GBP-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is about to retest
The horizontal support
Level below at 1.3383
And as this is a strong
Support level we will be
Expecting a local bullish
Rebound and a move up
Buy!
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AUD-CHF Risky Short From Falling Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend along the falling
Resistance line so we are
Bearish biased and after
The potential retest of the
Falling resistance we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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CHF-JPY Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY keeps growing in
An uptrend and the pair is
Locally oversold so after the
Retest of the horizontal
Resistance of 186.000
From where we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Pullback on Monday
Sell!
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NZD_JPY PULLBACK EXPECTED|SHORT|
✅NZD_JPY has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair has approached
A horizontal resistance of 88.900
Price fall is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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AUD_NZD GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅AUD_NZD fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit at 1.0910
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 1.0930
LONG🚀
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7/21/25 ((NAS100)) analysisPrice is definitely going up
may come down to quickly tap the daily FVG first
perhaps in the beginning of the week
---Monday/Tuesday style but not married to that Idea
could also come back to hit that volume weekly line thing
I just decided to implement lol who knows
anyways I plan to be in BUYS all week long BABYYY
EUR-NZD Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is making a local
Bearish correction while trading
In an uptrend along he rising
Support so after the pair hits
The support line a local bullish
Rebound is to be expected
Buy!
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NZD-JPY Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY has hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 88.851
And we are already seeing
A bearish reaction so we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish move down
On Monday!
Sell!
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Bitcoin - Bearflag Structure Taking ShapeBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from a 4H fair value gap, where price also swept the previous swing high. This aligns well with a broader bearish context as the market failed to sustain above the upper bounds of the trend channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish correction.
Rejection Zone and Fair Value Gap
The rejection took place precisely within a 4H imbalance, adding confluence to the idea that this was a premium retracement in a bearish leg. The high formed inside that zone has now been swept, setting up conditions for distribution. A smaller 1H fair value gap was also left behind during the displacement move down, creating a clean area for price to return to and potentially react from.
Channel Structure and Bearflag Formation
Structurally, price has been climbing in a rising channel that resembles a bearflag pattern. The recent market structure shift broke the channel low, confirming that the rising structure is likely corrective. The rejection from the top of the flag and the subsequent breakdown align with a typical bearflag setup, suggesting a continuation move to the downside.
Short-Term Retracement Expectation
Before the next leg down, price may retrace to fill the unmitigated fair value gap while possibly sweeping the minor swing high that caused the current drop. This retracement would offer a premium shorting opportunity in alignment with the bearish bias, especially if internal structure remains weak on the lower timeframes during the return to the FVG.
Draw on Liquidity and Price Objective
The main objective for this setup is a sweep of the last equal lows near 115950, which represents a strong draw on liquidity. If the bearflag setup plays out fully, this area is highly vulnerable and could be the next significant target once the FVG is filled and lower timeframe distribution confirms.
Conclusion
Price has rejected from a 4H imbalance and swept liquidity to the upside, forming a clean bearflag structure. As long as price remains below the recent high and fills the 1H FVG without invalidating the shift, the path of least resistance looks to be down toward the liquidity resting below 115950. I’ll be watching for signs of weakness during the return to the FVG for a potential short trigger.
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USD_JPY STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅USD_JPY is in a strong
Long-term uptrend now
And the pair is accumulating
For the next leg up so we will
Be expecting a bullish continuation
On Monday!
LONG🚀
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EUR_AUD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅EUR_AUD is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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CAD-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY keeps trading in
An uptrend and there is a
Rising support below so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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GBPAUD: Weekly Reversal | COT & Seasonality Support Bullish📊 Technical Outlook
Price strongly reacted from a key weekly demand zone between 2.0400 and 2.0500, showing clear absorption of bearish pressure. The RSI is rebounding from the 30 area, signaling early reversal potential.
The next technical target lies between 2.08900 and 2.10000, within a well-defined supply zone.
An early bullish reversal is in progress, with potential for a swing move toward the red zone.
🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT Report – 08/07/2025)
GBP: Non-commercial traders are net long, with positioning growing across the board: +869 longs / -926 shorts. Commercials reduce shorts and increase longs → Bullish bias.
AUD: Non-commercials are clearly short (-2,267 longs / +1,957 shorts). Commercials are increasing long exposure (+2,629), but still in the minority → Bearish bias.
➡️ The COT spread confirms a GBP long vs AUD short bias.
📅 Seasonality (July)
GBP: Historically strong in July, with average monthly gains across all timeframes (especially the 2Y window).
