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Riding The Wave - The Importance of Top-Down AnalysisIn this video I explain why a top-down analysis is important when it comes to increasing the odds of price moving in your favour. I know it is extra work, but it isn't much, especially in terms of being a part of the most lucrative industry in the world. Trading from the higher timeframe simply allows you to "ride the wave" by going down to trade on the lower timeframe. Now, this is all relative to the timeframes you are on and not based on what is considered high or low timeframes. But simply put, if the higher timeframe is trending or being drawn to a specific price or level, then the displacements in price towards that direction will outweigh any displacements via retracements in the opposite direction. So, I hope this video gives some insight into this topic if you were wondering if it is really something you should do. If you desire higher win-rates, then the answer is yes. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
EUR/USD Rally: Weak Fed, Cautious ECBThe EUR/USD pair broke above the 1.1100 level due to weakness in the US dollar, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Fed. The Dollar Index (DXY) is declining, while US and German yields have dropped. The ECB, on the other hand, has shown caution regarding future rate cuts, supporting the euro. Key resistance levels for EUR/USD are 1.1137, 1.1155, 1.1201, and 1.1275. Support lies at 1.1071, with further levels at 1.1030 and 1.1001. The RSI is near 67, suggesting a potential overbought area, but the bullish trend remains intact as long as the price stays above the 200-day moving average. If the dollar continues to weaken, EUR/USD could target 1.1155 and beyond. Conversely, a break below 1.1071 could indicate a correction toward 1.1030 and 1.1001.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
BTC - Short Setup | 15.09I’m shorting a very interesting setup here on the BTCUSDT 4H chart. We have an untapped 2H and 4H Order Block (OB) sitting above the current price, coupled with an untapped VWAP, both of which are significant points of interest for me. These untapped areas often act as strong magnets for price, drawing it towards them before a potential reversal. Given the current market structure, this setup presents a high-probability short opportunity. The price has been showing signs of exhaustion as it approached these levels, and the confluence of the Order Blocks and VWAP makes it a very appealing zone to initiate a short position. What adds to the strength of this setup is the clear Break of Structure (BOS) visible in the previous price action. The market has been creating lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend, and the current move up might just be a retracement to mitigate the OB before continuing the trend downward. I’m entering this trade with a tight stop loss, as the OBs and VWAP should ideally cap the upward movement. The stop loss is placed just above the OB, ensuring that the risk is minimal in case the price unexpectedly breaches these levels. As for the final target, I haven’t set a specific level yet. I’ll be closely monitoring how the price reacts after entering the OB and the VWAP. If the price rejects sharply, I’ll consider holding the position longer, potentially trailing the stop to lock in profits as the trade progresses. However, if the reaction is weak or if I see signs of reversal, I might close the trade early. The goal here is to capitalize on the anticipated price reaction from these high-probability zones while keeping the risk contained with a tight stop. This is a classic example of a mean reversion trade, where the price could revert back to the mean after tapping into these untapped areas.
Short
by stromm_by_wmc
NAS100USD: Sell with Focus on Daily FVG!Greetings, Traders! Brief Description🖊️: Currently, NAS100USD has switched to a bearish institutional structure. After retracing into a Balanced Price Range (BPR), price is respecting this zone, signaling a potential continuation toward the downside. The BPR reflects an area where price was delivered at fair value, balancing both buy and sell sides. I am closely watching for confirmation entries on lower timeframes to ride this bearish momentum toward my targets, which align with the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and H1 sell stops. Things I Have Seen👀: Bearish Momentum📉: Price is trading within a BPR, suggesting a continuation towards the downside after retracing into this zone. Balanced Price Range Resistance 🟥: The BPR is expected to act as a resistance level, guiding price lower. Bearish Targets🎯: Sell-Side Liquidity : Targeting sell stops on the H1 timeframe. Daily FVG : Expecting a draw toward the Fair Value Gap, where inefficiencies in price delivery exist. What's Important Now❗ Monitor price action during the New York afternoon session for volatility and look for sell confirmations on lower timeframes to align with the overall bearish bias. Happy Trading, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Falling Wedge Sees Bullish Order Block! - EUHere I have EUR/USD on the 4Hr Chart! EU Bears have been pulling price down forming what seems to be a Falling Wedge since the end of August but could the Double Bottom made by the Sell-Side Liquidity and New Swing Low be a sign that Price is loading up to make its Bullish Break?! Now we see Price after being rejected from the Falling Resistance, descending to the Break of Structure @ 1.10548 and the Order Block responsible for sweeping Sell-Side Liquidity @ 1.10437 being the Entry Range for when Price comes down and Successfully tests the Order Block! *This rejection also creates a Higher High or disruption in the Downtrend suggesting power transfer from Bears to Bulls. Now another big tell is the Bullish Divergence between the RSI and Lows of Price testing the Falling Support! Also the presence of Bears in the BBTrend seems to be dwindling with each Low created where you see the collection of Red Bars shrinking! Fundamentally, USD has Retail Sales on Tuesday (Sept. 17th) and Federal Funds Rate / FOMC Meeting on Wednesday (Sept. 18th) with expectations for Rates to start being cut!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci