GBP/USD 4H Indicating BearishnessHi traders, it's yet another week and this means fresh opportunities in the majors. Today I bring to your attention the short position I am currently holding on GBP/USD . This pair is currently in a longterm downtrend, therefore the highest probability trades will be found shorting the pair, this frames my bias.
On May 4th the market ran just above the high of April 29th on FOMC volatility , the market then returned below this high, breaking market structure in the process, traders using institutional concepts refer to this as the stop hunt. With this framework, once price returned to the breaker which initiated the stop hunt, I entered my short positions. The stop loss of the trade is placed above the 4H breaker block (the block is represented by the red rectangle ) and my final take profit level is placed at the high of the 4H fair value gap. The level represented by the blue line indicates where I will take my first partial if price moves in my favour. I have selected this level since it is an area of mitigation and so price can bounce from there.
More details of the overall framework of this trade is explained in further detail in my first publication, which can be seen below this publication in the "related ideas" section. I really appreciate you for reading this post and remember, buy/sell at levels that make sense and let the market do the rest.
May the markets be with you.
Ictbreaker
THE ICT BREAKER!hello, so you want a model that will get you profits? LOOK NO FURTHER!!!!
this is the ICT BREAKER, this mode (and other confluences) is ALL, YOU, NEED.
if you confluence the BREAKER with...
- BMS
- OTE
- PREM /DISC RANGE
- INTERNAL LIQUIDITY
WHAT. MORE. COULD. YOU. WANT.
what is labelled, as the purple box, THAT IS YOUR BREAKER BLOCK, YOU TRADE IN HERE WITH THE RIGHT FRAMEWORK AND CONFLUENCES.
ICT BREAKER SETUPhello, so you want a model that will get you profits? LOOK NO FURTHER!!!!
this is the ICT BREAKER, this mode (and other confluences) is ALL, YOU, NEED.
if you confluence the BREAKER with...
- BMS
- OTE
- PREM/DISC RANGE
- INTERNAL LIQUIDITY
WHAT. MORE. COULD. YOU. WANT.
what is labelled, as the purple box, THAT IS YOUR BREAKER BLOCK, YOU TRADE IN HERE WITH THE RIGHT FRAMEWORK AND CONFLUENCES.
BTCUSD✓From monthly timeframe BTC is falling and is expected to go below 38000 befort regain it's momentum up.
✓Break of Market structure observed at 406500, which indicates the probability for price to drope is so high.
✓ price also show strong resistance zone at 42290.
✓ This zone can also be considered as liquidity zone, therefore an interesting area above it can be valid entry setup for sell.
✓The high probable selling zone is between 42500 and 42750.
✓ At this zone one can find any berish confirmation and enter or can enter direct and put stop loss above the zone.
Dollar Index {DXY} High Time Frame Analysis Dollar Index {DXY} High Time Frame Analysis my bias this week is bullish on dollar index we want to get setup one of this levels and see how Sunday candle may open and how the weekly candle form i mean weekly template the heavy high impact on this week is Tuesday & Weds day we expect manipulation accumulation & distribution
USDCHF - Looking for Reversal in the Following WeekUSDCHF
SELL LIMIT @ 0.92917
Stop Loss: 0.92998 (Add Spread)
TP 1 (1R): 0.92837 (20%, SL → BE, Scalp TP )
TP 2 (3R): 0.92677 (30%)
TP 3 (5R): 0.92516 (30%)
TP 4 (10R): 0.2115 (20%)
Explanation: Looking for price to test this resistance area in the late into this week or at the start of the 26th week. The rejection from the level might suggest we will get some impulsive price action from the level. Will enter after seeing confirmation in the form of BOS or a Wyckoff schematic of some sort.
GBPCHF 90% WILL IGNORE THIS SETUPbreak of structure for potential downside movement {plus the daily time frame the price is approaching the equal highs meaning we might see sellers ,
THE WAY IN WHICH WE WILL USE TO APPROACH THIS IS ALWAYS BY BEING REACTIVE AND NOT PREDICITVE - NO CONFRIMATION - NO ENTRY .