AUD: Less favorable seasonal profile in July; flat to slightly negative across all time horizons.
➡️ Seasonality supports GBP strength.
📉 Retail Sentiment
58% Long / 42% Short on GBPAUD
➡️ Retail traders are still heavily long → a shakeout of weak long hands is possible before the real rally begins.
🎯 Strategic Conclusion
GBP shows bullish convergence across technical, COT, and seasonal factors. AUD presents clear weakness.
The current price zone offers a clean entry point for longs, targeting the 2.08900–2.10000 supply zone.
EURJPY Hits Major Weekly Supply | Is the Bull Run Over?EUR/JPY – Institutional Macro Context (COT)
EUR (Euro)
Non-commercials net longs increased by +16,146 → strong buying.
Commercials added +25,799 long positions.
✅ Bias: Moderately bullish.
JPY (Japanese Yen)
Non-commercials decreased longs by -4,432.
Commercials cut -20,405 long contracts.
❌ Bias: Bearish pressure remains on JPY.
Conclusion (COT): EUR remains fundamentally strong, JPY structurally weak. Institutional flows favor long EUR/JPY, but positioning is stretched.
Seasonality (July)
EURJPY shows strong bullish seasonality in July, especially over the 2Y and 5Y averages (+1.03% and +0.66% respectively).
✅ Seasonality bias: Bullish.
Retail Sentiment
89% of traders are short on EUR/JPY.
Contrarian bias = bullish confirmation.
Technical Analysis (Weekly View)
Price is pushing into a major weekly supply zone around 172.50–173.00.
RSI still elevated but showing signs of weakening momentum.
Potential double top structure forming in confluence with liquidity grab.
First downside target sits around 169.50 (daily demand zone).
Awaiting a reaction in supply and confirmation for short.
Trading Plan (Top-Down)
Wait for price to reject the 172.50–173.00 area
Watch for bearish confirmation on Daily (engulfing or lower high)
Target: 169.50 zone
Risk: tight above 173.20 (invalidating supply zone)
Smart Money Reloading: Will EUR/USD Explode from Demand Zone?📊 Technical Context (Daily)
EUR/USD is currently in a corrective phase following the strong June rebound from the 1.1450 area, which culminated in a high near the 1.1850 supply zone.
The recent bearish move has pushed the pair back into a key demand area between 1.1450 and 1.1550, a zone that has acted as support multiple times in the past.
The latest weekly candle shows a potential bullish exhaustion signal (long lower wick), with the RSI hovering in oversold territory.
📌 Primary scenario: Possible consolidation above 1.1550 followed by a bullish continuation toward 1.1750–1.1800.
📌 Alternative scenario: Break of the recent lows could lead to a deeper retest of the 1.1350 zone.
📈 COT (Commitment of Traders)
Non-commercial positioning shows growing bullish interest in the euro:
EUR: +971 new longs, -6,654 shorts → strong increase in net long exposure.
USD Index: -267 longs, +92 spreads → signs of institutional indecision on the dollar.
This suggests a favorable shift toward the euro by smart money.
💡 Retail Sentiment
Retail traders remain heavily short on EUR/USD (63% short) with an average entry price of 1.1579.
This reinforces the contrarian bullish case, as retail traders are trapped short in a potential reversal zone.
📆 Seasonality
Historically, July has been a bullish month for EUR/USD:
➕ 2Y average return: +0.0287
➕ 5Y average return: +0.0166
This supports a seasonal bullish bias aligning with the current technical setup.
✅ Operational Outlook
EUR/USD is trading at a technically and macroeconomically significant area. The confluence of:
Weekly demand zone being tested
RSI in oversold conditions
COT positioning favoring the euro
Retail sentiment skewed short
Bullish seasonality
…makes a bullish bounce plausible in the coming weeks, with a first target at 1.1750. Invalidation level below 1.1450.
📌 Bias: Moderately Bullish
📍 Technical Activation Zone: Above 1.1550 with confirmed bullish price action
EUR-AUD Strong Uptrend! Buy!
Hello, Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading along
The rising support line in a
Strong uptrend so we we are
Bullish biased and as the pair
Is going down to retest the
Support we will be expecting
A rebound and a move up
Buy!
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EUR_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅EUR_NZD is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 1.9544
LONG🚀
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USD-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and the pair
Already made a bullish
Rebound and is consolidating
In a local range so as we
Are bullish biased we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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NZD-USD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD already made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 0.5992 from where we
Are seeing a bearish reaction
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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US30: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 44,325.14 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 44,425.56.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,358.13 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,349.76.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 38.281 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16557 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16419..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️