVeChain is still within its Massive Symmetrical Triangle on this 1d timeframe.
VeChain is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are still pinching inwards so that means the Bollinger Bands have a lot of room to expand before becoming over extended.
Note that VeChain is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1d timeframe.
VeChain is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud for this 1d timeframe. VeChain still has a mountain to climb before it can attempt to get back into the Equilibrium Zone and then back into the Bullish Zone.
At the moment, VeChain is above its VPFR POC for the Fixed Range of 11x daily candles that i have selected. A very good sign will be if VeChain closes this daily candle above this VPFR POC.
At the moment, VeChain is above its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range. A very good sign will be if VeChain closes this daily candle above this VPVR POC.
Volume is still low on this Binance Chart, but note that yesterday’s 1d Volume Bar closed above its Volume 20 Period MA.
If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards and note that it is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line). The MACD Line (Blue Line) is still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone, be on the lookout for when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1d timeframe.
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength has dropped slightly with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 43.05 and dropping below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 44.21. Note that the -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 22.52 indicating Negative Momentum has dropped. Note that the +DI (Green Line) is slightly sideways at the moment at 13.49. Be on the lookout for when the +DI (Green Line) crosses back above the -DI (Red Line) as this will indicate that Positive Momentum has become DOMINANT over Negative Momentum on this 1d timeframe.
Here is a wider look at this 1d chart:
I have added 2 areas of interest on this chart indicated by the Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading. The bottom area is our major support area that VeChain must keep closing above. The top area is the next major area of resistance that VeChain must break back above and more importantly CLOSE a daily candle above this area of resistance. Keep an eye out for any successful re-test a support if there is a breakout.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
ADA - another 1d chart updateAt the moment, ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle,Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1d timeframe. ADA needs to close this daily candle above the BB Middle Band Basis. Note that it looks like the Upper and Lower Bands may start pinching inwards if a significant new high or low cannot be achieved.
ADA has found some resistance from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. Note that the LSMA is currently at the Horizontal Resistance Line (Dotted Line) at $1.382.
Note that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
ADA is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 8x 1d candles that i have selected.
At the moment, ADA is fighting to stay above its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR POC) for this charts visible Range. A daily close above this level is crucial for continued upwards momentum.
Note that the last 3 Volume Bars closed above its Volume 20 Period MA.
I have added some key Resistance and Support Areas indicated by the Horizontal Parallel Black Line with Yellow Shading.
If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and is indicating momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) for this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 17th Sept 2021.
Looking at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum at the moment is upwards, we may see more upwards momentum on this 1d timeframe if the %K (Blue Line) successfully crosses back above the %D (Orange Line) and stays above it.
If we take a look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) its looking scary as the +DI (Green Line) is at 18.301 and has crossed back under the -DI (Red Line) which is at 18.401 indicating that Negative Momentum has overtaken Positive Momentum on this 1d timeframe. We 100% need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1d timeframe. Note that the Trend Strength has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) at 24.445 and it is below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 30.164 further indicating the Trend Strength is indeed becoming weak.
At the moment, from my perspective it’s looking like SIDEWAYS within a range at best or DOWNWARDS at worst for ADA. Be on the lookout for any successful close above the BB Middle Basis and successfully re-test as support on this 1d timeframe.
As always, we need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing because BTC is in a H&S Pattern. If BTC drops below and more importantly CLOSES below the Neckline of the H&S Pattern then that will effect all alts including ADA in a negative way.
I hope you have found this ADA analysis post helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
Notes:
LSMA = Black Squiggly line on Chart
Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on Chart
Resistance and Support Areas = Horizontal Parallel Black Lines with Yellow Shading on Chart
Volume Bars = Bars Bottom of Chart
Volume 20 MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars on Chart
Ichimoku Cloud = Red and Green Cloud on Chart
VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Blue Line on Chart
VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Blue Line on Chart
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku by TheSocialCryptoClubGood weekend everyone,
The Crypto Frog uses its Ichimoku Analysis Process with its toolset by looking at a glance at the BINANCE:BTCUSDT Daily chart using the “Crypto Market Settings” for the indicator as 10-30-60-30:
Macro Trend Analysis using Kumo :
Tendency: The downtrend of BTC continues as confirmed by Kumo which changed its trend 23 days ago.
As confirmed by Senkou Span B, Senkou Span A and price we are a sideways moment.
Medium term continues to be downtrend as confirmed by Kijun, Chioku.
Short term there is an uptrend desire given by a daily candle that overcame the Kijun weekly and closed on the Kijun Daily, after overcoming the Tenkan daily. Now there is a further retracement where the Tenkan is acting as a price support.
Price: The price is under the red Kumo and Chikou is under the price.
Supports and Resistances in the area :
75000.00 by Fibonacci
67000.00 by Historical Maximum (too much precise)
66001.41 by All-time-high Chikou
58000.00 strong price structure by flat lines
53800.00-54000 strong price structure by flat lines
48900 Kijun Weekly
48900 Kijun Weekly
45150 from Ichimoku Flat areas/Chikou Cusps
For the various static price structures it is possible to refer to the chart where the structures identified by the flat moments of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes are plotted, also Chikou price for the Current timeframe.
Moreover, let us remember that the various lines of the Ichimoku serve as price structures: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikih-Ashi confirms the uptrend desire with some red candles without shadows on the bottom.
Fibonacci
CryptoFall, which identifies Fibonacci levels, still shows us a positive sentiment and places the 0 upwards on 75000.
The price is testing the 0.5 level, after the bounce on 0.618.
Conclusions
The price is now showing a potential recovery as it is surpassing the Kinjun Weekly and Tenkan Daily, a closure between these levels can help to find the point C we’re looking for. Maximum caution is needed with the confirmation of Daily, Weekly closure and confirmation.
It is important to evaluate the closing of the week on the following price structures:
Bullish 51800-52600
Sideways 49100
Bearish 45100-46100
It will be interesting to consider as a new point C the low of December 4th in the potential rebound using as A the low of September 21st and as B the all-time-high of December 10th. It can form at a good buy signal even if it can be already activated for some traders.
For the Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the Weekly momentum:
- Total Crypto Market Cap: Increased
- Dominance of BTC: Decreased
- Price of BTC: Increased
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Increase
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
BTC - 4hr chart updateBTC is still below its Descending Trend-line. BTC needs to break back above and more importantly CLOSE back above the Descending Trend-line before any long term recovery to the upside becomes concrete.
BTC is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. BTC has dropped back under its Upper Bollinger Band which is expected after a large rise and expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands, so we may see some consolidation sideways within a range before the next big move.
At the moment, BTC is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 4hr timeframe. A candle close above the LSMA is considered a buy signal for this indicator.
At the moment, BTC is in the Equilibrium Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud using the 20,60,120,30 settings. Note that BTC has found some support near its Ichimoku cloud Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) support level.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 8x 4hr candles that i have selected. BTC needs to close a 4hr candle above this level.
Note that BTC is also still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
Note that the last 8x 4hr Volume Bars have been above its Volume 20 Period MA.
If we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back over and above the Signal Line (Orange Line) which is a buy signal. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has also crossed back above the 0.0 Basle Line and is now in the Positive Zone for this 4hr timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is the highest it has been in the Positive Zone since the 1st Dec 2021.
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum has dropped slightly on this 4hr timeframe with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 25.97. Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 13.99. Note that the Trend Strength is still slightly weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 19.65 and still under the 0.0 Threshold. Note however that the ADX (Orange Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) 18.58. The +DI (Green Line) need to stay ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on this 4hr timeframe for any long term recovery to the upside to last.
If BTC can eventually make it back above and more importantly CLOSE back above the Descending Trend-line then BTC will possibly rise to about $53,360 where it will find its next major resistance. The next major resistance after that will be the VPVR POC around $57,175. If BTC cannot close back above the Descending Trend-line then BTC will eventually make its way to its major support level between $45,820 - $45,409. If that Major Support Area fails then BTC will drop back to around $41,900. If BTC does turn downwards, then the LSMA and the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis will be crucial support levels on this 4hr timeframe.
Here is a closer look at this 4hr chart.