XRP ready for the last DUMP before MAJOR PUMP - BUY OPPORTUNITYXRP is on the precipice of the last Dump, before a MAJOR PUMP headed for the ATH.
Price action is now headed for 2 specific areas in the chart, which cointain a massive amount of liquidity that will help to be used to pump a very strong reversal.
The main Technical Factors are: (Based on WEEKLY Chart)
1/ Between 0.11100 cents and 0.06200 there is a WEEKLY LIQUIDITY VOID
2/ There is a Breaker that has NOT yet been retested, at exactly 0.06200
3/ A double bottom was formed inside the price region of 0.17131
Note that the double bottom was finally formed (on 22nd June Week) to induce institutional money/traders to go LONG
There is a ton of institutional money sitting there in the form of Stops. The algo used to move the market, is based on 2 primary functions. Produce and retest, liquidity voids, orderblocks and breakers. Thus, the Market Makers (Manipulators) are now coming back for this liquidity and once stops are taken out (which go down low as far as 0.06200 cents) the liquidity will be used to pump the market back up to the previous ATH (a super reversal) to approx $3.80 and beyond.
The main Fundamental factors are:
1/ The SEC is suing Ripple, claiming they sold a security to fund their company, back in 2013
2/ There is a 5 year statutory limitation on such issues, where any alleged tort that occurred more than 5 years ago, cannot be prosecuted. We are 7 years from the tort, thus past the 5 year limit.
The case against Ripple will be thrown out of court, which is set for a hearing on the 19th of January 2021.
References:
* www . paulweiss . com/practices/litigation/securities-litigation/publications/us-supreme-court-clarifies-scope-of-5-year-statute-of-limitations-in-sec-enforcement-proceedings?id=12684
* dailyhodl . com/2020/12/29/first-court-date-set-in-landmark-case-pitting-sec-against-ripple-labs/
3/ The SEC Claim that XRP is a security. However XRP CANNOT be a security because:
a) XRP existed BEFORE Ripple was even a company. XRP was Originally OpenCoin and was made by 3 people, 2 of which work in Ripple, the other heads the XLM project.
b) OpenCoin was Gifted to Ripple many years after it was made, then Ripple changed the name to Ripple Coin and finally to XRP
c) If Ripple were to cease business tomorrow, XRP would still be traded on the markets, because it is NOT a representation or Share/Stock of Ripple, it is a Coin, it is a currency/commodity.
d) XRP does NOT pass the Howey test, it is NOT a security. By the SEC saying that XRP is a security, is stating the same as me being able to buy Amazon stocks, BEFORE Amazon was even a registered company.
e) There are many more legal points to consider, best place to find that would be to start here:
* newconomy . media/news/california-court-refused-to-support-sec-in-the-case-of-recognizing-a-cryptocurrency-token-as-a-security
* www . investopedia . com/terms/h/howey-test.asp
4/ In the markets, both Regulated and Unregulated, we often see Dump and Pump scenarios, mainly organised by whales who are able to 'induce' panic selling, so that the amateur and inexperienced investor, will dump their holdings, thus inducing a mass sell off which gives downward pressure to the market value of the commodity/coin/stock.
We don't have to look that far back when we can recall in 2017, JP Morgan CEO Dimon, stated that 'Bitcoin is a scam', only to induce a panic sell off of Bitcoin and then the very next day, JP Morgan were found out to have 'bougt the dip' thus buying the majority of bitcoin sold off, at 'discounted' prices. A trick where when used in 'regulated' markets, lands the institution in hot water. Due to the fact that crypto is NOT regulated, yet, institutions can get away with such skullduggery.
5/ The obvious game in play here, is to remove as many amateur holders of XRP as possible, to induce a mass sell off, purely based on Fear and rhetoric. Dump the price down to the previous breaker (An Orderblock that has had it's structure broken), and retest it, thus using the liquidity that has been sitting there for around 3 years to help pump the price upwards.
