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Do you think GOLD will go up or down today with the Nonfarm newsDo you think GOLD will go up or down today with the Nonfarm news? In the Asian and European sessions, gold will still have a sideways range, but the range will be smaller than yesterday. The price reaction will be from the 2916-2919 area down to 2900. And it's likely that today's Nonfarm news will be a liquidity sweep of buy orders to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which is the 2970-2980 price range -In summary, this analysis predicts that: + Before the Nonfarm news is released, the price of gold may trade within a narrow range. +When the Nonfarm news is released, there is a possibility that the price of gold will make a temporary sharp move up to around 2970-2980 to "sweep liquidity" from buy orders, before potentially reversing downward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RioNguyenCFD
2
CAD/JPY Analysis – Key Levels & Market Drivers📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels: Major Resistance at 108.32 Price previously rejected from this strong supply zone. Moving averages (yellow & red lines) are acting as dynamic resistance. Short-term Resistance at 106.00-107.00 Failed bullish attempt, leading to a strong reversal. A break above this area is needed to shift momentum bullishly. 📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels: Support at 102.00-101.50 (Demand Zone) Significant buyer interest in this area. If the price reaches this zone, a potential bounce could occur. Deeper Support at 99.00-100.00 If 102.00 fails, the next demand level is in the high 90s, marking a critical long-term support. 📉 Current Market Outlook: CAD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. The price is testing key support areas, and further movement depends on upcoming economic events. A potential bounce could occur at 102.00, but failure to hold could trigger further declines toward 99.00. 📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers 🔹 Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision – March 12, 2025 Expected rate cut from 3.00% to 2.75% → Bearish for CAD. A dovish stance signals weakness in the Canadian economy, potentially pushing CAD/JPY lower. If the BoC provides an aggressive rate cut or hints at further easing, the downtrend could continue. 🔹 Japan Current Account (January) – March 7, 2025 Expected at 370B JPY (significantly lower than previous 1077.3B JPY). A lower-than-expected surplus may weaken JPY, slightly offsetting CAD weakness. If JPY remains strong despite this data, CAD/JPY could fall further toward 101.50-100.00. 📈 Potential Trading Setups: 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 103.00, confirming further weakness. Target 1: 102.00 Target 2: 100.00 Stop Loss: Above 104.50 to avoid volatility spikes. 🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario - Retracement Play): Entry: Strong bullish rejection from 102.00 Target 1: 105.00 Target 2: 108.00 Stop Loss: Below 101.50 to limit downside risk. 📌 Final Thoughts: The BoC rate decision will likely be bearish for CAD, increasing downward pressure on CAD/JPY. The Japan Current Account data could provide temporary support for JPY but is unlikely to fully reverse the trend. 102.00-101.50 is a key buying zone, while failure to hold could drive the pair toward 99.00-100.00. 🚨 Key Watch Zones: 102.00 Support & 108.00 Resistance – Strong moves expected!
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EUR/USD Long Setup – Institutional & Retail Flows Align This EUR/USD long trade was executed based on a confluence of technical levels, institutional positioning, and macroeconomic factors. Here’s the breakdown of the trade execution, market influences, and the Prime Market Terminal insights that supported the decision. 📊 Trade Execution & Technicals Entry: The trade setup was based on price retracing into a key Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a demand area before a bullish continuation. Confluence: A combination of trendline support, 50%–79% Fibonacci levels, and liquidity sweeps confirmed the setup. Target Zones: Price moved towards key Fibonacci extensions (-0.27 & -0.62 levels), which aligned with previous liquidity zones. Market Structure: Higher timeframes indicated a bullish trend, reinforcing the long bias. 🎯 Trade Outcome The trade executed as planned, with price bouncing off the retracement levels and moving towards the projected take-profit zones. Bullish continuation confirmed the validity of the setup, as institutional order flow aligned with the technicals. ⚡ High-Impact News That Influenced EUR/USD 📌 Economic data from the Prime Market Terminal showed major USD events: ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) exceeded expectations (52.8) – initially strengthening USD. Durable Goods Orders rose by 3.2%, reinforcing economic resilience. EIA Weekly Crude Stocks & Fed's Beige Book impacted liquidity and volatility in the market. 🛑 Impact on the Trade: Positive USD data initially caused short-term retracements, offering a discounted entry for longs. Market reaction confirmed a USD exhaustion, leading to EUR/USD bullish momentum. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Volatility data from the Prime Market Terminal indicated: EUR/USD ATR increased, signaling higher liquidity grabs and expansion. Liquidity Pools: Visible range analysis showed high-volume nodes near the Fibonacci retracement area, acting as liquidity traps before the bullish push. Institutional Order Flow: Increased volume and liquidity injection around key price levels confirmed smart money accumulation. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow 📌 COT (Commitment of Traders) Report Insights: Institutional Traders: Increased long positions on EUR/USD, signaling confidence in the bullish move. Retail Sentiment: Majority of retail traders were short, fueling a short squeeze that propelled price higher. Market Depth Data: Prime Market Terminal showed institutional buy orders stacking near the key demand zone, reinforcing the long setup’s strength. 🔥 Conclusion ✅ The confluence of technicals, fundamental news, volatility data, and institutional flows provided a high-probability long setup on EUR/USD. ✅ Key Takeaway: Combining macro analysis with technicals and liquidity insights can increase the accuracy of trade setups. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
Long
by LDForex_
500+ Points caught on NQ! IFVG + OB Support. Caught a massive 500+ point move on NQ, entering off an Inverted Fair Value Gap (IFVG) and Order Block (OB) support. The setup was clean, and price respected key levels perfectly. Watch the breakdown of my trade and how it played out! 💯 100 likes and I’ll post the full trading session with all trades! Disclaimer: This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Trading futures involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by BDripTradess
200pts secured from IFVG's 50% > SSL Targeted Caught a 200-point move on MNQ from the 50% level of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that previously acted as an Inverted FVG (IFVG). My target was sell-side liquidity, and the setup played out perfectly. Watch the breakdown of the trade and my thought process in real-time! 💯 100 likes and I'll post the entire trading session with all trades taken! Disclaimer: This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Trading futures involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
CME_MINI:NQH2025Short
by BDripTradess
XAU/USD Analysis & Market Insights📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels: Major Resistance at 2,934.00 Strong supply zone where price has previously rejected. Multiple tests of this area indicate seller pressure. Short-term Resistance at 2,920-2,925 Price is consolidating near this zone. A rejection could lead to a downward move. 📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels: Support at 2,846.88 - 2,832.72 (Demand Zone) Strong reaction zone where buyers stepped in. Previous price action suggests liquidity in this area. Deeper Support at 2,720-2,680 If 2,832 breaks, this is the next key demand area. Aligned with moving averages, adding confluence. 📉 Current Market Outlook: Price recently bounced from the 2,846-2,832 support, showing buyers’ presence. However, the 2,920-2,925 area is acting as resistance. If the price fails to break higher, a move back toward 2,846 or even 2,720 is possible. 📈 Potential Trading Setups: 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias): Entry: Below 2,920 after a clear rejection. Target 1: 2,846 Target 2: 2,832, with possible extension to 2,720. Stop Loss: Above 2,935 to avoid fakeouts. 🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario): Entry: Break and hold above 2,934.00 with confirmation. Target 1: 2,960 Target 2: 3,000+ Stop Loss: Below 2,915 to minimize risk. 📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers 1️⃣ US ISM Services PMI & ADP Jobs Report: The ISM Services PMI increased to 53.5, signaling stronger services inflation and employment. However, the ADP Employment Report showed a disappointing 77K jobs, far below the expected 140K, weighing on the USD. 2️⃣ Trump’s Tariffs & USD Weakness: Trump announced massive tariffs on trade partners, affecting risk sentiment. While he downplayed negative effects, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at potential tariff rollbacks, boosting risk appetite. This weakened the USD, allowing gold to rise. 3️⃣ Upcoming ECB Decision: The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, which could further impact market sentiment and gold’s direction. If the rate cut weakens the EUR, gold could see more upside. 📌 Final Thoughts: 2,920-2,925 remains a key resistance for short-term direction. A break above 2,934 could signal bullish continuation. A rejection from current levels could push price back toward 2,846 or lower. Fundamentals favor gold's strength as the USD weakens due to poor job data and trade uncertainty. 🚀 Key Decision Zone: Watch price action near 2,920-2,925!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Mastering ICT Concepts: The Ultimate Trading Strategy GuideA lot of people are drawn to ICT trading concepts because they offer a deep understanding of how the markets truly work. With this guide, I want to explain the most popular ICT strategies in a simple and detailed way to help traders navigate these concepts effectively. The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology offers a suite of trading strategies that delve into market mechanics, focusing on institutional behaviors and liquidity dynamics. This guide explores five prominent ICT strategies: Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Power of Three (PO3), Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) with Liquidity Sweeps, Breaker Blocks, and the Silver Bullet Strategy. Each section provides an in-depth explanation, trading approach, key considerations, and designated spots for illustrative images. 🔍 1. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) A Fair Value Gap (FVG) represents a price imbalance created when the market moves rapidly in one direction, leaving a gap between consecutive candlesticks. This gap signals inefficient pricing, which the market tends to revisit later to balance liquidity. Understanding FVGs is crucial as they reveal hidden institutional footprints. How to Trade: Identification: Spot an FVG when there is a three-candlestick formation where the second candle creates a gap between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle. Retracement Expectation: The market typically seeks to fill these gaps as it rebalances price inefficiencies. Entry Strategy: Wait for price to return to the gap and enter in the direction of the initial impulse. Confirm the trade with market structure shifts or other confluence factors. Targets: Use previous highs/lows, liquidity zones, or equilibrium levels (50% of the FVG) as potential targets. Key Considerations: Timeframes: Higher timeframes like 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily yield more reliable signals. Volume Confirmation: High volume during the initial impulse strengthens the likelihood of a retracement. Partial Fills: The market may not always fill the entire gap. ⚡ 2. Power of Three (PO3) The Power of Three (PO3) describes how institutional players manipulate price action through three key phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution. This strategy highlights how smart money engineers liquidity and misleads retail traders before delivering the intended price move. How to Trade: Accumulation Phase: Identify consolidation zones where price ranges sideways, often before major sessions (London or New York). Manipulation Phase: Wait for false breakouts or stop hunts where price temporarily breaks out from the range before reversing. Distribution Phase: Enter the trade in the opposite direction of the manipulation, targeting the liquidity created during the false move. Entry Confirmation: Market structure shifts after the manipulation phase. Bullish or bearish order blocks aligning with the intended direction. Fair Value Gaps in the distribution phase. Key Considerations: Patience: This strategy often requires waiting several hours for all three phases to complete. Liquidity Zones: Look for equal highs or lows near the range to anticipate the manipulation move. Time Windows: PO3 often plays out during high-volume sessions. 🔄 3. Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) with Liquidity Sweeps Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) are advanced price inefficiencies that act as dynamic support or resistance zones. When price fills a traditional FVG, that zone can later serve as an IFVG—particularly when aligned with liquidity sweeps. How to Trade: Identify Original FVG: Locate an FVG that has already been filled. Liquidity Sweep Trigger: Wait for price to sweep liquidity above or below a key level. Inversion Zone: When price returns to the previous FVG, treat it as a new support or resistance zone. Entry Confirmation: Watch for market structure shifts or rejection candles at the IFVG. Key Considerations: Confluence Zones: Combine IFVG with liquidity sweeps and order blocks. Patience: Wait for price action confirmation before entering. Stop Placement: Place stops below the IFVG in bullish setups or above in bearish setups. 🧱 4. Breaker Blocks Breaker Blocks are zones where previous support or resistance levels are invalidated by a liquidity sweep, only to become reversal zones. They represent areas where smart money accumulates orders before delivering price in the opposite direction. How to Trade: Identify Liquidity Sweeps: Spot areas where price breaks above or below a key high/low before reversing. Breaker Formation: The candle that invalidates the liquidity sweep forms the Breaker Block. Entry Strategy: Wait for price to retrace into the Breaker Block and confirm the trade with rejection candles or market structure shifts. Targets: Previous liquidity pools or opposing order blocks. Key Considerations: Higher Timeframes: Use 1-hour or 4-hour charts for the best results. Volume Analysis: High volume during the breaker formation strengthens the signal. Risk Management: Place stops beyond the breaker boundary. 🎯 5. Silver Bullet Strategy The Silver Bullet Strategy is a time-based model designed to capitalize on institutional price delivery patterns during specific one-hour windows. This strategy focuses on liquidity sweeps and Fair Value Gaps within these timeframes. How to Trade: Time Windows: Target these key one-hour sessions: London Open: 03:00 AM – 04:00 AM EST New York AM Session: 10:00 AM – 11:00 AM EST New York PM Session: 02:00 PM – 03:00 PM EST Identify Liquidity Zones: Look for equal highs/lows or session highs/lows. Execute Trades: Enter trades when price sweeps liquidity and rejects from an FVG or Breaker Block within the Silver Bullet window. Targets: Use opposing liquidity pools or session extremes. Key Considerations: Strict Timing: Only trade within the designated time windows. Confluence Factors: Combine with market structure shifts and order blocks. Risk Management: Place stops beyond liquidity sweep wicks. Conclusion Mastering ICT trading strategies requires patience, precision, and continuous practice. These five strategies—FVG, PO3, IFVG with Liquidity Sweeps, Breaker Blocks, and the Silver Bullet—provide a comprehensive framework to align with institutional price delivery. Use confluence factors and practice in demo environments before applying these methods in live markets. Happy Trading! Note: This guide is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Education
by TehThomas
16