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Retail is 86% Long on GBPCHF… But Smart Money Is Setting a Trap📊 1. RETAIL SENTIMENT Long Positions: 86% – Average Entry: 1.1196 Short Positions: 14% – Average Entry: 1.0999 Current Price: 1.1010 Analysis: Retail positioning is heavily skewed towards longs, with the average long entry significantly above the current market price. This creates vulnerability to downside pressure through stop-loss hunting or a bearish squeeze. Such extreme retail bias often acts as a contrarian signal: smart money may continue pushing the price lower to flush out retail traders before any meaningful reversal occurs. 🧾 2. COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS – COT REPORT (June 10, 2025) 🔹 British Pound (GBP) Non-Commercials (Speculators): Net Long increasing by +7.4K → now at +51.6K Commercials (Hedgers): Net Short decreasing by -13.9K → now at -60.5K Total Open Interest: Decreased by -19K Interpretation: Speculators are maintaining strong long exposure on GBP, while commercials are covering some shorts—potentially signaling a short-term pause in bullish momentum. However, the drop in overall open interest suggests possible consolidation or short-term uncertainty. 🔹 Swiss Franc (CHF) Non-Commercials: Net Shorts reduced by -2.7K Commercials: Net Longs increased by +2.5K Total Open Interest: Increased by +5.6K Interpretation: The CHF is gaining strength. Commercial participants are increasing their long exposure while speculators reduce their shorts—this positive divergence supports a bullish outlook on CHF, especially against retail-heavy long pairs like GBP. 📈 3. CHF SEASONALITY – JUNE Average CHF Performance in June: 20-Year Avg: +0.0099 15-Year Avg: +0.0138 10-Year Avg: +0.0099 5-Year Avg: +0.0039 Analysis: Historically, June is a seasonally strong month for the Swiss Franc. This seasonal bias aligns with current macro conditions, reinforcing the bullish case for CHF. 📊 4. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Daily Chart) Pattern: Descending channel with a recent false breakdown and re-entry Key Support Zone: 1.0980–1.1000 → tested and defended with a bullish wick Target Resistance: 1.1170–1.1200 → prior retail cluster, supply zone, and average long entry Scenario: A confirmed breakout of the channel could trigger a short squeeze toward 1.1170–1.1200 📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK The current GBP/CHF setup is technically and sentimentally delicate. The price sits on a major daily demand zone, while sentiment and macro flows suggest downside pressure remains in play—but also allow room for a potential contrarian rally (short squeeze). 👉 Action Plan: Wait for intraday/daily confirmation: Go long above 1.1045 (breakout confirmation) → target 1.1170 Go short below 1.0980 (bearish continuation) → target 1.0860
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
ETHUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2,545.9 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2,529.4..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
They called it consolidation. I called it accumulation.Price was coiled in a defined OB + FVG combo — building pressure while the rest of the market slept. The moment we swept the low into the Order Block, the trade became personal. This wasn’t noise — it was alignment. Why I entered: Daily FVG + OB overlap — textbook Smart Money entry zone Volume spike at the OB low, signaling smart accumulation Structural BOS confirmation on intraday after sweep What followed was an impulsive push through inefficiencies, climbing level by level toward pre-defined liquidity pools. Targets: TP1: 2.6464 — rebalancing zone TP2: 3.00 — clean inefficiency top TP3: 3.39 — liquidity magnet Trade thesis: Entry was set between 2.05–2.10, stop placed with precision below the OB. No guessing. Just calculated structure + narrative. I don’t chase moves. I let price come to my zone. And when it does, I strike with full conviction. Final words: “Your edge doesn’t scream. It sits quietly in imbalance — waiting.”
Long
by SmartFlowst
The FVG told the story. The chart just caught upThis wasn’t a pump. It was a re-delivery. Price tapped into the daily Fair Value Gap, respected the zone, and printed structure off the low. The retracement didn’t break us — it loaded us. The logic: The move began from an untouched Daily FVG — clean displacement, low retest, and now price is working its way through old inefficiencies. There’s no breakout here. Just one thing: delivery. TP: 0.0163 — high timeframe imbalance resolution and prior volume pivot The setup didn’t beg. It whispered. And now it’s unfolding, with confluence from every angle — market structure, volume, and intention. Execution: Entry: 0.0109–0.0113 (already in the zone) SL: Below 0.0092 TP: 0.0163 Let others laugh at frogs. I’m here to extract liquidity from their disbelief. Final thought: “The move doesn’t care if you believe in it. It just needs a reason to unfold.”
