USD/JPY Approaches 152.00 Amid Yen Weakness and Trade War FearsThe USD/JPY exchange rate is recovering from recent lows, reaching 151.90 on February 10, 2025, compared to the previous close of 151.30. After a significant drop in early February, the trend shows a gradual rebound, supported by the Japanese Yen’s weakness due to disappointing macroeconomic data, particularly the sharp decline in Japan’s current account balance to 1,077.3 billion Yen from November’s 3,352.5 billion Yen. The strength of the US Dollar is also fueled by concerns over new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum announced by President Trump, driving investors toward safe-haven assets like the Greenback.
From a technical perspective, USD/JPY is nearing the psychological level of 152.00, with key resistance between 152.40 and 152.90. A breakout above this range could signal further gains, while a rejection may trigger a corrective phase. Volatility is heightened by uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s monetary policy, as it may maintain a cautious stance on rates to counter inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, speculation about a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could reduce the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
The Dollar Index (DXY) stands at 108.20, slightly up by 0.1% but down from the intraday high of 108.50, indicating a cautious market sentiment ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Traders will closely watch his statements for any hints of a policy shift.
Ict
USD/JPY: Bearish Momentum and Key Support TestThe USD/JPY analysis as of February 18, 2025, shows a clear bearish structure, with the price breaking below key support levels, particularly around 152.70, which aligns with the 200-day moving average. The February 17 close at 151.456 confirms the downward trend after the recent high of 154.79 on February 12, highlighting the weakness of the US dollar against the strengthening Japanese yen. The yen’s appreciation was driven by Japan’s unexpectedly strong GDP data, which showed an annualized growth of 2.8%, far exceeding expectations and fueling speculation of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan. In contrast, the US dollar has been under pressure due to weak retail sales data and a general lack of bullish catalysts.
The chart setup highlights a key demand zone between 150.50 and 151.00, where the price is showing an initial reaction, suggesting a possible technical rebound. However, the overall structure remains weak, and unless the price can stabilize above 152.50-153.00, the risk of further downside remains high. The next significant resistance lies between 154.50 and 156.00, an area with concentrated sell orders and a potential reversal point in case of recovery. Conversely, a break below 150.50 would open the way toward 148.00 and even lower levels, with a critical support zone around 146.00.
The short-term trading range could remain between 151.00 and 155.00, with strong dependence on upcoming macroeconomic developments, particularly statements from the Bank of Japan and economic updates from the United States.
GBP/JPY: Uncertainty and Bearish PressuresGBP/JPY has shown a volatile trend in recent sessions, with a combination of ups and downs highlighting a phase of uncertainty. The last closing on February 15, 2025, at 191.618 marks the beginning of a bearish trend after the doji on February 14. This movement reflects a complex dynamic, where macroeconomic and technical factors play a decisive role in price direction. The recent rebound was supported by positive UK GDP data, which helped the pound recover from bearish pressures over the past months. Notably, on February 12, a reversal of the bearish trend occurred, with GBP/JPY starting to regain ground due to an improvement in market sentiment. Additionally, the strengthening of US inflation negatively impacted the Japanese yen, pushing GBP/JPY up by 1.22% around February 12, driven by a weaker yen following the increased strength of the US dollar. However, despite these positive elements, the Bank of England’s monetary policy has introduced uncertainty, with a dovish stance fueling pressure on the pound. The interest rate cut has raised concerns about further depreciation, negatively affecting GBP/JPY. Added to this is the earlier decline in early February, triggered by disappointing UK economic data and expectations of further BoE interventions, which contributed to a widespread bearish sentiment. From a technical perspective, the price is currently in a consolidation phase between 187.610 and 193.120, with a structure suggesting a possible expansion of volatility in the coming weeks. The key resistance at 193.120 represents a critical obstacle for a potential continuation of the bullish trend, while support at 187.610 remains the main level to watch in case of renewed bearish pressure. A breakout above the 193.50 threshold could confirm further pound strengthening, while a break below 188.00 could reopen scenarios of weakness. With a combination of technical and macroeconomic factors in play, GBP/JPY’s trend remains subject to upcoming BoE decisions and the evolution of global economic conditions, making it crucial to monitor upcoming economic releases to determine the market’s direction.
USD-CHF Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF fell down again
But a strong horizontal
Support level is close by
At 0.8937 so after the
Pair retests the support
On Monday, we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish correction
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
GOLD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a strong
Bearish correction and
Looks locally oversold so
After it hits the horizontal
Support level of 2868$
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
AUD-USD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is making a
Bullish move up and the
Pair made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 0.6310 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
TTD, where do we go from here?A significant sell-off in The Trade Desk (TTD) followed its earnings report, driving the price toward a critical technical zone. The 76.45 - 80.16 range has historically acted as a strong support area, with multiple price interactions suggesting institutional buying interest in the past.
If the price holds this zone as support and RSI begins to recover, a potential bounce toward the 96.50 resistance level could occur. Price action at in this zone will be key—if buyers step in, a short-term rebound may follow. However, a break below 76 with rising volume could indicate further downside, potentially leading to lower support levels.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
BTC SHORT = Higher TF Analysis to Lower TF S/R Flip (FVA+FVG)BTC SHORT = Higher TF Analysis to Lower TF S/R Flip (FVA+FVG)BTC SHORT = Higher TF Analysis to Lower TF S/R Flip (FVA+FVG)BTC SHORT = Higher TF Analysis to Lower TF S/R Flip (FVA+FVG)BTC SHORT = Higher TF Analysis to Lower TF S/R Flip (FVA+FVG)
So i did higher tf analysis, checked which swing point was swept and checked current candles if it "RESPECTED" the sweep, looked for FVGs in the 4hr and lower TFs and looked for targets.
in the 15min, I checked current leg and decided it followed higher tf bias(short) and looked for fva+fvg entry... which it was currently present.
let's see how it goes.
NAS100USD: Retracement to Target Sell Stops Below Support ZoneGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, while the market is currently showing bullish momentum, there are clear signs that we may experience a retracement toward the downside. This move would likely target the discount sell stops below the illustrated support zone, providing an opportunity to align with institutional order flow.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Institutional Resistance Zone: A strong order block has formed, creating a significant resistance level that price may struggle to break through. This order block, coupled with the Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath it, strengthens the bearish case. These two institutional resistance zones suggest a higher likelihood of a retracement.
Premium Price Zone: Price is currently trading in a premium range, a favorable area to monitor for potential selling opportunities upon confirmation.
Liquidity Target : Our primary target is the discount sell stops resting below an engineered support zone. This zone is a key draw on liquidity, where we anticipate significant institutional interest.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Strategy : Wait for confirmation before entering short positions at the current premium price level.
Targets : Focus on the liquidity pools below the support zone, particularly the discount sell stops, as these represent the main draw on liquidity.
Patience and precision are crucial. By following institutional clues, we can effectively position ourselves for high-probability trades.
Happy Trading!
The Architect 🏛📊
DXY Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is going down and
The index made a bearish
Breakout of the key level
Of 107.400 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Now bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
EUR_USD STRONG BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅EUR_USD made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.0440 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation with
The target of retesting the
Horizontal resistance above at 1.0533
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Crude Oil - Ichimoku Theories + Price Action ConceptsNYMEX:CL1!
Combining your Ichimoku strategy, with market structure orderblocks, could provide you with support & resistance levels, for your Ichimoku trend bias.
- Here is Crude Oil futures, on a 4H timeframe
- Analyze how the orderblocks, provide key level resistance, for your short positions