EUR-USD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a nice bullish
Move up and has almost reached
A horizontal resistance level
Of 1.1631 and the pair is locally
Overbought so after the retest
A local bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
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GOLD Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading along the
Rising support and is already
Making a bullish rebound so
As we are bullish biased due
To the strong uptrend we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up on Gold
Buy!
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AUD_NZD LOCAL LONG|
✅AUD_NZD has retested a key support level of 1.0800
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 1.0820 is likely
LONG🚀
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GBP-AUD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Of 2.1037 from where we
Are already seeing a bearish
Pullback so we will be
Expecting a further local
Move down
Sell!
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DXY: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 98.274 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 98.606 .Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,379.47 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,392.86 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 1.15261 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36.262 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36.171..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NZD-CHF Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 0.4847 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we are
Locally bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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EUR_USD RISING SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 1.1511
LONG🚀
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GBP/JPY in Trouble? Smart Money Rotates Into Yen📊 1. COT Analysis
JPY (Japanese Yen):
Non-Commercial Net Long: +54,615 – showing strong long accumulation since March.
Recent Changes:
Long: -5,319
Short: +1,235
➡️ Mixed signals short-term, but overall net long positioning remains strong. Speculative funds are still heavily favoring the Yen, suggesting potential continued strength.
GBP (British Pound):
Non-Commercial Net Long: +51,634 (111,076 long – 59,442 short)
Recent Changes:
Long: +7,404
Short: -9,015
➡️ Specs are still net long on GBP, but exposure has slightly decreased. The divergence with the Yen is narrowing.
🔎 COT Summary:
Both currencies are being bought by speculators, but the JPY has shown more consistent long-term positioning. Net momentum appears to shift in favor of Yen strength, pointing to potential downside for GBP/JPY.
📅 2. Seasonality – June
Historically, June is a weak month for GBP/JPY, especially over 20y, 15y, 5y, and 2y windows.
Monthly average return is negative across all major historical timeframes (e.g. -1.2415 over 10 years).
➡️ Seasonality reinforces a bearish bias for June.
🧠 3. Retail Sentiment
Short: 52%
Long: 48%
➡️ Retail positioning is balanced, slightly skewed short. Not a strong contrarian signal, but also doesn’t support a bullish breakout scenario.
📉 4. Technical Analysis
Current Structure: Ascending channel from mid-May → currently testing lower boundary.
Key Zone: 195.600–196.520 is a major supply zone with multiple rejections.
Recent Candle Action: Bearish pin bar + engulfing candle → strong rejection from resistance.
Downside Targets:
First: 193.076
Second: 191.439
Break of the channel would further confirm a trend reversal.
➡️ Price action supports a short scenario with high reward-to-risk toward lower zones.
CADJPY Bearish Reversal? Smart Money + Seasonal Confluence🧠 COT Sentiment
Speculators are heavily net short on CAD (–93K), while maintaining a strong net long position on JPY (+144K).
→ This positioning clearly favors JPY strength over CAD weakness.
Commercials are hedging JPY downside, but the dominant flow remains JPY bullish.
📅 Seasonal Patterns
Historically, June is weak for CAD (5Y, 10Y, 15Y averages all negative).
Meanwhile, JPY tends to strengthen in the second half of June.
→ Seasonality supports a bearish outlook on the pair.
📉 Technical Structure
Price has reacted precisely to the Fibonacci 0.705 retracement (106.23) and is showing signs of RSI divergence.
We are trading within a key supply zone between 106.70 and 108.30, which also aligns with a major resistance cluster and harmonic extension.
First target sits at 103.88, with potential extension to 101.20 if breakdown confirms.
🛢 Macro Catalyst
Oil remains under pressure.
CAD retail sales dropped significantly.
Risk-off sentiment (cautious Fed + geopolitical tensions) favors JPY as a safe haven.
📊 Retail Sentiment
62% of retail traders are short, but with an average entry at 108.49.
→ A break below 106 could trigger liquidation, fueling further downside.
🧩 Trade Setup
🔹 Entry zone: 106.70–107.00
🔸 SL: Above 108.40 (invalidates the bearish thesis)
🎯 TP1: 103.88 (S/R retest)
🎯 TP2: 101.20 (extended target on risk aversion)
🧭 Synthesis
Every angle aligns toward a potential bearish reversal on CAD/JPY:
✅ COT positioning
✅ Seasonality
✅ Macro narrative
✅ Technical confluence
✅ Retail sentiment trap
EURJPY Just Broke Out – Is This the Start of a Summer Rally?📊 1. COT Report – Euro & Yen
EUR (Euro FX – CME):
Non-Commercials:
Long: +5,968 | Short: -4,293 → Net Long increasing
Commercials:
Long: +11,480 | Short: +24,451 → Net Short
→ Speculators are clearly bullish on the euro.
JPY (Japanese Yen – CME):
Non-Commercials:
Long: -5,319 | Short: +1,235 → Net Long decreasing
Commercials:
Long: +31,893 | Short: +25,462 → Hedging, but still net short
→ The yen continues to be sold, especially by institutional players.
📌 EUR/JPY COT Summary:
Speculators are buying EUR and selling JPY → strong bullish bias on EUR/JPY.