Long
by SmartFlowst
NATGAS Growth Ahead! Buy! Hello,Traders! NATGAS made a retest of The horizontal support level Of 3.450$ then established A double bottom pattern And a we are already Seeing some rebound so We are locally bullish biased And we will be expecting a Further bullish move up On Monday Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by TopTradingSignals
1
$BANANOUSDT New ATH possible, nay, plausible?? An extreme local inverse head and shoulders formation can be observed in the area circled in white. trading just under local VWAP, great entry for anyone lacking potassium. HL double bottom observable on the daily chart. if recent trends continue to develop, a strong surge past $0.00162477 could lead to a increase in momentum. $0.00210914 would be the next resistance, although weaker than the one currently testing. if price continues to develop past $0.00236478, ill be looking for TP1 at $0.00274825, another rough patch through til $0.00339408 follows, about 50% thru that zone would be a good TP2 and 100% thru the zone would be my TP3. the last major resistance would be at $0.00385154 (TP4). after that, a new ATH for COINEX:BANANOUSDT becomes an increasing plausibility. i am long potassium at $0.00143801 ANYONE HAVE MUSCLE CRAMPS?
Long
by NightmanDaymansAntagonist
2
Smart Money Just Flipped Bearish on USD/CAD. Are You Still Long?🧠 1. COT Context & Institutional Flows 🇨🇦 CAD COT Report (CME) – June 10, 2025 Non-Commercials (speculators): net short 93,143 contracts (19,651 long vs. 112,794 short), with a short reduction of -14,319 → early bearish unwinding. Commercials: net long 91,207 contracts (223,285 long vs. 132,078 short), with strong accumulation (+27,999 longs). 🔄 Net open interest change: +18,436 → renewed institutional interest on the long CAD side. 🇺🇸 USD Index COT Report (ICE) – June 10, 2025 Non-Commercials: net long 1,402 contracts (17,027 long vs. 15,625 short), with a +1,279 increase in longs → modest USD support. Commercials remain net short -35 contracts, no clear shift. 🔄 Total open interest +2,652 → mild bullish interest in USD. 📌 Implication: Strong institutional support for CAD, USD mildly supported. Net positioning favors downside pressure on USD/CAD. 💹 2. Technical Analysis & Price Action Primary trend: clearly bearish from the 1.38 zone. Current price: 1.3552, testing a macro demand zone (1.3470–1.3540). Daily RSI remains deeply oversold → possible technical bounce, but no reversal structure confirmed. Recent candles show lower highs and lower lows, with no bullish momentum. 📌 Implication: The bearish trend remains in control. A technical rebound is possible, but bias stays short as long as price trades below 1.3640. 📈 3. Retail Sentiment 77% of retail traders are long USD/CAD, with an average entry at 1.3646. Only 23% are short, positioned better at 1.3790. 📌 Implication: Retail is heavily long → contrarian bearish signal confirmed. 📊 4. Seasonality June is historically weak for USD/CAD: 5Y Avg: -0.0118 2Y Avg: -0.0081 The June seasonal curve shows a stronger downside acceleration into the second half of the month. 📌 Implication: Seasonality adds downward pressure into month-end.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16075 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15775..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EurUsd Daily Profile and expectation for New YorkMy Monday Protocol normally is to sit on my hands and see how Monday prints and trade from Tuesday onwards. With FOMC coming Wednesday, I'm allowed to deviate from this because Monday can be trending to "get somewhere in a hurry", trap Traders and go the other way during FOMC. When I now look at the Market I see that London kept Asia Lows in tact and expanded higher leaving Failure Swings. Now consolidating which is normally a continuation signature... But then it should first sweep the consolidation Low and make a Reversal Signature. When we sweep or run the Consolidation High first, then the Long idea is not valid anymore. Im watching the FVG below and see how we trade there and then decide if a Long is in play... I don't want to lose the Equilibruim Level of London Session otherwise the Failure Swings below the Market are the target. Bottom Line, no hard Bias because its Monday. Favoring the Bullish side with FOMC on the Agenda this week, but not in a hurry to trade. Hope you appreciate my content 👍 Happy Hunting, Stay Safe! Warm Regards, Mariinus
Long
by Mariinus
AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT| ✅AUD_JPY made a retest of The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900 Level of 106.083 and as you Can see the pair is already Making a local pullback from The level which sends a clear Bearish signal to us therefore We will be expecting a Further bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by ProSignalsFx
1
AUD-CHF Pullback Ahead! Sell! Hello,Traders! AUD-CHF made a retest Of the strong wide horizontal Resistance around 0.5289 And we are already seeing a Local pullback so we are Locally bearish biased and We will be expecting a Further bearish move down On Monday Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1