ICP → Pullback to Support Zone Over? Time to Long? Almost!ICP ran three pushes up in an ascending wedge reaching $16.33, followed by a pullback with three pushes down and a strong bull signal. Is it time to long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
A long entry could be justified here. Here's what we have in favor of the long bias; Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at $16.33, followed by three pushes down in a micro-bear channel with strong bull signal bars, and we have a good follow-through bars leading up to the price action being just above the Daily 30EMA.
What would give us maximum justification is a re-test of the Daily 30EMA as support to add probability to our long. However, I do not believe this is required to justify a long entry.
I believe we need to be conservative longing at this stage in the crypto market, which is why I only advocate for a 1:1 scalp at a lower-than-maximum position size allowed for your trading strategy. I think Bitcoin and Ethereum have a larger pullback on the horizon, but do believe the market will come up a bit before it goes down.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $12.32
🟥 Stop Loss: $9.15
✅ Take Profit: $15.50
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into an ascending wedge.
2. Micro Bear Channel forms with three pushes down.
3. Strong bull signal bars on each push down.
4. Not required, but suggested to wait for re-test of Daily 30EMA as support.
5. RSI at 57.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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Icpprice
ICP - Measured Move Complete! Pullback to $8.23 then $4.80!?ICP executed a beautiful measured move in three legs; a breakout from the first to the second leg with an ascending triangle(per my last analysis), broke resistance, and landed on the measured move target. We're now witnessing a pullback but is that where the drop will end?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We need to wait and see what happens to the price after it interacts with what was previous resistance, around the $8.23 price area. If we get strong support it's reasonable to consider a long scalp. I wouldn't plan a swing trade on this timeframe since the price action has been running hot; three pushes up with a 320% increase in price from bottom to top, RSI went up to 91 and is still at 68.00, now below the moving average, etc.
These data do not support longing, at least on this timeframe. We also do not want to jump into a short right away, the strong sell signal and confirmation candles need to close before we can make such a move. Look for a break below the Resistance Zone and a re-test of the level that fails. A strong bear bar closing on its low at the $7.95 area is enough justification to enter a short. It's reasonable to take 1:1 Risk/Reward level profits around $7.20 and swing the rest to 1:3 or until you see a buy signal.
Until we see the bear confirmation, we ought to remain on the sidelines or zoom into the 5m or 15m timeframes.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $7.95
🟥 Stop Loss: $8.65
✅ Take Profit: $6.55
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout of Ascending Triangle, Measured Move Up!
2. Measured Move Target Hit, Pullback to Resistance Zone.
3. Watch for Support at Resistance Level $8.23.
4. RSI at 68.00 below Moving Average, Supports Pullback to Resistance Zone.
5. Watch Bitcoin near the $46,000 level, looking for a Trend Change.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Bear flags in the proper context, provide over a 60% probability that a trend will continue. This provides justification to enter a short trade.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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