6/ Note that when stops are taken out, it doesn't only concern institutional money, it also carries with it, amateur and funds management positions, which usually get liquidated in the Derivatives/Futures market. This greatly contributes to the upward pressure of the market price, thus you will notice when observing whale feels in telegram (for example) when LARGE and SIGNIFICANT long positions are liquidated, the market price is pushed down, thus a dump occurs. When LARGE and SIGNIFICANT SHORT positions are liquidated, the market price is pushed UP and a Pump occurs.
7/ Ripple are the only Crypto company that has been following the SEC regulations and preparing themselves properly for Regulatory framework. So many staff have been hired by ripple that were previous employees of the SEC, which ensures conformity with regulatory framework.
8/ This last dump that is due to occur, will be the last dump before a massive pump, which will see new ATH achieved. Although I've explained above how the reversal is achieved in a Technical sense, there is also a fundamental aspect of this and that is directly related to the XRP/BTC market, rather than the XRP/USDT market. This is directly due to the impending SEC determination that the USDT Tether coin was and is Fraudulent, and upon the SEC determination, will induce a mass exodus of liquidity FROM BTC ---> TO XRP, thus producing the massive pump we have been expecting.
The liquidity from both Stops taken out as well as liquidity at the breaker, plus all LONGs that will be taken out and accounts liquidated will ultimately all contribute to the massive pump that we are expecting to happen.
9/ The games people play... As we note, such games are played out in diverse markets. The crypto market is not any different to other markets throughout the hundreds of years they have been around.
Crypto, although very young in comparison, is not immune to market manipulation, especially because it is unregulated at present.
Please take some time to have a look at the following 2x charts, where a comparison between XRP ---> TESLA &
tradingview . com/chart/XRPUSD/spRskwyU-Game-TSLA-CEK-18-XRP-CEK/
XRP Comparison and alternative (retail) analysis
tradingview . com/chart/XRPUSD/N8zebeLo-XRP-USD-2018-08-09-200-2020-12/
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* A note to the BTC maximalist that wants to comment with FUD and negativity on this chart.
- Before you start shooting your mouth off writing XRP is a scam, you should be more concerned about your own Bitcoin as there is a MAJOR SEC lawsuit already in motion against USDT Tether.
The Tether coin IS fraudulent and was used to initially pump the price of Bitcoin. We all know that USDT is NOT backed by anything and IS FRAUDULENT which means once the SEC is done with Tether, Bitcoin is expected to Dump extremely hard, probably down to the region of anywhere between $100 to $5K. Yes its a broad price range, but never has such fraudulent activity been experienced in this crypto market using so much fraudulent coin USDT.
- Re-read the above fundamentals statements to understand more about the XRP case and it's merits.
- You should remember what happened in 2017 with JP Morgan CEO Dimon, where he badmouthed Bitcoin stating it was a scam, and the coin dumped particularly viciously, only to be bought back up by JP Morgan themselves at 'discounted' prices. Its all a big boys game and Bitcoin maximalists are little children playing in shark infested waters. Better wake up now before you all get burned
- Between the dates of the 15th of January till the 29th of January, 2021, we should see BOTH SEC cases determined. This should be that XRP is NOT a security and has NOT violated any regulations and XRP is NOT a security (see above again for a refresher) and that USDT IS fraudulent, not backed by gold or cash and was used to pump the price of Bitcoin. Thus expect a massive exodus of Bitcoin directly into the XRP market, pumping XRP higher past any logical targets we currently have.
- Everytime there is a massive dump, made in this way, it is usually followed by a super massive pump. There is GREAT buying opportunities here, not a doom and gloom scenario for XRP. But if you own Bitcoin, you might want to dump it now before the official bitcoin dump occurs during the SEC USDT court determination that USDT IS fraudulent and was used to fraudulently pump bitcoin.
Main reference here:
* coindesk . com/crypto-traders-lawsuit-claims-bitfinex-tether-cost-market-over-1-trillion
* fxstreet . com/cryptocurrencies/news/us-treasury-to-consider-stablecoins-as-security-202012301155
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These are my thoughts and opinions, this is not financial advice or investment advice. Trade & invest at your own risk. Education is the best form of money & risk management.
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