Ictconcepts
EU 30Y Bond Yield to extend further into 2008 high in 2024Economic
Policy needs to remain restrictive or should tighten further, until clear signs of easing inflationary conditions are available.
Technicals
Favor: Strong yearly candle
Favor: Strong M BiMS
Favor: M BiMS after ATL
Favor: Multiple BSL Levels higher
Currently at 10Y High
Expectation
Downside Retracement Targets (careful Short Term)
1 - 2.057% (Y SIBI Inverted) - 95% Certainty
2 - 1.625% (Target (already traded to)) - 75% Certainty
3 - 1.330% (MT Recent Upswing based on Y H to L) - 65% Certainty
4 - 1.149% (MT Recent Upswing based on Y Bodies) - 55% Certainty
5 - 1% (Beginning of Grind upwards) - 25% Certainty
Upside Targets (After Downside)
1 - 3.160% - Y 2023 High - 95% Certainty
2 - 4.915% - 85% Certainty
3 - 5.738% ( Fib 1.618 Extension) - 65% Certainty
4 - 6.258% (23Y High) - 35% Certainty
GOLD retracing to 2034Price is currently in a daily distribution phase towards 1990, and we got to 2010 yesterday where Price was pushed back by an OB.
The current movement of Price is not an impulsive move but a correction which is a reaction from the OB at 2010. I believe Price would take the NY liquidity created yesterday at 2030 and resume its downtrend.
Its safe to buy but bear in mind we are in a downtrend, so scalp only if you can.
Risk management is advised
I would love to hear your thoughts 🤔 on this, so feel free to leave a comment ✍.
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$GBPUSD 12.07.2023 HTF analysis. Price has moved down to take the +FVG 1W as forecasted. It could continue down to take the +FVG 1W (CE) which is also the +OB 1D
Terms I use
IPDA: interbank price delivery algorithm
SMR: Smart money reversal
AR: Asian range
ARH: Asian range high
ARL: Asian range low
IOF: institutional order flow
OTE: optimal trade entry
BPR: Balanced price range
HTF: higher time frame
LTF: lower time frame
FVG: fair value gap
SIBI : Sell side imbalance buy side inefficiency (-FVG)
BISI : Buy side imbalance sell side inefficiency (+FVG)
PDH: previous day high
PDL: previous day low
BSL: buy side liquidity
SSL: sell side liquidity
EQH: equal high
EQL: equal low
OB: order block
RB: rejection block
MB: mitigation block
BB: breaker block
-: bearish (e.g -OB means bearish order block)
+: bullish (e.g +OB means bullish order block)
LOKZ: London open kill zone
NYKZ: New York kill zone
MT: Mean threshold
CE: Consequent encroachment
$DXY 12.07.2023 HTF analysis. Price moved up and reached the -FVG 1W as forecasted. Will it continue to reach for the -FVG 1W (CE) or will it start to reverse?
Terms I use
IPDA: interbank price delivery algorithm
SMR: Smart money reversal
AR: Asian range
ARH: Asian range high
ARL: Asian range low
IOF: institutional order flow
OTE: optimal trade entry
BPR: Balanced price range
HTF: higher time frame
LTF: lower time frame
FVG: fair value gap
SIBI : Sell side imbalance buy side inefficiency (-FVG)
BISI : Buy side imbalance sell side inefficiency (+FVG)
PDH: previous day high
PDL: previous day low
BSL: buy side liquidity
SSL: sell side liquidity
EQH: equal high
EQL: equal low
OB: order block
RB: rejection block
MB: mitigation block
BB: breaker block
-: bearish (e.g -OB means bearish order block)
+: bullish (e.g +OB means bullish order block)
LOKZ: London open kill zone
NYKZ: New York kill zone
Watching for Possible shorts daily sibi has been creating resistance for the last 11 days, the dealing range is in bullish and price is in a premium, the volume has been weakening on the rally up, however supply has not stepped in the market to bring prices lower, so we can be in a manipulation/consolidation of the market
4hr and lower is making bearish structure so I'm anticipating price continuing lower to
15725.00
i would like to to see price retrace around 15847.00 before dropping down into this level
Market Maker sell model target weekend liquidity and NWOGPossible market maker sell model for today in the New York session. I would expect the price to seek liquidity below the weekend consolidation.
The context is based on the analysis of ETH1! from CME futures, where we can observe a breaker block and NWOG at discounted prices and an MKS on the 4-hour chart, so I would anticipate a retracement to that zone (Image attached below). We also have a volatility injection at 10 AM (NY time).
AUDCHF, 8H, ICT Short setup and path idea to key support levels🚩 New Signal Notification
📣 Attention Traders! 📈🔍
🔹 AUDCHF, 8H, ICT Short setup🔹
From our AI screener, we found CHF is going to upside and AUD turns weak to downside a bit.
TA:
By simple ICT setup, we found there is a ICT Short setup in timeframe 8H.
Last week, 8H bar highs were rejected from the fair very gap (FVG) and formed a Lower High
Our idea to the next support levels below as shown.
AUDCHF is one of our focus this week, Only Short strategy, may be landing slowly to the support levels.
Good luck!
USDX Bullish Market Maker Model.High timeframe market maker buy model for the USDX. The first target is the weekly SIBI at 104.15.
I would like to see the price not respecting that key point to look for the buy stops of the 1st Distribution and the original consolidation, although I'm not 100% sure it will reach those levels.
I don't trade on high timeframes, but I will use the information to look for MMBM in WTI and MMSM in index and Euro futures.