Ictconcepts
EURAUD: Possible Swing Movement of 660 pips expected! FX:EURAUD on daily candles of last few days breakthrough and now dropping back to demand zone where we expect price to bounce strongly and at least we expect target one to accomplished by end of January. While target two and three remain a long away from our current price area. Stop Loss should be below the strong wick of daily candle.
From fundamentals side AUD will be weaken and EURO can be bullish for next few months, taking entry will require a strict risk management as this is a swing trade, do not expect to achieve the target in couple of hours or days.
Good luck and trade safe.
ETHUSDT eth has clear skies up to 2966$ if it closes above this 15 min order block(which will turn into a breaker block). also ETH just tapped the 50% on daily BOS .
💰🔥🔥Are you looking for a new trading opportunity? Check out tAccording to our analysis, SPX500USD is currently in a downtrend in 4H or above timeframes. However, we’ve identified a potential opportunity for a long trade. There was a breakout of Key Level 4756.8, we are waiting for a retest on support levels (as marked as Buy limit levels on chart). If all goes well, we could see a touch on 4775.5 and gain some pips from this Long trade. More take profit levels and the Stop Loss are marked on chart too. 🤑🤑🤑
Remember, this is just an idea and not a guarantee. Always do your own research and analysis before making any trades. Good luck! 🤞
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Fair Value Gap Trading StrategyFair Value Gap Trading Strategy
To implementing a fair value gap as a trading strategy you need to understand these three basic components of this trading strategy.
Time
Liquidity Hunt
Market Structure Shift
Fair Value Gap
Let’s begin by discussing the importance of time in trading. According to ICT Trader, time is considered to be fractal, meaning that what happens on higher time frames is reflected in lower time frames if studied in the proper context.
In this context, fractal refers to the idea that patterns and behaviors observed on longer time frames, such as daily or weekly charts, can be seen in shorter time frames, like hourly or minute charts.
By studying price action and market behavior across different time frames, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and potentially identify profitable trading opportunities.
Time indeed holds significant importance in the fair value gap trading strategy, particularly when it comes to identifying favorable trading setups. Despite the forex market being open 24 hours a day, not all times present ideal conditions for executing fair value gap trades. That’s where the concept of ICT Kill Zones comes into play.
ICT Kill Zones
ICT Kill Zones refer to specific time periods during the day that have been observed to offer higher probability trading opportunities. These zones are associated with the entry of smart money, which are institutional or banks who have the ability to influence market direction.
In short, ICT Kill Zones correspond to specific time periods during the day that are particularly relevant for trading activities. These zones include the London Open, London Close, New York Open, and New York Close.
Traders using the fair value gap trading strategy often focus on these times as they tend to offer higher probability trading setups. The ICT Kill Zones are associated with the entry of smart money and can provide enhanced opportunities for traders to capitalize on market movements. By aligning their trading activities with these specific time periods, traders aim to improve their chances of success.
Liquidity in FVG Trading Strategy
Liquidity in the market often takes the form of buy stops and sell stops.market makers or smart money intentionally trap retail traders by manipulating prices to trigger their stop losses.
The idea is that they move the market in one direction to hunt for stop losses, causing retail traders to place orders in the false direction and set their stop losses at key levels. After the stop loss hunt, the market reverses in the opposite direction, benefiting the smart money.
Let’s analyze the above chart from a retail trader’s perspective. When we observe the chart, we notice that the price levels between 44240 and 44280 have proven to be strong resistance in the past.
Based on this observation, many retail traders might place their selling pending orders to anticipate of a price reversal at these levels. To manage their risk, they would likely set their stop loss orders just above this resistance area.
What is done by market makers or smart money,they could manipulate the market by initially pushing the price upward, deliberately triggering the stop loss orders placed by retail traders. This action would cause some retail traders to think that a breakout is occurring and prompt them to place buying orders while setting their stop losses at levels below the resistance area.
Once the stop loss orders have been hunted and triggered, the market makers or smart money may then reverse the price direction.
Enhancing Trading Success with the Fair Value Gap Entry Strategy
After a liquidity hunt on a higher time frame, you suggest switching to lower time frames such as 15 minutes, 5 minutes, 3 minutes, or even 1 minute to identify certain patterns that may emerge following the stop loss hunt. These patterns include:
1.Sudden or sharp price movements: Following the liquidity hunt, you may observe rapid and significant price fluctuations on the lower time frames.
This sharp movement causing market structure shift and provide an extra confluence.
2. Fair value gap (FVG): Look for gaps between the current price and the fair value of the asset. The fair value represents the equilibrium price based on various factors. Identify instances where the market price deviates significantly from this fair value.
3. Entry position based on the Fair Value Gap strategy: Once you spot a fair value gap pattern after the liquidity hunt, you can consider taking a position in anticipation of the market filling that gap. The expectation is that the market will eventually return to the fair value price.
It’s important to carefully train your eyes to recognize these patterns after a liquidity hunt and patiently wait for the market to come back and fill the identified gap. Once you have identified a suitable entry position, you can place your stop loss order above the first candle to manage your risk.
Please note that implementing such strategies requires careful analysis, experience, and a deep understanding of the specific market you are trading. It’s crucial to conduct thorough research, backtest your strategy, and consider other factors that may influence price movements before making any trading decisions.
Previous ATH weekly wick Previous ATH weekly wick support, break and return to the FVG in the next 3-6 months and make a new ATH around election or even earlier due to political news, war, etc.
USDJPYIs in a HTF Break & Retest Supply Zone. All week has been gradually bullish and it would be unnatural to continue this way. On the other hand it would make a great wick for a Weekly OHLC. Looking for shorts for the rest of the week.
USDJPY LONG [SWING TRADE]the market structure of usdjpy on the 4HR AND daily HAS SHIFTED structure to a bullish market and we look to buy at the retracement
NQ Bearish The market have switched to the Sell Side . Price already accumulated alot of longs. Now its time to DISTRIBUTE EM out. Read the chart for ICT based concept.
4H Sell Zone for XAUUSDCurrently in a buy position towards the targeted 4H sell zone. Possibility of price manipulating up during CPI before dropping down towards the Daily Order Block.
Mid-term Outlook for XAUUSDAnticipating for XAUUSD to continue going up in the mid to longer term to take out the high formed in December 2023.
XAUUSD: News has helped gold bounced back from 2013$| what next?Gold yesterday dropped to $2013 which is the lowest since november, expected to drop to at least $2000 before we could have seen price mitigate earlier. Due to negative news on DXY we saw strong rise on Gold; now there is possibility that Gold can rise towards 2090$ area. There are three possible entries for Gold now, one is entering now with 50-60 pips stop loss; second is dropping $2035 area where we can see huge demand kicking in. Third entry is swing entry which is likely to take time.
Good Luck and trade safe.
GBP/JPY buy signal AnalysisHello traders, In our recent price action on GJ we saw a nice bullish momentum. Despite I was bearish last week and I was wrong about the biais I didn't took any action and didn't push any button as the anticipated shift in momentum didn't materialize. This week, my perspective has shifted, and I now anticipate the bullish trend to persist. We saw a retracement into a daily IRL, establishing the sell side of the curve. My current expectation is for the market to take the ERL. For me to consider any entry, I'm waiting to see if we get a stop hunt and a clear shift in momentum. So I would consider an entry.
How I made $1856 Using ICT Judas Swing Strategy (Trade BreakdownThis is a trade breakdown of a trade I took using ICT Judas Swing Strategy during London Kill Zone.
I hope you enjoyed it.
For private mentorship, pls Dm.
How you can earn money from this ICT setup?Here you are, please read the summary about Oil price below~
📈 Oil prices surged in early trade on Thursday, extending the previous day’s sharp gains on concerns about Middle Eastern supply following disruptions at a field in Libya and heightened tension around the Israel-Gaza war.
🛢️ Brent crude rose 33 cents, or 0.42%, to $78.58 a barrel by 0101 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 40 cents, or 0.55%, to $73.10.
📈 Both benchmarks rose by around 3% to settle higher for the first time in five days on Wednesday, with WTI seeing the biggest daily percentage gain since mid-November.
🚫 On Wednesday, local protests forced a full shutdown of production at Libya’s Sharara oilfield, which can produce up to 300,000 barrels per day. The field, one of Libya’s largest, has been a frequent target for local and broader political protests.
💥 Also on Wednesday, nearly 100 people were killed in blasts at an event to commemorate commander Qassem Soleimani who was killed by a U.S. drone in 2020. Iranian officials blamed unspecified “terrorists” and vowed revenge. However, no group has yet taken responsibility for the attack. The U.S. has seen no indication Israel was behind the blasts, White House national security spokesperson John Kirby said.
🔥 Swirling regional tensions from the ongoing Israel-Hamas war also continue to support oil prices.
🚀 On Tuesday, Hamas’ deputy leader was killed in a strike in Beirut - the first strike to hit the Lebanese capital in almost three months of near daily fire between the Israeli military and Iran-backed Hezbollah that had been confined to the border region.
🚢 Shipping concerns in the Red Sea also remained after Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis said on Wednesday they had “targeted” a container ship bound for Israel. U.S. Central Command said the militant group had fired two anti-ship ballistic missiles in the southern Red Sea the previous day.
Technical Analysis:
As we can see there are demand zone and FVG near $68 to $70 since the middle of 2023.
Here is a sharp rebounce (Pin bar) on the demand zone. A good ICT Long setup for both Swing and Intraday traders!
Intraday Scalping Idea for GBPAUD: Key Levels and Buy LimitsHey traders! 👋
H1 ICT Long setup
Let’s take a look at the GBPAUD H1 chart, which performed LG and Displacement + Choch after Asia AM session. Our AI screener shows the AUD is increasing momentum to the weak side, currently GBPAUD has strongest momentum amount AUD pairs.
If you’re looking for an intraday scalping idea, here’s one for you:
🎯 Target on key levels:
1.9136
1.9118
1.9100
📉 Buy limit order levels:
1.9061
1.9048
1.9035
🛑 Stop loss:
1.9028
Remember, this is just an idea and not a guarantee. Always do your own research and analysis before making any trades. Good luck! 🤞
🔥 XAU/USD - A Big Fall Ahead of GOLD ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the gold chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price is trading in the range of $2035 and yesterday, as I expected, the price could grow to the range of $2043 and after that it will fall again! The important demand range in the 4-hour time frame is $2031, which can have an initial reaction to this level, and if the price can stabilize below $2040, we may see a heavy fall in gold, And its possible targets will be $2031, $2024, $2020, $2005 and $1986 respectively! This analysis will be updated
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Intraday Scalping Idea for USDJPY: Key Levels and Sell LimitsHey traders! 👋
H1 ICT short setup
Let’s take a look at the USDJPY H1 chart, which performed LG and Displacement + Choch after the last NY session and Asia AM session. Our AI screener shows that the JPY has slowed down the weak strength (turning to the strong side gradually) and the USD is increasing momentum to the weak side, which makes USDJPY drop as well.
If you’re looking for an intraday scalping idea, here’s one for you:
🎯 Target on key levels:
145.30
144.72
📉 Sell limit order levels:
145.48
145.63
145.77
🛑 Stop loss:
145.90
Remember, this is just an idea and not a guarantee. Always do your own research and analysis before making any trades. Good luck! 🤞
EURO Futures (EURUSD) Weekly Outlook... BULLISH1. Daily Swing structure is bearish, after this clear break of market structure.
2. The internal structure is bullish, as price pulls back into premium.
The reaction to supply is significant. It potentially indicates the end of the retracement, and
price now seeking external LQ at the swing low.
3. I am monitoring the FVG above closely. Should price trade through it, it would indicate price
has bearish momentum, and strengthening the idea that the pullback is over.
Should this bullish PD Array hold, price could potentially make a HH, and head to the
premium old high.
