NEARUSDTI have said it many times in my speeches and I will say it again, money has the power of God in today's world
It is better to express my words this way, if Trump wins the US election, you will also see that the crypto market will experience a heavy drop, so that the government budget deficit and the heavy expenses of the US government and the US stock market will be saved from bankruptcy, with a plan that Picking for the market
This is my point of view, there may be other points of view
The duty of friends who believe in my analysis is to register these currencies, which will be registered from today, in a place where they can move like the American government and enjoy the chart.
There are two views of the market, the first view is downward, the second view is upward
My view on crypto is bearish, friends, from today onwards, be careful in your spot purchases, it will be more dangerous than you think.
Because big companies have to do this to save themselves from bankruptcy and take a drastic swing from ordinary people.
Ictmentorsip2022
GBPUSD TRADE IDEAThese are the types of setups I really like to see. several blocks of confirmation stacking up on each other. Buyside was taken as we can see on the 4H chart, we then see a break of structure to the downside after that with an imbalance formed. This imbalance, FVG, as highlighted on the chart falls in the OTE zone of the Fib. I didn't add that because I don't like cluttered charts, so bear with me.
On the daily timeframe you can see a clean break of structure with price returning to the orderblock and rejecting off it,
Going into this week, I would like to see price head lower to the fair value gap below and possibly the lows. Just my opinion though, Don't take my word for it.
#GBPUSD #dollar #tradeidea
$BTC - Last Short before Pivot to Bulishness: Near $15,825 *SMT**SMT* = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry, but you won't convince me that Tasla or Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is regarding what price action will do - 2 things 1) move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines,etc.) and 2) Move toward Imbalance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids. Open Gaps) Halfway points in fair value gaps, order blocks, Breakers, are always a price to aim for. Support and resistance onnly exist to protect profits, as soon as an institution wants more, they'll all use the same Options strategy amd that's then Support and resistance is broken. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.*
Bitcoin - It dropped pretty hard after entering a 4 hour fair value gap. This is called an institutional order flow entry drill (IOFED). It drops down to "Support" To where retailers would probably start buying. However, If you haven't done a monthly time dframe analysis on this chart, you will be lost. There is a monthly fair value gap below current market price. After the current price hit support and came back up it then hit a bearish order block followed by another (IOFED) And this is where I believe the price will definitely take a dive as most retail positions are buying.
Here's the chart depicting such safe support and retail buying in one area
Options on the Bitcoin micro, for an institution to protect their asset would buy a put and buy a call. Therefor if it reaches the put strike price they can excericise the right to buy at that price and they want it lower so they can buy at a discount. So institutions know what retail is doing there for they can sell their assets and short the future/option to hedge against the sell. to get the price to start dropping. Once retail sees that it is dropping further than they want, then they eill start selling with Institutions pushing it down further. Institutions usually knmow the gap theory and will end their option/future at the midway of the monthly fair value gap and start buying up again at an enormous amount because this time it will be in the $15k range. This is about an 80% pullback from the previous low, which is exactly how the chart from 2017/2018 acted. So this should be the last hurrah of a drop. It can fill up the entire Fair value gap below but it doesn't have to. We'll just have to wait and see.
Heres a chart of the monthly and where that fair value gap is.
That gold line is the imbalance that price wants to fill.
2017 80% pullback VS 2022 80% Pullback
1. 2017/18
2. 2022
At first you were probabbly scratching your head or laughing at my idea. But go back and look through my last 5-6 ideas. I've pretty much been spot on the more I am involved in studying smart money. At least getting near an entry zone and hitting a take 1 profit. Thats All I need daily and I can do this for a living.
What do you think? Is $16k ish too low? or do you think lower? Why?
I think we're nearing the end of the pullback journey. based on history and Smart Money Technical Analaysis.
Also the Commitment of traders report has the institutions adding shorts to their positions. See barchart.com chart, so if the institutions believe it's still shorting, why wouldn't we? See below Barchart CoT. It's the indicator at the bottom of the chart, and the red line represents Institutional Positions. As you can see it's lowering which means it's adding more net shorts.
www.barchart.com
So good luck and happy trading.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD