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Ict

The 3-Step Method For High-Quality AnalysisIn this video I give you the 3-step method I use to do my analysis. By incorporating these steps, it is also how I do my top-down analysis. You can think of it as a checklist as well. First, I have my Bias, which determines where I believe price is drawn to. For example in the case of SMC/ICT Concepts, we observe where the liquidity is in the market and use that to frame where price is likely going to go to sooner or later. Secondly, I have my Narrative, which is on a lower timeframe, and paints the picture of HOW price is going to form in order to initiate the move to that price target. This usually includes more engineered liquidity on lower timeframes, and manipulation to happen. Thirdly, I have my Confirmation, which is where I want to enter a trade. This is the lowest of the three timeframes, and is the final point in which I will frame a trade setup. Usually I will look for the exact same things I look for in my Bias and Narrative, but on this timeframe. I also tend to include the factor of time, such as Killzones, Seasonality, and News Drivers. Note that the timeframes can be anything you want them to be, and you are not restricted from moving from timeframe to timeframe. But, the important thing is to be consistent with WHERE you believe price is going, HOW you think it may get there (this can change as price forms), and again WHERE you are going to enter a trade. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 13/05/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes: - Making sure the timezone is set to New York time - Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Marking the high and low of the zone Next, we patiently awaited price action to take the liquidity positioned on either side of the trading zone, providing us with a directional bias for the trading period. In this instance, liquidity was taken at the highs after 10 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the opposite side (sell side) to indicate selling. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Next, we waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. In this case, the subsequent candle that formed was a bullish one, closing within the Fair Value Gap. Our stop loss is set above the high that formed the Break of Structure (BoS) leg, with a minimum requirement of 10 pips. In this instance, placing the stop loss above the high would result in only 7 pips, necessitating an increase to meet the 10-pip minimum. This rule was established not by chance, but through extensive backtesting of numerous trades, demonstrating how it prevents us from being stopped out before price moves in our favor. After executing our trade, we experienced a significant drawdown that nearly reached our stop-loss level, only for the price to eventually reverse in our favor. Had we set a 7 pip stop, we would have been stopped out; however, our rule of a minimum 10 pip stop saved us from that outcome. Although the price reversed again and entered a drawdown, we remained unfazed by this reversal due to our cautious risk management strategy. We had committed just 1% of our capital to this trade, with the prospect of a 2% return. We maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades. The GBPUSD pair then consolidated around our entry point, prolonging our involvement in this trade. However, based on our collected data, we anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x-3x longer for the trade. Patience is crucial in trading, as it often places you in challenging situations We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
by CleoFinance
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 7 - ETHUSD - (16th May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing ETHUSD, starting from the Monthly chart. - R2F
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by Road_2_Funded
Potential Long Setup on OPWe've identified a promising long setup on OP with several strong confluences: 1. **Sweep of MDay-Low Range**: The price has swept the MDay-Low range, moving right into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Demand zone. 2. **Bullish Market Structure**: The market remains bullish as long as the demand holds. 3. **Range Low Within Demand**: The range low is situated inside the demand zone. 4. **Multiple FVGs Above**: Various FVGs on different time frames are positioned between $2.83 and $2.97. We anticipate these levels will be taken out in the future, though the timing is uncertain. Additionally, we have lost the trendline and retested it perfectly, which should provide sufficient momentum to the downside, allowing us to get filled here. We have set the stop loss a bit wider than usual to account for a potential dip below the demand zone to capture the resting liquidity there. All these factors combined provide enough momentum and security to validate this setup as a high-probability trade.
