Ictsetup
Post FOMC 2.2.23We have left some imbalances behind following yesterdays explosive move that need to be cleaned up prior to continuation. $META 40bln buyback may put a dent on any dip adds and we could continue right at the open into BSL. I'd be looking to fade this initial move if so back to value.
On the hourly we have what appears to be a large BISI (buyside imbalance - sell side inefficiency) and multiple FVG's (Fair Value Gaps) within. Below equilibrium is our return to discount, so those are the FVG that I find the most interesting.
I do like to mix in Volume Profile with ICT concepts as it is a tool that I have grown to love over time. Yesterdays Point of Control comes very close to the FVG+ I have in interest.
Long story short, I'm bullish but will fade any opening rally until we get a return to premium to pivot back long intraday.
The short must have a BoS- with displacement to the downside at a key reversal time. We don't get in front of this just because. Control the drawdown. CME_MINI:ES1!
yday for reference:
EURUSD BREAD AND BUTTER SETUPThe DXY is showing signs of getting back to the races , while the fIber is clearly frail.It has been on a week long consolidation which is likely pointing to the pair distributing to go lower.
Last week price had tapped into a daily rejection block from midyear as well as flashing with another key premium being the yearly low from 2020.These are strong lecvels that are likely going to offer resistance .
From my analysis i took a fib and marked the 50% level of the hourly rejection block for a much refined entry that offers a higher risk to reward ratio.All i have to do now is wait for price to tap into my slaughter house.:-)
My take on US30US30 has shown a pause on the current bullish movement on higher timeframes which might indicate that a retracement downwards is about to begin. On the lower timeframes it has started showing the willingness to drop and if you're willing to take the risk you can take a short term sell. My set up is a 1:5 risk:reward. Remember to apply proper risk management and only risk 2-4% of your equity
EURUSD LONG, NFP TradeHello Everyone,
This is my opinion on the Upcoming NFP, i strictly recommend to sit this one out. Price has given no opportunity for sellers to stay in this rally since on wednesday price took out everyone with the news, who were short since monday start of the week. Expecting nfp to deliver higher prices after running sellside liquidity
ICT SAVEGELooking at the previous day market on the 5mins you gotta see the gap I’m pointing to but only if you can see them
GJ SELL BIAS TO DISCOUNTDaily Analysis mapped out with a range FIB retracement - already modified before analysis
Price was at Premium Side of the market using the Daily POV, top down to the hourly chart and developed a sell bias as Sell side Liquidity was swept at Equilibrium and idea of imbalance filling up before price action and trend resumption
NAS100Looking at nas100 we have reached our fill as expected.. corolating with the US30, if you are Trading the nas100 you have to corolate with the US30..
*Secret Source *
Nas100 corolate with the US30
Always look at the NY equity Open 8:30 9:30
One pair will make a Stoprun.. allow the market to give you a lure hand of what pair makes a (LL) or (HL)
*TIME & PRICE
key factor
Stay tuned will be dropping market update soon
Cable's bias for the weekFrom my understanding of the ICT concepts, price is coming from a bearish order block on the weekly time frame, and a bearish market maker model on the four hour chart. Targets are the daily swing lows. If price goes above the red shaded area then we assume bullish run for liquidity above the order block