I hope this post is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Notes:
LSMA = Black Squiggly Line on chart
Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart
Ichimoku Cloud = Green and Red Cloud pattern on chart
VPVR POC = Long Horizontal Red Dotted Lines on chart
VPFR POC = Short Horizontal Red Dotted Lines on chart
Descending Trend-line = Descending Black Line on chart
Resistance and Support Lines = Descending and Ascending Dotted Lines on chart
Major Support Area = Bottom Horizontal Parallel Lines with Yellow Shading on chart
Possible Next Resistance Area = Top Horizontal Parallel Lines with Yellow Shading on chart
ADA - quick 1d chart updateADA is trying to close a daily candle back above its Falling Wedge Pattern. If ADA manages to close today's candle above the Falling Wedge Pattern then its next resistance will be found at around the $1.415 - $1.451 resistance area.
ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe and has successfully re-tested it as support. Note that the Upper and lower bands have a lot of room to expand before becoming over extended on this 1d timeframe.
Note that ADA is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timframe.
Note that ADA is still deep in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and has a long way to go before it attempts to enter the Equilibrium Zone and then back into the Bullish Zone on this 1d timeframe.
Note that ADA is above its VPFR POC for the fixed range of 7x Daily Candles that i have selected.
Note that ADA still has a long way to go before it closes above its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range.
Note that Volume is still low on this Binance Chart but yesterdays Volume Bar did close slightly above its Volume 20 Period MA.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and note that it has been above the Signal Line (Orange Line) since the 15th Dec. The MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line so be on the when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1d timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone sine 17th Sept 2021 on this 1d timeframe.
Be on the lookout for any successful re-test as support of the Upper Descending Trend-line of the Falling Wedge Pattern.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
💡AUDCHF Will it be ready for downtrend ?We are in a downward channel that we have now reached the top of the channel and we expect more decline.It seems that with the symmetrical triangle broken, we should see the Australian dollar down in the coming days. The area we are in is a very low risk area for sell. You can use the lower trigger time frame to enter.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad❤️🌹
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku by TheSocialCryptoClubGood weekend everyone,
The Crypto Frog uses its Ichimoku Analysis Process with its toolset by looking at a glance at the BINANCE:BTCUSDT Daily chart using the “Crypto Market Settings” for the indicator as 10-30-60-30:
Macro Trend Analysis using Kumo :
Tendency: The downtrend of BTC continues as confirmed by Kumo which changed its trend 23 days ago.
Despite everything mid-long term the daily is sideways as indicated by the Senkou Span B and the Senkou Span A and the Kijun.
The medium and short term trend is instead in downtrend (apart from some green candles) and is recovering on the Kijun Weekly and the Tenkan Daily.
Price: The price is under the red Kumo and Chikou is under the price.
Supports and Resistances in the area :
75000.00 by Fibonacci
67000.00 by Historical Maximum (too much precise)
66001.41 by All-time-high Chikou
58000.00 strong price structure by flat lines
53800.00-54000 strong price structure by flat lines
48900 Kijun Weekly
48900 Kijun Weekly
45150 from Ichimoku Flat areas/Chikou Cusps
For the various static price structures it is possible to refer to the chart where the structures identified by the flat moments of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes are plotted, also Chikou price for the Current timeframe.
Moreover, let us remember that the various lines of the Ichimoku serve as price structures: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikih-Ashi confirms that Tenkan is acting as a price structure and it is lagging about the potential uptrend, so this is still weak.
Fibonacci
CryptoFall, which identifies Fibonacci levels, still shows us a positive sentiment and places the 0 upwards on 75000.
The price is testing the 0.5 level, after the bounce on 0.618.
Conclusions
The price is now showing a potential recovery as it is surpassing the Kinjun Weekly and Tenkan Daily, a closure between these levels can help to find the point C we’re looking for. Maximum caution is needed with the confirmation of Daily, Weekly closure and confirmation.
It is important to evaluate the closing of the week on the following price structures:
Bullish 48900
Bearish 45100
It will be interesting to consider as a new point C the low of December 4th in the potential rebound using as A the low of September 21st and as B the all-time-high of December 10th.
For the Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the Weekly momentum:
- Total Crypto Market Cap: Decreased
- Dominance of BTC: Decreased
- Price of BTC: Decreased
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Stable
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