GBPUSD: Continuation of Momentary Bullish Order-Flow!Greetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, GBPUSD is showing bullish momentum, particularly on the smaller timeframes. This is due to the inefficiency (liquidity void) present before the H4 bearish order block. The market strives for efficiency, and thus returns to fill these inefficiencies over time. I anticipate a continuation towards the H4 bearish order block.
Key Observations:
Confluence Factors: The H4 mitigation block is aligned with the H1 bullish order block, creating a strong institutional support zone. This alignment supports a risked entry towards the upside.
Risked & Confirmation Entry Strategy: I will take a risked entry on the H1 order block, However if the price takes out the H1 sell stops, I will consider a confirmation entry towards the upside.
Target Levels:
Engineered Trendline Liquidity: The price has created trendline liquidity, which we expect the market to absorb.
H4 Bearish Order Block: The main target is the H4 bearish order block, a strong draw due to the liquidity void present before it.
Trading Strategy:
Institutional Support Zone: Entering at the institutional support zone provided by the H4 mitigation block and H1 bullish order block alignment offers a strategic buying opportunity.
Upside Targets: The primary targets are the engineered trendline liquidity and the H4 bearish order block. These targets are in line with the bullish draw on liquidity.
Conclusion:
By understanding the momentary bullish institutional order flow and leveraging key support and resistance levels, we can anticipate and execute trades on GBPUSD effectively. The confluence of the H4 mitigation block and H1 bullish order block provides a robust support zone, guiding our strategy towards profitable buying opportunities.
For a comprehensive understanding of why I have been looking for a bullish draw this week on GBPUSD, please follow this link to a detailed post.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Ictconcepts
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 17/06/2024 Following a successful trading week, we approached our trading desks in high spirits, eagerly anticipating the start of the trading session. While our week included trading FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD we’re showing this classic example using $AUDUSD. At 8:25 AM EST, we began the day by running through the essentials on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which includes:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
Now that our zones are demarcated, we anticipate a liquidity sweep on either side of the trading zone, as this will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 5 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied.
Ideally, our stop loss should be set at the low of 0.65854, but that would place our stop loss at approximately 6 pips, which is too tight for our strategy. Extensive backtesting has shown that tight stop losses are often triggered before price reverses and moves in our intended direction. Consequently, we have implemented a minimum stop loss of 10 pips for all our trades.
After executing the trade, we experienced a minor drawdown for approximately 25 minutes before price shifted in our favor. During the drawdown, we remained calm as we had only risked 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return.
Price was progressing well in our direction, and all that was required of us was patience for the Take Profit (TP) to be reached. We expected to be in this trade for roughly 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we stayed composed and had faith in our strategy.
After 3 hours and 50 minutes, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on AUDUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
ICT Long setup London session EURUSD👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in EURUSD for session trade (a couple of hours)
Weekly chart is in down trend!! So that you couid wait for a reversal to downside as a Swing Short trade after this upward pulse alternatively!
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
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Daily Market Watch: GOLD is BEARISH!The bearish bias going into this week was correct.
The market printed a bearish candle for the day, on the way to completing an IRL to ERL
movement.
I'm holding the same bias for tomorrow, as we near the first SSL target at the most recent swing low.
BOOST and subscribe if you like the analysis.
Thank you.
May profits be upon you.
GBPUSD: Institutional Bearish Order Flow AnalysisGreetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At present, GBPUSD is reacting to a strong institutional resistance point aligned with an M15 bearish order block. The strength of this order block is due to the inefficiency (liquidity void) preceding it. Additionally, this order block is in conjunction with an H4 breaker block, a significant institutional resistance level where smart money typically initiates new selling positions.
Key Observations:
Institutional Resistance: The M15 bearish order block, strengthened by the preceding liquidity void, has led to a downward price movement and a market structure shift. This shift indicates that the institutional order flow is now bearish.
Price Action: Following the market structure shift, the price has respected the breaker block, suggesting further selling pressure and a continuation of the bearish order flow.
Bearish Order Blocks as Resistance: Given the bearish order flow, we expect bearish order blocks to serve as effective resistance levels, guiding the price towards the downside.
Trading Strategy:
Premium and Discount Levels: We are currently operating within premium prices, making it logical to target discount arrays for profit booking. The focus is on selling at premium levels and aiming for discounted prices where we can realize profits.
Target: The primary target in the discount price range is the discount bullish order block, which also features an inefficiency (liquidity void). This presents a suitable draw on liquidity and an ideal profit-taking level.
Conclusion:
By understanding the current institutional order flow and leveraging key resistance and support levels, we can effectively anticipate and execute bearish trades on GBPUSD. The confluence of the M15 bearish order block, H4 breaker block, and liquidity voids strengthens our bearish outlook and guides our trading strategy towards targeting discounted arrays.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
ICT short setup EURJPY, session trade👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H4 or higher timeframe ICT Short setup in EURJPY for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Sell Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
GBPUSD: Bearish Intraday Trade OpportunityGreetings Traders!
Current Market Analysis:
At the moment, GBPUSD is exhibiting a clear bearish institutional order flow. Our primary focus is to identify selling opportunities that align with this narrative. Here’s how we plan to approach the market today:
Key Observations:
Institutional Order Flow: We are entirely bearish, so our strategy is to find sell opportunities in premium price zones and aim to book profits at further discounted prices.
Premium and Discount Tool: Utilizing this tool, we have identified a premium array, specifically the M15 bearish order block, as our point of interest (POI). This is where we will be looking to initiate a sell trade.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point: I will wait for the price to reach the identified M15 bearish order block. This POI represents a premium price level where we anticipate a strong selling opportunity.
Target: The primary target is the daily fair value gap. This is where we aim to book our profits, capitalizing on the bearish momentum.
Contingency Plan:
Reactive Trading: If the price does not reach the POI, I will adapt to the market's movements and make decisions based on the unfolding price action.
Invalidation Level: If the price breaks above the 1.26928 high, it may indicate a temporary shift in the internal structure to bullish. In this case, we will reassess our strategy accordingly.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
DAX (GER 40).... BULLISH!Price has traded through the Swing High with a strong close above.
Now, price has pulled back into a +FVG.
The Daily +FVG is overlapped by the Weekly +FVG, a strong confluence.
The expectation is for price to continue higher to the next recent swing high.
May profits be upon you.
GBPUSD: Intraday Trade Alert - Potential Sell OpportunityGreetings Traders!
Analyzing Bearish Institutional Order Flow
At the moment, I am observing continuous bearish institutional order flow stepping into the market to reach sell-side objectives. I am selling price action off the M15 bearish order block, which is strong due to an inefficiency (FVG & liquidity void) resting below it. As price reached into the order block, it filled those inefficiencies and has now reached a balanced price range, which I expect to hold. Therefore, I am considering a risked entry on the order block to target the M15 sell stops.
Key Observations:
Bearish Momentum:
Order Block Resistance: Price is using the M15 bearish order block as resistance, indicating strong bearish momentum.
Targeting Sell Stops: The primary objective is the M15 sell stops. As well as the H1 Discount Sell Stops.
Buy Stop Bearish Scenario:
m15 Buy Stops: If price moves towards the M15 buy stops, I will look for a confirmation entry to sell price towards the downside.
Trading Strategy:
Primary Focus: Entering a risked sell entry on the M15 bearish order block to target the M15 sell stops.
Secondary Consideration: Monitoring the m15 buy stops, if they get taken I will look for confirmation entries to sell towards the bearish targets.
GBPUSD & DXY Video Analysis: Key Expectations and Trends Ahead!
If you'd like to further understand why I am anticipating a bearish draw towards the downside on GBPUSD, please watch my end-of-week outlook video on GBPUSD and the DXY through the link provided.
It's important to know how you will be approaching the market, so please conduct further analysis to make well-informed trading decisions.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD & DXY Analysis: Key Expectations and Trends Ahead!Greetings, Traders!
Join me in today's video for an in-depth analysis of GBPUSD and DXY, where we'll explore key expectations for today's and tomorrow's trading sessions, as well as summarize this week's trends. This analysis is pivotal as it sets the tone for next week's trading. We've reached a critical juncture on both the DXY and GBPUSD charts, making it essential to understand the potential market movements ahead.
What do you think will be the major market mover going into next week?
Stay tuned for valuable insights, and don't hesitate to leave any questions or comments below.
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/06/2024Despite taking the loss on 05/06/2024, we remained committed to our strategy. The thorough testing of the Judas Swing strategy has bolstered our confidence, allowing us to continue trading whenever our setup forms.
The next day 06/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
Now that we have established the day's low and high, we await the sweep of liquidity on either side of the zone to determine our bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities.
To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the buy side which occurred at 09:40. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure.
Price then retraced into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), so we waited and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price moved in our intended direction with minimal drawdown. Similarly, we entered a trade on NZDUSD, and it was also progressing well towards our take profit target.
Price nearly reached our take profit (TP) level but then reversed, prolonging our position in the trade. On average, we anticipate being in a trade for approximately 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we remained calm and trusted our strategy.
Our patience was rewarded when we achieved our target on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD trades, resulting in a 4% gain (2% from each trade), having risked a total of 2% (1% on each trade).
BOEING.... Potentially BULLISH!Price has traded through the swing swing high, and pulled back into the +FVG.
This FVG has a couple of confluences that support higher prices, including a Breakaway Gap, a Balanced Price Range, and an overlapping Weekly +FVG.
I believe the +FVG will hold, and push price higher.
Should the +FVG fail, the Swing Low will become the draw on liquidity.
GBPUSD: What Should We Expect from Today's CPI Release?Greetings Traders!
What to Expect in Today's CPI Release
At the moment, GBPUSD is showing a relationship with bullish order blocks. We observe that after buy stops (external range liquidity) have been taken, the market moves into bullish order blocks (internal range liquidity), and these order blocks are consistently supporting the price. This indicates that the current price action is being driven by bullish institutional order flow, which may continue further today.
