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NAS100USD: Structural Weakness Points to Bearish BlueprintGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis, although NAS100USD maintains a bullish stance, there are signs of potential bearish momentum that may align with minor objectives. Key Observations: 1. Rejection Block Resistance Price action is currently held back by a rejection block, signaling a struggle to achieve higher highs. This resistance suggests weakness in upward momentum and the possibility of a shift. 2. Engineered Trendline Liquidity A trendline liquidity pool has formed below the current price level. With the rejection block preventing further upside, it’s likely that institutions will target this liquidity as the next objective. Strategy: By recognizing the structural constraints and liquidity targets, we can prepare for potential bearish moves. The key will be observing confirmation of downward momentum before executing trades. Let me know your thoughts or share insights in the comments. Let’s refine our strategies together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/01/2025Yesterday, we had an awesome trading session using the Judas swing strategy. We entered a trade on AUDUSD and secured a 2% gain! As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises: - Setting the timezone to New York time - Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Identifying the high and low of the zone Once we’ve covered the basics on our checklist, the next step is to identify a sweep of liquidity on either side of the zones we’ve marked. For this trade, we observed a sweep of liquidity above the high of the zone, signaling a potential opportunity to focus on selling setups for this trading session. To avoid getting ahead of ourselves, we patiently wait for a break of structure to the sell side as additional confirmation of our sell bias. Notice how we didn’t rush into the trade, despite having a bias for the session. Instead, we chose to wait for the market to validate our bias. After some time, the break of structure to the sell side occurred, leaving behind a FVG, further supporting our analysis The next 5 minute candle retraced to fill the FVG left behind, completing all the requirements on our entry checklist. With our criteria met, we executed the trade, risking 1% of our trading account in pursuit of a 2% return After executing the trade, we encountered minimal drawdown as it quickly began moving in our intended direction. From that point, all that was left was to patiently wait for the trade to reach our objective and secure the 2% return Our patience paid off with this AUDUSD trade, as our take-profit target was hit after just 1 hour and 20 minutes in the trade. This reinforces the importance of sticking to your plan and trusting the process—discipline and patience are key to long-term trading success
by CleoFinance
NAS100USD: Anticipating Bullish Shift in Range-Bound MarketGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe price consolidating within a range. While the overall sentiment remains bearish, I anticipate a bullish reversal aligning with projections from yesterday's analysis. Key Observations Discount Price Accumulation: Price is currently trading at discount levels where institutions have consistently targeted sell stops. These stops are being order-paired (bought against), signaling institutional accumulation in preparation for a move toward premium prices. Engineered Liquidity Above Resistance: The Resistance Zone has been identified as Engineered Liquidity, where buy stops (stop losses, pending orders, etc.) reside. This liquidity pool is a prime target for institutions to sell off their positions against willing buyers. Institutional Profit Targets: Institutions that accumulate long positions at discounted levels will look to book profits in premium zones, aligning with our strategy to target liquidity pools above the current resistance. Trading Strategy Entry Zones: Focus on buying opportunities at key institutional support levels in the current range, awaiting confirmation of bullish price action. Targets: The primary objective is the liquidity pool above the Resistance Zone, as institutions are likely to drive price into this area for profit-taking. For further insights into the rationale behind this bullish bias, refer to yesterday’s detailed analysis. Yesterdays Analysis: Stay vigilant and patient for confirmation before executing trades and make sure to do your own research before investing. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
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NAS100USD: Are We Witnessing the Start of a Bullish Takeover?Greetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the overall trend remains bearish; however, compelling signs suggest a potential shift toward bullish price action. Here are the key confluences supporting this outlook: Key Observations: 1. Higher Highs Established: Recent price action has formed higher highs, indicating a potential shift from breaking bearish structure to targeting bullish objectives. 2. Transition to Buy-Side Curve: Significant structural breaks suggest a move away from the sell-side curve into the buy-side curve. This transition redefines key bullish order blocks created during the sell-side curve as reclaimed order blocks, now acting as strong institutional support zones. Reclaimed Order Blocks Explained: These occur when bullish order blocks, previously hedged during sell-side curve are reclaimed by institutions. The down candles within these zones signal areas where institutions are likely to initiate new buying opportunities. Trading Strategy: Entry Zones: Look for buying opportunities within reclaimed order blocks, which now function as robust institutional support zones. Targets: Focus on liquidity pools located at key highs, double tops, or failure swings. These areas serve as institutional profit-taking zones where buy stops reside, offering favorable order pairing opportunities. By aligning with institutional behavior and following the transition to the buy-side curve, we can strategically capitalize on potential bullish momentum. Stay vigilant and await confirmation before entering trades. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
$GOLD & $SILVER BullishGold and silver on the monthly chart exhibited SMT and mitigation of a PDA in the discounted region, signaling a potential MMBM, which was later confirmed on the daily chart. As a result, we maintain a bullish bias for these assets, considering they may be targeting the external liquidity of the monthly chart as the final objective. However, it is worth noting that the price might correct beforehand, returning to the discount region on the daily chart to seek internal liquidity and build momentum to reach the monthly chart's final liquidity target.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Pilucax
$NQ & ES BearishThe NQ and ES on the monthly chart showed signs of rejection, indicating a possible correction toward a PDA located in the discounted region of this timeframe. Consequently, on the daily chart, there was a shift in the price delivery state, now seeking this liquidity as well as the daily sell sides. We maintain a bearish outlook for the assets, but it is important to note that the price may correct toward the premium region of the daily chart, seeking new liquidity to build momentum and ultimately reach the monthly chart objective: a more pronounced drop.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Pilucax
NAS100USD: Bullish Reversal on the Horizon?Greetings Traders, and welcome to the new year! I wish you all success and prosperity in the year ahead. In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that the market has been delivering bearish institutional order flow, influenced by high-impact economic releases such as Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate. Despite this bearish momentum, I am anticipating a potential bullish reversal due to several key factors. Key Observations: 1. Rejection Block Signal: A rejection block at the lows indicates that institutions have been entering buying positions. This resulted in a rejection of the previous low, signaling bearish weakness and suggesting the possibility of a reversal. 2. Bullish Break of Structure: Price recently broke a high during its upward movement, signaling bullish strength. This shift suggests that institutions may now be favoring upward price delivery. 3. Mitigation Block as a Key Zone: Price is currently reversing toward a key institutional area known as the mitigation block. What is a Mitigation Block? This zone represents an area where institutions previously entered sell orders during the bearish trend. As price has since moved upward, these sell orders are now in loss. Institutions retrace price to this area to mitigate their losses and reinstate new buy orders to align with the prevailing bullish narrative. These zones are pivotal and form the basis of support and resistance concepts. Trading Strategy: After confirmation, I will be looking for buying opportunities at the mitigation block, targeting the liquidity pool above. This aligns with the narrative that institutions are scaling into bullish positions and preparing for upward price delivery. Stay observant and strategic as we analyze this potential shift in market structure. Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments below, and let’s capitalize on the opportunities ahead! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Trading GBPUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30-03/01/25The past week offered a subtle reminder that trading isn't always about pushing the buy or sell button. Sometimes, when market conditions are less predictable, it is advisable to sit back and concentrate on tape reading to allow market to reveal its intentions before engaging in trades. During the festive season and approaching the New Year, the market often exhibits erratic behaviour, making trading a bit difficult, and traders are often slaughtered under these conditions. Using the Judas Swing strategy, we scouted for trades during this period to evaluate how the strategy would perform under these conditions. On Monday, we did not find any trading opportunities on the four currency pairs we were monitoring. Fortunately the next day, we saw a potential trading setup forming on GBPUSD which caught our attention. We saw a sweep of liquidity on the sell side, signalling potential buying opportunities on GBPUSD. This followed a break of structure to the buy side, that price leg also left behind a fair value gap (FVG). With these conditions aligning, all we need is a retrace into the FVG to fulfil the entry requirements on our checklist. Twenty minutes later, we saw the retracement needed to enter the GBPUSD trade, triggered by the candle that closed within the FVG. We executed the trade with a 1% risk allocation from our trading account, aiming for a 2% return on this setup. This trade barely showed any profit before hitting our stop loss within twenty five minutes, leaving us down by 1% for the day. Did losing that amount bother us? Not at all. We were fully comfortable with the risk we had allocated for the trade. Wednesday didn’t present any trading opportunities, but on Thursday, we identified a promising setup on AUDUSD that we were eager to capitalize on. Once the price retraced into the FVG and all the requirements on our checklist were met, we executed the trade, risking 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return The AUDUSD trade came within a few pips of hitting our take profit (TP) before reversing and going the other way. From our backtest data, we’ve observed that taking partial profits negatively impacts the strategy’s overall performance over time. Instead, allowing trades to play out fully either hitting the stop loss or the take profit has consistently delivered better results in the long run. While reviewing our data, we also noted that it’s not uncommon for trades to come very close to hitting TP, only to reverse and hit the stop loss. Although this doesn’t happen often, it’s a pattern we’ve seen before during our backtesting sessions, so it wasn’t surprising when it occurred here. Taking a loss like this can be emotionally taxing, especially if you risked more than you could afford to lose or weren’t prepared for such scenarios due to a lack of backtesting. That’s why we can’t stress enough the importance of backtesting—it allows you to observe various scenarios in action and equips you to handle these situations more effectively. Friday didn’t present any trading opportunities, leaving us down 2% on our trading account for the week. However, we’re okay with this outcome, knowing that one good trade can offset those losses.
Education
by CleoFinance
$BITF - Time to Shine?NASDAQ:BITF This stock have been relatively unimpressive since its big rally in March 2024. Bitfarms Ltd. NASDAQ:BITF presents a compelling bullish opportunity for investors as the company positions itself for significant growth. Despite underwhelming performance since its March 2024 rally, recent developments suggest potential for higher prices in the months ahead. With Bitcoin crossing the $100,000 mark, Bitfarms is well-positioned to capitalize on increased cryptocurrency adoption. Its synthetic HODL strategy, which saw a 286% rise in long-dated Bitcoin call options, reflects confidence in higher Bitcoin prices, further supporting its bullish outlook In conclusion, Bitfarms’ strategic upgrades, market positioning, and Bitcoin’s bullish environment support a favorable outlook. Investors seeking exposure to the cryptocurrency mining sector may find NASDAQ:BITF an attractive candidate for medium- to long-term growth. I will post further Exit/ TP objective as we see NASDAQ:BITF move out of its current consolidation.
NASDAQ:BITFLong
by WolfAdams