What Are the Inner Circle Trading Concepts? What Are the Inner Circle Trading Concepts?
Inner Circle Trading (ICT) offers a sophisticated lens through which traders can view and interpret market movements, providing traders with insights that go beyond conventional technical analysis. This article explores key ICT concepts, aiming to equip traders with a thorough understanding of how these insights can be applied to enhance their trading decisions.
Introduction to the Inner Circle Trading Methodology
Inner Circle Trading (ICT) methodology is a sophisticated approach to financial markets that zeroes in on the behaviours of large institutional traders. Unlike conventional trading methods, ICT is not merely about recognising patterns in price movements but involves understanding the intentions behind those movements. It is part of the broader Smart Money Concept (SMC), which analyses how major players influence the market.
Key Inner Circle Trading Concepts
Within the ICT methodology, there are many concepts to learn. Below, we’ve explained the most fundamental ideas central to ICT trading.
Structure
Understanding the structure of a market is fundamental to effectively employing the ICT methodology. In the context of ICT, market structure is defined by the identification of trends through specific patterns of highs and lows.
Market Structure
A market trend is typically characterised by a series of higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend. This sequential pattern provides a visual representation of market sentiment and momentum.
Importantly, market trends are fractal, replicating similar patterns at different scales or timeframes. For example, what appears as a bearish trend on a short timeframe might merely be a corrective phase within a larger bullish trend. By understanding this fractal nature, traders can better align their strategies with the prevailing trend at different trading intervals.
Break of Structure (BOS)
A Break of Structure occurs when there is a clear deviation from these established patterns of highs and lows. In an uptrend, a BOS is signalled by prices exceeding a previous high without falling below the most recent higher low, confirming the strength and continuation of the uptrend.
Conversely, in a downtrend, a BOS is indicated when prices drop below a previous low without breaching the prior lower high, signifying that the downtrend remains strong. Identifying a BOS gives traders valuable clues about the continuation of the current market direction.
Change of Character (CHoCH)
The Change of Character in a market happens when there is a noticeable alteration in the behaviour of price movements, suggesting a potential reversal of a given trend. This might be seen in an uptrend where the price fails to reach a new high and then breaks below a recent higher low, indicating that the buying momentum is waning and a bearish reversal is possible.
Identifying a CHoCH helps traders recognise when the market momentum is shifting, which is critical for adjusting positions to capitalise on or protect against a new trend.
Market Structure Shift (MSS)
A Market Structure Shift is a significant change in the market that can disrupt the existing trend. This specific type of CHoCH is typically marked by a price moving sharply (a displacement) through a key structural level, such as a higher low in an uptrend or a lower high in a downtrend.
These shifts can signal a profound change in market dynamics, with the sharp move often preceding a new sustained trend. Recognising an MSS allows traders to reevaluate their current bias and adapt to a new trend, given its clear signal.
Order Blocks
Order blocks are a central component of ICT trading, providing crucial insights into potential areas where the price may react strongly due to significant buy or sell interests from large market participants.
Regular Order Blocks
A regular order block is an area on the price chart representing a concentration of buying (demand zone) or selling (supply zone) activity.
In an uptrend, a bullish order block is identified during a downward price movement and marks the last area of selling before a substantial upward price movement occurs. Conversely, a bearish order block forms in an uptrend where the last buying action appears before a significant downward price shift.
In the ICT trading strategy, order blocks are seen as reversal areas. So, if the price revisits a bullish order block following a BOS higher, it’s assumed that the block will hold and prompt a reversal that produces a new higher high.
Breaker Blocks
Breaker blocks play a crucial role in identifying trend reversals. They are typically formed when the price makes a BOS before reversing and breaking beyond an order block that should hold if the established market structure is to be maintained. This formation indicates that liquidity has been taken.
For instance, in an uptrend, if the price creates a new high but then reverses below the previous higher low, the bullish order block above the low becomes a breaker block. A breaker block can be an area that prompts a reversal as the new trend unfolds; it’s a similar concept to support becoming resistance and vice versa.
Mitigation Blocks
Mitigation blocks are similar to breaker blocks, except they occur after a failure swing, where the price attempts but fails to surpass a previous peak in an uptrend or a previous trough in a downtrend. This pattern indicates a loss of momentum and potential reversal as the price fails to sustain its previous direction.
For example, in an uptrend, if the price makes a lower high and then breaks the structure by dropping below the previous low, the order block formed at the previous low becomes a mitigation block. These blocks are critical for traders because they’re also expected to produce a reversal if a new trend has been set in motion.
Liquidity
Liquidity refers to areas on the price chart with a high concentration of trading activity, typically marked by stop orders from retail traders.
Buy- and Sell-Side Liquidity
Buy-side liquidity is found where there is a likely accumulation of short-selling traders' stop orders, typically above recent highs. Conversely, sell-side liquidity is located below recent lows, where bullish traders' stop orders accumulate. When prices touch these areas, activating stop orders can cause a reversal, presenting a potential level of support or resistance.
Liquidity Grabs
A liquidity grab occurs when the price quickly spikes into these high-density order areas, triggering stops and then reversing direction. In ICT theory, this action is often orchestrated by larger players aiming to capitalise on the flurry of orders to execute their large-volume trades with minimal slippage. It's a strategic move that temporarily shifts price momentum, usually just long enough to trigger the stops before the market direction reverses.
Inducement
An inducement is a specific type of liquidity grab that triggers stops and entices other traders to enter the market. It often appears as a peak or trough, typically into an area of liquidity, in a minor counter-trend within the larger market trend. Inducements are designed by smart money to create an illusion of a trend change, prompting an influx of retail trading in the wrong direction. Once the retail traders have committed, the price swiftly reverses, aligning back with the original major trend.
Trending Movements
In the Inner Circle Trading methodology, two specific types of sharp trending movements signal significant shifts in market dynamics: fair value gaps and displacements.
Fair Value Gaps
A fair value gap (FVG) occurs when there is a noticeable absence of trading within a price range, typically represented by a swift and substantial price move without retracement. This gap often forms between the wicks of two adjacent candles where no trading has occurred, signifying a strong directional push.
Fair value gaps are important because they indicate areas on the chart where the price may return to "fill" the gap, usually before meeting an order block, offering potential trading opportunities as the market seeks to establish equilibrium.
Displacements
Displacements, also known as liquidity voids, are characterised by sudden, forceful price movements occurring between two chart levels and lacking the typical gradual trading activity observed in between. They are essentially amplified and more substantial versions of fair value gaps, often spanning multiple candles and FVGs, signalling a heightened imbalance between buy and sell orders.
Other Components
Beyond these ICT concepts, there are a few other niche components.
Kill Zones
Kill Zones refer to specific timeframes during the trading day when market activity significantly increases due to the opening or closing of major financial centres. These periods are crucial for traders as they often set the tone for price movements based on the increased volume and volatility:
Optimal Trade Entry
An optimal trade entry (OTE) is a type of Inner Circle trading strategy, found using Fibonacci retracement levels. After an inducement that prompts a displacement (leaving behind an FVG), traders use the Fibonacci retracement tool to pinpoint entry areas.
The first point is set at the major high or low that prompts the displacement, while the second point is set at the next significant swing high or low that forms. In a bearish movement, for example, the initial point is set at the swing high before the displacement and the subsequent point at the new swing low. Traders often look to the 61.8% to 78.6% retracement level for entries.
Balanced Price Range
A balanced price range is observed when two opposing displacements create FVGs in a short timeframe, indicating a broad zone of price consolidation. During this period, prices typically test both extremes, attempting to fill the gaps. This scenario offers traders potential zones for trend reversals as the price seeks to establish a new equilibrium, as well as key levels to watch for a breakout.
The Bottom Line
Understanding ICT concepts gives traders the tools to decode complex market signals and align their strategies with the influential trends shaped by the largest market participants. For those looking to apply these sophisticated trading techniques practically, opening an FXOpen account can be a great step towards engaging with the markets through a robust platform designed to support advanced trading strategies.
FAQs
What Are ICT Concepts in Trading?
ICT (Inner Circle Trading) concepts encompass a series of advanced trading principles that focus on replicating the strategies of large institutional players. These concepts include liquidity zones, order blocks, market structure shifts, and optimal trade entries, all aimed at understanding and anticipating significant market movements.
What Is ICT in Trading?
ICT in trading refers to the Inner Circle Trading methodology, a strategy developed to align smaller traders’ actions with those of more influential market participants. It utilises specific market phenomena, such as order blocks and liquidity patterns, to analyse price movements and improve trading outcomes.
What Is ICT Trading?
ICT trading is the application of concepts that seek to identify patterns and structures that indicate potential price changes driven by institutional activities, aiming to capitalise on these movements.
What Is ICT Strategy?
An ICT strategy combines market analysis techniques to identify where significant market players are likely to influence prices. This includes analysing price levels where large volumes of buy or sell orders are anticipated to occur and identifying key times when market moves are most likely.
Is ICT Better Than SMC?
Comparing ICT and SMC (Smart Money Concept) is challenging as ICT is essentially a subset of SMC. While SMC provides a broader overview of how institutional money influences the markets, ICT offers more specific techniques and terms like inducements and displacements. Whether one is better depends on the trader’s specific needs and alignment with these methodologies’ intricacies.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Ict
GBP_CHF LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_CHF is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
So we can enter a long trade with
The TP of 1.1410 and SL of 1.1350
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD-CHF Local Short Form Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in a
Kind of range consolidating
For a next big move but
Right now we can use the
Moment to trade the local
Range and to short the pair
From the horizontal resistance
Of 0.8855
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NAS still charging for bullish targets but currently retracingWe are looking at a retest of break points on the session. Going into this session we will monitor what happens at the previously broken levels.
We do have bearish imbalances in LTFs that have yielded neat entry on shorts. Stay sharp in this range.
Share with someone in need on true levels 🔑
3.25.25 Market UpdateTradovate is not working for me, so I cannot trade. Times like this shows how sometimes having different brokers is beneficial.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
TRADE ASSESSMENT: March 23 EuroUSD - LOSSwhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance. that's your narrative. then look for context and entry. (POC+OTE+FVG)
when price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalancewhen price has made a sweep and is making higher highs on the 15min, look for 1hr FVGs to rebalance
Weekly Market Analysis - 22nd Mar 2025Ok, here we go with another weekly market analysis!
So, what I'm feeling from my charting is that we may get a lower USD, but not before a little retracement first, particularly an iFVG on the 2W timeframe. After that, lower prices. This coincides with some of my analysis of other pairs, but not all of them. Whilst everything is not aligned yet, my instincts are usually pretty good. But, this not mean I am jumping into any trades yet. I have my own techniques for getting in and out of trades.
Check out the video and see if your own analysis flows with mine!
Analyzed pairs: DXY, EURUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, USDJPY, OIL, XPD, XPT, XAU, BTC.
Happy trading!
- R2F Trading
Looking for shorts on EUR/USD on pullback from previous EU seshLooking for a retrace, new liq. sweep that will make an nice order block then enter on BOS confirmation. These confluences will give a solid short position with a nice 2R with a good stop buffer and previous session highs. This draw down is result of bad EU news and the US not cutting the interest rates just yet leading to a strong dollar. These shorts will probably not take out the full move on EUR/USD but this pull back and short is highly likely to play out with the end of the week near. Comment below what you think.
#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #Analysis #Eddy#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #Analysis #Eddy
Everything is clear on the chart, I didn't have enough time to explain further. From the supply area, with or without the area hunt, it can fall to the demand area. Then you can invest in your style by getting the necessary confirmations when the high-time divergence is completed, which is probably the third collision on the lines marked in the demand area.
This analysis is only to show important areas.
It is never too late to buy and invest. Do not rush and do not be fooled by the positive movements and reactions of the market. Wait for the price to reach its valuable areas. In the analysis of the Atom currency, as you can see, there is a strong demand area that is intact. Be patient until the price falls from the decision or extreme flips to the green area of the important demand area. Be sure to check this currency in your monthly time frame and draw the areas. Then refer to the weekly, daily and four-hour time frames and draw the lower time areas and look for confirmation for volatility.
Do not rush to invest and buy spot and let the price reach the support area.
Important areas are drawn and labeled so you can make informed decisions.
Good luck.
SP500 (E-mini Futures) - Decision TimeBigger Picture SP500 Futures Update - Decision Time
- Powell (FED) ruled out a recession in todays FOMC Press Conference (Bullish)
- Powell announced drastically slow down QT beginning next month (Extremely bullish for risk assets)
- The Asian and European stock market indices are still showing strength forming new ATHs week by week.
USD/JPY Direction 151 After the BoJ📊 Market Context
As of March 18, 2025, the USD/JPY exchange rate stands around 149.38, reaching its highest level since March 5. This movement is driven by expectations regarding upcoming monetary policy decisions from both the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the U.S. Federal Reserve.
🔍 Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of USD/JPY highlights the following key points:
Current Trend: USD/JPY shows a moderate recovery, with a 0.49% increase on March 17.
Key Resistance: The area between 150.00 and 151.00 represents a significant resistance level. A decisive breakout above this zone could pave the way for further gains.
Important Supports: Support levels are found at 148.00 and 146.50. A drop below these levels could indicate a deeper correction.
Technical Indicators: Moving averages and key oscillators suggest a short-term bullish trend.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
Several fundamental factors are influencing the USD/JPY exchange rate:
BoJ Decision: The Bank of Japan recently raised its key interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5%, citing higher wages and rising inflation. However, for today's meeting, the BoJ is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the impact of global trade tensions on the Japanese economy.
U.S. Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates stable in the upcoming meeting, with the Fed Funds rate projected to remain between 4.25% and 4.5%.
Trade Tensions: U.S. trade policies under the Trump administration are creating economic uncertainties, influencing central bank decisions and currency markets.
🎯 Conclusion
USD/JPY is currently in a consolidation phase near recent highs. If the BoJ maintains an accommodative monetary policy and the Fed keeps rates stable, the dollar could continue strengthening against the yen, targeting the key resistance level of 151.00. However, uncertainties related to trade tensions and future central bank actions require close monitoring by investors.
Hold ( Long Term )Hello folks! I have already identified potential long-term buying zones. However, most of these zones are based on smaller time frames, which could make them invalid. Additionally, there are numerous imbalances that the price is likely to move toward. I assume that the FOMC events will likely drive the price to these areas before reaching a new all-time high.
Please make sure to confirm your trades before entering the market! Have fun trading, and always practice proper money management.
MNQ 9:30 Open Trade Idea 💡 Trade Idea shown live here, beautiful setup that was respected very nicely during the 9:30 open.
The area we pointed out on the previous video:
Where I stated price was likely trading up to fill in that FVG before dropping lower was respected perfectly. I was rendering the video above when it happened. Hence, why you see me enter late here.
I could have been more patient and waited to enter at the 50% of the bearish fvg level. But regardless, I was able to profit $31 and make back the $30 I was in drawdown for. Had this been NQ we would've made over $695 on this one trade.
This is teaching us discernment in our decision making and how to trust our bias and trade ideas.
We caught over 130 points on this one MNQ trade and the potential was over 400 points as shown on this video.
We were targeting the bullish 1h fvg and sellside liquidity (equal lows)
If you guys found this insightful give it a like and comment down below. I would also love to know if any of you guys would like me to share any specific ideas or go over anything in particular. Let me know!
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
GBPAUD 4HR Trade OutlookGBPAUD made a strong bearish move yesterday and formed a 4HR imbalance, we are now watching how price reacts to that 4HR imbalance created. If it respects it, we'll dial down to a lower timeframe and look for Sells, if it breaks it, we can look for Buy Setups. Remember, Patience is your edge. PEPPERSTONE:GBPAUD
EUR/USD Direction 1.10 - Technical and Fundamental Analysis📊 Market Context
As of March 18, 2025, EUR/USD is in a strong bullish expansion phase, with the price testing significant resistance levels. The US dollar remains solid, but market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve and the ECB, with expectations of more accommodative monetary policies in the coming months.
🔍 Technical Analysis
The chart analysis reveals a bullish trend with the following key points:
Main Resistance: 1.0912 - 1.10 area (potential reversal zone highlighted in red on the chart).
Key Supports: 1.0822 (former resistance now acting as support), 1.0360, and 1.0283 (deeper support levels highlighted in yellow).
Market Structure: The price has tested the monthly resistance around 1.0912 and entered a potential reversal zone where significant price reactions are expected.
Bullish Momentum: The trend shows strong bullish candles, indicating a possible continuation toward 1.10.
📌 Possible Scenario: If EUR/USD decisively breaks 1.0912 and closes above 1.10, there could be room for a further rally toward 1.12.
📌 Alternative Scenario: A rejection at resistance and a close below 1.0822 could trigger a bearish correction toward 1.0360.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
US Data: Consumer confidence in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since November 2022, increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by June.