Key Observations:
Bullish Momentum:
Order Blocks Support: Price is supported by bullish order blocks, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Targeting Buy Stops: The main liquidity draw is towards the buy stops at the high. There is minimal resistance in this direction due to the heavy downward moves during Friday's NFP release.
Potential Bearish Shift:
Market Shift: If there is a market shift towards the downside, or if the order flow from the bullish order blocks is broken, we may see a downward draw towards the sell stops.
Cautious Approach: While the current bias is towards bullishness, any invalidation of this bias will lead to a reassessment of trading opportunities.
Trading Strategy:
Primary Focus: Anticipating upward movement towards buy stops based on current bullish order flow.
Secondary Consideration: Monitoring for any signs of a bearish market shift and avoiding sell-side trades if the bullish bias is invalidated.
Please conduct further analysis on your own to complement this overview and to make well-informed trading decisions.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
ICT Long setup Swing Trade NZDUSD👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in Forex: NZDUSD for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Since an important news about USD is coming, so small lot then small risk!
Have a good day!
Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
OHLC stat mapping + ADR = gemBeautiful long opportunity where +M and 1/3 ADR acted as support for the prize, targeting opposing 1/3! just checkout my profile for how many examples of this Price offere!
If I am long I use this as Support levels and targeting resistance which is opposing ADR or opposing Manipulation / Distribution
Bitcoin is Bearish or Bullish?To analyze the INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin to USD (BTC/USD) chart using the ICT style, we focus on the following key points and concepts:
1. Overall Trend Observation:
The chart shows that Bitcoin's price has been in an upward trend starting from October 2023 and continuing until June 2024. Currently, a slight decline in the price is observed.
2. Liquidity Zones :
- **Buy-Side Liquidity**: At higher levels (strong resistances), there are buy-side liquidity zones that can be considered as targets for an upward move. These zones include around $72,500, which is seen as a major resistance level.
- **Sell-Side Liquidity**: At lower levels (strong supports), there are sell-side liquidity zones. These zones include around $60,000 and $55,000, which are seen as strong support levels.
3. Order Blocks :
- **Bullish Order Block**: There is a bullish order block in the area of $63,000 to $64,000, indicating buying interest in this zone.
- **Bearish Order Block**: If the price moves to lower levels, the bearish order block around $55,000 could be a significant area for a price reversal.
4. Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- If the price continues to drop, there might be fair value gaps between $60,000 and $62,000 that could be filled.
5. Volume Analysis:
- Increasing volume during price rises confirms the upward trend.
- Decreasing volume during price drops can indicate seller weakness and increase the likelihood of a price reversal from support levels.
6. Key Levels to Watch:
- **Support**: $60,000 and $55,000 act as key support levels.
- **Resistance**: $70,000 and $72,500 act as key resistance levels.
Conclusion:
According to the ICT analysis, Bitcoin is in an overall upward trend but has recently seen a price drop. The price might move towards lower support levels before potentially reversing. Monitoring trading volume and price behavior near key liquidity zones, order blocks, and fair value gaps can provide good guidance for trading decisions.
Notcoin is Bullish or Bearish ?The chart is for the cryptocurrency pair BINANCE:NOTUSDT NOT/USDT from Binance , analyzed on a daily timeframe. Here is a breakdown of the analysis presented:
1. **Current Price**: The current price is approximately 0.015983 USDT.
2. **Price Zones**:
- **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)**: Two Fair Value Gaps are highlighted on the chart, indicating areas where price movement was rapid and may return to fill these gaps.
- The first FVG is around the 0.017000 USDT level.
- The second FVG is around the 0.013500 USDT level.
3. **Order Blocks (OB)**: These are areas of high buying or selling interest, often leading to price reversals.
- Two OB+ (Order Block) areas are noted, correlating with the FVGs.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- **Buyside Liquidity**: This is marked at a higher level, indicating an area where there may be a significant amount of buy orders. The specific levels are marked at 0.029300 USDT and 0.037000 USDT.
5. **Price Projections**:
- **Bullish Scenario**: If the price moves upward, it could aim for the buyside liquidity zones at 0.029300 USDT and then 0.037000 USDT.
- **Bearish Scenario**: If the price declines, it might target the lower OB and FVG areas around 0.013500 USDT.
6. **Volume Analysis**: The volume bars at the bottom indicate trading activity, with a notable increase during the recent price rise.
7. **50% Shadow**: A level marked as "50% Shadow" which might be an important retracement or equilibrium level.
### Interpretation:
- **Bullish Indicators**: If the price can sustain above the current FVG and OB areas, it may attempt to reach the higher liquidity zones. This bullish scenario is illustrated by the green and black arrows projecting upward movements.
- **Bearish Indicators**: A failure to maintain the current levels could result in the price dropping to fill the lower FVG, supported by the red arrows projecting downward movements.
### Conclusion:
This chart suggests a critical juncture where the price may either move up towards the higher liquidity zones if it can maintain above the current FVG and OB levels or potentially drop to fill the lower FVG if it fails to hold these levels. Monitoring the price action around these key zones and the volume dynamics can provide further insights into the likely direction.