🧠 2. Retail Sentiment
80% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY, with an average entry at 161.50
Current price is around 167.20 → retail is heavily underwater
✅ Strong contrarian bullish signal
📉 3. Technical Analysis
Price broke out of a long-term range, printing new yearly highs
RSI is overbought but with no active bearish divergence
Price sits inside a major supply zone between 166.50 and 168.00, where previous rejections occurred
A potential pullback to the 164.60–164.15 area aligns with ascending trendline support
🟡 Likely Scenario:
A healthy technical pullback to 164.50–165.00 to cool off RSI,
followed by a continuation higher if supported by momentum and COT positioning
📅 4. Seasonality
June is historically a bullish month for EUR/JPY:
5-year avg: +1.167%
2-year avg: +2.41%
→ Seasonality supports more upside into early July
🌍 5. Macro Context
BoJ remains dovish, no sign of imminent tightening
ECB is steady but relatively less dovish → rate differential still favors the euro
No signs yet of verbal intervention from Japan.
Smart Money Just Flipped Bearish on USD/CAD. Are You Still Long?🧠 1. COT Context & Institutional Flows
🇨🇦 CAD COT Report (CME) – June 10, 2025
Non-Commercials (speculators): net short 93,143 contracts (19,651 long vs. 112,794 short), with a short reduction of -14,319 → early bearish unwinding.
Commercials: net long 91,207 contracts (223,285 long vs. 132,078 short), with strong accumulation (+27,999 longs).
🔄 Net open interest change: +18,436 → renewed institutional interest on the long CAD side.
🇺🇸 USD Index COT Report (ICE) – June 10, 2025
Non-Commercials: net long 1,402 contracts (17,027 long vs. 15,625 short), with a +1,279 increase in longs → modest USD support.
Commercials remain net short -35 contracts, no clear shift.
🔄 Total open interest +2,652 → mild bullish interest in USD.
📌 Implication: Strong institutional support for CAD, USD mildly supported. Net positioning favors downside pressure on USD/CAD.
💹 2. Technical Analysis & Price Action
Primary trend: clearly bearish from the 1.38 zone.
Current price: 1.3552, testing a macro demand zone (1.3470–1.3540).
Daily RSI remains deeply oversold → possible technical bounce, but no reversal structure confirmed.
Recent candles show lower highs and lower lows, with no bullish momentum.
📌 Implication: The bearish trend remains in control. A technical rebound is possible, but bias stays short as long as price trades below 1.3640.
📈 3. Retail Sentiment
77% of retail traders are long USD/CAD, with an average entry at 1.3646.
Only 23% are short, positioned better at 1.3790.
📌 Implication: Retail is heavily long → contrarian bearish signal confirmed.
📊 4. Seasonality
June is historically weak for USD/CAD:
5Y Avg: -0.0118
2Y Avg: -0.0081
The June seasonal curve shows a stronger downside acceleration into the second half of the month.
📌 Implication: Seasonality adds downward pressure into month-end.
Retail is 86% Long on GBPCHF… But Smart Money Is Setting a Trap📊 1. RETAIL SENTIMENT
Long Positions: 86% – Average Entry: 1.1196
Short Positions: 14% – Average Entry: 1.0999
Current Price: 1.1010
Analysis:
Retail positioning is heavily skewed towards longs, with the average long entry significantly above the current market price. This creates vulnerability to downside pressure through stop-loss hunting or a bearish squeeze. Such extreme retail bias often acts as a contrarian signal: smart money may continue pushing the price lower to flush out retail traders before any meaningful reversal occurs.
🧾 2. COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS – COT REPORT (June 10, 2025)
🔹 British Pound (GBP)
Non-Commercials (Speculators): Net Long increasing by +7.4K → now at +51.6K
Commercials (Hedgers): Net Short decreasing by -13.9K → now at -60.5K
Total Open Interest: Decreased by -19K
Interpretation:
Speculators are maintaining strong long exposure on GBP, while commercials are covering some shorts—potentially signaling a short-term pause in bullish momentum. However, the drop in overall open interest suggests possible consolidation or short-term uncertainty.
🔹 Swiss Franc (CHF)
Non-Commercials: Net Shorts reduced by -2.7K
Commercials: Net Longs increased by +2.5K
Total Open Interest: Increased by +5.6K
Interpretation:
The CHF is gaining strength. Commercial participants are increasing their long exposure while speculators reduce their shorts—this positive divergence supports a bullish outlook on CHF, especially against retail-heavy long pairs like GBP.
📈 3. CHF SEASONALITY – JUNE
Average CHF Performance in June:
20-Year Avg: +0.0099
15-Year Avg: +0.0138
10-Year Avg: +0.0099
5-Year Avg: +0.0039
Analysis:
Historically, June is a seasonally strong month for the Swiss Franc. This seasonal bias aligns with current macro conditions, reinforcing the bullish case for CHF.
📊 4. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Daily Chart)
Pattern: Descending channel with a recent false breakdown and re-entry
Key Support Zone: 1.0980–1.1000 → tested and defended with a bullish wick
Target Resistance: 1.1170–1.1200 → prior retail cluster, supply zone, and average long entry
Scenario: A confirmed breakout of the channel could trigger a short squeeze toward 1.1170–1.1200
📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
The current GBP/CHF setup is technically and sentimentally delicate. The price sits on a major daily demand zone, while sentiment and macro flows suggest downside pressure remains in play—but also allow room for a potential contrarian rally (short squeeze).
👉 Action Plan:
Wait for intraday/daily confirmation:
Go long above 1.1045 (breakout confirmation) → target 1.1170
Go short below 1.0980 (bearish continuation) → target 1.0860
EUR-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 168.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up on Monday
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR_NZD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅EUR_NZD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.9250 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up on Monday
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETHUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 2,270.9 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 2,290.8.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 102,641.61 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 102,364.09.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NATGAS REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS went down to retest
A horizontal support of 3.820$
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 3.984$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is retesting a
Horizontal support level
Around 101,288$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local rebound so we can
Go long with the Take Profit
Of 104,324$ and the Stop
Loss of 100,300$
Buy!
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