New Week OutlookAn annotated graph of my weekly outlook for the DXY. Forex pairs (EUR/USD) (GBP/USD) are due to inversely correlate.
NFA
Ictorderblock
GBPUSD: False Break Prompts Bullish MomentumCurrently, GBPUSD has exhibited a false break of structure, commonly known as Turtle Soup, suggesting a potential bullish draw towards the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) . Price has retested an m15 bullish order block, indicating a possible bullish continuation.
Alternatively, price may reach the H1 Order block, where a confirmation entry can be sought for a buy opportunity.
Please note that I will be closing my trade at 12 PM NY Time as I cease trading for the day.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
XAUUSD: $2400 Done Now, Next $2500?Last three ideas helped us gathered around 2800+ pips in total. Now we are expecting another big move and this can be the last bull run before it drop for major correction. We are expecting price to drop around $2365-70 region where we can see strong rebound. Our first take profit will be at $2420 and then $2496.
Let's get this done probably by end next week. We can have a clear view on Gold. Good Luck and Trade Safe.
GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum Persists, Targeting Daily Sell StopsCurrently, GBPUSD demonstrates a persistent inclination towards the sell side, targeting the Daily sell stops . Having interacted with an m15 order block, a liquidity void has been filled. Now, a potential retest of the order block is underway, with price currently trading within a rejection block. This setup may serve as confirmation for further selling activity.
Alternatively, if this scenario fails to materialize, selling against the m15 Buy Stops becomes a viable strategy, awaiting confirmation for entry.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Anticipating a Bullish Draw On Liquidity (m15)At present, the GBPUSD has triggered discount sell stops on the m15 timeframe and reached the m15 bullish order block. I anticipate a bullish pull towards the m15 buy stops and a movement towards the h1 bearish order block to fill the current liquidity void.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Week of April 14th - Gold/Oil/DJI/VIX/10yrWhat a week we just had!
Friday we saw aggressive broad selling all the way into the close. The NDX is once again just flopping around in this multi-week range - while The Dow is meaningfully breaking down.
For indexes - I will be focusing on the Dow this week. The DJI has been super clean lately and is the only index really making the sizeable moves as it took out the February lows.
ALL of the major averages are rolling over on their daily charts.
Dow - Friday we saw aggressive selling all day long and this caused a weekly Market Structure shift on the weekly chart. From here the DJI needs to back test this weekly breakdown level and confirm the shift.
We have a weekly breaker that will provide the first resistance level around 39k. If we can get past that - we should pop to 39.4k or so.
There are a LOT of things that are aligned to enable the up move. DJI held its 100dma as support today and I am looking for a back-test into its 20dma or so.
VIX - Friday the VIX spiked in a big way and is breaking out of a 2 month daily range. This was driven by war fears in the Middle East. The simple fact is that everyone sold their stocks and bought bonds and gold and puts on Friday. If WW3 doesn't materialize by Monday - they will all be offsides and be rushing to enter the market.
I am looking for the VIX to get aggressively sold Monday if WW3 doesn't break out - which will be bullish for stocks.
DXY - DXY spiked into a daily level that I wanted to hold as resistance. DXY has broken out as everyone rushed into cash/bonds/gold - but again I want to see a ERL to IRL move to retest the breakout. A falling DXY (in the short term) will be bullish for oil and gold.
Crude Oil - Oil has been whippy lately and this to me shows how exhausted it is getting. going into this week. The weekly chart wants to trade 88 and then I think oil is due for a long grind lower as the markets continue to roll over. Oil should find some bullish legs to pop $3 as the DXY retreats during its back-test.
10yr Yield- Rates are going higher in the short run. I am looking for 4.7% to trade and I will be loading the boat with bonds around this level.
Gold- Gold cracked the $2400 level last night, and banks came in to mash the hell out of it all day on Friday. Nothing has broken on the 4hr chart - yet. But I have alerts set to I can start scouting for shorts.
So here is the setup I am watching for this week;
- I want to see DJI trade higher into the the weekly breaker block around 39k. From there I will be scouting for short entries.
-Looking for interest rates to continue to march higher - this will continue to apply pressure to indexes. Indexes will ignore rates (for now) as the VIX marches lower to confirm its breakout.
- Gold & Oil - I want to see these things top out and soon. Oil has one last gasp in it and will be supported by DXY heading lower to confirm its breakout - I am looking for $88 to trade on WTI. Gold - we have to hold it here or we are going to start a down move.
