GBPUSD: Anticipating Continued Bearish Momentum!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At present, I anticipate a continued sell-side draw on GBPUSD, targeting the daily fair value gap, which serves as today's draw on liquidity. This area also contains relatively equal lows, which are known to harbor a significant amount of sell stops.
Key Observations:
Trend Continuation: The trend has predominantly been bearish coming into today's price action. Therefore, we anticipate that bearish arrays will continue to maintain the bearish institutional order flow.
H1 Bearish Order Block: One key array under observation is the H1 bearish order block. I expect this area to hold as a strong resistance zone, guiding the price towards our target area.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bearish Momentum: Given the current market structure, I am focusing on bearish momentum. The H1 bearish order block is anticipated to act as a significant resistance level, facilitating a move towards the daily fair value gap.
Target Levels:
Daily Fair Value Gap: The primary target is the daily fair value gap, identified as the current draw on liquidity. The presence of relatively equal lows in this area indicates a high concentration of sell stops, making it a strategic target.
Conclusion:
By understanding the prevailing bearish institutional order flow and identifying key resistance zones, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on GBPUSD. The H1 bearish order block provides a strategic resistance level, supporting our outlook towards continued bearish momentum.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Ict
WTI Oil Price Analysis: Market Dynamics and Global ChallengesCurrent Situation:
The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) has experienced a slight decline due to the strengthening of the US dollar (USD), supported by rising yields. Currently, the price of WTI is around $81.20 per barrel during European hours on Thursday, after gaining ground in the Asian session due to a larger-than-expected drop in US crude oil inventories.
Supply and Demand:
The reduction in US crude oil inventories has been significant. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a decrease of 4.87 million barrels for the week ending July 12, a figure much higher than the expected drop of 0.80 million barrels and the previous decrease of 3.443 million barrels. This decline in inventories may suggest robust domestic demand, which can have a positive effect on oil prices.
Impact of Monetary Policies:
Expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce interest rates in September could improve economic conditions in the United States. With lower borrowing costs, economic activity could increase, which in turn could support oil demand. Statements by Fed Governor Christopher Waller and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin indicate a possible rate cut, which could further incentivize oil demand.
Market Pressures:
Despite some positive signs, the overall decline in commodity demand expectations continues to threaten the energy complex. According to Daniel Ghali, senior commodity strategist at TDS, the absence of an increase in supply risk premia could continue to exert downward pressure on prices. However, Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) still have substantial resources to deploy in the market, which could limit price declines in the short term, barring a significant downturn.
Global Challenges:
Another challenge for WTI oil prices is the economic slowdown in China in the second quarter, which reduces demand from the world's largest oil-importing country. Increasing trade tensions, with new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles imposed by the United States and the European Union, contribute to an uncertain global economic outlook, negatively impacting oil demand.
Bullish B.O.S / Liquidity Formed (target) / Voids for respect> 15 Min Void (1st Void taken out - possible sign of 2nd void can be taken out
> 1 Hour Liquidity as target (POI)
> Bullish structure on higher time frames
> 1 Hour Void is created from one candle on 1H timeframe raising confluence of price no brainer has to fill this void (DEMAND) & Slippage *because single candle*
> Price resisting going lower
XAUUSD i love manipulation!!! whats going on gold gang! lol what a crazy time to be alive
gold making all time highs and then BOOOOM fell out of the sky hard in london close session yesterday .. luckily we caught some of it .. all the way back down to retest the old all time high (something we talked about previously)
whats next?1
its alllll up in the air currently price very strong in asian session pushing us back into the middle of the range .. a retest of the trend to sell would normally be go to but that psychological 2500 still looms and people will be reaching for that ... need to see what london session brings to us!!
lets strap in
tommy
ETHEREUM Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
ETHEREUM made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 3518$ and we are already
Seeing a rejection and a
Bearish reaction that followed
So we will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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GBPUSD: Potential Intraday Sell Opportunity!Greetings Traders,
Current Market Analysis:
At present, I am observing a potential intraday opportunity to sell off into the H1 bullish order block, which is residing in discount prices. I am already in a sell trade on GBPUSD, taken earlier.
Key Observations:
M15 Breaker Block: We have experienced a pullback into an M15 breaker block situated in premium prices. This zone presents a potential area to seek confirmations for selling opportunities, targeting the draw on liquidity, which is the H1 bullish order block.
M15 Bearish Order Block: There is also a possibility of price pushing further into premium prices, reaching the M15 bearish order block. This is another area where we can look for potential selling opportunities.
Trading Strategy:
Selling Opportunities: Focus on seeking confirmations to sell off around the M15 breaker block and the M15 bearish order block, targeting the H1 bullish order block residing in discount prices.
Target Levels:
H1 Bullish Order Block: The primary target is the H1 bullish order block, aligned with the current draw on liquidity. The aim is to see price fill the liquidity void.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current market structure and identifying key areas for potential selling opportunities, we can effectively execute intraday trades on GBPUSD. The pullback into the M15 breaker block and the possibility of reaching the M15 bearish order block provide strategic points for selling, guiding our approach towards capitalizing on intraday opportunities.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 16/07/2024 - big win!Last week, we had awesome trading sessions using the Judas swing strategy. We entered 7 positions across 4 major currency pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD, and secured 5 Big wins! The results we've achieved with this strategy have heightened our anticipation for our trading sessions. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
In a few minutes the low of the zone was swept, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips.
The position underwent minimal drawdown, after 5 minutes we were already in profit. What remains is for us to exercise patience and allow the trade to unfold to our advantage.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting TP.
After 4 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
EURUSD - Another Trade Analysis Using ICT ConceptsVery beautiful again today.
With the expectation of higher prices, I took a long on EURUSD. As I illustrate in the video, there were very nice algorithmic price action and sentiment manipulated. All the things I love to see in a high-probability setup.
I hope you enjoy the video and found it insightful.
- R2F
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: UPDATES!! Wed July 17thWe are updating you on the Forecasts posted for July 15-19th.
Was the analysis accurate? Did we reach our targets? Was the Bias correct?
USD Index, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, (usdcad, usdchf)
SP500, Nasdaq, Crude Oil, Gold, Silver
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR-USD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 1.0917
Which is a support now and
The breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
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EURUSD: Bullish Draw Toward Daily Buy Stops!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, EURUSD is exhibiting signs of a potentially bullish draw toward the daily buy stops.
Key Observations:
H1 Bullish Structure: The internal structure on the H1 timeframe has shifted to bullish, indicating a potential for further upward movement in EURUSD.
H1 Bullish Order Block: Currently, price is supported by the H1 bullish order block, which may serve as a springboard for further upside movement. This suggests that the market is drawing towards the daily buy stops, which is my primary target.
H1 Sell Stops: If price takes the sell stops, I will still be looking forward to taking a buying opportunity provided the market gives me a confirmation to do so.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on Bullish Order Flow: Given the evidence of bullish institutional order flow, the strategy is to look for entry opportunities around the H1 bullish order block.
Target Levels:
Draw on Liquidity: The target is the daily buy stops, as indicated by the current bullish order flow and market structure on the H1 timeframe.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bullish institutional order flow and leveraging key support and resistance levels, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on EURUSD. The shift in H1 structure and the support from the H1 bullish order block point towards a bullish draw, guiding our strategy towards taking advantage of long opportunities in the market.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
SEI - Altcoin Setup 16.07.2024I longed some SEI with low leverage, spot is also possible as this has a wider stop loss. I have been talking about this kind of reaction after the latest pullback in the last live stream and SEI was moving very well after this.
We flipped the resistance and the bearish structure and got the retest and thats my trigger there. ✅
BITCOIN Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is going up now
And the coin broke the key
Horizontal level of 63,500$
Then made a retest and
Shot upwards again which
Reinforces out local bullish
Bias and makes us expect
A further move up
Buy!
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GBPUSD: Anticipating Short-Term Bearish Reversal!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, GBPUSD has been primarily bullish coming into this week. However, recent price action indicates that we might anticipate some bearish institutional order flow to meet minor targets before potentially continuing the bullish trend.
Key Observations:
Market Structure Shift: We have seen a market structure shift, suggesting a potential reversal. This bearish sentiment was further confirmed when the price respected the Balanced Price Range, leaving the Fair Value Gap above it as a runaway gap. This indicates that the price has no immediate need to move further into premium prices.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Strategy: I am looking to see if the price retraces back into the H1 bearish order block. This will be my primary entry point. If the price does not retrace into the H1 bearish order block, I will seek other entry methods, provided the price gives me a confirmation to do so.
Target Levels: The main target is the Daily Bullish Fair Value Gap, which is my draw on liquidity.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current bearish institutional order flow and leveraging key support and resistance levels, we can effectively anticipate and execute trades on GBPUSD. The observed market structure shift and the respect for the Balanced Price Range support a bearish outlook in the short term, guiding our strategy towards taking advantage of short opportunities while keeping an eye on the potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect