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April 29 Weekly Outlook: DXY & GBPUSD High-Impact News Week!!!Greetings Traders, This week promises significant market movement with a series of high-impact news releases, including the Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate among others. In this video, we'll delve into what to expect in DXY and GBPUSD trading, recognizing that such weeks often exhibit manipulative or accumulative behavior. It's crucial to approach analysis with precision and critical thinking, which I've aimed to provide in this video. Stay tuned for updates throughout the week. Best Regards, The_Architect
by The_Archi-tect
2
Week of April 21 - DXY/Oil/DJI/10yrNobody will ring a bell at the top. What a great selloff we had last week! I was expecting a pop higher for the sell but they just wanted to pull the rug on bulls early in the week it seems. Pretty much everything got monkey hammered. Indexes and Oil slid while gold held in (for now). The great news is we now have a directional market to trade again - these are MUCH easier to trade compared to the sideways chop that NDX has experienced for the past 2 months. Last week, we saw pretty hard selling across the board and I think this is just the first warning shot of the coming recession. We have been in the largest and longest bull market in history and it feels like we are nearing a tipping point. This week, I will be focusing on the Dow. I have really enjoyed trading the Dow as it has really clean charts compared to NDX. This comes from the fact that the DJI has the 30 largest USA companies in the index which tend to be rather stable from a price standpoint. The added benefit is that there are no tech stocks getting subjugated to gamma squeezes or mania like NVDA or AI related plays. It's nice to have a boring index that trades clean. Dow - Friday during the Asia session - Israel attacked Iran. This spooked markets and go us into our QUARTERLY downside target for the DJI. In fact, DJI was down YTD during the Asia session until the bounced it higher. But what this means for us, is that I am looking for higher targets from HERE on the DJI in the short run. On the Weekly, I would LOVE to see a bounce back higher to 39k area. This will get us into the premium of the entire swing lower, and would allow us to target that FVG living up there at 39.4k. We swept the LOY on DJI - now we need a backtest. The good news is that dropping down to the h4 charts, we can see that we almost have a Market Structrue Shift (MSS) to bullish. The 200sma on the 4hr chart also aligns with our weekly target area - but we could see a nice 1000 point gain in DJI before we turn lower again DXY - DXY formed a weekly Doji. I am expecting last weeks lows to be swept on DXY before it resumes its uptrend. Crude Oil - OIl got absolutely smashed last week. That being said, I still want to see 88 trade on WTI before we roll over. This looks like it was just a pullback to the 200sma area on the 4hr chart. 10yr Yield - We have been waiting for the 10yr to tag our 4.7% level so we can start loading the boat with bonds. Last Tuesday gave us just that opportunity, From here, I am expecting rates to start to drop and in a big way - this will align with the oncoming recession. Gold - Gold closed the week > 2400 but off its ATH. I still want to see Gold come in on the weekly chart, but we need to crack 2340 for that. I have alerts set for Gold but I am not super intent on watching it at these levels. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; I want to see DJI trade higher into the the weekly breaker block around 39k. From there I will be scouting for short entries. Looking for interest rates to continue to march lower - this will be bullish for indexes (at first) as indexes tend to ignore WHY rates are dropping for a little while. Oil has one last gasp in it and will be supported by DXY heading lower to confirm its breakout - I am looking for $88 to trade on WTI. Until next week - We'll be watching.
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024Long
by Baero-Trading
GBPUSD: Bullish Shifts & Strategic Objectives Ahead!Currently, GBPUSD demonstrates a temporary shift in bullish institutional order flow, targeting specific objectives. Over the past week, I've observed a draw towards the H4 premium buy stops, followed by a potential move towards the weekly bearish order block. While my overall sentiment on GBPUSD remains bearish on higher timeframes, I anticipate a bullish move towards these buy-side objectives before a potential bearish reversal. However, given the critical juncture, I remain open to adjustments in my analysis. At the moment we are supporting a H1 bullish breaker, in which I am interested in looking to take a confirmation entry on. Stay tuned for an upcoming weekly outlook video analysis. Kind Regards, The_Architect
Long
by The_Archi-tect
All you should Know about Nasdaq (ICT)In fundamental analysis, we observe a market surge following a liquidity uptake beyond the all-time high, marking a new peak in NQ. However, inflation rates indicate that the Federal Reserve is hesitant to reduce interest rates. Even with a 5% interest rate, inflation is on the rise again. This suggests that the Fed may abandon the idea of lowering interest rates and maintain them at 5% until the year's end. Nevertheless, last week witnessed positive outcomes from companies such as Tesla, Microsoft, and Google, which revitalized market sentiment and led to a resurgence. However, concerns linger regarding the possibility of the Fed raising interest rates by half point, which could pose challenges for the market. In technical analysis, we observe the price targeting the sell side for Tuesday, February 30th, 2024, retracing to the gap on Monday, April 15th, 2024, above the equilibrium and within the premium, allowing new sellers to enter. The next target is the order block from Tuesday, January 16th, 2024.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Deotrade1
EURAUD:🔴Bearish scenario🔴 Well, as you can see, the price purged the weekly external range liquidity, had a bearish reaction, and shifted the market structure, most likely we are on the sell side of the curve now. Recently the price took the sell side liquidity which can cause the price to move higher to collect the buy side liquidity and then drop to draw on liquidity. The price can move lower from here to 4-hour FVG and collect the first sell-side liquidity. If the price goes higher we can sell above buy-side liquidity, by lower time frame confirmation. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️22/04/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Short
by VahidTradingCR
3
S&P500 (ES1!, SPX500, SP500) From Bullish to BEARISH1. Price swept a lot of low resistance lows with this bearish impulse, and created a new Swing Low. This is the External move. 2. Price retraced to the -FVG, a premium PD Array. This is an Internal Range Liquidity move. Expecting price to wick up past the PDH, but close inside the -FVG, and potentially end the retracement. Bearish PA should follow. Price is in premium prices now, as it crossed the Equilibrium of the trading range. Buys are not recommended until the price action shows a significant +BOS with a strong bullish close. LIKE, COMMENT or SUBSCRIBE if you like and want to see more analysis. Thank you for viewing!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RT_Money
EUR (6E1!, EURUSD) Taking a BEARISH TurnLooking for an Internal to External move this week. From the Weekly -FVG to the low at 1.06285. The early part of the week may see price head up to sweep LQ before turning over and dropping. * Should the 4H show a bearish break of structure with a strong close, it may provide an early signal that the retracement has ended and sells should be sought. LIKE, COMMENT or SUBSCRIBE if you like and want to see more analysis. Thank you for viewing!
CME:6E1!
by RT_Money
ICT Long Setup BTCUSDT, Scalping, be quick moveHello Traders, Our AI system detected that there is an ICT Long setup in BTCUSDT for scalping, Please refer to the details Stop loss, Demand Zone(Buy Zone), TP 1 and TP2 for take profit. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. If the price had hit the TP2 when you see this idea, please wait for next idea. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Long
by ICT_Trader_SB
ES (S&P500)... Expecting a short term BULLISH Move!Bearish, but expecting a short term bullish move. Price has reached the 4th standard deviation, swept the LRLR, then mitigated the +OB. The expectation now is an External -> Internal LQ move. Wait/watch for signs of reversal from the current poi. I enjoy any feedback or questions in the comment section. All opinions are welcome! LIKE or BOOST this post, if you would. I would be appreciate it. SUBSCRIBE if you want to catch all of my future postings!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by RT_Money
1