Last 3 weeks of TPO in 1 week blocks for ES CME_MINI:MES1!
I merged the last three weeks to see the Point of Control on the upcoming range, Could rip through the top of this current consolidation to reach for the Value area low and the Breaker Block resting right above and then reverse back to the 4h FVG down below to gather liquidity in a sweep or a raid. Should see an expansion one way or another due to the accumulation period we just finished with on Friday. Cheers CME_MINI:MES1!
Ict
How R2F Frames Trades Using ICT ConceptsHere I use USDJPY to illustrate how I would perform a top-down analysis in order to visualize the PD Array Matrix, and thus frame possible trades.
I have 2 perspectives. From a candle science approach, and a price action approach.
Ideally, I do not want to go lower than a 4h timeframe for my candle science perspective.
I hope the video is insightful.
- R2F
XAUUSD - Gold Analysis using ICT ConceptsHere is a an analysis on XAUUSD using ICT Concepts based on our most recent price action. I take a top-down approach in analyzing price and anticipating future movements. Everything is explained in the video so watch it, and feel free to share your thoughts and ideas on what may be in store for Gold in the coming days, weeks, or months.
- R2F
R2F Weekly Analysis -10th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
EUR-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF went up sharply
But then the pair hit a
Horizontal resistance
Of 0.9487 from where
The pair is already making
A move down so we
Will be expecting a
Further price decline
Sell!
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NZDUSD - Top Down Analysis (ICT)Quite interesting chart on NZDUSD. I give my analysis and opinion on what is likely to transpire next. Let's see what happens today (Friday) as I'm expecting the weekly to close below certain levels if I am correct in price coming for the SSL first. However, it may not happen today as there is no high impact news offering a catalyst for a manipulative move lower. We could see a weak close lower and then more aggressive action on PPI and CPI next week. Again, this is under the assumption that my bias of price wanting to go for the SSL first is correct.
- R2F
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/08/2024Every trader relishes ending the trading week positively, and that was precisely our experience last week. The Judas Swing strategy produced two trades, one on EURUSD and the other on GBPUSD, both of which turned out being winners. This positive experience has heightened our excitement for the possibilities that this week may bring. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
After 25 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the low of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential buying opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a buy position.
The subsequent candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied.
This position barely experienced any drawdown, as it became profitable 25 minutes after executing the trade. We risked a mere 1% of our trading account, aiming for a 2% return from this trade. All that remained was to wait patiently, having already accepted the outcome of our trade, be it a win or a loss. Based on the data collected for NZDUSD, we anticipate an average trade duration of six hours and fifteen minutes.
After 45 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on NZDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
SOL scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 3The only setup from the livestream that I will be playing is this setup on SOL. You already know the plan, 30m FVG + demand should hold and target new highs.
The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), indicating key levels where the price has shifted its market structure, moving from a bearish to a bullish trend.
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap is a crucial zone where the price is expected to find support. This gap represents an imbalance in the market that the price may revisit to achieve equilibrium.
30-Minute Demand Zone:
The 30-minute demand zone, located just below the FVG, is another significant area of interest. This zone is where strong buying activity previously occurred, providing a potential support level for the price.
BTC Short using ICT Market Maker Sell Model (Explained)ICT Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Key Components:
1. Original Consolidation:
- This is the initial phase where the price consolidates within a range, indicating accumulation by smart money.
2. Smart Money Reversal:
- This area marks the point where smart money starts to take profit or reverse their positions, leading to a reversal in the market trend.
3. Market Structure Shift:
- This indicates a significant change in market direction with a displacement
4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- They are marked as potential areas of interest where price might return to fill these gaps.
5. Sellside Liquidity:
- This is the area where liquidity is collected, often below the market structure where stop-losses and other sell orders are triggered.
6. Re-Distribution:
- After the initial move down, the market redistributes, often retesting previous support areas or fair value gaps before continuing the trend.
Chart Analysis:
1. Consolidation Phase:
- The price starts with an original consolidation phase where accumulation occurs.
2. Upward Move:
- After consolidation, there's an upward move indicating bullish market conditions.
3. Smart Money Reversal and Low Risk Sell:
- The price reaches a peak where smart money starts to reverse their positions. The chart highlights a 'Low Risk Sell Inside FVG' which is an optimal selling point within a fair value gap, suggesting a high probability sell zone.
4. Market Structure Shift:
- After the peak, the market experiences a shift in structure, breaking previous support levels and signaling a bearish trend.
5. Downtrend and Redistribution:
- The price moves down sharply, redistributing within fair value gaps. The chart highlights these gaps (fvg) where price might retrace to fill before continuing downward.
6. Sellsides Liquidity Targeted:
- The market targets sellside liquidity, triggering sell orders and stop-losses, leading to further downward pressure.
Practical Use:
- Identifying Entry and Exit Points:
- Traders use this model to identify optimal entry (sell) points within fair value gaps and exit points where liquidity might be targeted.
- Understanding Market Phases:
- Recognizing different market phases (accumulation, distribution, and redistribution) helps in anticipating market moves.
By understanding these components and their interplay, traders can better anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions.
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BTC scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 2 Trying this risky setup on BTC after 30min FVG got tagged and we are at the 3D VAH. Aiming for the 3D VWAP but please recognise the risk here.
Break up of the setup 👇
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a key level identified on the chart. This gap indicates an area where the price moved rapidly without much trading in between, creating a potential zone for price to revisit and balance out the prior inefficiency.
3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH):
The current price is at the 3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH). This is a significant point derived from volume profile analysis over a three-day period, indicating the upper boundary of the price range where the majority of trading volume occurred.
Price Action and RSI:
The price has shown a recovery from a recent low, moving upwards to tag the 30-minute FVG. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is displayed at the bottom, providing insight into potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point:
The entry is based on the price revisiting the 30-minute FVG, an area often revisited for price correction and liquidity purposes.
Target:
The primary target for this setup is the 3-Day VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price). The 3D VWAP is a dynamic indicator representing the average price of the asset over the last three days, adjusted by volume. It is a key level where the price is likely to find support or resistance.
Going to take profits on the way down and moving my stop loss to break even.
Considering the high-risk nature of this trade, appropriate position sizing is essential. Avoid over-leveraging and ensure that the potential loss is within your risk tolerance.
NATGAS Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS is trading in a
Downtrend but the price
Has hit the horizontal support
Level of 1.90$ and we are
Already seeing a bullish
Rebound so a further
Move up is to be expected
Buy!
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USDCAD - Short Trade IdeaHere is my short trade trade for USDCAD.
Price took out trendline liquidity and a swing high on a broader outlook. Now we have reversed, creating a Unicorn model and equal lows as a target. I am waiting for a retracement into this area to confirm a trade. I would look at the lower timeframes at that point to determine if price isn't poised to trade higher.
- R2F