GBPUSD: Could continue moving higherPrice continues to show higher highs and could continue moving higher. Yesterday price broke the buy side liquidity (BSL 1H line) then pulled back down. It could continue moving down to take the sell side liquidity (SSL 1H line) and even the 79% Fib level (OTE level). Waiting for these levels to be broken and see if it will provide setup to get long.
But since price already took the 1H bullish order block (BullOB 1H line with yellow arrow), it is also possible that price will reverse back up from here.
Ictorderblocks
GBPUSD: BullishAfter making a double bottom (yellow circle) price moved up and continued to make higher highs. It could continue to move high to take the 1H buy side liquidity (BSL 1H) or even the 4H buy side liquidity (BLS 4H).
On the 15m time frame, it is currently forming a double bottom (yellow line), which is also around 70.5% Fib level (an OTE level). Waiting for price to break the double bottom and see if market will provide an entry to go long
GBPUSD: Could continue moving down to take 1.26000 levelYesterday price moved down to take sell side liquidity (SSL 1H TAKEN line) then moved back up. It is possible for price to continue moving up to take buy side liquidity (BSL 1H line) which is also the area of hourly 79% Fib level, the deepest OTE level and the previuos day high. A lot of reasons for that area to be taken before moving down to take the 1.26000 level
GBPUSD could move back up to bearish order blockGU has been ranging this week, breaking highs and lows. It could continue to range until it gives us a sign that it wants to break out of the range.
Yesterday it moved aggressively to the upside taking multiple upper side levels then followed by an aggressive move to the downside, taking some bullish order blocks and sell side liquidity. It also left fair value gaps on its way down and likely to come back up to fill those up. In the encircled part, if we go down to 15m TF, there is also a relatively equal lows that were taken out and was followed by an aggressive move up, which adds as a confluence that price is likely to move back up
GBPUSD is currently ranging and is likely to reach for the lowGU has been ranging this week. Ranging between the 1.27900 & 1.26800 areas. Currently it is at the lower part of the range and it is likely to continue down to take the 1H bullish order block or even the 1H sell side liquidity area. Order blocks and liquidity levels acts as magnets, so it is likely for price to move towards these levels
I am looking for possible setup to target those levels and then wait on how price will react at those levels.
GBPUSD could move up to take the 1.28000 levelMy bias on DXY is neutral and this is the same with my bias on GBPUSD on higher time frames. But looking on the 1H time frame it is more likely for it to move up because there are a lot of order blocks, buy side liquidity sitting above waiting to be taken (green lines above). There is also an equal high (yellow box).
Prior price shows that it took multiple bullish order blocks and sell side liquidities and fib 61.8% level then pulled back up. It is likely to continue to move up to take levels sitting above. As I mentioned before, these levels acts like magnets that draws prices into them.
Why I analyze the direction of DXY.For a trader that trades GBPUSD like me, it is important to analyze the direction of TVC:DXY because TVC:DXY is negatively correlated with $GBPUSD. Knowing the direction of DXY is an additional confluence in trading $GBPUSD.
Here is how I analyze TVC:DXY direction.
Today's TVC:DXY direction analysis.
- DXY is showing a downtrend move.
- It took the sell side liquidity with equal low (SSL D TAKEN line) then moved up.
On its way up,
- it filled fair value gaps (purple shades). 1 fair value gap is not yet fully filled
- it took the 78.6% Fib level, which is the deepest optimal trade entry (OTE)
LONG bias: it is possible for DXY to continue moving up because there is a daily bearish order block just above (BearOB D line)
SHORT bias: it is also possible that TVC:DXY could reverse back down from here because it is showing signs of rejection of the 78.6% Fib level.
For this reasons, my bias for TVC:DXY is NEUTRAL.
Now it's time to analyze FX:GBPUSD
2023.08.08 GU LTF could go to either directionSince HTF bias of GU is neutral, I will take a LONG or SHORT position depending on how price reacts at the 1.28000 area. If it touches that area and shows that it wants to reject that area by showing a displacement to the downside with fair value gaps, it is likely that it will continue down to take below sell side liquidity or bullish order block levels.
Or, if it touches the 1.28000 area and does not show any evidence of rejection, it is likely to continue to move up to take above buy side liquidity or bearish order block levels
2023.08.08 GU HTF Bias: NEUTRALAt the moment, GU could go either way at the moment.
LONG bias: Since it already took the daily bullish order block (BullOB D TAKEN line) and the 61.8% Fib (BullFib 61.8% D), it is possible that it will continue moving up to take the upper liquidity and order block level.
SHORT bias: Or, since there is still a daily liquidity level (SSL D) below and whole number 1.26000, it is also possible that it will take this levels first before moving up.
GU: Could start moving up after showing Market Structure ShiftI was seeing the daily bullish order block (BullOB D TAKEN) as the final target for the move down, and since that was already taken, I think price could start reversing back up especially that it already shown a market structure shift (MSS).
The bearish order blocks above could act as magnet to pull price up.
GU: Daily TF. Possible reversal to Monthly Bearish OB?This week price continued to move down as expected, taking some sell side liquidities (SSLs) and bullish order blocks (Bullish OBs) which acts as magnet of price. The Daily bullish order block was already taken so price could reverse back up to the Monthly bearish order block.
But since there is still a Daily sell side liquidity and the whole number 1.26000 below, price could still take these levels before moving up to the Monthly bearish order block
It is also possible for price to break thru the 1.26000 level and continue moving down up to 1.23000 level (the next sell side liquidity).
Currently waiting for more clues
ICT Concept: GU could still continue moving downPrice moved down and took SSL4H and bullish OB 4H then move up. It could continue to move up to take Bearish OB 1H or BSL 1H before moving down to take Bullish OB D. Or it could continue moving up to take Bearish OB 1H, pullback and continue to move up to take both Bearish OB 4H and Bearish OB D before moving down to take Bullish OB D
NZDUSD With Double Possible Levels Here's not my favorite kind of continuation entry.
What to do in scenarios such as this one?
Options 👇🏼
a. Divide your risk
b. Use confirmatory entry
c. Don't participate (sit it out and be patient for the next high probability setup)
d. Moving to another pair (instruments) you trade with a better setup offering higher probability.
#BTC - No Hope for holiday seasonLesson learned from last year.
Market is (more) bearish in December (holiday session).
Price will be funky next month.
Market Maker Sell Model by ICT is already formed and moved to Sell Side.
I'm expecting a retracement to top of orderblock and previous level.
Aiming to previous low.
ICT BREAKER SETUPhello, so you want a model that will get you profits? LOOK NO FURTHER!!!!
this is the ICT BREAKER, this mode (and other confluences) is ALL, YOU, NEED.
if you confluence the BREAKER with...
- BMS
- OTE
- PREM/DISC RANGE
- INTERNAL LIQUIDITY
WHAT. MORE. COULD. YOU. WANT.
what is labelled, as the purple box, THAT IS YOUR BREAKER BLOCK, YOU TRADE IN HERE WITH THE RIGHT FRAMEWORK AND CONFLUENCES.
OTE entry on GBP/USD - NY Killzone ICT concepts, ICT tradersHaving looked this over, and noticed many things of course in hindsight, I thought I would share this take on price action, with hopes it can assist someone with a different perspective on the markets, One that I believe has helped me, Taking a look at price action with the underlying presupposition that the market is booked on liquidity, where big moves can collect liquidity to bank and accumulate.
It is always worth taking a step back from any trade and looking in the eyes of retail and smart money, Both of which can be seen here, View the moves on liquidity as SM ( Look at how the "RESPECTED SUPPORT LEVEL" was 1. Respected and then 2. Blown out
( resting liquidity IE Retail stop loss orders taken ) Secondly look at displacement of sideways trend directly into resting higher time frame liquidity.
To understand what ( I believe) is happening when smart money move a market, the only thing you need to be aware of is, Moving onto liquidity.
I feel like this is easy to summarise by simply saying, Look at this as "us vs them" Retail traders are seeing patterns and support, Smart money are moving into liquidity around these suspected areas.
The approach to take, In my opinion is to watch the us vs them battle occur, and ride the wave.
This trade wasn't the greatest, But it was a 3-1 Yield with stops rolled to break even in 1 hour, and if you always look where resting liquidity lies, you will have a good idea about stops and targets.