Long
by stromm_by_wmc
1
EURUSD - A Top-down Analysis (BEARISH BIAS)I'm going to start from the yearly timeframe and work my way down to the monthly, weekly, and lastly the daily timeframe. Here on the yearly timeframe we have price coming into a yearly SIBI a couple of times before displacing down into a yearly Sibi. After which, we have a close above equilibrium, and the subsequent year came up into a yearly Breaker (Body) before what looks now like a move lower to take out at the very least the previous year's low. 12-MONTH On the 6-month timeframe we see a nested Sibi support my bearish bias/narrative. At this point I do not see any discount PD Arrays, but I will be mindful of consequent encroachment of large wick of the swing low's candle. 6-MONTH On a closer review of the 1-month timeframe, we see a monthly BISI seemingly about to close below it. If that is the case, I would like to see a return into that to be treated as an iFVG. My current draw on liquidity is the relative equal lows (Body). 1-MONTH On the weekly timeframe we have an even clearer picture. The recent displacement is more prominent, and we can see that a weekly SIBI was created into the monthly potential iFVG (BPR). High up at my second POI is a weekly Bearish Orderblock that may still be a viable possibility for price to reach towards. Inside of that is a daily Unicorn model, which can be seen on the current daily chart. Much of my narrative is based on red folder news coinciding with how I am anticipating the weekly candles to close, mostly anticipating it closing below the SIBIs/iFVGs. The closer price gets to one of the major red folder news events such as CPI/PPI/FOMC, the more extreme of a displacement I am expecting. It is also key that I see some sort of manipulation to take place to shake out the retail crowd. 1-WEEK So, let's see what unfolds in the coming weeks. Trade safe! - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
Trade Like a Sniper - Episode 6 - XPDUSD - (15th May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing XPDUSD, starting from the Monthly chart. - R2F
OANDA:XPDUSD
by Road_2_Funded
XAUUSD LONG AND SHORTHi Guys, its been a long time since i published an analysis. and I'm back again Gold sore the other day and reached the 2379 level which was the resistance, and has managed to cool off those buyers. As always there are some demand and supply levels to take trade from. Our immediate demand level would be around 53-49 which upon reaching, with confirmation we will take trades. If the level is breached other levels below would become possible long points. Those who want to go short ,currently level around 73-75 is a suitable point and above that levels 85,93,403,412,.... My view is that Before continuing higher market needs to see lower prices and demand levels to test. * As always add your own intuition and logic into this analysis and proceed with safety measures in place. Be honorable
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh
RNDR - another long opportunityRender is reacting more than others and it seems to be in an different market structure here as we have been building more higher higher lows and higher highs when zooming out. Currently we are on the edge of the MDay-Low range, we are looking for a sweep of this Weak Low and the MDay-Low right into the 1H demand zone and the range low. The volume profile should hold too. If RNDR is not holding this case, we are going to drop to $8.68-8, where we are going to set new entrys in case we fall through the demand. This setup is more risky as BTC seems to not get above the desired 63.5k level. Manage your risk accordingly.
RLong
by stromm_by_wmc
R2F Weekly Analysis - 13th May 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. Without any prior preparations on the chart, I'm going to go through various pairs, and giving a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends before the new week. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what i'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it! If you are lazy to watch the video, which is your loss, the TLDR is that I am still bullish Dollar and waiting for the manipulation and reversal back to the upside, potentially this week with CPI/PPI/FOMC red folder news occurring. All my analysis of other pairs revolve around this. I did not go to the sub 4H timeframe in this video, but how I do my analysis on the higher timeframes is the same as how I would look for entries on the lower timeframes. The only difference is that I would consider the ICT Killzones and weekday tendencies along my usual techniques. Hit me up if you want to learn more or are struggling to find your footing and need help. - R2F
Long
by Road_2_Funded
When Are You READY to Trade with REAL MONEY?Hello hello, R2F here with another discussion. Today, I'd like to go over the question, 'when do you know you are ready to trade with real money?' Too many traders rush into trading with real capital before they are ready, and end up losing more money than neccessary on learning journey. People are generally impatient creatures and want to get into actions as soon as possible. Perhaps they want to find out if they are magically a trading savant before wasting time on all the usual work that is required. However, trading is extremely simple, albeit not easy. The difficult part comes in the form of the investment of time and experience, and refining yourself as a person. Once you had that in the bag, trading offers the potential for generational wealth that comes with the freedom of time. Without further ado, I share my thoughts on how to approach this burning question. - R2F
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Education
by Road_2_Funded
39
EURUSD Trade study short/longTrade study using Asian range. Trade went below opening candle in London session indicating bullish but wasn't noticed. Price also took the Asian lows before moving up. Price then consolidated before taking the Asian high, then took the recent swing low at lower timeframe indicating out POI. Price then eventually achieved our target Price Asian range low then took Thursdays (Asian high +4) before taking our initial Target (Asian range -1). Trading in Friday is complicated but with proper risk management we was able to take a 1:1.2rr trade Using proper risk management is always necessary which I didn't do for some reason NOTE : PRICE ALWAYS MOVES FOR A REASON
Education
by xppreciate
Trade Like a Sniper - Episode 4 - XAGUSD - (10th May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing XAGUSD, starting from the Monthly chart. - R2F
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDEducation
by Road_2_Funded