Monetary Policy: The ECB is maintaining a more neutral stance, while the Fed may be forced to cut rates faster to support the economy.
Capital Flow: The market is anticipating US dollar weakness due to the outlook for rate cuts, supporting a possible euro appreciation.
🎯 Conclusion
Main Bias: Bullish above 1.0822, targeting 1.10 and beyond.
Trend Invalidation: Below 1.0360, the bullish trend would weaken.
EUR/USD could consolidate in this area before breaking above 1.10. The future direction will depend on upcoming central bank statements and macroeconomic data.
MNQ 12:00PM Trade EntryThis is one of the trades we took today which was very good trade, however due to me targetting the buyside liquidity all the way at 19,788.75 caused me to not realize my profits at the 16:00 mark. I was full of emotions today and I believe its just old patterns that I am working on breaking.
We had a great trading week last week, so we must remain level headed and focused. I can see here that my problem today was just not taking profits due to wanting to hold for bigger trades.
This is something we must break from and fix in our trading. When I am more focused on quick trades targeting near term liquidity pools it is when I am most confident. But I realize as I start getting better trades I tend to try to hold on to them more, specially after last week where we caught over 800+ points.
We were able to catch over 1,000+ points today, the sad part is... I was at work and did not enter on my funded challenge, I entered it on paper demo just to see the results of the trade and let me tell you, it broke my heart to not have entered because it FLEW to my TP.
This is part of the journey though, and I realize I must get a hold of these emotions and anxiety to get into trades and make money.
3/17/2025 - 12:01pm -12:14pm (13 minute trade)
3:00 was our entry
16:00 Should have been our TP.
(We should've realized that the next 1h candle that opened at 1pm would have a manipulation lower)
We could've utilized the IFVG once again at 12:46pm for the entry for the perfect trade idea. This was around the area where I entered on my DEMO.
- We used the 1H FVG which was used as support near its 50%
- Volume Imbalance from 11:33am -11:34am candles. It was used as support
- We also respected the Bearish FVG (turned IFVG) from the 11:33am candle.
We can also see that we create a inverse head and shoulders pattern 2 times near this area.
The first one we caught the trade, just failed to take TP at 16:00 mark at the 19,741.50 high.
The second Inverse head and shoulders pattern occurred 1:03-1:05pm. This was also a slight tap above the 1h bullish fvg which was the final piece needed to take price higher to fill in the 4h SIBI from the March 10, 2025 6:00am candle.
We ended up taking a total loss of $214 on our Top step account today after all trades.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
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Nasdaq 100 (NQ1!) - Key Levels and Market Outlook 📌 Market Structure
🔹 Key Support Zone (~19,170 USD)
The price recently bounced off this level, which has acted as a significant support area.
The highlighted gray-blue zone represents a demand area where buyers stepped in.
🔹 Intermediate Resistance (~19,800 - 20,200 USD)
The price is currently testing this zone, which was previously a key breakdown area.
A strong rejection here could push the index back towards the 19,170 USD support.
🔹 Major Supply Zone (~21,500 - 22,400 USD)
The previous peak around 22,400 USD saw strong selling pressure, leading to a sharp drop.
The red-shaded area represents a heavy supply zone where sellers were dominant.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A rejection at 19,800 - 20,200 USD could lead to another retest of 19,170 USD.
A break below 19,170 USD would expose the index to further downside, possibly towards 18,500 - 18,200 USD.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A break and close above 19,800 - 20,200 USD could trigger a move towards 21,000 - 21,500 USD.
A sustained breakout above 22,400 USD would invalidate the bearish structure and signal a continuation of the uptrend.
🔎 Conclusion:
The Nasdaq is at a pivotal moment, hovering around key resistance at 19,800 - 20,200 USD.
A breakout or rejection from this zone will determine the short-term direction.
Key factors to watch include economic data, Fed policy, and overall market sentiment.
AMD short term bullish. Price is expected to have sought its SSL and Receiving nice reaction from Previous Bull POI which was that Bullish Breaker and thus Seeking new Price discovery for short term.
Thus it is very good chance that Price will visit that Bearish Breaker first in next few weeks.
DYOR. This isn't a financial advice. This is just educational and speculative idea.
Your gains or losses are your own responsbility.
If you like this idea, please give it a thumbs up.