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BTC - Long Trade IdeaBTC looks prime to continue up to take out the plethora of BSL above it's ATH after recently trading into a 3-month BISI. On the lower timeframes, my POI for an entry with the current candles is the 2-day iFVG. On the hourly timeframe, the 4-hour gap within that POI would be interesting to monitor. My stop is below a reasonable swing point that should not be traded into unless a large liquidation is on the cards, but the bodies should respect that I have outlined. My first target is ATH, after that it is completely discretionary as there is nothing on the left side of the chart. For prediction's sake, I am anticipating 100k to be the next milestone for Bitcoin. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
WTI - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short trade idea that fades the recent expansion upwards. I did an analysis all the way from the yearly timeframe down to the daily, and all arrows still point lower. WTI came into a yearly BISI, which is generally a big deal, but I have a feeling (also based on analysis) that we will come lower into a 6-month BISI and take out the ascending SSL below. The inefficiencies on the daily timeframes are also indicating a move lower. However, caution will be expressed in observing the creation of bullish PD Arrays on the way to my short POI. If price continues up from my short POI and closes candles above on the daily, then we may be looking at higher prices first. USDCAD, which is negatively correlated with WTI to a high degree, has some a large double top on the higher timeframe overview. This would coincide with a move lower on WTI. That being said as a USD pair, how much of a recovery can we expect on the US Dollar is this happens? - R2F
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Road_2_Funded
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 21/08/2024Last week, the Judas Swing strategy produced just two trades, both on EURUSD. It served as an excellent lesson in risk management; despite having one win and one loss, we concluded the week with a profit, securing a 1% gain. Even during a slow week, we concluded on a positive note, and it's these small victories that sustain a trader's enthusiasm for the new opportunities each week brings. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises: - Setting the timezone to New York time - Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Identifying the high and low of the zone We now wait for the high or low of the trading zone to be swept, which would guide our bias for the session. After 1 hour and 35 minutes, the low of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for buying opportunities during this trading session After 35 minutes, there was a break of structure (BOS) to the buy side, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Now, all that remains is to patiently wait for price to retrace into the FVG, presenting us with a trading opportunity The subsequent candle formed a bearish marubozu, closing the gap left from the previous upward move. We executed our trade after the candle's closure, as it met all the criteria on our checklist After executing our trade, we experienced minimal drawdown as the position quickly turned profitable. These are the types of trades we all hope for, aren't they? All we need to do is wait for our Take Profit (TP) to be reached, right? Let's observe the outcome. Price got close to our TP and then began retracing. This is the moment when traders who have not thoroughly backtested their strategies might panic and close their trades prematurely. Some may consider moving their stop loss to break even; however, our backtesting data shows that this approach does not benefit us in the long run, as price may hit the break even point and then proceed in our anticipated direction. Therefore, in such situations, we should not panic; instead, we patiently wait for either our TP or Stop Loss (SL) to be triggered. Price returned to our entry point, and at this juncture, traders who risked more than they could afford are likely experiencing an emotional roller coaster. However, we remained undisturbed since we only risked 1% on this trade with the aim of achieving a 2% return After 3 hours and 30 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.This trade served as an excellent illustration of the importance of patience and adherence to your trading plan. We hope you have gained some insights from this.
by CleoFinance
EUR/USD: Bullish Outlook with Key TargetsHey there, looking at the FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart on a 10-day timeframe, it’s clear that the price has been stuck in a range for almost two years. Right now, the price has broken through its 7-month high and is currently trading around 1.011. Personally, I have a bullish outlook for both the medium and long term. ⏩I anticipate that the price could rise toward mid-term targets of 1.11500 and 1.12800. After that, I expect the price to potentially continue its upward movement towards long-term targets of 1.14 and the Bearish Breaker Block at 1.15, especially if it breaks above the 1.12800 high. To fully understand the ongoing trend, it will be important to observe how the price reacts to the mid-term targets. 💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions! Happy trading!✌😎 Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
Long
by SasanSeifi
BTC SHORT BLACK SWAN 41k per BTCMarket Maker Sell Model with Potential Black Swan Event This trade represents a classic Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM), where the smart money appears to have engineered a sell-off after accumulating positions at higher price levels. - Initial Setup: The price action shows a significant liquidity grab at the top, leading to a sharp decline, indicating the possible distribution phase by market makers. The sell-off from the "SMR" level confirms the beginning of the MMSM. - Entry Point: After the final push-up to the "SMR" level, where the market takes out liquidity, I entered short once the price confirmed rejection and began its downward trajectory. - Targets: - TP1: Set at the first significant support level. - TP2: Set at a lower support level, which aligns with the overall downward trend. - Market Context: The sharp decline hints at broader market instability. This pattern, combined with macroeconomic indicators, suggests the possibility of an incoming Black Swan event, which could exacerbate the sell-off and lead to a further drop in BTC price. - Risk Management: Stop-loss was placed slightly above the "SMR" level to protect against potential false breakdowns. However, considering the potential Black Swan scenario, additional caution is warranted. Conclusion: The price action strongly indicates that market makers have distributed their positions, and the sharp decline aligns with the Market Maker Sell Model. Given the possibility of an unforeseen market shock, this trade could be a precursor to a more significant market downturn.
Short
by SerenityEquity
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders! Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes. If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts! Refer to these videos as well: Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements: Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
4
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 12/08/2024We ended last week on a positive note, with four trades taken and three big wins on #EURUSD, #GBPUSD and #NZDUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped. After an hour and 5 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential selling opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a sell position. Although we had a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy. After 30 minutes a bullish candle filled the FVG, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied. Our position was profitable for approximately 15 minutes before plunging us into a drawdown. During this drawdown period, we remained composed because we had a solid risk management strategy and only risked what we could afford to lose. We allocated just 1% of our trading account to this trade, targeting a 2% return. After 30 minutes into the trade, our stop loss was triggered, resulting in a 1% loss of our trading account. It's important to note that incurring losses is a normal part of trading. This particular strategy has a win rate of approximately 50%. However, with a positive risk-reward ratio of 1:2, adhering to this strategy can lead to consistent profitability in the long run.
by CleoFinance