Ict
EUR/USD: Bullish Outlook with Key TargetsHey there, looking at the FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart on a 10-day timeframe, it’s clear that the price has been stuck in a range for almost two years. Right now, the price has broken through its 7-month high and is currently trading around 1.011. Personally, I have a bullish outlook for both the medium and long term.
⏩I anticipate that the price could rise toward mid-term targets of 1.11500 and 1.12800. After that, I expect the price to potentially continue its upward movement towards long-term targets of 1.14 and the Bearish Breaker Block at 1.15, especially if it breaks above the 1.12800 high.
To fully understand the ongoing trend, it will be important to observe how the price reacts to the mid-term targets.
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
R2F Weekly Analysis - 18th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
BTC might dump to 41k (Black Swan)Market Maker Sell Model Analysis | Potential Short Targets
Description:
In this video, I dive deep into the Market Maker Sell Model and discuss potential short targets. We'll explore how Market Makers build their positions during a downward move and how you can effectively capitalize on these movements to trade profitably.
Watch the video and let me know your thoughts or any questions you may have in the comments!
BTC SHORT BLACK SWAN 41k per BTCMarket Maker Sell Model with Potential Black Swan Event
This trade represents a classic Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM), where the smart money appears to have engineered a sell-off after accumulating positions at higher price levels.
- Initial Setup: The price action shows a significant liquidity grab at the top, leading to a sharp decline, indicating the possible distribution phase by market makers. The sell-off from the "SMR" level confirms the beginning of the MMSM.
- Entry Point: After the final push-up to the "SMR" level, where the market takes out liquidity, I entered short once the price confirmed rejection and began its downward trajectory.
- Targets:
- TP1: Set at the first significant support level.
- TP2: Set at a lower support level, which aligns with the overall downward trend.
- Market Context: The sharp decline hints at broader market instability. This pattern, combined with macroeconomic indicators, suggests the possibility of an incoming Black Swan event, which could exacerbate the sell-off and lead to a further drop in BTC price.
- Risk Management: Stop-loss was placed slightly above the "SMR" level to protect against potential false breakdowns. However, considering the potential Black Swan scenario, additional caution is warranted.
Conclusion: The price action strongly indicates that market makers have distributed their positions, and the sharp decline aligns with the Market Maker Sell Model. Given the possibility of an unforeseen market shock, this trade could be a precursor to a more significant market downturn.
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders!
Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes.
If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts!
Refer to these videos as well:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery
Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements:
Best Regards,
The_Architect
EURUSD PROJECTION!From the chart provided we can see that EURUSD is at a very tricky area, after it tapped into daily sell-zone it reject downward breaking the first demand zone and went straight into the second demand zone which is in a high probability because it is at discount zone. if this zone fail to hold, it indicate that other zone may not hold because price is coming from strong premium zone so the best thing to do now is wait for price to do it work
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 12/08/2024We ended last week on a positive note, with four trades taken and three big wins on #EURUSD, #GBPUSD and #NZDUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped.
After an hour and 5 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential selling opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a sell position.
Although we had a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy.
After 30 minutes a bullish candle filled the FVG, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied.
Our position was profitable for approximately 15 minutes before plunging us into a drawdown. During this drawdown period, we remained composed because we had a solid risk management strategy and only risked what we could afford to lose. We allocated just 1% of our trading account to this trade, targeting a 2% return.
After 30 minutes into the trade, our stop loss was triggered, resulting in a 1% loss of our trading account. It's important to note that incurring losses is a normal part of trading. This particular strategy has a win rate of approximately 50%. However, with a positive risk-reward ratio of 1:2, adhering to this strategy can lead to consistent profitability in the long run.
Gold update 13.08.24I expect from gold to bounce back from the latest strong manipulation area. Still because of the current price action we need some confirmations if price reach this area.
The recent double top suggesting bullish price action, at least the liquidity from the top is taken. It means that the bearish move could happen after liquidity grab and finish as bearish day.
Quarter Theory: Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements!Greetings Traders, and welcome back!
In today's video, we’ll dive deep into Quarter Theory—a powerful concept that can take your trading to the next level. We’ll break it down step-by-step, explain how it works, and show you how to implement it into your strategy.
Quarter Theory is all about studying the algorithmic price delivery within the markets. It’s grounded in Time and Price Theory, which suggests that significant market moves often occur at specific price levels and times. This foundational idea will help us predict price movements more effectively.
If you haven’t already, be sure to check out the previous videos in the High Probability Trading Zones playlist for the key concepts you’ll need to fully grasp today’s content. For those watching on TradingView, links to previous videos will be included to help you catch up.
Mastering Institutional Order Flow & Price Delivery:
Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
We’re kicking off a weekly series on Quarter Theory, with the goal of helping you build a robust trading model by the end. Stay tuned!
Best Regards,
The_Architect
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST AUG 12-16: USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for AUG 12-16th.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST AUG 12-16th: USD INDICES GOLD SILVER OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast AUG 12-16th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.