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#XAUUSD: 04/04/2024PYTH:XAUUSD The price of XAUUSD has reached a record high, and both fundamental and technical analysis indicate a strong bullish trend going forward. Since there has not been a significant correction, we can consider going long based on the price momentum. It is important to note that tomorrow's NFP news may have a significant impact on the future price of gold, so please monitor the news and adjust your risk accordingly. Good luck and trade safely.
NAS100USD: New York Session Buy OpportunityCurrently, on NAS100USD, we find ourselves within a H4 Bullish Order Block, coinciding with a H1 bullish breaker block. This alignment suggests a continuation of the bullish momentum, aiming for the H4 Premium Buy Stops. Notably, there are relatively equal highs, presenting significant liquidity, which indicates a probable draw by the market.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
#XTIUSD/USOIL: Will bull take price to $100?Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, US OIL we can see a strong bullish impulse in coming months, in coming months we can target US OIL to hit 79.00 region first then $85.. and final target will be $100. Plus, wait for price to breakthrough the bearish trend line and once it does you can take safe entry. If you want to take higher risk you can enter now with a accurate risk management.
Sellers exhausted and we can see in daily timeframe as price have failed to break through recent LOWER LOW. This is a good sign for us when we are eying for big target.
Please like and comment if you agree with the idea ;)
GBPUSD: Exploring Buy OpportunitiesCurrently, I'm observing a continuation of bullish institutional order flow , particularly towards the H1 Buy Stops , which serves as our Draw On Liquidity . Price action is positioned at a crucial juncture, resting upon a significant H1 Bullish Order Block , aligned with a reclaimed order block — an institutional support zone.
In this scenario, I anticipate this area to serve as a stronghold as we persist in our pursuit of a bullish trajectory.
Furthermore, below the current price action lies a compelling H4 Bullish Order Block, characterized by a Liquidity Void. Should price action gravitate towards this zone, I'll be vigilant for a confirmation entry, signaling potential buying opportunities.
Stay tuned for further updates and analysis.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GOLD: Possible Downtrend to continue till $2180! Gold created a record HH and it is very likely price is likely to remain extremely bullish in upcoming days. Now, in our price can drop around 2180$ a perfect time for correction to occur, if price do not respect our entry and make it invalid then it would be tough to find a accurate entry to either buy or sell.
Navigating Market Dynamics: Anticipating Bullish Expansion Navigating Market Dynamics: Anticipating Bullish Expansion and Managing Risk
As anticipated last week, we witnessed a bullish expansion in DXY, aligning perfectly with our projections. Looking ahead to the coming week: #MarketAnalysis #BullishExpansion
We've closed above the midpoint of Ifvg, signaling a potential upward trend. DXY is poised to absorb buy side liquidity, potentially extending into the next week, with the aim of achieving a bullish expansion characterized by OLHC (Open Low High Close). #DXY #BullishOutlook
This strategy entails to take the previous week's low and seizing opportunities presented by a bullish fair gap to drive prices upward—a move we anticipate. #TradingStrategy #MarketForecast
It's crucial to recognize the importance of daily bullish order blocks, in harmony with the weekly fair value gap. #RiskManagement #TradingSignals
With significant events like NFP looming this week, it's prudent to exercise careful risk management. Anticipating a touch and subsequent upward momentum, we must remain vigilant. #NFP #MarketVolatility
EURGBP: Exploring a Potential Sell OpportunityCurrently, EURGBP is exhibiting bearish institutional order flow , leading me to anticipate a continuation from the current H1 Bearish Order Block. The objective is for price to reach the Daily Bullish Order Block, our current Draw On Liquidity. This sell opportunity holds a high probability due to the presence of low resistance liquidity towards the downside, facilitating smooth movement through inefficiencies such as Liquidity Voids and Fair Value Gaps towards the Order Block.
I have considered taking a Risk Entry Trade off the H1 Order Block, with the Stop Loss positioned at the high of the Order Block.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
DXY Dynamics: Transforming Bearish Whirlwinds into Bull HorizonI was observing the bearish price action on DXY, and it's unfolding just as I anticipated. Last week, DXY breached a bearish PD array. Now, I'm shifting focus and expecting DXY to take some buy side liquidity in the upcoming days . I'd like to see DXY consolidate at this level on the chart today, forming a bullish fair value gap. Tomorrow, it should fill that fair value gap and test the bullish breaker 4 hour , before resuming its upward momentum.
#ForexAnalysis #TradingSignals #MarketObservation #PriceAction #DXY #BearishTrend #BullishOutlook #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketForecast
GBPUSD: Exploring Potential Sell OpportunityCurrently, GBPUSD has successfully navigated through an m15 Order Block , prompting my focus on a draw towards the H1 Discount Sell Stops. Given GBPUSD's bearish institutional order flow on higher timeframes, I anticipate key bearish price discovery arrays, like Order Blocks, to exert downward pressure on prices.
Furthermore, discount prices feature relatively equal lows acting as engineered liquidity, serving as a compelling draw for price movement.
I've entered a confirmation entry off the Order Block to capitalize on these dynamics.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Pending Buy Order at H1 Bullish Order BlockAt the moment, I have initiated a pending buy order at the H1 Bullish Order Block . My anticipation is to enter buy positions aiming to reach the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), which serves as my Draw On Liquidity . The institutional order flow on GBPUSD currently indicates a bullish sentiment , and I intend to align with this narrative.
Stay tuned for further updates.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
High Probability Trading Environments Part 2: Liquidity RunsIn this educational video, we'll explore the distinction between High Resistance Liquidity Runs and Low Resistance Liquidity Runs, crucial for identifying High Probability Trading Environments. Our analysis will focus on NAS100USD, providing insights into potential trading opportunities for the week ahead.
By understanding these concepts, you'll gain valuable insights into positioning yourself effectively in the market. Be sure to watch to gain a comprehensive understanding of the key confluences that contribute to successful trading strategies.
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts
Mastering High Probability Trading Environments Part 1
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD: Exploring Potential Buy Opportunities (LDN Session)Currently, my focus is on observing the H1 Bullish Order Block, which notably incorporates an embedded m15 Bullish Order Block. This configuration appears robust, particularly due to the presence of inefficiencies such as the Liquidity Void and Fair Value Gap.
Upon market movement, my anticipation is for price to gravitate towards the liquidity provided by the m15 buy stops. Ultimately, my strategic objective is aimed at reaching the m15 Bearish Inducement Order Block, which, notably, entails a liquidity void awaiting fulfillment.
Wishing you a week filled with profitable opportunities,
The_Architect
NAS100USD: Exploring Potential Sell OpportunitiesCurrently, NAS100USD shows signs of a potential sell-side draw towards the H1 Bullish Order Block . This hypothesis is reinforced by several confluences, notably the presence of inefficiencies such as Liquidity Void and Fair Value Gaps at discount prices, which typically signal opportune moments for smart money to capitalize on profits.
For confirmation of entries, we await a pullback into the H4 Bearish Order Block, which also features Buy Stop Liquidity below it, serving as our selling target.
Stay tuned for an in-depth video analysis of NAS100USD to further dissect this potential trading opportunity.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
NZDJPY Potential LongPrice has the potential for the upside upon the retest of the daily OB which is in line with the ICT OTE. Wait for lower timeframe bullish price action to confirm the move.
USDCHF: View on daily timeframe, we are neutral. FX:USDCHF last few month price has been bearish all along as CHF remain strongest in the situations where war and other economical conflicts affects in global financial market. We are still not sure about future trend of this pair, as strong bullish price action yet to be seen.
However, the big amount of volume was accumulated at lower low of thursday which suggest a possible correction can occur. We would advice you to use smaller timeframe to have a better and safer bias.
Good Luck and Trade Safe
#GBPJPY: Yesterday's idea 200+ pips up| Here is second entry | OANDA:GBPJPY yesterday's idea did the exact same thing as had expected right now the pair is up 200+ PIPS, we are anticipating a small correction in the price, where we think price will bounce back strongly. Wait for price to approach our level and then enter a buy entry accordingly. Remember to use proper risk management and take this idea as bias only. If you do not agree then do not take.
Good luck and trade safe.
#USDJPY: Possible 600 Pips Bullish Move Expected | It is on DXY|Happy weekends Everyone!
FX:USDJPY it had created higher and then dropped to fill the order blocks, now price is at very critical area, if DXY remain bullish next week we can see a nice and clean 600 bullish move. For JPY, it is already bearish and will likely to remain bearish next week as the current economic conditions are not stable. Currently, what we expecting , watch for price to come down to our area then we advise you to take buy entry with 70-100 pips max and set tp at 147-149-151 as followed.
Good luck and trade safe, remember to trade safe and use strict risk management.
