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USD/JPY Under Pressure: Weak Yen and Anticipation of US GDP!USD/JPY is receiving particular attention due to the weakness of the Japanese Yen (JPY), influenced by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will delay further rate hikes. The minutes of the BoJ’s July monetary policy meeting revealed a consensus among members on the need to remain vigilant regarding inflation risks. While some members indicated that a rate hike to 0.25% might be appropriate, others suggested a moderate adjustment to monetary support. From a macroeconomic perspective, traders are focused on the release of the annualized US GDP for the second quarter, scheduled for Thursday. The dollar's performance is being hindered by the increasing likelihood of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by the end of the year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is about a 50% chance that the Fed will reduce rates by 75 basis points, bringing them to the 4.0-4.25% range. In terms of resistance, the level of 149.40, the highest in the past six weeks, represents a potential target for the USD/JPY rally. On the support side, the first significant level is around 144.00, which coincides with the upper boundary of the previous descending channel. A break below this level could restore the bearish bias, with the next target around 139.58, the lowest point since June 2023.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Two buying scenarios for BitcoinThe range of daily supply, which the price is now involved in, can lead to a price drop that you can think about the short position by getting confirmation in the 1-hour time frame and consider the final target in the range of $60,000. From that area, you can think of scenario number 3, a buy position in the range of $60,000 with a final target of $74,000. There is a high possibility that Bitcoin will pass through this area, but the price range of 69-70 thousand dollars is the volume of sell orders that can lead to a medium-term drop in the price of Bitcoin. If you have a long position, you can save profit in that area.
Long
by mhbaniasadi
Bitcoin Sideways Action - Long scenarioBitcoin is consolidating. This means that we are preparing for something. I expect a scenario with the opportunity to enter long positions. Right now, it looks like we will not break the recent lows and continue to form small higher lows. This to me is an indication that we could see a strong move until the consolidation is complete. That could start this Thursday with jobless claims and Fed Chair Powell's speech or next week when all the data is released and the market will react to things like JOLTS Job Openings and Non-Farm Employment Change. We can also make a bearish move. I would expect a move to the FWB:65K region to take out the last high from August and then move down to reverse.
by reports20netrust
2
WTI Price Outlook: Key FactorsThe price of WTI is hovering around $69.60 per barrel, remaining at relatively low levels compared to recent peaks. However, several signals suggest a potential reversal towards an upward trajectory. The reduction in U.S. crude oil inventories, reported by the EIA, was significantly larger than expected, with a drop of 4.471 million barrels compared to the forecasted 1.2 million. This signal of shrinking supply could exert upward pressure on crude oil prices. On the other hand, the effectiveness of recent economic stimulus measures adopted by China, the world's largest oil importer, remains uncertain. If these measures fail to stimulate demand, crude prices could face downward pressure. Additionally, rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly after an Israeli airstrike that killed a Hezbollah commander, increase the risk of a potential supply disruption from the region. From a technical standpoint, WTI is currently in a consolidation phase. If prices manage to break through the key resistance level around $70-72 per barrel, a bullish breakout could occur, supported by increased trading volumes.
TVC:USOILLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
USOIL - Short Trade Idea (26th Sept 2024)This is my analysis on USOIL. So, what my eye catches is the ascending sellside trendline liquidity being build up. We have a recent touch on it, retracing into a weekly SIBI. Based on this, I am anticipating us trade quickly down into a monthly BISI as my initial target. The stoploss I set is based on the current swing high. A wider stoploss could be adopted to weather any sort of wick damage happening during high impact news. Let's see how this plays out. - R2F
TVC:USOIL
by Road_2_Funded